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Stocks
ONEOK, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall81
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9DistressBetter than 81% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
65
16.7x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
64
40.8%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
56
9.0%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
46
4.2x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
67
4.34%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
85
19.0%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
70
12▲3Top tier
OKE

OKE ONEOK, Inc.

ONEOK, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
96.62
▲ ⁦+0.94%⁩ (+0.90)
Market Cap$60.9B
Beta0.71
52w Low52w High
64.0299.85
Last Week
⁦+0.97%⁩
Last Month
⁦+6.95%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+10.06%⁩
Last Year
⁦+35.40%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$97
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$95
⁦-2%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$88–$112⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$25
⁦-74%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$25–$95⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$97.22
⁦+0.6%⁩
Current Price $96.62·Median $95.00
Low
$88.00
High
$112.00
Current price
$96.62
Average target
$97.22
Street summary

Short-Term Decline with Monthly Improvement in OKE Price Targets

The average price target declined to 97.22 from 98.56 over one day, and to 97.22 from 97.78 over seven days, while over 30 days it rose from 92.38 to 97.22. The current price is 96.62, making the consensus modestly higher, with clear dispersion between a high target of 112 and a low of 88, and a median of 95.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+5.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.52
Buy
Analyst coverage
23
Buy conviction
43%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
25%
Analyst ratings over time23 analysts rating
2
8
13
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.85 → 3.52
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Jefferies
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.66x
    3.56x28.47x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    16.31x
    3.36x26.89x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.21x
    2.12x16.98x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    4.8%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    40.8%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    12.8%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    27.2%
    7.8%72.1%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    9.0%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.23x
    0.40x3.19x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    4.3%
    0.4%10.1%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    72.3%
    11.9%109.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.70
    -1.814.34
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

ONEOK operates an integrated energy infrastructure platform connecting U.S. production basins with domestic demand and export markets across natural gas, natural gas liquids, crude oil, and refined products. It generates revenue from four main operating segments: natural gas liquids, gathering and processing, natural gas pipelines, and refined products and crude oil. Long-term contracts and take-or-pay agreements support part of its cash flows, including the entire 35 thousand barrels per day expansion to Denver and contracts for the Seabrook facility.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue was $12.0 billion, gross profit was $2.8 billion, net income was approximately $966 million, and diluted earnings per share were $1.53. This resulted in a gross margin of approximately 23.3% and a net income margin of approximately 8.1%, while management reported net income of $967 million, up 13% year over year, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $2.12 billion, up 7%.

Momentum in Q2 fiscal 2026 came from record natural gas liquids volumes, 8% year-over-year growth in refined products shipments, a 7% increase in raw natural gas liquids feed volumes, and higher volumes across all gathering and processing regions. On a trailing-twelve-month basis in 2026, ONEOK recorded revenue of $39.4 billion, gross profit of $10.7 billion, net income of $3.7 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $5.78, compared with revenue of $33.6 billion and net income of $3.4 billion in fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 3, 2026, ONEOK raised its fiscal 2026 outlook for the second time, setting midpoint net income at $3.6 billion, diluted earnings per share at $5.68, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization at $8.35 billion. This represents increases of $150 million in net income and $250 million in adjusted earnings compared with the original outlook issued in February 2026.
  • On August 30, 2026, ONEOK announced an agreement to acquire Brazos Midstream gathering and processing assets in the Midland Basin for $4.425 billion in cash, nearly doubling its regional gas processing capacity to approximately 2.3 billion cubic feet per day, with the transaction expected to be immediately accretive to earnings and free cash flow per share upon closing.
  • Apollo funds' $9 billion investment supports ONEOK's plan to repay approximately $5 billion of debt without issuing common shares, and on September 1, 2026, the company launched a cash tender offer to repurchase up to $2 billion of debt. This structure is intended to accelerate deleveraging, but it gives Apollo a non-controlling economic interest and makes completion of the debt tender offers conditional on closing the minority investment.
  • The 200 thousand barrels per day liquefied petroleum gas export project was 80% contracted, while Seabrook volumes increased by approximately 20% compared with Q1 fiscal 2026 and crude oil loadings reached a record level in May 2026. The 35 thousand barrels per day Denver expansion also entered service on August 1, 2026, adding a direct jet fuel connection to Denver International Airport.
  • ONEOK entered into a contract to supply natural gas to a 1-gigawatt generation facility associated with data center operations, and management said the project requires capital spending exceeding $100 million. In contrast, discussions regarding other large data center projects had not reached a final investment decision as of the August 4, 2026 call.
  • Management expects mid- to high-single-digit growth in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization over five to seven years, supported by projects including increasing Bighorn's processing capacity to 400 million cubic feet per day and adding 100 thousand barrels per day in the first phase of the Medford project. It also expects Permian processing capacity to rise to approximately 2.4 billion cubic feet per day upon completion of the announced projects.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +Q2 fiscal 2026 results exceeded the market estimates provided in the data, with earnings per share of $1.53 versus estimates ranging from $1.39 to $1.46, while revenue reached $12.05 billion versus estimates ranging from $8.95 billion to $10.66 billion.
  • +ONEOK's integrated network provides tangible operating leverage. The West Texas LPG pipeline can transport up to 740 thousand barrels per day, and management indicated that it has sufficient capacity to accommodate growth from its own plants and third-party plants without requiring additional expansion in the near term.
  • +Contracted projects provide clearer visibility into future cash flows. The 35 thousand barrels per day Denver expansion is almost entirely covered by long-term take-or-pay contracts, the Seabrook facility is fully contracted for the foreseeable future, and the liquefied petroleum gas export project was 80% contracted.
  • +Estimated cumulative cash tax benefits increased to approximately $2.6 billion from $1.5 billion, and management expects these benefits to defer significant cash tax payments until 2031, extending the previous period by approximately two years and supporting free cash flow generation.
  • +The Brazos transaction strengthens ONEOK's presence in the Midland Basin, while the planned Apollo financing allows it to repay approximately $5 billion of debt without diluting shareholders through the issuance of common shares. This could accelerate progress toward its long-term leverage target of 3.5 times debt to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $95.75, within a range of $88 to $108, while the consensus recommendation is Neutral. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $99.845, while the highest target exceeds that high. The price-to-earnings ratio of 16.5 times, enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization multiple of 12.1 times, and free cash flow yield of 4.8% indicate a valuation dependent on volume growth, successful Brazos integration, and deleveraging rather than a clear discount. UBS also maintained a Neutral rating with a $108 target on September 1, 2026, consistent with the balance between the operating opportunity and execution and financing risks.

HoldAnalyst target: $95.75(-0.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove OKE's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

ONEOK recorded revenue of $12.05 billion and diluted earnings per share of $1.53 in Q2 fiscal 2026, with reported net income of approximately $967 million. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 7% to $2.12 billion, while net income grew 13% year over year. Performance was driven by record natural gas liquids volumes, a 7% increase in raw natural gas liquids feed volumes, and 8% growth in refined products shipments. Volumes also increased across all gathering and processing regions, while crude oil gathering volumes in Midland rose 10% compared with the previous quarter.

How did ONEOK's fiscal 2026 outlook change?

Management raised its fiscal 2026 outlook for the second time on August 3, 2026, following strong first-half performance. The midpoint for net income became $3.6 billion, diluted earnings per share became $5.68, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization became $8.35 billion. The new outlook represents increases of $150 million in net income and $250 million in adjusted earnings compared with the February 2026 guidance. The capital spending range remained unchanged at $2.7 to $3.2 billion, with spending expected to approach its upper end.

What does the Brazos Midstream transaction add to ONEOK?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The $4.425 billion Brazos transaction requires successful integration and actual volume growth to deliver the expected increase in earnings and free cash flow. It had also not closed as of the August 30, 2026 announcement and remained subject to customary approvals and conditions.
  • −Apollo's $9 billion investment reduces pressure to issue shares and helps repay approximately $5 billion of debt, but it gives Apollo a non-controlling economic interest in the cash flows. Therefore, the long-term benefit depends on the cost of distributions and the economic rights associated with this financing, not only on the reported reduction in debt.
  • −Management acknowledged a slight decline in margins in parts of the natural gas liquids segment during Q2 fiscal 2026 because growth in lower-tariff ethane exceeded growth in higher-tariff C3+ components in certain regions, particularly Bakken and Mid-Continent.
  • −ONEOK expects natural gas pipelines segment earnings to decline in the second half of fiscal 2026 as new capacity begins transporting Permian production and Waha-Katy price spreads narrow, even though this decline is already incorporated into the annual outlook.
  • −The fiscal 2026 capital spending plan of $2.7 to $3.2 billion, with spending expected to approach the upper end, carries timing and execution-cost risks across the Bighorn, Medford, Cutter 2, and Delaware expansion projects. Other data center-related opportunities had also not reached a final investment decision as of August 4, 2026, and management said converting discussions into contracts had taken longer than expected.
  • −The valuation does not provide a clear margin of safety based on the data published on August 30, 2026. The price-to-earnings ratio was 16.5 times, the enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization multiple was 12.1 times, and the free cash flow yield was 4.8%. This coincides with a Neutral analyst consensus and a relatively wide target range of $88 to $108, making the realization of additional value dependent on execution of the transaction and projects and the expected operating growth.

On August 30, 2026, ONEOK announced an agreement to purchase Brazos Midstream gathering and processing assets in the Midland Basin for $4.425 billion in cash. The assets are expected to nearly double regional processing capacity to approximately 2.3 billion cubic feet per day and to be immediately accretive to earnings and free cash flow per share upon closing. The transaction is linked to a $9 billion investment from Apollo funds, allowing approximately $5 billion to be used to repay debt without issuing common shares. However, the transaction had not closed at the time of the announcement and remained subject to customary approvals and conditions, while the financing gives Apollo a non-controlling economic interest.

How important are the Permian and Medford projects to OKE's growth?

ONEOK expects to add 110 million cubic feet per day from Delaware plant expansions during Q3 fiscal 2026, following the commissioning of a relocated Midland plant with capacity of 150 million cubic feet per day. The company increased the planned capacity of the Bighorn plant to 400 million cubic feet per day from 300 million, targeting completion in mid-2027, which would bring Permian processing capacity to approximately 2.4 billion cubic feet per day upon completion of the projects. In Mid-Continent, the first phase of Medford adds 100 thousand barrels per day of fractionation capacity during Q4 fiscal 2026, followed by the second phase in Q1 fiscal 2027. These projects support the target of mid- to high-single-digit growth in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization over five to seven years.

How does ONEOK benefit from data center and power generation demand?

According to the August 4, 2026 call, ONEOK secured an agreement to supply natural gas to a 1-gigawatt generation facility associated with data center demand. Management said the project requires capital spending exceeding $100 million and provides steady demand at a return it described as attractive. The company was also in advanced discussions regarding two other opportunities to supply artificial intelligence data centers, but neither had reached a final investment decision. Management acknowledged that marketing these projects took longer than expected, making the signed contract more certain than the opportunities that remained under negotiation.

What are ONEOK's main margin and cash flow risks?

Some natural gas liquids segment margins declined slightly in Q2 fiscal 2026 because the increase in lower-tariff ethane exceeded the increase in higher-tariff C3+ components in regions such as Bakken and Mid-Continent. The company also expects natural gas pipelines earnings to decline in the second half of fiscal 2026 as the Waha-Katy spread narrows following the addition of new Permian transportation capacity. In contrast, ONEOK increased its estimate of cumulative cash tax benefits to $2.6 billion, which could defer significant cash tax payments until 2031. The effect on free cash flow also remains tied to capital spending of $2.7 to $3.2 billion and successful execution of the Brazos transaction and Apollo financing.