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Home
Stocks
Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall77
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 6/9SafeBetter than 77% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
43
16.7x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
66
15.0%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
64
8.6%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
63
3.1x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
71
5.70%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
63
14.8%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
72
5▲3Top tier
OHI

OHI Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc.

Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
46.99
▲ ⁦+0.09%⁩ (+0.04)
Market Cap$14.1B
Beta0.58
52w Low52w High
39.2652.39
Last Week
⁦+0.00%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.84%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.86%⁩
Last Year
⁦+10.38%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$47
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$50
⁦+6%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$46–$56⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$37
⁦-21%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$37–$50⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$49.88
⁦+6.2%⁩
Current Price $46.99·Median $50.00
Low
$46.00
High
$56.00
Current price
$46.99
Average target
$49.88
Street summary

Omega Healthcare (OHI) Stock Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

The average price target for OHI stock saw a slight increase of 1.14% over the past thirty days, with the consensus settling at 50.57 compared to 50 previously, while expectations remained unchanged over the last week. The dispersion of analysts between (47 and 56) reflects a generally positive outlook, especially since the current price of 45.57 is still trading below the lowest estimated price target, indicating a margin of safety according to the estimates of the three contributing analysts.

As of 2026-08-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.30
Hold
Analyst coverage
20
Buy conviction
40%
Mixed
Target dispersion
21%
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
2
6
10
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.33 → 3.30
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-07
    Barclays
    Underweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.72x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    23.84x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.57x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    6.5%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    15.0%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    73.5%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    35.1%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    8.6%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.14x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    5.7%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    92.6%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.08
    -0.883.10
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI) is a real estate investment trust focused on skilled nursing facilities, senior housing, and care homes in the United States and the United Kingdom. It generates income through triple-net lease structures and real estate loans, while expanding its SHOP operating portfolio and RIDEA structures, which give it a larger share of operating cash flows. The portfolio has evolved from almost complete exposure to skilled nursing facilities in 2001 to a mix that includes senior housing and UK care homes, while Saber has become the largest operator among the top ten operators, and PACS and the UK GoldCare portfolio have entered the list.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue rose to $328 million from $283 million in the comparable period, supported by new investments completed during 2025 and 2026, annual rent escalators, and portfolio management. Net income available to common shareholders reached $363 million, or $1.19 per share, compared with $137 million and $0.46 per share, but the result included a $247 million gain from asset sales, particularly the sale of 18 facilities from the CommuniCare portfolio. Therefore, operating cash flow metrics were more conservative, with adjusted AFFO of $261 million, or $0.83 per share, and FAD of approximately $248 million, or $0.78 per share.

Fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $1.2 billion, net income was $590.2 million, and earnings per share were $1.94, while the latest trailing twelve-month data recorded revenue of approximately $1.3 billion, net income of $858.4 million, and earnings per share of approximately $2.71. The provided data does not include a gross margin figure, and fiscal Q2 2026 net income exceeding revenue reflects the large gain from asset sales and does not represent a repeatable operating margin. In terms of mix, Omega continues to combine its triple-net lease portfolio with its growing SHOP portfolio and RIDEA investments, while expanding across skilled nursing facilities, senior housing, and UK care homes.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Omega raised and narrowed its fiscal 2026 adjusted AFFO guidance range to $3.22–$3.26 per share from $3.19–$3.25, increasing the midpoint by $0.02 to $3.24 per share despite the impact of asset sales and loan repayments on quarterly revenue.
  • The company closed $470 million of new investments since the beginning of fiscal 2026, including $126 million during fiscal Q2 2026 and $93 million after quarter-end, and expected stabilized unlevered yields in the low double digits for triple-net transactions and the low-to-mid double digits for RIDEA transactions.
  • Asset sales and loan repayments provided approximately $700 million during fiscal Q2 2026, reducing borrowings under the $2 billion credit facility to only $6 million; leverage also declined to 3.3 times, and fixed-charge coverage reached 6.5 times.
  • EBITDAR coverage for the core triple-net lease and real estate loan portfolio improved to 1.65 times for the twelve months ended March 31, 2026, compared with the 1.58 times reported for fiscal Q4 2025, strengthening operators’ ability to meet their lease obligations.
  • Management expects a meaningful increase in transaction volume by the end of fiscal 2026 and into 2027, with a significant portion of the opportunity pipeline focused on RIDEA in senior housing and UK care homes. It began this initiative by acquiring the operations of four Omega-owned care homes in the United Kingdom for $20 million and converting them into the company’s first UK RIDEA investment.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Omega’s balance sheet provides clear capacity to redeploy capital; borrowings under the credit facility were only $6 million as of June 30, 2026, with $39 million in cash and $145 million in restricted cash, and the next scheduled debt maturity is not due until April 2027.
  • +The core portfolio shows measurable operating improvement, with EBITDAR coverage rising to 1.65 times, while management confirmed that no major operator remains on its watch list following the restructuring of its CommuniCare and Ciena exposures.
  • +Expansion in RIDEA and SHOP offers an opportunity to capture a larger share of occupancy, margin, and cash flow growth compared with traditional contractual leases; the company expects stabilized yields in the low-to-mid double digits for announced RIDEA transactions.
  • +Actual revenue growth supports the investment thesis, as fiscal Q2 2026 revenue rose approximately 16% to $328 million from $283 million, alongside an increase in the midpoint of fiscal 2026 adjusted AFFO guidance to $3.24 per share.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on OHI is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $50.57 and a range of $47 to $56. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $52.39, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target remains within the annual range of $39.26–$52.39, reflecting differing views on the pace of capital redeployment and the RIDEA transition. A usable price-to-earnings ratio is not available in the data, and the $247 million gain from asset sales should be separated from operating earnings when estimating value.

HoldAnalyst target: $50.57(+7.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did Omega Healthcare Investors perform in fiscal Q2 2026?

Revenue reached $328 million, compared with $283 million in the comparable period, due to new investments, annual rent escalators, and portfolio management. Net income available to common shareholders was $363 million, or $1.19 per share. Net income included a $247 million gain from asset sales, so adjusted AFFO of $261 million and FAD of $248 million were more relevant measures of recurring performance.

What is OHI’s guidance for fiscal 2026?

Omega raised and narrowed its adjusted AFFO range to $3.22–$3.26 per share from $3.19–$3.25. The midpoint increased to $3.24 per share, up $0.02 from its April 2026 guidance. The guidance includes investments completed through July 29, 2026, but does not include additional investments not specified in the earnings release.

How is Omega using the proceeds from the CommuniCare sales?

Omega completed the sale of 18 CommuniCare facilities in Maryland and West Virginia for a contractual price of $480 million, as part of broader asset sales that generated a $247 million gain in fiscal Q2 2026. Proceeds from asset sales and loan repayments, totaling approximately $700 million, helped reduce borrowings under the credit facility to $6 million. The company also holds approximately $118 million of sale proceeds with qualified intermediaries to fund investments through a 1031 exchange, with redeployment expected into higher-yielding transactions.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Redeploying divestiture proceeds creates a temporary earnings gap; $597 million of asset sales and $209 million of loan repayments over two quarters reduced fiscal Q2 2026 AFFO by $7.5 million, and management expects the impact to continue in fiscal Q3 2026 because new investments were delayed until the latter half of the period.
  • −The Genesis bankruptcy remains a significant financial exposure until the process is completed, which is expected by the end of fiscal 2026; Omega is awaiting repayment of approximately $148 million of Genesis loans when the process closes, making part of its liquidity and guidance dependent on the timing and execution of the settlement.
  • −Growth in SHOP and RIDEA increases Omega’s direct exposure to operating, occupancy, and margin risks compared with triple-net leases; operating variability is evident in Maplewood occupancy, which was 94% at the New York facility versus 66% at the Washington, D.C. facility.
  • −Revenue remains sensitive to Medicaid decisions and healthcare regulation; some states recorded limited negative outcomes in reimbursement rate determinations, and the company is monitoring the possibility that state budget pressures or anti-fraud measures by HHS and CMS could indirectly affect the nursing home sector.
  • −SHOP transactions face competition from private-sector buyers, while the growth plan depends on finding suitable assets at prices that permit high returns. The opportunity pipeline also leans toward smaller transactions, which may require a larger number of deals to achieve a meaningful level of capital deployment.
  • −Valuation carries limited risk in light of the neutral analyst consensus, with price targets ranging from $47 to $56 and averaging $50.57, below the 52-week range high of $52.39. The data does not provide a usable price-to-earnings multiple, while reported net income is affected by a non-recurring $247 million gain from asset sales, limiting the usefulness of accounting earnings alone in valuing the stock.
  • What is the significance of OHI’s expansion in RIDEA and the United Kingdom?

    Omega acquired the operations of four care homes it owns in the United Kingdom for $20 million and converted them into the company’s first UK RIDEA investment. Management expects stabilized yields in the low-to-mid double digits for RIDEA transactions, compared with the low double digits for triple-net transactions. The opportunity pipeline in the United States and the United Kingdom includes a significant RIDEA component, giving Omega greater exposure to occupancy, margin, and cash flow growth, while also assuming higher operating risk.

    What are the key risks facing OHI stock during fiscal 2026?

    Asset sales of $597 million and loan repayments of $209 million over two quarters reduced fiscal Q2 2026 AFFO by $7.5 million, and the timing impact is expected to continue in fiscal Q3 2026. Omega is also awaiting repayment of approximately $148 million of Genesis loans when the bankruptcy process, expected by the end of fiscal 2026, concludes. In addition, RIDEA expansion increases direct exposure to occupancy and margins, while Medicaid rates and state budget pressures remain regulatory factors to monitor.