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Stocks
Organon & Co.
OGN

OGN Organon & Co.

Organon & Co. · NYSE
Market Closed
13.64
▲ ⁦+0.07%⁩ (+0.01)
Market Cap$3.6B
Beta1.52
52w Low52w High
5.6913.79
Last Week
⁦-0.94%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.29%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+1.94%⁩
Last Year
⁦+44.80%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall87
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9DistressBetter than 87% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
92
17.5x17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
17
-2.5%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
91
9.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
36
4.6x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
60
0.59%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
96
47.6%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
37
5▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$14
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$13
⁦-5%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$12–$14⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-6.07
⁦-144%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.1⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-6.07–$13⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$13.00
⁦-4.7%⁩
Current Price $13.64·Median $13.00
Low
$12.00
High
$14.00
Current price
$13.64
Average target
$13.00
Street summary

Update on Organon (OGN) stock price targets

The price target for Organon stock has seen a notable upward revision over the past thirty days, with the consensus rising from $11.33 to $13, an increase of 14.74%. However, the stock is currently trading at $13.75, which exceeds the average price target and approaches the upper bound of expectations at $14, reflecting a gap between analyst valuation and actual market performance that has surpassed expectations.

As of 2026-08-24
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+14.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.60
Hold
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
0%
Target dispersion
15%
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
4
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.33 → 2.60
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-04-27
    Piper Sandler
    UnderweightNeutral· $14.00
  • = Reiterate2026-04-10
    BNP Paribas
    Outperform· $12.00
  • = Reiterate2026-02-24
    Barclays
    Underweight· $8.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    17.49x
    3.94x44.30x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    3.83x
    4.64x37.16x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.80x
    3.77x30.13x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    15.8%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -2.5%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -71.0%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    52.7%
    12.8%90.7%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    9.6%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.63x
    0.60x5.10x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.6%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    9.6%
    7.4%76.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.32
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-02-12 data

Company Overview

Organon & Co. operates in pharmaceuticals, women’s health products, biosimilars, and established pharmaceutical brands, leveraging a commercial infrastructure that directly or indirectly reaches 140 countries. Its revenue mix relies on products such as Nexplanon in women’s health; Hadlima, denosumab biosimilars, and Tofidence in biosimilars; as well as Vtama, Emgality, and a respiratory medicines portfolio within established brands.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Organon recorded revenue of $1.6 billion, gross profit of $847 million, net income of $108 million, and earnings per share of $0.40, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 52.9%. By comparison, in fiscal Q1 2026, it generated revenue of $1.5 billion, gross profit of $783 million, and net income of $146 million; therefore, quarter-over-quarter revenue growth was accompanied by a decline in net income.

Fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $6.2 billion, while reported and constant-currency revenue declined 3%. The business mix showed clear divergence: women’s health declined 2% at constant currency and established brands declined 5%, while Hadlima grew 61% and Vtama generated global revenue of $128 million; Jada also contributed revenue of $74 million before its divestiture was completed in January 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management expects fiscal 2026 revenue of approximately $6.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.9 billion, with expected volume growth of approximately $150 million, or 2.4%, led by Vtama, Emgality, biosimilars, and Nexplanon outside the United States.
  • Nexplanon received FDA approval to extend its duration of use from three years to five years, and the supporting data include women with varying body mass indexes. Management expects fiscal 2026 product sales to remain close to the fiscal 2025 level because growth in markets outside the United States will be offset by the loss of some reinsertion procedures, which represent approximately 13% of annual insertions.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Hadlima grew 61% at constant currency in fiscal 2025, supported by its pricing strategy and expansion into Canada and Puerto Rico. Organon also launched denosumab biosimilars in the United States in September 2025 and expects the biosimilars business to deliver growth ranging from flat to modestly higher in fiscal 2026.
  • Management expects Vtama to grow between 20% and 25% in fiscal 2026 after the product recorded $128 million in global revenue in fiscal 2025. This expected growth comes alongside continued product-focused promotional spending, despite competition from topical steroidal and nonsteroidal options.
  • Organon reduced its debt by approximately $530 million during fiscal 2025 and then received net proceeds of approximately $390 million from the sale of Jada. With adjusted EBITDA expected to be $1.9 billion, management aims to reduce net leverage from approximately 4.3 times at the end of fiscal 2025 to below four times by the end of fiscal 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Identified growth drivers, including Vtama, Emgality, Hadlima, and denosumab biosimilars, provide an opportunity to offset declines in older products; Hadlima grew 61%, and Vtama revenue reached approximately $128 million in fiscal 2025.
    • +Nexplanon’s extended five-year label could support the product’s longer-term appeal, particularly for women with a higher body mass index, while management expects strong growth outside the United States and improved access in Latin American markets.
    • +The company generated free cash flow before nonrecurring costs of $960 million in fiscal 2025, while repaying approximately $530 million of debt and directing Jada proceeds of approximately $390 million toward reducing net debt.
    • +Organon maintained an adjusted EBITDA margin of 30.7% in fiscal 2025, unchanged from the previous year, despite a 150-basis-point decline in adjusted gross margin; savings exceeding $200 million and reduced operating expenses helped absorb the pressure.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Fiscal 2025 results reveal broad weakness across key parts of the portfolio: total revenue declined 3%, women’s health declined 2%, established brands declined 5%, and annual Nexplanon sales declined 4% at constant currency. Fiscal Q4 2025 revenue also declined 8% at constant currency, increasing the offset required from growing products.
    • −Fiscal 2026 guidance points to flat revenue of approximately $6.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.9 billion, rather than clear growth, with adjusted gross margin expected to decline between 75 and 100 basis points. This follows a decline in the fiscal Q4 2025 gross margin to 56.7% from 60.6% and in the adjusted EBITDA margin to 25.4% from 28.1%.
    • −Organon’s portfolio faces simultaneous competition and pricing pressure; the company expects intensifying fertility competition within the United States and describes the denosumab biosimilars market as highly competitive on volume and price, while Vtama grew more slowly than topical roflumilast according to the question raised on the February 12, 2026 call. The negative pricing impact reached $180 million, or 2.8%, in fiscal 2025.
    • −Nexplanon faces access constraints related to U.S. policies, the shift of some independent clinics away from the buy-and-bill model, and the loss of reinsertion procedures following the transition to a five-year duration. Management expects the reinsertion impact to be more severe in fiscal 2026, with a much smaller impact potentially continuing into fiscal 2027.
    • −Net leverage was approximately 4.3 times at the end of fiscal 2025, and the company expects interest expense of approximately $500 million in fiscal 2026 despite debt repayment. It also expects a non-GAAP tax rate between 27.5% and 29.5%, limiting the conversion of EBITDA into net income and cash flows available to shareholders.
    • −Organon disclosed a negative impact of $17 million in fiscal Q4 2025 resulting from the suspension of sales practices at certain U.S. wholesalers following an internal audit committee investigation. On the February 12, 2026 call, the issue of purchases related to biosimilars that had been referred to the audit committee was also raised, and the company declined to provide additional details, leaving the scope of the impact undefined in the available information.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is Neutral, with an average target of $13, within a relatively narrow range of $12 to $14; the average is close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $13.77, compared with a low of $5.69. No usable P/E ratio is available in the data, and the wide 52-week range reflects a revaluation associated with margin contraction, flat fiscal 2026 guidance, and high leverage, despite growth in some products and the debt-reduction plan.

    HoldAnalyst target: $13(-4.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What were OGN’s key results in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Organon recorded revenue of $1.6 billion and gross profit of $847 million in fiscal Q2 2026. Net income was $108 million, and earnings per share were $0.40. Gross profit equaled approximately 52.9% of revenue based on a direct calculation using EDGAR figures. Revenue increased from $1.5 billion in fiscal Q1 2026, but net income declined from $146 million.

    What is Organon’s outlook for fiscal 2026?

    Management expects revenue of approximately $6.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.9 billion in fiscal 2026, broadly in line with fiscal 2025. It also expects volume growth of $150 million, or 2.4%, against pricing pressure of approximately $75 million. Adjusted gross margin is expected to decline between 75 and 100 basis points. The company aims to reduce net leverage to below four times by the end of fiscal 2026.

    How does extending Nexplanon’s duration to five years affect OGN?

    The FDA approved extending Nexplanon’s duration of use from three years to five years, based on a study that included women with varying body mass indexes. Management believes the new label could expand the addressable market and strengthen the product’s competitiveness among long-acting contraceptives. However, approximately 13% of annual insertions are reinsertions, so the company expects volume pressure in fiscal 2026. Management expects strength in markets outside the United States, particularly Latin America, to offset some of this pressure and Nexplanon sales to remain close to the fiscal 2025 level.

    Which products could offset declines in Organon’s established brands?

    Vtama generated global revenue of $128 million in fiscal 2025, and management expects it to grow between 20% and 25% in fiscal 2026. Hadlima grew 61% at constant currency in fiscal 2025, with expansion into Canada and Puerto Rico. The company launched denosumab biosimilars in the United States in September 2025, but estimates their peak revenue opportunity at approximately $100 million across the two reference products over a period of approximately five years. It also expects contributions from Emgality and Tofidence to offset the maturation of Ontruzan and Renflexis.

    Can Organon reduce its debt while margin pressure persists?

    Organon repaid approximately $530 million of debt during fiscal 2025, and net leverage was approximately 4.3 times at the end of the period. The sale of Jada in January 2026 added net proceeds of approximately $390 million allocated to support net debt reduction. Management expects adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.9 billion and interest expense of approximately $500 million in fiscal 2026. Based on these assumptions, the company aims for net leverage below four times by the end of fiscal 2026.