EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
OGE Energy Corp.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall41
Weak — below market medianTurnaroundF 6/9Better than 41% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
55
20.4x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
29
0.6%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
48
6.7%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
36
4.2x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
39
3.64%▲2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
58
4.6%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
63
9▲3Around median
OGE

OGE OGE Energy Corp.

OGE Energy Corp. · NYSE
Market Closed
46.55
▼ ⁦-0.09%⁩ (-0.04)
Market Cap$9.6B
Beta0.52
52w Low52w High
41.7050.59
Last Week
⁦+1.22%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.51%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-3.84%⁩
Last Year
⁦+2.20%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$47
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$49
⁦+5%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$47–$54⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$14
⁦-70%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$14–$49⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$50.20
⁦+7.8%⁩
Current Price $46.55·Median $49.00
Low
$47.00
High
$54.00
Current price
$46.55
Average target
$50.20
Street summary

Limited improvement amid declining coverage breadth

Bullish tilt

The average price target rose over the last 30 days from 49.6 to 50.2, an increase of 0.6 or 1.21%, while it remained unchanged over the last 7 days or one day. The current range is between 47 and 54, with a median of 49 and an average of 50.2 versus a current price of 46.92, reflecting limited optimism amid a clear divergence between estimates, particularly as the number of analysts fell from 7 to 2.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.31
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦13 (-5)⁩
Buy conviction
31%
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
15%
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
2
2
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.21 → 3.31
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-02
    RBC Capital
    Sector PerformOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-14
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    20.42x
    4.50x36.01x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    18.37x
    4.35x34.77x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.06x
    3.07x24.54x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    4.7%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.6%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -6.6%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    62.0%
    9.8%69.4%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    6.7%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.16x
    1.28x10.25x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    3.6%
    1.4%6.1%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    74.2%
    35.0%95.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

OGE Energy Corp. operates primarily through its electric utility subsidiary, which generates income by supplying electricity and investing in distribution, generation, and transmission networks to serve load growth in its service territory. The growth plan focuses on adding electric capacity and connecting large customers, particularly data centers, under a regulated utility model that requires the large customer to pay 100% of the interconnection cost upfront and imposes a commitment of at least 15 years, minimum billing requirements, and guarantees.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, consolidated net income was approximately $116 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.56, compared with $108 million and $0.53 in the corresponding quarter of fiscal 2025. The electric utility generated net income of approximately $120 million, while the holding company recorded a loss of approximately $4 million, illustrating that the regulated electric business is the source of earnings and that holding company costs reduce consolidated results. The improvement came from warmer weather and lower depreciation and interest expenses for assets placed in service, partially offset by higher operations and maintenance expenses.

The latest EDGAR data for Q1 fiscal 2026 show revenue of $752.6 million, gross profit of $415.9 million, net income of $50.2 million, and earnings per share of $0.24, equivalent to a calculated gross profit margin of approximately 55.3%. In fiscal 2025, revenue was $3.3 billion, gross profit was $2.0 billion, net income was $470.7 million, and earnings per share were $2.32, while the 2026 trailing twelve-month period recorded net income of $458.2 million and earnings per share of approximately $2.21.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 29, 2026, management reaffirmed its consolidated fiscal 2026 earnings per share guidance range of $2.38 to $2.48, with a midpoint of $2.43, after reporting $0.56 in Q2 fiscal 2026, and indicated that approximately 70% of expected annual earnings still remained ahead of the company within the same fiscal year.
  • Peak demand on the OGE system exceeded 6,800 megawatts in July 2026, surpassing the record set in August 2024 by approximately 180 megawatts, alongside customer growth of approximately 1%. These figures support the company's need to increase capacity after historical average additions of 300 to 400 megawatts annually.
  • The company plans to add 550 megawatts to the system during fiscal 2026 from Horseshoe Lake and Tinker, followed by an additional 300 megawatts from the Frontier Storage project in fiscal 2027, alongside 450 megawatts from Horseshoe Lake units 13, 14, and 29. The conversion of these opportunities into rate base and earnings depends on progress in regulatory approvals and the determination of project scope, timing, and costs.
  • On May 1, 2026, OGE filed the special Google contract in Oklahoma, and the case now has a procedural schedule, with management expecting to reach a settlement before the end of 2026. It also confirmed the existence of six or seven active negotiations with large-load customers, providing a potential path for demand growth if those negotiations turn into approved commitments.
  • The large-load tariff filed on June 17, 2026, proposes a minimum 15-year commitment, upfront funding of the full interconnection cost, minimum billing, guarantees, early termination fees, and capacity reduction charges. The company also proposes an affordability support charge that could benefit residential customers by $25 million to $30 million annually for each typical 1-gigawatt data center.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Consolidated net income in Q2 fiscal 2026 increased to approximately $116 million from $108 million, and diluted earnings per share rose to $0.56 from $0.53, with fiscal 2026 guidance reaffirmed at $2.38 to $2.48 per share.
  • +Peak demand of more than 6,800 megawatts, customer growth of approximately 1%, and six or seven active negotiations with large customers provide tangible support for the plan to expand the system and generation capacity.
  • +The capacity plan combines 550 megawatts scheduled for fiscal 2026, 300 megawatts from Frontier Storage in fiscal 2027, and 450 megawatts from Horseshoe Lake units, which could extend the investment trajectory if the projects receive the necessary approvals.
  • +The large-load tariff seeks to protect the existing customer base by requiring the large customer to pay the full interconnection cost upfront and imposing a commitment of at least 15 years, guarantees, and minimum billing, reducing the likelihood that expansion costs will be passed directly to existing customers.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $49.25, within a target range of $47 to $52, versus a “Neutral” consensus. The average target is approximately $1.34 below the 52-week range high of $50.59, while the highest target exceeds that high. No reported price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the valuation assessment is based on the Neutral consensus and the relatively narrow target range rather than a comparable earnings multiple.

HoldAnalyst target: $49.25(+5.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove OGE's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Consolidated net income was approximately $116 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.56, compared with $108 million and $0.53 in the corresponding quarter of fiscal 2025. Management attributed the increase primarily to warmer weather and lower depreciation and interest expenses for assets placed in service. This was partially offset by higher operations and maintenance expenses, while the holding company recorded a loss of approximately $4 million.

What is OGE's earnings guidance for fiscal 2026?

On July 29, 2026, management reaffirmed consolidated earnings per share guidance of $2.38 to $2.48 for fiscal 2026. The midpoint of the range is $2.43, compared with earnings per share of $0.56 in Q2 fiscal 2026. Management said that approximately 70% of expected annual earnings still remained ahead of the company within fiscal 2026 at the time of the call.

How does OGE benefit from growth in data centers and large loads?

The company filed the special Google contract in Oklahoma on May 1, 2026, and also filed a tariff for loads exceeding 75 megawatts on June 17, 2026. The proposed tariff requires upfront funding of 100% of the interconnection cost, a commitment of at least 15 years, minimum billing, guarantees, and early termination fees. On July 29, 2026, management confirmed that it was engaged in six or seven active negotiations with large-load customers.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Two large customers delayed portions of their load ramp schedules, pushing a few hundred megawatts to later in fiscal 2026. Although the commitments remain in place according to management, the delay illustrates the sensitivity of near-term growth to the timing of load activation by a limited number of large customers.
  • −Important parts of the growth plan depend on regulatory decisions that had not been finalized as of July 29, 2026, including the special Google contract, the large-load tariff, the Frontier Storage project, and SPP notices to proceed with transmission project construction. Delayed approvals or changes to their terms could postpone capital expenditures and the placement of assets into service.
  • −Operations and maintenance expenses increased in Q2 fiscal 2026 and partially offset the impact of warmer weather and lower depreciation and interest expenses, while the holding company's loss widened to approximately $4 million from less than $1 million because of higher interest expense and the absence of a nonrecurring benefit related to legacy midstream operations that was recorded in fiscal 2025.
  • −The costs, routes, in-service schedules, and financing needs of some transmission opportunities remain undefined, and management said it would update the capital and financing plan incrementally as approvals are received. The expanding investment program increases the importance of maintaining the ratio of cash flow from operations to debt near 17% and may require the use of additional instruments within the capital structure.
  • −Net income for the 2026 trailing twelve-month period declined to $458.2 million and earnings per share fell to approximately $2.21, compared with net income of $470.7 million and earnings per share of $2.32 in fiscal 2025, indicating that the quarterly improvement has not yet translated into growth in longer-term figures.
  • −Insider activity recorded one sale and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on May 21, 2026, for net selling of approximately $352.3 thousand. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicate otherwise.
  • What are OGE's main capacity projects?

    The company intends to add 550 megawatts during fiscal 2026 from Horseshoe Lake and Tinker. Frontier Storage is scheduled to add approximately 300 megawatts in fiscal 2027, while Horseshoe Lake units 13, 14, and 29 will add a combined 450 megawatts. Some projects remain subject to regulatory approvals and the determination of cost, route, and implementation schedule.

    What are the main risks of delayed load growth at OGE?

    Two large customers delayed portions of their load ramp schedules during fiscal 2026, pushing a few hundred megawatts to later in the year. Management said on July 29, 2026, that both customers were already connected and that their commitments remained in place, but the ramp began later because of issues on their side. This means that the timing of large-load activation may affect near-term results even when contracted demand is not canceled.

    How do analysts view OGE's stock valuation?

    The analyst consensus is “Neutral,” and the average price target is $49.25. The target range extends from $47 to $52, while the stock's 52-week range extends from $41.70 to $50.59. The average target is below the 52-week range high, and the data do not include a reported price-to-earnings ratio that could be used to confirm whether the valuation is high or low on an earnings basis.