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Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation
OCSL

OCSL Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Open
12.46
▲ ⁦+0.40%⁩ (+0.05)
Market Cap$1.1B
Beta0.55
52w Low52w High
10.6314.31
Last Week
⁦-0.95%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.01%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.50%⁩
Last Year
⁦-10.36%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall83
Excellent — top fifth of the marketTurnaroundF 7/9Better than 83% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
72
25.9x▼17.6xTop tier
▸
Growth
61
157.2%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
32
——Bottom tier
▸
Safety
62
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
82
3.22%▲2.15%Top tier
▸
Momentum
57
-6.6%▼2.3%Around median
▸
Sentiment
90
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$12
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$13
⁦+5%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$13–$13⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-2.24
⁦-118%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-2.24–$13⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$13.00
⁦+4.3%⁩
Current Price $12.46·Median $13.00
Low
$13.00
High
$13.00
Street summary

Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) Price Target Analysis

The stock has seen price target stability at $13 over the past 30 days, following a single positive revision in mid-July that raised the consensus from $12.5 (+4%). With the stock currently trading at $12.98, the gap between the market price and the target has completely vanished, with a perfect alignment between the high and low analyst estimates (Zero Dispersion), reflecting a very narrow consensus on the current fair value.

As of 2026-08-14
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
0%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    B. Riley
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-06
    Oppenheimer
    —· $13.00
  • = Reiterate2026-02-05
    Wells Fargo
    —· $12.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.85x
    3.11x24.86x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    8.81x
    2.72x21.78x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.74x
    3.03x24.25x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.7%
    -17.7%19.3%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    157.2%
    -36.8%103.3%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -14.3%
    -99.6%194.1%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    7.4%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.90x
    0.25x7.21x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    3.2%
    0.6%9.1%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    83.3%
    9.8%98.0%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation is a publicly traded business development company that invests in private credit and generates its income primarily from interest on loans and returns on investments provided to portfolio companies. As of June 30, 2026, first-lien senior secured debt represented 82% of the portfolio at fair value, and the weighted average yield on debt investments was 9.3%, while the joint ventures held investments worth $524 million across 135 companies and generated a return on equity of approximately 11.3% during fiscal Q3 2026.

In fiscal Q3 2026, the financial statements showed revenue of $61.6 million, gross profit of $37.5 million, and net income of $30.9 million, equivalent to earnings per share of $0.35; this equates to a gross profit margin of approximately 60.9% and a net income margin of approximately 50.2%. On an adjusted operating basis, total investment income was $69.2 million, and adjusted net investment income was $32.2 million, or $0.37 per share, compared with $33.7 million, or $0.38 per share, in fiscal Q2 2026.

Net leverage was 1.02x as of June 30, 2026, within the target range of 0.9x to 1.25x, with liquidity of $699 million, including $40 million in cash and $659 million of undrawn facilities. Net asset value remained stable at $15.70 per share, compared with $15.69 as of March 31, 2026, while the board of directors declared total cash distributions of $0.33 per share, consisting of a $0.30 base distribution and a $0.03 supplemental distribution, payable on September 30, 2026, to shareholders of record on September 15, 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Non-accrual investments declined to 1.8% of the debt portfolio at fair value as of June 30, 2026, from 2.6% in the previous quarter and 3.2% a year earlier, after OCSL exited five non-accrual positions during the previous two quarters, leaving only six investments in this category.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Thrasio repaid approximately $25 million, or slightly more than 80% of OCSL's loans, following asset sales that included the sale of Hate Stains to Church & Dwight for an aggregate purchase price of $325 million. The company revalued the remaining portion of the second-lien loan from 80% to 99% and restored it to accrual status, supporting income and portfolio quality in fiscal Q3 2026.
  • New investment commitments totaled $206 million in fiscal Q3 2026, with a weighted average yield of 10.0% on new debt investments, compared with 9.2% in the previous quarter. Median spreads on opportunities under review also ranged between SOFR plus 550 and 575 basis points, reflecting improved lending terms compared with 2024 and 2025 transactions.
  • OCSL, together with other Oaktree funds, financed approximately 60% of a private secondary securitization facility to support Zayo Group's acquisition of Crown Castle's fiber network. The facility was priced at SOFR plus 675 basis points, secured by fiber network assets and a corporate guarantee from a parent entity, offering a relatively high return and additional structural protection.
  • Portfolio company metrics improved as of June 30, 2026; median average EBITDA increased by approximately 4% quarter over quarter to $189 million, weighted average leverage declined to 5.1x from 5.2x, and interest coverage improved to 2.4x from 2.1x.
  • Insider activity recorded one purchase and no sales during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 12, 2026, resulting in net buying activity of approximately 21.6 thousand units. This signal remains supportive but limited compared with developments in credit quality and investment income.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The improvement in credit quality is tangible, as non-accruals declined by 140 basis points year over year to 1.8%, and more than 85% of the reduction in their value during the year came from cash proceeds or investments returning to accrual status, rather than relying solely on write-offs.
    • +Liquidity of $699 million and net leverage of 1.02x provide capacity to fund new opportunities without approaching the upper end of the target range, while the yield on new debt investments reached 10.0% in fiscal Q3 2026.
    • +The portfolio is broadly diversified; the average debt position represents no more than approximately 0.65% of fair value, no individual position exceeds 2.1%, and first-lien senior secured debt constitutes 82% of the portfolio.
    • +The company maintained net asset value of $15.70 per share as of June 30, 2026, despite recording approximately $15 million in realized losses, while adjusted net investment income of $0.37 per share covered the declared cash distributions of $0.33 per share.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Credit risks remain despite the improvement; six non-accrual investments remained, representing 1.8% of the debt portfolio at fair value as of June 30, 2026, and the company recorded approximately $15 million in realized losses during fiscal Q3 2026 when exiting legacy distressed positions.
    • −Software represents 20% of the portfolio at fair value, and approximately 3% of the performing debt portfolio is classified as having high exposure to AI disruption. The risk is greater in loans originated during 2020 and 2021, particularly annual recurring revenue loans maturing in 2027 and 2028 amid high leverage and limited cash flows at some borrowers.
    • −Adjusted operating performance slowed in fiscal Q3 2026; adjusted net investment income declined to $32.2 million, or $0.37 per share, from $33.7 million, or $0.38 per share, in the previous quarter, due to a smaller average portfolio, lower non-recurring income, and higher income-based incentive fees.
    • −The proportion of PIK income increased to 7.8% of total adjusted investment income in fiscal Q3 2026, compared with 5.5% in the previous quarter. Although approximately two-thirds of this income comes from investments designed from inception with a PIK option, the higher proportion means that a larger share of income is not collected immediately in cash.
    • −Portfolio companies face the dual burden of high interest rates and the possibility of slowing growth amid persistent inflation, which could pressure interest coverage and credit quality. OCSL must also address $350 million of unsecured notes maturing in January 2027, a significant financing maturity despite available liquidity of $699 million.
    • −The value of direct lending transactions fell to its lowest level in two and a half years during the June 2026 quarter, alongside weak private equity activity and difficulty completing exits, while renewed competition in middle-market loans pressured spreads toward 500 basis points over SOFR by the end of June. Continued weakness in transaction volumes or further spread compression could constrain portfolio growth and returns on new investments.

    Valuation

    The average analyst target is $13, with both the highest and lowest targets matching at $13 and a consensus rating of neutral, reflecting the absence of visible dispersion in the available estimates more than broad bullish conviction. The target is approximately 9.2% below the 52-week range high of $14.31 and approximately 22.3% above its low of $10.63; this range balances improving non-accruals and stable net asset value on one hand against declining adjusted net investment income, realized losses, and refinancing risks on the other.

    HoldAnalyst target: $13(+4.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How did OCSL perform in fiscal Q3 2026?

    The financial statements reported revenue of $61.6 million and net income of $30.9 million, equivalent to earnings per share of $0.35. On an adjusted operating basis, total investment income was $69.2 million and net investment income was $32.2 million, or $0.37 per share. Adjusted net investment income declined from $33.7 million, or $0.38 per share, in fiscal Q2 2026 due to lower leverage, lower non-recurring income, and the return of a portion of incentive fees.

    Why are developments in the Thrasio investment important for OCSL stock?

    Thrasio had been on non-accrual status since December 2023 following an excessive growth strategy after the COVID pandemic. During the June 2026 quarter, asset sales enabled the repayment of approximately $25 million, or slightly more than 80% of OCSL's loans, including the sale of the Hate Stains brand to Church & Dwight as part of a transaction with an aggregate price of $325 million. OCSL raised the valuation of the remaining second-lien loan from 80% to 99% and restored it to accrual status, converting part of the distressed position into cash and returning the remainder to income generation.

    Are OCSL's distributions covered by investment earnings?

    The board of directors declared total cash distributions of $0.33 per share for fiscal Q3 2026, divided between a $0.30 base distribution and a $0.03 supplemental distribution. Adjusted net investment income was $0.37 per share, which was $0.04 per share above the declared distribution. The distributions are payable on September 30, 2026, to shareholders of record on September 15, 2026, and the supplemental portion equals 50% of adjusted net investment income in excess of the base distribution under the company's policy.

    How large is OCSL's portfolio exposure to software and artificial intelligence?

    Software represented 20% of the portfolio at fair value as of June 30, 2026, slightly lower than in the previous quarter. Management estimated high-risk software exposure to artificial intelligence at approximately 3% of the performing debt portfolio at fair value. Concerns are concentrated in companies combining susceptibility to business model disruption with high leverage, weak cash flow, and refinancing maturities in 2027 and 2028.

    What does OCSL's balance sheet look like ahead of the January 2027 debt maturity?

    Net leverage was 1.02x as of June 30, 2026, compared with 1.04x as of March 31, 2026, and within the target range of 0.9x to 1.25x. Liquidity reached $699 million, consisting of $40 million in cash and $659 million of undrawn facilities, compared with unfunded commitments of $208 million excluding the joint ventures. Conversely, the company must address $350 million of unsecured notes maturing in January 2027, while total outstanding debt was $1.45 billion with a weighted average interest rate of 5.9%.

    What distinguishes the Zayo Group transaction in OCSL's portfolio?

    OCSL, together with other Oaktree funds, financed approximately 60% of a private secondary securitization facility to support Zayo Group's acquisition of Crown Castle's fiber network in May 2026. The facility carries a rate equal to SOFR plus 675 basis points and is supported by fiber network assets and a corporate guarantee from a parent entity that ranks ahead of the sponsor's equity in the support structure. OCSL had previously purchased Zayo's first-lien senior loan below par, after which a portion was repaid and the value of the remaining position increased to approximately par.