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Stocks
Nextpower Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall80
Excellent — top fifth of the marketFalling StarF 3/8SafeBetter than 80% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
46
21.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
81
17.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
78
26.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
80
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
71
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
31
47.5%▲2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
72
15▲3Top tier
NXT

NXT Nextpower Inc.

Nextpower Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
82.89
▲ ⁦+1.89%⁩ (+1.54)
Market Cap$12.3B
Beta1.95
52w Low52w High
64.30163.13
Last Week
⁦+0.41%⁩
Last Month
⁦-20.97%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-25.96%⁩
Last Year
⁦+28.85%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$83
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$148
⁦+79%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$111–$179⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$58
⁦-30%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.1⁩% discount · ⁦9⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$58–$148⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$147.02
⁦+77.4%⁩
Current Price $82.89·Median $148.22
Low
$111.00
High
$179.00
Current price
$82.89
Average target
$147.02
Street summary

A slight decline in consensus while the outlook remains positive

The consensus price target held steady at 147.02 with no change over the last day, but it declined by 1.63 points, or 1.1%, compared with September 3 and 11, with no change in the number of analysts, which remains at 4. The current range is between 111 and 179, with a median of 148.22, reflecting clear divergence among estimates despite all targets remaining above the current price of 81.35.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.11
Buy
Analyst coverage
28
Buy conviction
89%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
82%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time28 analysts rating
6
19
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.83 → 4.11
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Jefferies
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.25x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    17.11x
    5.19x41.53x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.89x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    4.3%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.0%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    5.4%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    33.4%
    12.9%79.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    26.8%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    5.86
    -10.9113.66
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-12 data

Company Overview

Nextpower Inc. develops and supplies utility-scale solar power plant technologies, with the NX Horizon tracker remaining at the core of its business, alongside XTR solutions for complex terrain, Hail Pro for extreme weather, and the TrueCapture system for optimizing plant performance. The company is expanding its revenue model through an “everything but the solar panel” strategy that combines trackers, foundations, steel frames, eBOS systems, inspection services, and software, while adding power conversion technologies aimed at solar, storage, and data center applications.

In Q1 fiscal 2027, Nextpower reported revenue of $935.2 million and gross profit of $335.9 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 35.9%, as well as net income of $165.4 million at a net margin of approximately 17.7%, and earnings per share of $1.07. By comparison, Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue was approximately $880.5 million, gross profit was $297.4 million, and net income was $150.6 million, demonstrating sequential improvement in revenue and profitability according to EDGAR data.

The company ended fiscal 2026 with revenue of approximately $3.56 billion, up 20% year over year, gross profit of approximately $1.2 billion, net income of $585.9 million, and earnings per share of $3.84. Adjusted EBITDA reached $854 million, and adjusted free cash flow was $514 million, while cash and equivalents reached approximately $1.1 billion with no debt. Commercially, the United States accounted for 79% of fiscal 2026 bookings, compared with 21% for other markets, and the backlog reached a record level exceeding $5.25 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Nextpower raised its fiscal 2027 revenue target to a range of $3.8–$4.1 billion, with adjusted EBITDA of between $825 million and $900 million and adjusted free cash flow of between $450 million and $500 million, supported by a backlog exceeding $5.25 billion and one of the strongest booking quarters in its history.
  • The company expects growth exceeding 40% in non-tracker activities during fiscal 2027, increasing their contribution to approximately 15% of total revenue. The annualized booking rate for Tracker Plus Foundation products exceeded $100 million, while bookings for the eBOS business grew by more than 40% in fiscal 2026.
  • The agreement to acquire power conversion product lines expands the platform’s scope into solar, storage, and data centers. The system is rated at 4.5 megavolt-amperes for solar applications and 5.2 megavolt-amperes for storage and data centers, and the company has a conditional letter of intent exceeding 100 megawatts, with limited revenue from the business expected during fiscal 2027.
  • Specialized products support Nextpower’s ability to differentiate. Cumulative sales of the XTR tracker exceeded 50 gigawatts, while Hail Pro tracker sales exceeded 30 gigawatts. Hail Pro recorded a panel survival rate of 99.99% across 4,610 hailstorms during fiscal 2026, including 57 events in which hailstones reached three inches in diameter.
  • Europe achieved record bookings during fiscal 2026, while management pointed to improving opportunity pipelines in Australia, India, the Middle East, and Africa. In the United States, the company signed an additional multiyear, gigawatt-scale agreement with Genco Solar to supply domestically manufactured steel frames.
  • The company reduced NX Horizon tracker installation time by 20% during fiscal 2026, according to a third-party engineering study. It also received the first purchase orders for its NX PowerMerge eBOS solution and recorded record revenue from TrueCapture, strengthening opportunities to increase revenue value per project through integrated packages.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The backlog exceeding $5.25 billion provides strong execution visibility, having increased from $2.1 billion at the initial public offering approximately 2.25 years before the May 12, 2026 call. Management also confirmed that the backlog includes only binding orders and contracts and excludes awards or advanced negotiations.
  • +Nextpower combines revenue growth, profitability, and liquidity. Fiscal 2026 revenue increased by 20% to approximately $3.56 billion, adjusted EBITDA reached $854 million, and adjusted free cash flow was $514 million, with $1.1 billion in cash and no debt.
  • +The platform strategy could diversify revenue sources beyond trackers, as the company targets growth exceeding 40% in non-tracker businesses during fiscal 2027, supported by foundations, eBOS, steel frames, TrueCapture, and power conversion.
  • +Q1 fiscal 2027 demonstrated continued financial momentum, with revenue of $935.2 million and net income of $165.4 million, compared with revenue of $880.5 million and net income of $150.6 million in Q4 fiscal 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $148.65, within a wide range of $111 to $179, and the consensus rating is “Buy.” The average is below the 52-week high of $163.13, while the highest target exceeds it. The 52-week range extends from $64.30 to $163.13, and no price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data. Therefore, the available valuation assessment relies on the breadth of the target range relative to the backlog and growth, balanced against slowing revenue guidance and the pressure of power conversion investments on near-term profitability.

BuyAnalyst target: $148.65(+79.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is the primary driver of NXT’s revenue in fiscal 2027?

The solar tracker business, led by NX Horizon, remains the primary driver of Nextpower’s revenue. Meanwhile, the company expects growth exceeding 40% in non-tracker activities during fiscal 2027, bringing them to approximately 15% of revenue. These activities include foundations, eBOS systems, steel frames, and TrueCapture, in addition to a limited contribution from power conversion during fiscal 2027.

How large is Nextpower’s backlog, and what does it indicate?

The backlog exceeded $5.25 billion when Q4 fiscal 2026 results were announced on May 12, 2026, compared with approximately $2.1 billion at the initial public offering approximately 2.25 years before the call. Management confirmed that the figure includes only binding orders and contracts and excludes awards or advanced negotiations. Fiscal 2026 bookings were also distributed 79% in the United States and 21% across other regions.

How will Nextpower enter the power conversion, storage, and data center markets?

The company entered into a definitive agreement to acquire market-ready power conversion product lines while developing its internal technology. The system has a capacity of 4.5 megavolt-amperes for solar applications and 5.2 megavolt-amperes for storage and data center applications, and UL and IEC testing was in progress on May 12, 2026. The company also has a conditional letter of intent for more than 100 megawatts and an initial supply capacity of one gigawatt annually that can be increased to three gigawatts annually.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Fiscal 2027 guidance indicates a clear slowdown from fiscal 2026 growth. The revenue range of $3.8–$4.1 billion represents approximate growth of between 6.7% and 15.2% above fiscal 2026 revenue of $3.56 billion, following annual growth of 20%.
  • −The buildout phase of the power conversion business could pressure near-term earnings, as Nextpower plans to invest approximately $130 million, including $50 million in additional costs within cost of sales and operating expenses and up to $80 million under the asset purchase agreement. It also expects operating expenses equal to 10.5%–11.5% of revenue before eventually returning to its 8%–9% target.
  • −Adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal 2027 ranges from $825 million to $900 million, meaning the lower end is below the $854 million achieved in fiscal 2026 despite expected revenue growth. The company attributes this partly to new investments and higher shipping and logistics costs related to disruptions in the Middle East.
  • −The expansion into power conversion depends on completing stages that remained unfinished at the May 12, 2026 call. The acquisition agreement is subject to approval from the Spanish government for foreign investment and other closing conditions, the products were still undergoing UL and IEC certifications, and the order for more than 100 megawatts was conditional.
  • −The company faces competitive risks if major customers diversify their tracker suppliers, an issue raised by an analyst during the May 12, 2026 call. Although management pointed to product quality and high customer satisfaction, Nextpower’s horizontal expansion does not eliminate the need to continue winning projects against alternative suppliers.
  • −Net insider transactions during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 24, 2026 were negative $26 million, with 17 sales and no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context provides no evidence to the contrary.
  • Can Nextpower’s balance sheet fund the expansion?

    The company ended fiscal 2026 with approximately $1.1 billion in cash and equivalents and no debt, after generating $514 million in adjusted free cash flow. It plans to invest approximately $130 million to accelerate the power conversion business, including $50 million in additional costs and up to $80 million for the asset purchase agreement. It also expects adjusted free cash flow of between $450 million and $500 million and capital expenditures of between $75 million and $100 million in fiscal 2027.

    What are the main risks to NXT’s margins in fiscal 2027?

    Management expects gross margin to remain in the low-thirties range during fiscal 2027, with continued elevated shipping and logistics costs related to disruptions in the Middle East. Operating expenses will also increase to 10.5%–11.5% of revenue due to investment in expanding the platform, compared with a long-term target of 8%–9%. Accordingly, adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges from $825 million to $900 million, compared with $854 million achieved in fiscal 2026.

    What differentiates Nextpower’s products from traditional tracker solutions?

    Sales of the XTR tracker designed for complex terrain exceeded 50 gigawatts, while sales of Hail Pro solutions for extreme weather exceeded 30 gigawatts. During fiscal 2026, Hail Pro trackers faced 4,610 hailstorms, including 57 events with hailstones reaching three inches in diameter, with a panel survival rate of 99.99%. The company also reduced NX Horizon installation time by 20%, according to a third-party engineering study, and recorded record revenue from the TrueCapture system in fiscal 2026.