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NexGen Energy Ltd.
NXE

NXE NexGen Energy Ltd.

NexGen Energy Ltd. · NYSE
Market Closed
9.85
▼ ⁦-3.53%⁩ (-0.36)
Market Cap$6.5B
Beta1.65
52w Low52w High
7.3313.96
Last Week
⁦-3.62%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.37%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-13.60%⁩
Last Year
⁦+32.39%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall7
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 2/8Better than 7% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
36
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
14
—7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
16
-15.9%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
41
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
31
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
45
44.1%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
85
6▲3Top tier
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target
—
Current Price $9.85
Average rating
★ 4.50
Strong Buy
Analyst coverage
16
Buy conviction
100%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
8
8
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.50 → 4.50
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-08
    Scotiabank
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-01-14
    Raymond James
    Outperform
Premium content
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

NexGen Energy Ltd. is a Canadian company developing the Rook I uranium project in Saskatchewan, and therefore the provided financial statements do not show current operating revenue or a revenue-generating segment mix. Its future economic model is based on building the mine and then selling uranium production to energy utilities under contracts that maintain a strong link to the market price at delivery; as of August 6, 2026, contracted volumes totaled 11.3 million pounds, while 96% of the reserve base remained available for future sale.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, the provided data did not disclose revenue, gross profit, or gross margin, while net income was $74.5 million and earnings per share were $0.11. However, the picture for the twelve months ended in 2026 remained loss-making, with a net loss of $253.9 million, negative earnings per share of $0.4205, and a total loss of $992.6 thousand, following a net loss of $309.7 million in fiscal year 2025.

Rook I moved from permitting to execution after receiving final federal approval and commencing the major construction activities announced on August 14, 2026. On the August 6, 2026 call, management said the 3,000-foot runway had been completed, the accommodation complex had entered service, and approximately 300 people were working at the site, with liquidity exceeding C$970 million at the end of Q2 of fiscal year 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Receiving final federal approval and commencing major construction activities at Rook I, according to the August 14, 2026 announcement, removed a key regulatory hurdle and moved the project into a tangible execution phase.
  • During Q2 of fiscal year 2026, the company completed a 3,000-foot runway, commissioned an accommodation complex with capacity for up to 770 people, and crushed approximately 575 thousand tonnes of gravel, while targeting completion of the 5,840-foot runway in December 2026 and the start of ground freezing in early 2027.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • During Q2 of fiscal year 2026, NexGen signed a term sheet to sell 1.3 million pounds to a U.S. utility at the market price upon delivery, increasing contracted volumes to 11.3 million pounds, and also disclosed a contract under negotiation for up to 20 million pounds.
  • The uranium market supports the project's economics; on the August 6, 2026 call, management cited a spot price near $85 per pound and a five-year forward price of $105, compared with supply growth of only 14% over a decade in which prices rose 500%.
  • Liquidity exceeded C$970 million at the end of Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and management said the shaft sinking and underground engineering contract, which represents more than 50% of construction work, was consistent with the C$2.2 billion cost estimate issued in August 2024.
  • Execution of the planned drilling program at Patterson Corridor East was approximately 50% of the total 42 thousand meters as of August 6, 2026, with about 20 thousand meters remaining, making results that expand the mineralized footprint and high-grade zones a potential additional catalyst.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The transition to construction following final federal approval, together with the completion of tangible infrastructure at the site, reduces a significant portion of the permitting risk that had separated Rook I from execution.
    • +Liquidity exceeding C$970 million provides flexibility to fund work before the heavier spending phase, which management said begins in February and March 2027, and also allows it to evaluate project financing, advance payments, and strategic financing.
    • +The company's retention of 96% of the reserve base for future sale, and linking contracts to the market price upon delivery, give it high exposure to future uranium prices; the five-year price was $105 per pound on the August 6, 2026 call.
    • +Commercial progress supports the premise of utility demand, as contracted volumes reached 11.3 million pounds, including a new term sheet for 1.3 million pounds with a U.S. utility, alongside negotiations in the United States, Asia, Europe, and the Middle East.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The company's economic value depends heavily on the success of the Rook I project and the uranium market, as the provided financial statements did not show current operating revenue, while 96% of the reserve base still available for sale remains exposed to unguaranteed future prices.
    • −Executing a project with a guided cost of C$2.2 billion remains a material risk despite the progress made; shaft sinking, ground freezing, and underground construction had not been completed in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and any delay or cost inflation could increase financing requirements.
    • −Liquidity exceeding C$970 million alone is not sufficient to cover the full guided cost of C$2.2 billion, so the company is still working to finance the gap through project financing, strategic financing, or advance payments from uranium sales.
    • −The twelve-month period ended in 2026 showed a net loss of $253.9 million and negative earnings per share of $0.4205, while fiscal year 2025 recorded a net loss of $309.7 million, illustrating that Q2 of fiscal year 2026 net income of $74.5 million does not yet represent a stable operating earnings model.
    • −The additional value from Patterson Corridor East depends on drilling results that have not yet been determined; approximately half of the 42 thousand-meter program had been completed as of August 6, 2026, and management said the scale of the footprint and high-grade zones did not yet allow it to determine the timing of a resource statement.
    • −No price-to-earnings ratio is available due to the absence of a positive annual earnings base, while the 52-week range extends from $7.33 to $13.96, leaving the valuation highly sensitive to assumptions regarding construction costs, the timing of production, and future uranium prices.

    Valuation

    The provided analyst consensus is “Buy,” but the valuation is not based on an available price-to-earnings ratio because the company has not achieved positive annual earnings; instead, it is primarily tied to executing Rook I within the C$2.2 billion estimate and to uranium prices upon delivery. The 52-week range of $7.33–$13.96 demonstrates the valuation's broad sensitivity to financing and construction risks, balanced against liquidity exceeding C$970 million and regulatory and commercial progress.

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How will NexGen Energy generate revenue from the Rook I project?

    NexGen plans to sell uranium produced from Rook I to energy utilities through contracts largely linked to the market price upon delivery. As of the August 6, 2026 call, contracted volumes totaled 11.3 million pounds, including a new term sheet to sell 1.3 million pounds to a U.S. utility. Management said 96% of the reserve base remains available for sale, preserving significant exposure to future prices. The provided financial statements do not show current operating revenue because the project is still in the construction phase.

    How much tangible progress has been made in constructing Rook I?

    In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, NexGen completed a 3,000-foot runway and commissioned the on-site accommodation complex. Approximately 300 people were working at the site, while the complex has capacity for 770 people, and approximately 575 thousand tonnes of gravel had been crushed. The company's announced plan targeted completion of the 5,840-foot runway in December 2026 and the commissioning of ground freezing in early 2027. On August 14, 2026, the company announced the commencement of major construction activities after receiving final federal approval.

    Does NexGen have sufficient financing to complete Rook I?

    Liquidity exceeded C$970 million at the end of Q2 of fiscal year 2026, compared with a project cost estimate of C$2.2 billion issued in August 2024. Management said heavier spending begins in February and March 2027 and that work completed since Q2 of fiscal year 2026 is deducted from the cost estimate. The company is evaluating project financing, strategic financing, and advance payments from uranium sales to cover the gap. It also said the contract covering more than 50% of construction work was consistent with the estimate issued in August 2024.

    Why do investors focus on uranium prices when analyzing NXE stock?

    NexGen uses contract pricing linked to the spot price or market price upon uranium delivery, and sometimes to a three-month moving average spot price. On the August 6, 2026 call, management cited a spot price near $85 per pound and a five-year price of $105. It also said uranium prices had risen 500% over a decade, while supply grew only 14%. Higher prices may therefore support the economics of Rook I, while lower prices pose a direct risk to the expected return from uncontracted reserves.

    How important is the Patterson Corridor East program to NexGen's value?

    Approximately 50% of the planned 42 thousand-meter drilling program had been completed as of August 6, 2026, with about 20 thousand meters remaining. The program focuses on expanding the mineralized footprint and identifying high-grade zones at Patterson Corridor East, approximately 3.5 kilometers from the Arrow site. Management said the drilling results had not yet allowed it to determine the nature of the discovery or the timing of a resource statement. The program therefore represents an opportunity to add future resources, but it remains a source of uncertainty until sufficient results are released.

    What do the financial results look like in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    NexGen recorded net income of $74.5 million and earnings per share of $0.11 in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, with no revenue or gross profit disclosed in the provided data. For the twelve months ended in 2026, the net loss was $253.9 million and negative earnings per share were $0.4205. In fiscal year 2025, the company recorded a net loss of $309.7 million and negative earnings per share of $0.53. These figures reflect that the company remains in a capital development phase before establishing an operating revenue base from Rook I.