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NWPX Infrastructure, Inc.
NWPX

NWPX NWPX Infrastructure, Inc.

NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
104.64
▲ ⁦+0.97%⁩ (+1.01)
Market Cap$1.0B
Beta1.12
52w Low52w High
49.25152.03
Last Week
⁦-4.77%⁩
Last Month
⁦-12.60%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-11.29%⁩
Last Year
⁦+96.07%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall87
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 9/9SafeBetter than 87% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
54
21.1x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
82
15.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
64
10.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
86
1.1x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
51
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
79
124.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
22
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$105
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$60
⁦-43%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$50–$70⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$128
⁦+22%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.3⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$60–$128⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$60.00
⁦-42.7%⁩
Current Price $104.64·Median $60.00
Low
$50.00
High
$70.00
Current price
$104.64
Average target
$60.00
Street summary

Price Gap Analysis for NWPX

Bearish tilt

NWPX shows a sharp disconnect between the current market price (112.26) and the average analyst price target (60), indicating overvaluation or a lack of recent analytical coverage. Forecasts have seen no change over the past 30 days, with only one analyst currently covering the stock, which raises the level of uncertainty and leaves the projections lacking a strong consensus.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
2
Buy conviction
0%
Target dispersion
19%
Analyst ratings over time2 analysts rating
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2025-10-31
    D.A. Davidson
    —· $70.00
  • = Reiterate2025-08-11
    D.A. Davidson
    —· $60.00
  • = Reiterate2024-11-01
    Northland Securities
    —· $50.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.10x
    4.94x39.51x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    21.60x
    3.70x29.59x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.28x
    2.62x20.92x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    7.9%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    15.1%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    48.5%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    20.9%
    7.6%58.9%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    10.3%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.14x
    0.22x3.72x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.84
    -11.4212.56
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

NWPX Infrastructure operates through two interconnected segments serving infrastructure and construction markets. The Water Transmission Systems segment generates revenue from manufacturing water transmission products and executing related projects, while the Precast segment sells precast concrete products to residential and nonresidential markets, including data center projects and commercial construction. In Q2 fiscal 2026, Water Transmission Systems represented approximately 71% of consolidated sales, with revenue of $113.2 million, while Precast contributed approximately 29%, with revenue of $46.3 million.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company reported record revenue of $159.5 million, up 19.7% year over year, and record gross profit of $34.4 million, up 35.5%. Gross margin expanded 250 basis points to 21.5%, net income rose to a record $15.8 million from $9.1 million, and diluted earnings per share increased to $1.62 from $0.91. Free cash flow reached $9.9 million, compared with $1.9 million in Q2 fiscal 2025.

The strength of the results was primarily driven by Water Transmission Systems, whose revenue increased 33.8%, with tons produced rising 26% and selling price per ton improving 6%. Its gross profit reached $24.2 million, with a 21.4% margin. In contrast, Precast revenue declined 4.8%, with shipment volumes down 11% due to heavy rainfall in Texas, customer project delays in Utah, and weak residential construction, but a 7% increase in selling prices helped improve the segment margin by 70 basis points to 21.9%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Water Transmission Systems backlog, including confirmed orders, was $423 million as of June 30, 2026, compared with $430 million as of March 31, 2026, and $348 million as of June 30, 2025, despite completing approximately 15% of the large NDA project during Q2 fiscal 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

As of July 30, 2026, the company had a pipeline of bid projects exceeding $125 million, while management estimated annual bidding volume, excluding the NDA project, at more than 150 thousand tons versus approximately 138 thousand tons in fiscal 2025. The abundance of projects supports the company's ability to select the work best suited to its plants' costs and margins.
  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 free cash flow forecast to a range of $56–65 million from $50–56 million, based on strong earnings and improved billing schedules for Water Transmission Systems orders. As of June 30, 2026, the company had $19.3 million in cash and $10 million in debt, for net cash of $9.3 million and approximately $124 million in additional borrowing capacity.
  • Precast backlog increased to $61 million as of June 30, 2026, from $55 million as of March 31, 2026, and $56 million as of June 30, 2025. Management expected segment revenue in Q3 fiscal 2026 to exceed both the previous quarter and the comparable period, with stable margins supported by improved production and nonresidential demand.
  • As of July 30, 2026, management expected Q3 fiscal 2026 results to be similar to or stronger than Q2 results, with Water Transmission Systems revenue and margins near prior-quarter levels and continued production on the NDA project during the quarter. It also indicated that both segments were positioned for year-over-year growth and margin improvement in that quarter, with weather in Texas remaining a factor affecting execution.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q2 fiscal 2026 demonstrated clear operating leverage; revenue grew 19.7%, while gross profit rose 35.5% and net income increased approximately 74% to $15.8 million, with consolidated gross margin expanding to 21.5%.
    • +Water Transmission Systems backlog of $423 million, together with more than $125 million of bid projects, provides strong visibility into activity. The backlog also remained $75 million above its June 30, 2025 level despite the start of execution on the large NDA project.
    • +Financial flexibility strengthened as operating cash flow in Q2 fiscal 2026 reached $14.1 million, up 159%, and free cash flow increased to $9.9 million, in addition to net cash of $9.3 million as of June 30, 2026.
    • +Water Transmission Systems still has operational room to expand; management estimated utilization across the segment's six plants at approximately 65% as of July 30, 2026, and explained that the plants operate on a single shift and can add shifts or transfer certain projects between locations when needed.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Performance depends heavily on Water Transmission Systems, which accounted for approximately 71% of Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue and also benefited from a large, unplanned NDA project that management described as a one-time project. After most of it is completed during Q3 and the beginning of Q4 fiscal 2026, management expects the segment's backlog to return from $423 million to a normal range in the low-to-mid $300 million range, and as of July 30, 2026, there was no definitive visibility into additional phases of the project.
    • −Precast activity declined in Q2 fiscal 2026; revenue decreased 4.8% to $46.3 million, shipment volumes fell 11%, and gross profit declined 1.7% to approximately $10.1 million. The company attributed this to heavy rainfall in Texas, customer project delays in Utah, and continued weakness in residential construction, demonstrating the segment's sensitivity to weather, interest rates, and project timing.
    • −Steel costs and availability represent significant supply-chain exposure; steel accounted for approximately 34%–35% of cost of sales in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the cost of steel consumed increased approximately 24%. Management expected prices to continue rising from published levels exceeding $1,200 per ton, potentially reaching $1,400 or more, due to tariffs, supply constraints, and maintenance shutdowns at mills, while emphasizing that the company's ability to pass through costs depends first on steel availability.
    • −The Q3 fiscal 2026 outlook includes a degree of caution, as management framed its consolidated expectations at a level similar to or stronger than Q2 due to unusual weather patterns in Texas. It also expected Water Transmission Systems revenue and margins to be similar to the previous quarter, while Q4 is typically seasonally slower, even though management indicated that it might not be as slow as usual in fiscal 2026.
    • −The neutral analyst consensus and average target of $60, within a relatively narrow range of $50 to $70, indicate clear caution compared with the 52-week range high of $152.03. The $1.1 billion market capitalization is also not accompanied in the provided data by an earnings multiple that can be used to assess how much of the record earnings growth it reflects, increasing the importance of repricing risk if orders or margins normalize.
    • −Insider activity registered a strong_sell signal during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 26, 2026, with eight sales, no purchases, and net sales of $2 million. This remains a weaker trading signal than the operating risks because insider sales may be prearranged unless the provided data state otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on the stock is neutral, with an average price target of $60 and a target range of $50 to $70. The average target is approximately 61% below the 52-week range high of $152.03, while the highest target is approximately 54% below that high, a divergence that reflects analyst caution despite record Q2 fiscal 2026 figures and the annual free cash flow forecast of $56–65 million. The absence of an earnings multiple in the provided data makes the target range and neutral consensus the primary valuation references, while requiring the strength of earnings and cash flows to be weighed against normalization of the NDA project backlog, weakness in residential Precast, and steel-related risks.

    HoldAnalyst target: $60(-42.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove NWPX's record Q2 fiscal 2026 results?

    Revenue reached $159.5 million, up 19.7%, and gross profit increased 35.5% to $34.4 million. Water Transmission Systems led the performance with record revenue of $113.2 million, supported by a 26% increase in production and a 6% increase in selling price per ton. An improved project mix and greater absorption of fixed costs helped expand consolidated gross margin by 250 basis points to 21.5% and raise net income to $15.8 million.

    How important is the Water Transmission Systems backlog to NWPX stock?

    The backlog, including confirmed orders, was $423 million as of June 30, 2026, compared with $430 million as of March 31, 2026, and $348 million as of June 30, 2025. The quarterly decline remained limited despite production of approximately 15% of the large NDA project, reflecting strong bookings and bidding activity during Q2 fiscal 2026. However, management expects the backlog to return to the low-to-mid $300 million range after most of that project is completed during Q3 and the beginning of Q4 fiscal 2026.

    Did the Precast segment recover from weakness in April and May 2026?

    Precast revenue declined 4.8% in Q2 fiscal 2026 to $46.3 million, with shipment volumes down 11% due to rainfall in Texas, project delays in Utah, and weak residential construction. Activity improved in June 2026, and Geneva recorded a record month for revenue, while the segment's backlog increased to $61 million as of June 30, 2026. Management expected higher revenue in Q3 fiscal 2026 compared with both the previous quarter and the comparable period, with stable margins and support from nonresidential demand and data center projects.

    How do steel prices affect NWPX's earnings?

    Steel accounted for approximately 34%–35% of cost of sales in Q2 fiscal 2026, and management stated that the cost of steel consumed increased approximately 24%. In contrast, Water Transmission Systems' selling price per ton increased 6%, and the dollar increase in price exceeded the impact of the increase in steel costs, while the 26% rise in production contributed significantly to fixed-cost absorption. Management believes that higher steel prices increase project prices and total gross profit dollars, but the continuation of this positive effect depends on its ability to secure supplies.

    What is NWPX's fiscal 2026 cash flow and balance sheet outlook?

    The company raised its fiscal 2026 free cash flow forecast to $56–65 million from $50–56 million, supported by stronger earnings and better billing schedules for Water Transmission Systems orders. In Q2 fiscal 2026, operating cash flow was $14.1 million and free cash flow was $9.9 million, compared with $5.4 million and $1.9 million, respectively, a year earlier. As of June 30, 2026, cash was $19.3 million and debt was $10 million, with approximately $124 million of additional borrowing capacity and expected annual capital expenditures of between $20 and $24 million.

    Why does the analyst consensus remain neutral despite the record results?

    The average price target is $60, with targets ranging from $50 to $70, while the analyst consensus is neutral. All of these targets are below the 52-week range high of $152.03, indicating caution about the sustainability of the revaluation that accompanied improved results. Sources of caution include normalization of the Water Transmission Systems backlog after the large NDA project ends, the 4.8% decline in Precast revenue, weather volatility, and the approximately 24% increase in the cost of steel consumed in Q2 fiscal 2026.