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Home
Stocks
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA

NVDA NVIDIA Corporation

NVIDIA Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Open
211.01
▼ ⁦-0.57%⁩ (-1.20)
Market Cap$5.1T
Beta2.22
52w Low52w High
164.27243.37
Last Week
⁦-1.46%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall96
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 4/9SafeCongress sellingBetter than 96% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
29
26.8x▼17.5xBottom tier
▸
Growth
98
83.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
91
84.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
95
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
49
0.13%▲0.06%Around median
▸
Momentum
74
24.5%▲-0.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
38
33▲3Bottom tier
Related News
Last Month
⁦-6.04%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+7.38%⁩
Last Year
⁦+17.05%⁩
Fair Value
Current price⁦$212⁩
  • Value at the industry multipleLow confidence
    Next year's earnings × ⁦25.9⁩, median of 71 companies
    ⁦$365⁩
    ⁦+72%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$251⁩–⁦$523⁩⁩
  • Analyst targets
    35 analysts
    ⁦$325⁩
    ⁦+53%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$210⁩–⁦$515⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦+15%⁩
  • Discounted cash flow model
    ⁦14.1%⁩ discount rate · follows analysts' earnings estimates, then ⁦20%⁩ growth
    ⁦$144⁩
    ⁦−32%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$125⁩–⁦$169⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦−48%⁩

The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today

  • Value with no growth
    Today's after-tax operating profit, held flat forever, at a ⁦14.1%⁩ discount rate
    ⁦$51⁩
    ⁦−76%⁩

⁦76%⁩ of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.

2
methods value it above the price
0
methods near the price
1
methods value it below the price

10-year US Treasury yield ⁦5.13%⁩ as of ⁦2026-10-21⁩. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.

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NVIDIA Corporation earnings page

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 35 analysts setting price target
$339.17
⁦+60.7%⁩
Current Price $211.01·Median $325.00
Low
$210.00
High
$515.00
Current price
$211.01
Average target
$339.17
Street summary

Slight decline in consensus as coverage expands

The consensus price target was unchanged over one day and one week, remaining at $339.17; over 30 days, it fell by $6.04, or 1.75%, from $345.21. Over the same period, the number of analysts covered rose from 11 to 35, so the current consensus reflects broader coverage. Estimates vary considerably: the range is from $210 to $515, and the median is $325 versus a consensus of $339.17, indicating a wide divergence in views.

As of 2026-10-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.10
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦61 (+24)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
95%
High
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
145%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time61 analysts rating
10
48
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.08 → 4.10
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-10-21
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-10-21
    Needham
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-10-12
    Deutsche Bank
    BuyMixed
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    26.83x
    7.23x57.84x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.05x
    5.02x40.12x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    25.49x
    4.40x35.24x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    2.5%
    -82.0%10.1%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    83.4%
    -20.2%67.3%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    523.0%
    -176.3%184.8%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    74.7%
    13.1%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    84.9%
    -64.6%26.8%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.1%
    0.0%1.7%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    3.5%
    6.5%72.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    38.13
    -12.8313.35
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-09-27Based on 2026-08-26 data

Company Overview

NVIDIA sells integrated AI computing platforms that combine GPUs, CPUs, NVLink technologies, InfiniBand and Spectrum-X networking, systems, and software within the CUDA ecosystem. Most of the business comes from data centers, with two main tracks: hyperscale computing customers and ACIE customers, which include NeoCloud, enterprises, industrial customers, and sovereign entities. The company is expanding its share of data center spending through the Blackwell and Vera Rubin platforms, alongside Grace and Vera CPUs, the Groq 3 LPX system, and Omniverse, Cosmos, Isaac, and Jetson products.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2027 (ending 2026-07), revenue reached 96.2 billion dollars, up 105.9% year over year from 46.7 billion dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 (ending 2025-07). Net income reached 59.7 billion dollars and diluted earnings per share were 2.46, while gross margin reached 75.0% and operating margin reached 66.2%. According to details from the 2026-08-26 call, data centers generated 89 billion dollars, including 49 billion dollars from hyperscale computing and 40 billion dollars from ACIE activities, making the two businesses together the primary driver of the mix.

Operating cash flow reached 24.1 billion dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2027, while cash and investments reached 99.4 billion dollars versus total debt of 34.4 billion dollars. During the last 12 months through 2026-07-26, the company generated revenue of 303.0 billion dollars, net income of 192.9 billion dollars, and free cash flow of 127.0 billion dollars, and repurchased shares worth 55.3 billion dollars. During the 90 days through 2026-09-27, three insiders executed 25 open-market sales worth 967.6 million dollars, including 21.0 million dollars under 10b5-1 plans and 946.6 million dollars outside them, with no purchases.

Key numbers

Q2 FY2027 (2026-07)

Revenue
$96.2B
+105.9%vs a year earlier
Gross margin
75.0%
+2.6ppvs a year earlier
Operating margin
66.2%
+5.4ppvs a year earlier
Net income
$59.7B
+125.9%vs a year earlier
Diluted EPS
2.46

What's Driving the Stock

  • NVIDIA is targeting revenue of 108 billion dollars, plus or minus 2%, in Q3 of fiscal year 2027, with acceleration expected to come primarily from ACIE and Vera Rubin expected to represent about 20% of data center revenue.
  • Management expects fiscal year 2028 revenue growth of about 70%, even though customer forecasts indicate demand could double; the gap reflects a supply constraint that the company expects to persist through the end of fiscal year 2028.
  • Production shipments of Vera Rubin began in August 2026 after purchase orders were received from all major hyperscale computing customers, AI clouds, and system manufacturers, and the company says the platform increases the revenue opportunity per gigawatt from 25 billion dollars with Blackwell to 40 billion dollars.
  • AWS expanded its partnership with NVIDIA to deploy an additional 2 million GPUs from Q3 of fiscal year 2027 through Q2 of fiscal year 2029, with adoption of Vera, Nemotron, and the Omniverse, Cosmos, Isaac, and Jetson ecosystem.
  • ACIE revenue grew to 40 billion dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2027, up 25% sequentially and 138% year over year, while partner NeoCloud networks are targeting installed capacity of 8 gigawatts by the end of 2026, versus about 3 gigawatts at the end of 2025.
  • News dated 2026-09-03 announced NVIDIA's acquisition of Hugging Face for 12.9 billion dollars, expanding its presence from hardware and infrastructure into an AI model development and sharing platform.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case8 pts

  • +Year-over-year revenue growth accelerated to 105.9% in Q2 of fiscal year 2027 (ending 2026-07), versus 85.2% in Q1 of fiscal year 2027 (ending 2026-04), and the company ranked 5 out of 174 within the industry on the EL7 growth axis, which measures the strength of the expansion pace.
  • +Gross margin expanded to 75.0% in Q2 of fiscal year 2027 from 72.4% a year earlier, while operating margin expanded to 66.2% from 60.8%, indicating that the doubling of revenue was accompanied by improved operating profitability rather than volume growth alone.
  • +NVIDIA recorded net cash of 65.0 billion dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2027, based on 99.4 billion dollars in cash and investments versus 34.4 billion dollars in debt, and ranked 17 out of 178 within the industry on the EL7 financial safety axis.
  • +Net income reached 192.9 billion dollars and free cash flow reached 127.0 billion dollars during the last 12 months through 2026-07-26, and the company ranked 8 out of 167 within the industry on the EL7 quality axis, which measures the durability of profitability and financial efficiency.
  • +

What would change this view

When: 2026-11-18

  • Q3 fiscal year 2027 revenue compared with the guidance midpoint of 108 billion dollars

    ▲ Positive
    Revenue above 110.16 billion dollars, the upper end of the guidance range, would confirm that ACIE expansion and the initial ramp of Vera Rubin are offsetting supply constraints.
    ▼ Negative
    Revenue below 105.84 billion dollars, the lower end of the guidance range, would weaken confidence in NVIDIA's ability to convert stated demand into shipments under supply constraints.
  • Q3 fiscal year 2027 gross margin around the 74% level

    ▲ Positive
    Gross margin above 74.5% would indicate that pricing and mix are absorbing memory cost inflation better than guidance suggests.
    ▼ Negative
    Gross margin below 73.5% would heighten the risk that memory and component pressures are more severe than expected and threaten the path toward margin stabilization in fiscal year 2028.
  • Vera Rubin's share of data center revenue at the 20% threshold in Q3 of fiscal year 2027

Valuation

The value based on the industry multiple is 372 dollars, within a range of 228 to 592 dollars, and is a low-confidence indicative value that prices NVIDIA like 69 peer companies using the median next-year earnings multiple of 33.2. Analysts' median target is 323 dollars within a range of 270 to 515 dollars, while the consensus average is 345.21 dollars; this method prices expected growth and is inherently inclined toward optimism. The discounted cash flow model yields 94 dollars within a range of 82 to 110 dollars; it measures expected cash flows using a discount rate of 14.2% and is inherently inclined toward conservatism, while the no-growth value is 51 dollars and measures what remains if current after-tax operating profit stays constant forever. The industry multiple and analyst targets are relatively close because both reflect continued growth, while the cash flow and no-growth models are clearly lower because they apply a higher discount and place greater weight on generated cash and long-term growth limits.

BuyAnalyst target: $345.21(+63.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What was the largest driver of NVIDIA's revenue in Q2 of fiscal year 2027?

Data centers were the largest driver, with revenue of 89 billion dollars according to the 2026-08-26 call, out of total revenue of 96.2 billion dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2027 (ending 2026-07). Data center revenue was split between 49 billion dollars from hyperscale computing customers and 40 billion dollars from ACIE. ACIE grew 25% sequentially and 138% year over year, supported by expansion among NeoCloud, enterprises, and sovereign customers.

Why is Vera Rubin important for ticker NVDA?

NVIDIA began production shipments of Vera Rubin in August 2026 after receiving purchase orders from major hyperscale computing customers, AI clouds, and system manufacturers. The company expects the platform to represent about 20% of data center revenue in Q3 of fiscal year 2027. The platform increases NVIDIA's revenue opportunity per gigawatt to 40 billion dollars, versus 25 billion dollars with Blackwell, with higher productivity per unit of power.

Can NVIDIA meet all expected demand in fiscal year 2028?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

+127.8%
vs a year earlier
Net cash
$65.0B
+34.5%vs a year earlier

Last 12 months to 2026-07-26

Revenue
$303.0B
Net income
$192.9B
63.7%of revenue
Free cash flow
$127.0B
41.9%of revenue
The launch of Vera Rubin provides a specific product catalyst; production shipments began in August 2026, and the company expects the platform to represent about 20% of data center revenue in Q3 of fiscal year 2027 and deliver 30 times the productivity per megawatt compared with the Grace Blackwell Ultra platform.
  • +Demand is distributed between hyperscale computing and ACIE; their revenue reached 49 billion dollars and 40 billion dollars, respectively, in Q2 of fiscal year 2027, while the sovereign business grew 35% sequentially and exceeded three times its prior-year level.
  • +The AWS partnership adds 2 million GPUs to planned deployments through Q2 of fiscal year 2029, while the 12.9 billion dollar acquisition of Hugging Face announced on 2026-09-03 expands NVIDIA's position within developer tools and models.
  • +Seven analysts raised their price targets, with no reductions, during the 90 days through 2026-09-27; the changes included Evercore ISI raising its target to 465 dollars and Bernstein to 400 dollars on 2026-08-27.
  • ▼ Selling Case8 pts

    • −Total debt rose to 34.4 billion dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2027 (ending 2026-07), versus 8.5 billion dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 (ending 2025-07), an increase of 305.9% despite the net cash position remaining positive.
    • −Operating cash flow reached 134.4 billion dollars, equal to only 70% of net income of 192.9 billion dollars during the last 12 months through 2026-07-26, making the sustainability of converting accounting earnings into cash a key issue to monitor.
    • −Margins face direct pressure from memory scarcity and higher costs; management expects a gross margin of 74%, plus or minus 0.5 percentage points, in Q3 of fiscal year 2027, followed by a trough between 71% and 72% in Q4 before stabilizing between 72% and 73% in fiscal year 2028.
    • −The ability to meet demand remains constrained across the supply chain, power, land, cooling, and components, which is why the company expects growth of only about 70% in fiscal year 2028 even though customer forecasts indicate demand could double.
    • −About one-quarter of the expected fiscal year 2028 business is tied to AI labs that NVIDIA will use its balance sheet to support, following investments of about 50 billion dollars and the provision of selective revenue guarantees or credit enhancements; this increases exposure to customer credit quality and infrastructure project execution.
    • −The outlook included no data center compute revenue from China because of geopolitical uncertainty, while Hopper 200 shipments to customers in China represented less than 1% of data center revenue in Q2 of fiscal year 2027 and were dilutive to gross margin.
    • −Some AI lab customers, including OpenAI, are developing competing custom chips; the flexibility of NVIDIA's platform across the AI cycle may defend its position, but the success of specialized alternatives could limit its share in some inference workloads.
    • −NVIDIA ranked 125 out of 175 within the industry on the EL7 shareholder returns axis, with a score of 28 out of 100, despite repurchasing shares worth 55.3 billion dollars during the last 12 months through 2026-07-26.
    ▲ Positive
    A share of 20% or more would confirm the speed of the Vera Rubin launch and the conversion of customer orders into actual revenue.
    ▼ Negative
    A share below 20% would raise questions about the pace of the production ramp or the timing of customer adoption of the new platform.

    Management expects revenue growth of about 70% in fiscal year 2028, while customer forecasts indicate demand could double. The company describes this outlook as supply-constrained and expects the bottleneck to persist through the end of fiscal year 2028. Constraints include memory, power, land, building preparation, cooling, and the rest of the supply chain, so achieving higher growth depends on adding new capacity and improving manufacturing yields.

    Why is gross margin expected to decline despite strong demand?

    Gross margin reached 75.0% in Q2 of fiscal year 2027 (ending 2026-07), up 2.6 percentage points year over year. Management expects 74%, plus or minus 0.5 percentage points, in Q3, followed by a level between 71% and 72% in Q4 of fiscal year 2027. The pressure stems from higher memory prices, before the company expects margins to stabilize between 72% and 73% in fiscal year 2028 as price increases begin to take effect.

    How large is NVIDIA's exposure to AI labs and the financing associated with them?

    NVIDIA has invested about 50 billion dollars in AI labs and expects labs that will use its balance sheet to contribute about one-quarter of fiscal year 2028 business. It has also announced partnerships with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs, and KKR targeting more than 500 billion dollars in third-party capital to finance infrastructure. The company believes the redeployability of its computing resources limits risk, but the size of the commitments makes customer credit quality and project execution important financial factors.

    What do NVIDIA insider trades through 2026-09-27 reveal?

    During the 90 days through 2026-09-27, three insiders recorded 25 sales with a total value of 967.6 million dollars, and no purchases were recorded. Sales executed under 10b5-1 plans totaled about 21.0 million dollars, versus 946.6 million dollars outside those plans. The largest seller was a board member, with sales worth 946.6 million dollars, and these figures describe the transactions but do not by themselves determine their investment significance.