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Stocks
Nutex Health, Inc.
NUTX

NUTX Nutex Health, Inc.

Nutex Health, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
200.24
▲ ⁦+2.58%⁩ (+5.04)
Market Cap$1.4B
Beta1.99
52w Low52w High
77.21204.00
Last Week
⁦+6.89%⁩
Last Month
⁦+31.80%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+60.15%⁩
Last Year
⁦+138.98%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall100
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9SafeBetter than 100% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
93
7.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
85
6.9%▼7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
95
75.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
83
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
69
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
94
77.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
64
33Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$200
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$310
⁦+55%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$310–$310⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$409
⁦+104%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$310–$409⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$310.00
⁦+54.8%⁩
Current Price $200.24·Median $310.00
Low
$310.00
High
$310.00
Street summary

Nutex Health price targets steady with a positive outlook

Bullish tilt

Price targets have not changed over the last day or 7 or 30 days; consensus remained at 310, with a recorded range between 310 and 310, and three analysts participating with no change in the number. Compared with the current price of 195.2, this reflects a theoretical upside gap, but the stability of the figures does not indicate a recent improvement in expectations.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.20
Buy
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
100%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
1
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.33 → 4.20
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-04
    B. Riley
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Lake Street
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-26
    B. Riley
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    7.70x
    3.94x44.30x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.09x
    4.64x37.16x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    3.50x
    3.77x30.13x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    20.0%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.9%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    154.4%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    51.3%
    12.8%90.7%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    75.9%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.25
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-07 data

Company Overview

Nutex Health operates a network of scalable micro-hospitals and generates most of its revenue from emergency, observation, inpatient, diagnostic, and therapeutic services. It also operates a population health division comprising independent physician associations in Southern California, Houston, Phoenix, and South Florida, overseeing approximately 40 thousand patients enrolled in Medicare Advantage, commercial insurance, and managed Medicaid programs. Its growth strategy relies on increasing patient visits and case complexity, adding services such as colonoscopy and upper diagnostic endoscopy, and opening three to five hospitals annually.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue was $210.8 million, down 13.6% from $244 million in the comparable period, while gross profit rose 15.8% to $141.3 million and gross margin increased to 67% from 51.2%. The company recorded net income of $65.8 million and earnings per share of $9.38, compared with a net loss of $17.7 million in the comparable period, while operating income reached $121.7 million and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $90 million.

The hospital segment accounted for $201.9 million, or approximately 95.8% of Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue, despite a 14.6% decline in its revenue, while population health revenue rose 16% to $8.9 million. Hospital visits increased 9.6% to 49,962 visits, and same-hospital visits grew 6.3%. On a trailing twelve-month basis, revenue was $880 million, net income was $96.4 million, and earnings per share were approximately $13.42.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Hospital visits increased 9.6% to 49,962 in Q2 fiscal 2026, with same-hospital visits growing 6.3%, and Nutex Health is working to increase the proportion of higher-revenue inpatient cases and add procedures such as colonoscopy and upper diagnostic endoscopy.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The June 2026 amendment to the HaloMD agreement, retroactive to the original agreement, reduced contract services expense by approximately $48 million in the quarter, including $38.4 million from the shift to payment upon collection and $9.6 million from the amended fee structure. Management expects the agreement, together with the reduction in CMS fees, to lower normalized historical contract services costs by 25% to 30% in subsequent periods, assuming dispute resolution metrics remain stable.
  • The final federal rule issued on May 28, 2026 reduced the nonrefundable CMS fee from $115 to $15 per party for each dispute initiated on or after June 11, 2026. The company submits between 50% and 60% of its claims to the independent dispute resolution process, wins more than 85% of decisions, and collects more than 80% of favorable decisions.
  • The company is targeting hospital openings in West Little Rock, San Antonio, and Jacksonville during Q3 and Q4 fiscal 2026, while maintaining a target pace of three to five openings annually. Nutex Health has also begun bringing real estate development capabilities in-house, with a plan to develop facilities, stabilize their operations, and then monetize the properties through sale-leaseback transactions.
  • The population health segment grew 15% to $17.8 million in the first half of fiscal 2026, and the independent physician associations in Southern California, Houston, and Phoenix were profitable, while the South Florida network was slightly cash-flow negative. The Dallas and San Antonio networks continue to contract with physicians, with patient enrollment scheduled to begin in 2027.
  • Cash and operating cash flow were $205.2 million and $109.7 million, respectively, as of June 30, 2026, while bank and equipment debt declined to $39.9 million. This liquidity provides funding for three openings planned for the second half of fiscal 2026 and for the subsequent development pipeline.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q2 fiscal 2026 profitability improved sharply, as operating income rose to $121.7 million from $33.7 million, the $17.7 million net loss turned into net income of $65.8 million, and gross margin climbed to 67%.
    • +The 9.6% growth in visits and 6.3% growth in same-hospital visits show that operating demand improved despite the decline in reported revenue, while expanding inpatient services and in-house procedures could increase revenue per patient if execution succeeds.
    • +The HaloMD amendment and the reduction in the CMS fee give the company a lower-cost claims resolution structure; management expects a 25% to 30% reduction in normalized historical contract services costs, with expenses better aligned with collected amounts.
    • +Nutex Health has two clear growth avenues: opening three hospitals during the second half of fiscal 2026 and expanding the population health networks that already oversee approximately 40 thousand patients. This is supported by a cash balance of $205.2 million versus $39.9 million in bank and equipment debt as of June 30, 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The revenue mix depends heavily on the hospital segment, which generated $201.9 million of the total $210.8 million, or approximately 95.8%, in Q2 fiscal 2026; therefore, the population health segment's growth to $8.9 million remains insufficient to diversify results meaningfully.
    • −Revenue declined 13.6% in Q2 fiscal 2026 and hospital revenue fell 14.6%, despite 9.6% growth in visits. Management attributed this to the comparison with substantial positive collection adjustments in 2025, but it also indicated that revenue per visit had stabilized near $4,000 to $4,200, limiting the likelihood of repeating prior remeasurement gains.
    • −The collection model remains exposed to insurer behavior and the operation of the independent dispute resolution system; between 50% and 60% of claims are referred to this process, and the shift to in-network contracts had improved only slightly and not materially as of August 2026. Despite winning more than 85% of decisions, the collection rate exceeds 80% but does not represent full collection, and management said insurer rates remained well below the level it considers appropriate.
    • −Accounts receivable increased by $32 million to $351.7 million as of June 30, 2026, compared with approximately $319.4 million as of December 31, 2025. This makes continued collection strength important, particularly because revenue recognition and HaloMD costs use estimated collection rates.
    • −Opening the West Little Rock, San Antonio, and Jacksonville hospitals during Q3 and Q4 fiscal 2026 requires simultaneous execution, while the company intends to finance and develop some 2027 projects itself before selling the properties and leasing them back. Delayed openings, higher development costs, or slower operational stabilization could weaken the expected return from the expansion pipeline.
    • −The consensus Buy rating is based on a uniform target of $310 with no variation between the high and low estimates, a level approximately 52% above the top of the 52-week range of $204. The absence of an actual estimate range means the stated valuation reference does not reflect clear differences among scenarios, while no published price-to-earnings ratio is available to provide an additional valuation anchor.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $310 and identical high and low targets of $310. This target is approximately 52% above the upper end of the 52-week range of $204, but it lacks dispersion that would illustrate differences among analyst scenarios. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available, so the optimistic target should be weighed against the Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue decline and the fact that the earnings improvement depended partly on substantial reductions in contract costs and stock-based compensation.

    BuyAnalyst target: $310(+54.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving NUTX earnings in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Nutex Health generated net income of approximately $65.8 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with a net loss of $17.7 million in the comparable period. Gross profit increased to $141.3 million with a margin of 67%, while operating income reached $121.7 million. The HaloMD amendment contributed approximately $48 million in reduced contract services expense, and stock-based compensation declined to $2.9 million from $78.7 million.

    Why did NUTX revenue decline despite higher patient visits?

    Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue declined 13.6% to $210.8 million, while hospital visits increased 9.6% to 49,962. Management explained that the 2025 comparison period benefited from an increase in the estimated collection rate from 65% as of December 31, 2024 to 75% as of June 30, 2025, resulting in substantial positive revenue adjustments. After the historical collection rate stabilized at slightly above 80%, revenue per visit moved closer to the cumulative range of $4,000 to $4,200 since the dispute resolution process began in July 2024.

    How dependent is Nutex Health on independent dispute resolution?

    Nutex Health submits between 50% and 60% of its claims to the independent dispute resolution process and wins more than 85% of decisions. Average collection on favorable decisions exceeds 80%, but management said in August 2026 that improvement in in-network contracts remained slight and not material. The federal rule reduced the CMS fee from $115 to $15 per party for disputes initiated on or after June 11, 2026, reducing the cost of using the process.

    What is NUTX's expansion plan after Q2 fiscal 2026?

    The company expects to open hospitals in West Little Rock, San Antonio, and Jacksonville during Q3 and Q4 fiscal 2026. The 2027 plan includes projects in South, Central, and East Florida and in Oklahoma, with Nutex Health initially owning and developing two of them. Management confirmed on August 7, 2026 that its operating target remained three to five hospital openings annually.

    Does Nutex Health have sufficient liquidity to fund growth?

    Cash and cash equivalents totaled $205.2 million as of June 30, 2026, an increase of $19.6 million from December 31, 2025. Net cash flow from operating activities was $109.7 million in the first half of fiscal 2026, up approximately 40% from $78.2 million in the comparable period. At the same time, bank and equipment debt declined to $39.9 million, with most of it related to hospital equipment such as MRI, X-ray, ultrasound, and CT machines.

    What are the main valuation risks for NUTX stock?

    The analyst target is $310, which is also both the high and low estimate, while the 52-week range is $77.21 to $204. The uniform target is approximately 52% above the top of that range, making it an optimistic assumption that does not show variation among valuation scenarios. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available, while Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue declined 13.6% and earnings benefited from substantial reductions in HaloMD costs and stock-based compensation.