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Stocks
Neostellar Capital Corp.
NSLR

NSLR Neostellar Capital Corp.

Neostellar Capital Corp. · NASDAQ
Market Open
7.40
▼ ⁦-1.33%⁩ (-0.10)
Market Cap$198.5M
Beta1.41
52w Low52w High
7.0414.98
Last Week
⁦-4.64%⁩
Last Month
⁦-26.73%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-35.54%⁩
Last Year
—
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall100
Excellent — top fifth of the marketF 3/6Better than 100% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
85
1.1x▲17.4xTop tier
▸
Growth
100
—7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
100
——Top tier
▸
Safety
86
——Top tier
▸
Capital Return
98
6.11%▲0.18%Top tier
▸
Momentum
—
—1.3%N/A
▸
Sentiment
95
—3Top tier
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target
$16.00
⁦+116.2%⁩
Current Price $7.40·Median $16.00
Low
$16.00
High
$16.00
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.25
Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.25 → 4.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Barrington
    —· $16.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    1.07x
    3.02x24.14x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    No consensus
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    4.56x
    2.97x23.76x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    17.6%
    -21.4%21.0%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    —
    —
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1019.7%
    -99.9%193.6%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.55x
    0.26x6.96x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    6.1%
    0.0%8.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    5.8%
    11.9%103.5%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-09-10Based on 2026-05-05 data

Company Overview

Neostellar Capital Corp. is a listed business development company that gives public-market investors exposure to high-growth, venture-backed private companies. Its value-creation mechanism is based on selectively investing in private stakes, then benefiting from increases in their fair values, exits, and distributions when liquidity events occur; therefore, net asset value and investment returns reflect its performance more clearly than revenue alone. During the May 5, 2026 call, management explained that its investment focus includes artificial intelligence and data infrastructure, alongside healthcare and consumer services.

In Q1 fiscal 2026, net asset value increased 76% quarter over quarter, from $8.09 to $14.24 per share, reaching $361.6 million as of March 31, 2026. The increase was driven primarily by a $6.25-per-share increase in net unrealized appreciation on investments, in addition to $0.04 from net realized gains and $0.02 from stock-based compensation, offset by a negative $0.16 impact from net investment loss. Liquid assets totaled $46 million, comprising $43.3 million in cash and $2.7 million in unrestricted public securities, with an additional $15.9 million in public securities subject to sale restrictions.

The portfolio mix as of March 31, 2026 was highly concentrated: WHOOP, OpenAI, VAST Data, Blink Health, and CW Opportunity 2 LP represented approximately 72% of fair value, while the ten largest positions accounted for 88%. By sector, consumer goods and services represented 43%, technology 29%, software as a service 12%, education technology 6%, financial technology and services 5%, logistics and supply chains 4%, and SuRo Sports 2%. On an annual basis, revenue declined from $4.7 million in fiscal 2024 to $1.7 million in fiscal 2025, while net income shifted from a loss of $38.1 million to a profit of $48.8 million, and earnings per share increased from negative $1.60 to positive $1.78; the provided data did not include a gross profit margin.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The jump in net asset value in Q1 fiscal 2026 is the most significant financial driver, rising 76% quarter over quarter to $14.24 per share, driven primarily by unrealized appreciation of $6.25 per share, directly linking the stock's performance to the revaluation of private portfolio companies.
  • Funding rounds supported the valuations of key portfolio positions: WHOOP raised $575 million at a $10.1 billion valuation after reporting 2.5 million members, 103% bookings growth during 2025, and positive operating cash flow, while OpenAI and VAST Data reached valuations of approximately $852 billion and $30 billion, respectively.
  • The company expanded its exposure to artificial intelligence infrastructure by funding $5 million of a commitment of up to $20 million in a Magnetar vehicle invested in TensorWave, with up to an additional $15 million tied to the achievement of conditions and operating milestones. After quarter-end, it invested $9.5 million excluding fees in ClickHouse Series A preferred shares, and management said on May 5, 2026 that ClickHouse's business was growing 250% year over year.
  • Monetizations generated liquidity and realized gains: the sale of 440,246 shares of GrabAGunDigital during Q1 fiscal 2026 produced net proceeds of approximately $1.4 million and a realized gain of approximately $891 thousand, while CW Opportunity 2 LP distributions after quarter-end generated net proceeds of approximately $3 million, including a realized gain of $2.1 million according to reports available at the time.
  • On April 2, 2026, the board of directors unanimously approved the external management proposal through Neostellar Advisors LLC in partnership with Magnetar, which manages approximately $18 billion in assets, with an expected $20 million investment from a Magnetar affiliate. The proposal excludes legacy investments from incentive fee calculations and provides for annual expense savings, but it remained subject to shareholder approval according to information from the May 5, 2026 call.
  • Insider transactions showed a buying signal, with net activity of 710,337.4 over three months, consisting of two purchases and one sale, and the latest recorded transaction occurred on September 3, 2026; this supports the direction of insider ownership, but does not by itself reveal the reasons for each transaction.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The portfolio provides public exposure to prominent private assets such as WHOOP, OpenAI, VAST Data, and CoreWeave through CW Opportunity 2 LP, and increases in the valuations of these assets were reflected in the largest quarterly increase in net asset value in the company's history, at 76% in Q1 fiscal 2026.
    • +The TensorWave and ClickHouse investments strengthen the artificial intelligence and data infrastructure theme: the TensorWave commitment is milestone-based and reaches up to $20 million, while the post-quarter-end ClickHouse investment totaled $9.5 million excluding fees, alongside management's reported 250% annual growth in its business.
    • +Liquidity totaled $46 million as of March 31, 2026, before including $15.9 million in restricted public securities, while the GrabAGunDigital and CW Opportunity 2 LP transactions generated realized gains of approximately $891 thousand and $2.1 million, respectively, demonstrating the ability of some positions to convert from paper gains into cash proceeds.
    • +The proposed external management structure protects the value accumulated in the existing portfolio from new incentive fees and adds an expected $20 million investment from a Magnetar affiliate, along with broader sourcing, screening, and portfolio-company support capabilities if the proposal satisfies its conditions.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Portfolio risk is highly concentrated, as the five largest positions represented 72% of fair value and the ten largest positions represented 88% as of March 31, 2026, while consumer goods and services alone accounted for 43% due to WHOOP's large weighting; therefore, the revaluation of a single major position could significantly affect net asset value.
    • −The quarterly jump in net asset value depends heavily on unrealized gains of $6.25 per share, while net realized gains contributed only $0.04; therefore, the paper gains could reverse if private-company valuations are reduced before liquidity is achieved.
    • −The company recorded a net investment loss that reduced net asset value by $0.16 per share in Q1 fiscal 2026, showing that current portfolio income was insufficient to cover expenses during the period and that the result depended on increases in fair values.
    • −Annual revenue declined from $6.6 million in fiscal 2023 to $4.7 million in fiscal 2024 and then to $1.7 million in fiscal 2025, despite net income shifting to a profit of $48.8 million; this divergence highlights the volatility of an earnings model that depends more on investment valuations and gains than on recurring revenue growth.
    • −Management said that private artificial intelligence markets are strong, but also explained that a large number of companies are difficult to invest in at available prices; this creates competition and pricing risks when deploying capital, particularly given the substantial funding needs of capital-intensive companies and the potential additional commitment of up to $15 million in TensorWave.
    • −The transition to external management was subject to shareholder approval according to the May 5, 2026 call, and the disclosures included risks related to obtaining approval, retaining key employees, achieving the expected benefits, and the structure's impact on the business and results. New investments made after the transition may also be subject to incentive fees when profits are realized, unlike the legacy portfolio, which is excluded from those fees.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $16, and both the highest and lowest targets matching at $16; this target is approximately 6.8% above the 52-week range high of $14.98, while the range low is $8.46. No price-to-earnings ratio is available, despite earnings per share of $1.78 in fiscal 2025, making net asset value, the quality of portfolio valuations, and the extent to which unrealized gains convert into liquidity more useful anchors; the identical analyst targets also do not provide a broad range for assessing differences in estimates.

    BuyAnalyst target: $16(+116.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-10; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What does an NSLR investor actually own?

    NSLR provides exposure to a portfolio of venture-backed private companies rather than a traditional operating business with recurring sales. As of March 31, 2026, the largest positions were WHOOP, OpenAI, VAST Data, Blink Health, and CW Opportunity 2 LP, which together represented approximately 72% of the portfolio's fair value. The ten largest positions also accounted for 88%, so returns are heavily tied to the valuations of these companies and their ability to execute funding rounds or liquidity events.

    Why did NSLR's net asset value rise sharply in Q1 fiscal 2026?

    Net asset value increased from $8.09 to $14.24 per share, or approximately 76% quarter over quarter, reaching a total of $361.6 million as of March 31, 2026. The largest factor was a $6.25-per-share net increase in unrealized appreciation on investments, while net realized gains added $0.04 and stock-based compensation added $0.02. This was offset by a $0.16-per-share decrease due to net investment loss, meaning that most of the increase came from portfolio revaluation rather than current income.

    How important are WHOOP, OpenAI, and VAST Data to NSLR's portfolio?

    WHOOP, OpenAI, and VAST Data were among the five largest positions as of March 31, 2026, so their funding rounds had an important impact on the assessment of the portfolio's fair value. WHOOP raised $575 million at a $10.1 billion valuation and reported 2.5 million members and 103% bookings growth during 2025, while OpenAI closed financing at a post-investment valuation of $852 billion. VAST Data's Series F round valued it at approximately $30 billion, more than three times its $9.1 billion valuation in 2023.

    How is NSLR expanding its exposure to artificial intelligence infrastructure?

    On January 2, 2026, the company funded $5 million of a commitment of up to $20 million in a Magnetar vehicle invested in TensorWave. Funding of up to an additional $15 million is subject to conditions that include company-level operating milestones, linking increased exposure to execution. After quarter-end, it invested $9.5 million excluding fees in ClickHouse on April 22, 2026, and management said during the May 5 call that ClickHouse's business was growing 250% annually and served real-time data analytics and artificial intelligence applications.

    What is the impact of external management through Neostellar Advisors on NSLR shareholders?

    On April 2, 2026, the board of directors unanimously approved a proposal to transition from internal management to an advisory agreement with Neostellar Advisors LLC, jointly owned by members of the current team and Magnetar. According to the May 5, 2026 call, the proposal was subject to a shareholder vote scheduled for June 10, 2026, and management was targeting its effectiveness and the rebranding on July 1, 2026 following approval. The proposed agreement excludes legacy investments from incentive fee calculations, includes an expected $20 million investment from a Magnetar affiliate and expected annual expense savings, with Mark Klein and Allison Green continuing in their current positions according to the text.

    What are the main risks to NSLR's valuation?

    No price-to-earnings ratio is available for the stock, although the company recorded net income of $48.8 million and earnings per share of $1.78 in fiscal 2025, compared with a loss of $38.1 million in fiscal 2024. Revenue also fell from $6.6 million in fiscal 2023 to $1.7 million in fiscal 2025, showing that net profit may fluctuate with investment gains and valuations. The concentration of 72% of the portfolio in five positions, together with the Q1 fiscal 2026 increase's reliance on $6.25 per share of unrealized appreciation, increases the value's sensitivity to any reduction in private-company valuations.