EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Norfolk Southern Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall59
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9Grey zoneBetter than 59% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
31
27.3x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
19
3.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
69
10.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
56
2.9x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
42
1.69%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
77
21.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
84
12▲3Top tier
NSC

NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation

Norfolk Southern Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
320.27
▼ ⁦-0.94%⁩ (-3.03)
Market Cap$71.9B
Beta1.27
52w Low52w High
268.23358.60
Last Week
⁦-2.97%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.28%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+3.67%⁩
Last Year
⁦+17.12%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$320
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$360
⁦+12%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$355–$400⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$21
⁦-93%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.0⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$21–$360⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$367.57
⁦+14.8%⁩
Current Price $320.27·Median $360.00
Low
$355.00
High
$400.00
Current price
$320.27
Average target
$367.57
Street summary

Norfolk Southern (NSC) Price Target Review

Bullish tilt

Norfolk Southern stock has seen a notable positive shift in analyst expectations over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 9.54% from $335.57 to $367.57. Remarkably, the current stock price ($336.65) is trading below the lowest price target set by analysts ($355), indicating a collective conviction in strong upside potential from current levels, despite these targets remaining unchanged over the last week.

As of 2026-08-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.29
Hold
Analyst coverage
21
Buy conviction
24%
Target dispersion
14%
Analyst ratings over time21 analysts rating
1
4
16
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.35 → 3.29
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-27
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    27.33x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    25.00x
    4.57x36.58x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.10x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    2.3%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.0%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -20.9%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    53.7%
    8.6%54.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    10.1%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.89x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    1.7%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    46.0%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.48
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Norfolk Southern Corporation operates a rail freight transportation network and generates revenue from transporting goods across three business lines disclosed in its filings: merchandise, intermodal, and coal. Revenue growth is tied to shipment volume and revenue per unit, while results are also affected by fuel surcharges, traffic mix, contract pricing, network velocity, and locomotive and labor utilization efficiency.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, Norfolk Southern recorded revenue of $3.5 billion, net income of $734 million, and earnings per share of $3.26 according to EDGAR data, compared with annual revenue of $12.2 billion, net income of $2.9 billion, and earnings per share of $12.75 in fiscal 2025. Management reported that quarterly net income and earnings per share each grew 7% year over year, while adjusted operating income increased 5%.

Total shipment volume increased 4% in Q2 fiscal 2026; merchandise volumes grew 2% and revenue excluding fuel grew 4%, intermodal volumes increased 5% and revenue excluding fuel rose 7%, and coal volumes increased 3%. The adjusted operating ratio was 65.5%, but it increased 210 basis points year over year, as fuel added approximately 110 basis points of pressure and inflation added approximately 190 basis points, despite the ratio improving 320 basis points from the previous quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Higher demand in the energy, intermodal, and industrial products markets drove shipment volume growth of 4% in Q2 fiscal 2026, helping Norfolk Southern record all-time-high revenue even after excluding the fuel impact, according to management.
  • Intermodal showed the strongest commercial momentum, with volume growth of 5%, revenue excluding fuel growth of 7%, and revenue per unit excluding fuel growth of 1%, supported by consumer demand, tighter trucking capacity, and new business wins in the domestic segment.
  • Network operating metrics improved after winter pressures and a surge in volumes; on-time train departures increased 20% during the month preceding the July 23, 2026 call, while terminal dwell time began to decline and train speed increased as crew swaps were reduced.
  • The company is targeting cost reductions of at least $150 million during 2026, bringing cumulative savings over three years to at least $650 million, while keeping expected 2026 capital expenditures unchanged at approximately $1.9 billion.
  • Norfolk Southern expects the number of manufacturing and expansion projects entering the design and construction phases in 2026 to be nearly double the previous year's level. Examples include the Dito Apco project facility for Scout Motors, the Virginia Transformer plant in Alabama, and Sylvie Materials cement terminals in Ohio, North Carolina, and South Carolina.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The broad-based improvement across merchandise, intermodal, and coal reduces Q2 fiscal 2026 growth's dependence on a single segment; volumes in these categories increased 2%, 5%, and 3%, respectively.
  • +A tighter trucking market provides an opportunity to shift shipments to rail and improve pricing; management indicated that average outbound truck tender rejections reached approximately 15% and flatbed truck tender rejections reached approximately 40%.
  • +Despite fuel and inflation pressures, the company achieved 5% growth in adjusted operating income and 7% growth in net income and earnings per share during Q2 fiscal 2026, demonstrating its financial benefit from volume and revenue-per-unit growth.
  • +Network improvements and the cost-reduction plan could support profitability if volume growth continues; a 20% increase in on-time departures and fewer unnecessary handlings could reduce crew swaps, congestion, and asset consumption.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $367.57, within a relatively wide range of $355 to $400, against a neutral consensus, and the average is approximately 2.5% above the 52-week range high of $358.60. No valid price-to-earnings multiple is available in the data, so NSC's valuation rests on the company's ability to convert volume growth and cost reductions into an improved operating ratio, while accounting for analysts' divided views on the $85 billion merger transaction.

HoldAnalyst target: $367.57(+14.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove NSC's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Norfolk Southern recorded revenue of $3.5 billion, net income of $734 million, and earnings per share of $3.26 in Q2 fiscal 2026. Total shipment volume grew 4%, while net income and earnings per share increased 7% year over year. Adjusted operating income also rose 5% despite fuel and inflation pressures.

Which Norfolk Southern businesses achieved the strongest growth in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Intermodal achieved the strongest growth, with volume increasing 5%, revenue excluding fuel rising 7%, and revenue per unit excluding fuel increasing 1%. Merchandise volume rose 2% and revenue excluding fuel increased 4%, supported by energy demand in the chemicals market. Coal volumes grew 3% amid increased activity from a new metallurgical coal export customer and thermal coal export opportunities.

How is Norfolk Southern addressing higher costs and margin pressure?

The adjusted operating ratio was 65.5% in Q2 fiscal 2026, after increasing 210 basis points year over year and improving 320 basis points from the previous quarter. The company is targeting cost reductions of at least $150 million during 2026 and cumulative savings of at least $650 million over three years. Conversely, it raised its 2026 operating expense outlook to $8.8–$8.9 billion because of an expected $400–$500 million addition to fuel expense.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Management warned on July 23, 2026 that persistently high fuel prices could pressure consumers and weaken demand, noting that oil remaining at $110 to $120 per barrel for an extended period could become more problematic for the economy and shipment volumes.
  • −Costs increased 15% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the adjusted operating ratio increased 210 basis points year over year to 65.5%, while the company raised its 2026 operating expense outlook from $8.2–$8.4 billion to $8.8–$8.9 billion because of $400–$500 million in additional fuel expense; weaker network fluidity also contributed to higher overtime, rents, and material costs.
  • −Uncertainty related to tariffs and trade is pressuring international intermodal volumes, and management acknowledged during the July 23, 2026 call that some imports had been pulled forward into the first half of the year, potentially making the sustainability of some volumes less clear.
  • −Norfolk Southern faced competitive share losses following the merger announcement, with management estimating an impact of approximately three percentage points on intermodal growth in Q2 fiscal 2026, while acknowledging that it may not recover the specific business it lost despite growth in other areas.
  • −The $85 billion merger transaction carries explicit regulatory and timing risks; an August 10, 2026 report showed divisions among analysts and hedge funds, while most research firms adopted a neutral stance with hold recommendations.
  • −The average analyst price target is $367.57, only approximately 2.5% above the 52-week range high of $358.60, while the consensus remains neutral; this increases valuation sensitivity to any setback in the merger, volumes, or margin improvement.
  • How important is intermodal to the NSC investment thesis?

    Intermodal volume grew 5% in Q2 fiscal 2026, although share losses associated with the merger announcement reduced growth by approximately three percentage points, according to management. The domestic business benefits from higher trucking rates and tighter trucking capacity, while management said it now takes a few quarters for pricing pressure to flow through to Norfolk Southern contracts, compared with longer periods previously. However, tariffs and trade uncertainty remain a source of pressure on international volumes.

    What are the risks and opportunities associated with the Norfolk Southern merger transaction?

    The announced transaction is valued at $85 billion, and an August 10, 2026 report showed divisions over it among Wall Street analysts and hedge funds because of regulatory risks and the timeline. Management believes that eliminating shipment interchange friction and creating connected single-line service can deliver greater value to customers, and noted on July 23, 2026 an agreement with CN to enhance competition. Conversely, most research firms adopted a neutral stance, and the company acknowledged previous share losses involving specific business that it may not recover.

    What does the analyst consensus say about NSC stock's valuation?

    The consensus is neutral, with an average price target of $367.57, a high target of $400, and a low target of $355. The average is approximately 2.5% above the 52-week range high of $358.60, reflecting expectations that require continued operating and commercial momentum. The data does not include a valid price-to-earnings multiple, so merger developments, the operating ratio, and volume growth remain the most important available valuation factors.