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Stocks
Natural Resource Partners L.P.
NRP

NRP Natural Resource Partners L.P.

Natural Resource Partners L.P. · NYSE
Market Closed
111.10
▲ ⁦+0.83%⁩ (+0.91)
Market Cap$1.5B
Beta0.15
52w Low52w High
95.51128.60
Last Week
⁦-1.25%⁩
Last Month
⁦+5.86%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+6.20%⁩
Last Year
⁦+7.24%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall86
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 5/9Better than 86% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
58
14.0x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
28
-5.1%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
94
16.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
93
0.1x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
87
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
47
3.6%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
21
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$111
Analyst target
No data
vs
DCF (estimate)
$394
⁦+255%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target
—
Current Price $111.10
Analyst coverage
10
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2020-08-11
    Benchmark
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2020-03-06
    Benchmark
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2018-11-29
    Citigroup
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.99x
    3.56x28.47x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    23.94x
    3.36x26.89x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.78x
    2.12x16.98x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    10.9%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -5.1%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -26.5%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    74.4%
    7.8%72.1%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    16.1%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.08x
    0.40x3.19x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Natural Resource Partners L.P. operates through two main businesses: Mineral Rights, which generates royalty revenues from metallurgical and thermal coal, and its soda ash investment through Sisecam Wyoming. The partnership’s economics depend heavily on cash flows from Mineral Rights, while the soda ash contribution is tied to global prices, industrial demand, and Sisecam Wyoming’s ability to resume distributions.

In fiscal Q2 2026, NRP generated net income of $25 million, operating cash flow of $41 million, and free cash flow of $42 million. The Mineral Rights segment alone generated net income of $36 million and operating and free cash flow of $45 million, while metallurgical coal accounted for approximately 70% of coal royalty revenues and 45% of royalty sales volumes during the period.

The latest revenue figure in the filed EDGAR statements was $51.3 million in fiscal Q1 2025, with net income of $40.3 million, compared with annual revenue of $232.4 million and net income of $183.6 million in fiscal 2024. In fiscal Q2 2026, higher metallurgical and thermal coal volumes and prices at certain properties partly offset weaker soda ash and higher depreciation, depletion, and amortization expenses at certain longwall thermal coal mines.

What's Driving the Stock

  • NRP sharply reduced leverage; it fully repaid its operating credit facility, leaving only one $14 million payment on the operating senior notes due in December 2026, which lowered interest costs and supported improved financing results.
  • The partnership generated $42 million of free cash flow in fiscal Q2 2026 and $163 million during the twelve months ended June 30, 2026, before a $39 million investment in the soda ash business during fiscal Q1 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • On August 5, 2026, NRP declared a distribution of $0.75 per unit for fiscal Q2 2026, and management indicated its intention to significantly increase distributions beginning with the distribution scheduled for payment in November 2026, barring an unexpected event.
  • Higher metallurgical and thermal coal volumes and prices at certain properties supported Mineral Rights segment revenue in fiscal Q2 2026, while metallurgical coal represented 70% of coal royalty revenues despite accounting for only 45% of royalty sales volumes.
  • The stock rose 6.2% following fiscal Q2 2026 results, according to an August 13, 2026 news report, as the market focused on higher coal volumes and debt reduction despite the year-over-year decline in earnings associated with weaker soda ash.
  • Soda ash market participants announced extended closures equivalent to approximately 4% of global production capacity, an early indication of a supply-side response, although global supply remains above demand.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The bullish case rests on the Mineral Rights segment’s ability to generate $45 million of free cash flow in fiscal Q2 2026, even with coal and soda ash facing cyclical pressures.
    • +Repayment of the credit facility and only $14 million of debt remaining due in December 2026 give the partnership greater flexibility to return cash to unitholders, supported by management’s intention to significantly increase distributions in November 2026.
    • +The royalty mix demonstrates the value of metallurgical coal within the portfolio; it generated 70% of coal royalty revenues versus 45% of volumes in fiscal Q2 2026, with improved volumes and prices at certain properties.
    • +Extended closures equivalent to approximately 4% of global soda ash capacity may help rebalance the market over time, although management does not see a quick resolution to the oversupply.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The soda ash business faces global oversupply and weak flat-glass demand; the segment’s net income declined by $7 million in fiscal Q2 2026 compared with the corresponding period, while its operating and free cash flow each declined by $5 million.
    • −NRP received no distribution from Sisecam Wyoming in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with a $5 million distribution in the corresponding period, and does not expect distributions to resume until soda ash demand recovers or a significant supply-side response occurs.
    • −Management expects domestic soda ash prices to decline when negotiating 2027 delivery contracts during 2026 because annual domestic contracts have not yet caught up with the sharp decline in international prices, threatening continued pressure on segment profitability.
    • −Royalty revenues remain exposed to coal cycles; management described the improvement in metallurgical and thermal coal prices from their lows as modest and identified no catalyst for a sharp increase, while renewable energy represents a long-term headwind for thermal coal.
    • −Mineral Rights segment net income declined by $3 million in fiscal Q2 2026 compared with the corresponding period due to higher depreciation, depletion, and amortization expenses resulting from revised plans at certain longwall thermal coal mines, while operating and free cash flow each declined by $1 million.
    • −Insider activity recorded one sell signal and net selling of $243,953.82 during the three months ended August 28, 2026, with no purchases; this is a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data discloses otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Neutral,” while the available data does not include a consensus price target or analyst target range that can be used as a valuation anchor. Market capitalization is $1.5 billion, while the 52-week range extends from $95.51 to $128.60, and no price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data; therefore, the case valuation centers on the sustainability of free cash flow and increased distributions, balanced against soda ash weakness and coal cyclicality.

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Natural Resource Partners generate its revenue and profits?

    NRP relies on the Mineral Rights segment, which receives royalties linked to metallurgical and thermal coal production on its properties, and on its soda ash investment through Sisecam Wyoming. In fiscal Q2 2026, the Mineral Rights segment generated net income of $36 million and free cash flow of $45 million. Metallurgical coal accounted for 70% of coal royalty revenues and 45% of royalty sales volumes during the period, demonstrating its economic importance within the mix.

    What were NRP’s key fiscal Q2 2026 results?

    NRP generated net income of $25 million in fiscal Q2 2026. Operating cash flow was $41 million, while free cash flow reached $42 million. This came despite a $7 million decline in soda ash business net income and a $3 million decline in Mineral Rights segment net income compared with the corresponding period.

    What does NRP’s debt reduction mean for unitholders?

    NRP fully repaid its operating credit facility, leaving only $14 million due in December 2026 on the operating senior notes. Lower debt reduced interest costs and contributed to a $2 million improvement in corporate and financing net results in fiscal Q2 2026 compared with the corresponding period. Accordingly, management said on August 5, 2026 that it expects to significantly increase unitholder distributions in November 2026, barring an unexpected event.

    Why does soda ash pose a risk to NRP’s results?

    Global soda ash supply exceeds demand, while weaker flat-glass demand has reduced sales prices and segment results. Soda ash business net income declined by $7 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and NRP received no distribution from Sisecam Wyoming compared with $5 million in the corresponding period. Management expects domestic prices to decline when negotiating 2027 delivery contracts during 2026, despite the emergence of extended closures equivalent to approximately 4% of global capacity.

    How important is metallurgical coal compared with thermal coal for NRP?

    Metallurgical coal represented approximately 70% of coal royalty revenues in fiscal Q2 2026, despite accounting for 45% of royalty sales volumes. Certain metallurgical and thermal coal properties recorded higher volumes and prices, partially offsetting increased depletion expenses. In contrast, management views the improvement in coal prices as modest and believes the competitiveness of renewable energy represents long-term pressure on thermal coal.

    Are NRP’s distributions likely to increase in 2026?

    In May 2026, NRP paid a distribution of $0.75 per unit for fiscal Q1 2026. On August 5, 2026, it declared a similar distribution of $0.75 per unit for fiscal Q2 2026. Management said it intends, barring an unexpected event, to significantly increase distributions beginning with the distribution scheduled for payment in November 2026 after repaying the credit facility and with the remaining debt nearing maturity.