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Stocks
New Jersey Resources Corporation
NJR

NJR New Jersey Resources Corporation

New Jersey Resources Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
53.16
▼ ⁦-0.34%⁩ (-0.18)
Market Cap$5.4B
Beta0.53
52w Low52w High
43.4660.86
Last Week
⁦-0.89%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.97%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.93%⁩
Last Year
⁦+12.89%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall51
Balanced — near the middle of the marketMomentum TrapF 7/9DistressBetter than 51% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
47
14.7x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
66
7.0%7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
44
7.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
38
4.7x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
62
3.60%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
63
16.0%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
45
6▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$53
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$61
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$61–$63⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$61.67
⁦+16.0%⁩
Current Price $53.16·Median $61.00
Low
$61.00
High
$63.00
Current price
$53.16
Average target
$61.67
Street summary

New Jersey Resources (NJR) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

NJR stock has seen a positive revision in its average price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus rising by 3.9% to reach $62 compared to $59.67 at the beginning of July 2026. This change, which occurred while the number of analysts remained at 3, reflects increased optimism regarding the stock's fair value, especially with the narrowing dispersion gap among analysts (the range between $61 and $63), indicating a strong consensus on the stock's prospects.

As of 2026-08-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.88
Buy
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
63%
Mixed
Target dispersion
4%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
2
3
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.71 → 3.88
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-20
    Argus Research
    —· $63.00
  • = Reiterate2026-04-21
    Mizuho Securities
    —· $61.00
  • = Reiterate2026-02-03
    Williams Trading
    —· $55.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    14.69x
    4.50x36.01x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    15.91x
    4.35x34.77x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.88x
    3.07x24.54x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    -9.6%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Below average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.0%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -11.7%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    7.3%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.72x
    1.28x10.25x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    3.6%
    1.4%6.1%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    52.4%
    35.0%95.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.26
    0.573.91
    Below average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

New Jersey Resources Corporation operates through a diversified model combining the regulated New Jersey Natural Gas utility, storage and transportation operations, the Clean Energy Ventures platform, and home energy services. Growth depends on investments in gas network safety and reliability, customer growth, recontracting storage and transportation capacity, and bringing new clean energy projects into service. During the first nine months of fiscal 2026, New Jersey Natural Gas accounted for approximately two-thirds of capital expenditures totaling nearly $630 million, illustrating the regulated utility's significant weight in the investment plan.

In Q3 of fiscal 2026, NJR recorded revenue of $258.0 million and net income under financial statements of $9.7 million, representing a calculated net income margin of approximately 3.8%, and earnings per share of $0.10. On a non-GAAP net financial earnings basis, quarterly earnings were $11.3 million, or $0.11 per share, compared with $6.2 million, or $0.06 per share, in Q3 of fiscal 2025. The improvement resulted from a higher contribution from Clean Energy Ventures following the addition of projects into service and the continued benefit to storage and transportation from recontracting on favorable terms.

Revenue for the twelve months ended during fiscal 2026 was approximately $1.5 billion, with net income of $366.2 million and earnings per share of approximately $3.60. The data does not include a gross profit figure, so the gross margin cannot be measured, and detailed revenue figures by segment are also unavailable. Management raised the midpoint of its net financial earnings per share guidance after narrowing the fiscal 2026 range to between $3.52 and $3.62.

What's Driving the Stock

  • NJR narrowed its fiscal 2026 net financial earnings per share guidance to a range of $3.52–$3.62 while raising the midpoint, based on performance during the first nine months and improved visibility into full-year results.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Net financial earnings in Q3 of fiscal 2026 increased to $11.3 million, or $0.11 per share, from $6.2 million, or $0.06 per share, in the comparable quarter, supported by Clean Energy Ventures and storage and transportation.
  • Management expects favorable recontracting in the storage and transportation business to double the operation's earnings between fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2027, while the Leaf River expansion received its initial FERC certificate ahead of schedule.
  • NJR raised its fiscal 2026 capital investment range to $815–$950 million from $775–$930 million, primarily to increase safety and reliability investments in New Jersey Natural Gas, and reaffirmed its $4.8–$5.2 billion plan through fiscal 2030.
  • The capital plan targets long-term growth in net financial earnings per share of 7%–9%, with the ratio of adjusted cash flow from operations to adjusted debt expected to exceed 20% in fiscal 2026.
  • Clean Energy Ventures brought additional capacity into service, while NJR is evaluating the use of existing interconnections and infrastructure to add capacity to the market; however, these additional investments were not included in the capital plan announced on August 4, 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The regulated New Jersey Natural Gas utility provides a clear investment base, receiving approximately two-thirds of the nearly $630 million in capital expenditures during the first nine months of fiscal 2026, with spending focused on safety, reliability, network resilience, and customer growth.
    • +The storage and transportation business offers clearer earnings visibility due to favorable recontracting, with management targeting a doubling of the operation's earnings from fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2027, while the FERC certificate supports progress on the Leaf River expansion.
    • +Net financial earnings in Q3 of fiscal 2026 improved by approximately 82% to $11.3 million from $6.2 million in the comparable quarter, while non-GAAP earnings per share increased to $0.11 from $0.06.
    • +NJR's model combines a regulated utility, storage and transportation, and clean energy, while a $4.8–$5.2 billion investment plan through fiscal 2030 supports the target of 7%–9% growth in net financial earnings per share, with the ratio of adjusted cash flow from operations to adjusted debt expected to remain above 20% in fiscal 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −NJR's capital plan requires substantial spending ranging from $815 million to $950 million in fiscal 2026 and reaching $4.8–$5.2 billion through fiscal 2030, making the achievement of targeted growth while maintaining credit metrics dependent on project execution and cash flow generation in line with the plan.
    • −The regulated utility remains exposed to the outcome of the rate filing submitted to BPU on June 1, 2026; NJR designed a package combining the base rate case with gas supply, conservation, and energy-efficiency adjustments to keep customer bills nearly stable, but the filing process was still in its early stages on August 4, 2026.
    • −Reported results showed significant quarterly volatility, as revenue declined from $641.4 million and net income from $218.9 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026 to $258.0 million and $9.7 million in Q3 of fiscal 2026.
    • −Additional Clean Energy Ventures opportunities depend on identifying an appropriate investment structure, return, and risk profile, and potential investments to utilize existing interconnections were not included in the capital plan as of August 4, 2026, while management did not provide a specific timeline for including them.
    • −The average analyst target of $61.67 falls within a narrow range of $61 to $63 and is only approximately 1.3% above the top of the 52-week range of $60.86; therefore, the consensus does not provide broad variation in valuation scenarios, and the price-to-earnings ratio is unavailable in the data for assessing the price based on earnings.
    • −Insider activity recorded net selling of $166,893.6 during the three months ended with the August 14, 2026 transaction, through one sale with no purchases; this is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data establishes otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $61.67, within an extremely narrow range of $61 to $63, compared with a 52-week range of $43.46 to $60.86; this places the average target approximately 1.3% above the top of the annual range. The stock carries a “Buy” consensus, but the absence of an available price-to-earnings ratio in the data and the narrow dispersion of targets limit the ability to test the valuation using an earnings multiple or diverse analyst scenarios.

    BuyAnalyst target: $61.67(+16.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove NJR's results in Q3 of fiscal 2026?

    Revenue was $258.0 million, net income was $9.7 million, and earnings per share were $0.10 in Q3 of fiscal 2026. On a net financial earnings basis, the company generated $11.3 million, or $0.11 per share, compared with $6.2 million, or $0.06, in Q3 of fiscal 2025. Management attributed the improvement to additional Clean Energy Ventures projects entering service and favorable recontracting in storage and transportation.

    What is NJR's earnings guidance for fiscal 2026?

    During the August 4, 2026 call, management narrowed its fiscal 2026 net financial earnings per share range to $3.52–$3.62. The update raised the midpoint of the range, based on performance during the first nine months and improved visibility into the full-year outcome. The long-term growth target remains 7%–9% from a fiscal 2025 base of $2.73.

    Why is the storage and transportation business important to NJR stock?

    The storage and transportation business benefits from favorable recontracting that provides clearer earnings visibility. Management expects this to support a doubling of segment earnings between fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2027. The Leaf River expansion project also received a FERC certificate, while management noted strong demand for transportation and storage facility services on August 4, 2026.

    How does NJR plan to finance its capital expansion?

    NJR spent nearly $630 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2026, with approximately two-thirds of the amount allocated to New Jersey Natural Gas. It raised the expected fiscal 2026 spending range to $815–$950 million while reaffirming the $4.8–$5.2 billion plan through fiscal 2030. Management says cash generation from operations is the primary funding source and expects the ratio of adjusted cash flow from operations to adjusted debt to exceed 20% in fiscal 2026.

    What is the impact of the New Jersey rate filing on NJR?

    New Jersey Natural Gas submitted a package to BPU on June 1, 2026, combining the base rate case with gas supply adjustments and energy conservation and efficiency programs. The package aims to keep the customer bill nearly stable after all its elements are implemented while continuing investment in network safety and reliability. During the August 4, 2026 call, management described the proceedings as a routine rate case that was still at an early stage.

    What is the Clean Energy Ventures opportunity, and what limits its visibility?

    Clean Energy Ventures increased Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings after additional projects entered service. NJR is evaluating the use of existing interconnections and infrastructure to add capacity to the market, benefiting from the fact that the load factor of those interconnections is below 100%. However, these additional investments were not included in the capital plan as of August 4, 2026, and management did not specify when it would establish a structure that achieves the targeted return and risk profile.