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Home
Stocks
Netflix, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall72
Strong — clearly above market medianFalling StarF 6/9SafeBetter than 72% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
31
24.6x▼18.2xBottom tier
▸
Growth
88
16.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
85
26.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
85
0.5x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
64
—2.10%Around median
▸
Momentum
17
-41.8%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
44
33▲3Around median
NFLX

NFLX Netflix, Inc.

Netflix, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
76.77
▼ ⁦-1.89%⁩ (-1.48)
Market Cap$325.8B
Beta1.51
52w Low52w High
65.08126.70
Last Week
⁦-5.28%⁩
Last Month
⁦+3.55%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.10%⁩
Last Year
⁦-38.28%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$77
Analyst target · 15 analysts
$90
⁦+17%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$75–$119⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$33
⁦-57%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.1⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$33–$90⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 15 analysts setting price target
$91.82
⁦+19.6%⁩
Current Price $76.77·Median $90.00
Low
$75.00
High
$119.00
Current price
$76.77
Average target
$91.82
Street summary

Stable Target Amid Divergent Analyst Signals

The consensus price target remained unchanged at 91.82 over the past day, 7 days, and 30 days, while the number of analysts counted declined from 21 to 15 in the last two snapshots. The target range is between 75 and 119, with a median of 90, reflecting notable divergence compared with the current price of 78.25; the lower bound is close to the price, while the consensus remains above it.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.82
Buy
Analyst coverage
51
Buy conviction
69%
High
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 1↓
Mixed
Target dispersion
57%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time51 analysts rating
7
28
16
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.74 → 3.82
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-04
    Craig-Hallum
    Hold
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-04
    Morgan Stanley
    NeutralOverweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-25
    Wolfe Research
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    24.61x
    4.18x33.43x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    22.38x
    3.14x25.12x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    22.64x
    2.57x20.56x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.4%
    -32.2%21.5%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    16.0%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    146.8%
    -466.2%136.1%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    49.1%
    11.3%77.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    26.0%
    -33.7%17.2%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.51x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    9.80
    -8.285.06
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-16 data

Company Overview

Netflix operates a global entertainment service that reaches approximately 330 million subscribing households and addresses an audience approaching one billion people. Most revenue growth comes from subscriptions through increased memberships and price adjustments, while advertising represents an additional source that is expanding as ad technology and ad inventory fill rates improve. The company also invests in local and global films and series, live programming, video podcasts, short-form videos, and cloud gaming to increase subscriber acquisition and retention and enhance returns from its user base.

Revenue for Q2 of fiscal year 2026 reached approximately $12.6 billion, and gross profit was $6.5 billion, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 51.6%. Net income was $3.4 billion, or a calculated net margin of approximately 27.0%, and earnings per share were $0.80. Compared with Q1 of fiscal year 2026, revenue increased from $12.2 billion, while net income declined from $5.3 billion and earnings per share from $1.23.

On a trailing twelve-month basis through fiscal year 2026, revenue was $48.4 billion, gross profit was $23.8 billion, net income was $13.6 billion, and earnings per share were approximately $3.20. The operating mix relies on subscriptions and pricing as the primary drivers, with a growing contribution from advertising; management said on July 16, 2026, that growth in Q3 of fiscal year 2026 would come from increased memberships and prices and higher advertising revenue. Netflix benefits from distributing content costs across a global footprint, as its share was estimated at only approximately 5% of global television viewing and its penetration at less than 45% of approximately 800 million addressable households.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management expects fiscal year 2026 revenue growth of 13% to 14%, or approximately 12% excluding currency effects, adding roughly $6 billion in revenue compared with the previous fiscal year; Q3 fiscal year 2026 guidance indicates reported growth of 12% and currency-neutral growth of 11%.
  • Total viewing hours grew 2% during the first half of fiscal year 2026, an increase of 1.5 billion hours from the corresponding period, compared with growth of 1.5% in fiscal year 2025. Management also explained that 6 of the 10 largest new-member acquisition days over five years were associated with live events, demonstrating this type of content’s role in attracting subscribers and advertising despite its limited viewing hours.
  • Cloud gaming is showing strong expansion indicators; FIFA and Unhinged became Netflix’s most successful cloud gaming launches, and the number of monthly players for these games increased 11-fold during the eight months through the July 16, 2026 call. The number of daily players in Netflix Playground also tripled since its launch, and engagement with children’s games on mobile increased 600% year over year.
  • Netflix had used generative artificial intelligence tools in approximately 300 productions through July 16, 2026, with usage concentrated in post-production. American Experiment included seventeen minutes of AI-enhanced footage, completed twice as fast and at half the cost of previous alternatives, which could allow the savings to be redirected toward additional content.
  • Netflix’s revenue in the United Kingdom reached £2.06 billion during fiscal year 2025, surpassing ITV for the first time and exceeding £1 billion for Channel 4 and £318 million for Channel 5. In August 2026, Pershing Square disclosed a position of 3.15 million shares in Netflix, and the position was reported to represent 4.9% of its investment portfolio, supporting institutional sentiment toward the stock.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal year 2026 revenue growth guidance of 13% to 14%, with an expected annual increase of approximately $6 billion, provides a quantitative foundation for continued double-digit growth driven by memberships, pricing, and advertising.
  • +Netflix has a distribution scale that is difficult to replicate, with approximately 330 million subscribing households and the ability to spread programming costs across a global audience; at the same time, management estimates indicate penetration of less than 45% of 800 million addressable households and a share of only approximately 5% of global television viewing.
  • +Expansion drivers extend beyond traditional viewing, from live events associated with six of the ten largest member acquisition days over five years to 11-fold growth in cloud gaming players and 600% year-over-year growth in children’s mobile games.
  • +Share repurchases enhance capital returns to shareholders; Netflix repurchased $4.7 billion of shares in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, the largest quarterly amount in its history, with approximately $27 billion remaining under the existing authorization.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates NFLX a “Buy,” with an average target of $91.82 and a wide range from $75 to $119. The average target lies between the bounds of the 52-week range of $65.08 and $126.71, while the highest target is approximately 6.1% below the top of that range; this balances optimism about fiscal year 2026 growth against the risks of slowing currency-neutral growth and a widening gap among analyst expectations. The data does not include a usable earnings multiple, so the valuation here is based on the target range, the 52-week range, and the company’s ability to deliver expected revenue growth of 13% to 14%.

BuyAnalyst target: $91.82(+19.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What are the most important sources of Netflix’s revenue growth in fiscal year 2026?

Management identified memberships, prices, and advertising revenue as the primary growth drivers during the July 16, 2026 call. It expects annual revenue growth of between 13% and 14%, or approximately 12% excluding currency effects, equivalent to an increase of roughly $6 billion. In Q3 of fiscal year 2026, it expects reported growth of 12% and currency-neutral growth of 11%.

Does declining engagement on Netflix represent an operational problem?

Viewing hours grew 2% during the first half of fiscal year 2026, equivalent to an additional 1.5 billion hours, compared with growth of 1.5% in fiscal year 2025. Management confirmed that the decline in second-season viewing improved slightly compared with the previous year and that The Polygamist achieved 24 million views during five weeks. Nevertheless, increasing content expense by approximately 10% requires continued improvement in acquisition, retention, and advertising to justify costs growing faster than viewing hours.

How does advertising contribute to Netflix’s growth story?

Management said on July 16, 2026, that higher advertising revenue was one of the drivers of Q3 fiscal year 2026 growth. Average revenue per membership on the ad-supported plan remains below that of the standard ad-free plan, but the gap is narrowing as demand sources expand and advertising technology, measurement, and fill rates improve. The ad-supported plan costs $8.99 in the United States according to the call, giving Netflix a low-priced entry point to attract additional segments.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Netflix plans to increase content expense by approximately 10% in fiscal year 2026, while viewing hours grew only 2% during the first half of fiscal year 2026. Live programming also accounts for approximately 5% of the content budget but represents only 1% of viewing hours, so the return on this spending depends on its success in attracting subscribers and advertising, rather than on viewing volume alone.
  • −Q3 fiscal year 2026 guidance indicates that currency-neutral growth will slow from 12% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 to 11%. Management attributed part of the slowdown to the concentration of prior-year growth in the second half, but the decline in the quarterly growth rate remains a risk if it is not offset by increased memberships, prices, or advertising.
  • −Average revenue per membership on the ad-supported plan remains below that of the standard ad-free plan. Closing this gap requires Netflix to continue expanding demand sources, developing its advertising technology, and raising fill rates, making advertising growth dependent on technical and commercial execution that is not yet complete.
  • −Netflix is testing free trials for new, non-returning members in several countries and has acknowledged that any free service could cannibalize paid plans unless the distinction between them is clear. There were no plans to launch a free offering in the near term according to the July 16, 2026 call, but the tests highlight the sensitivity of the balance between user acquisition and protecting subscription revenue.
  • −Analyst targets range from $75 to $119, a wide spread reflecting meaningful disagreement about Netflix’s value, while the average target of $91.82 is approximately 27.5% below the 52-week range high of $126.71. This makes the valuation vulnerable to repricing if growth falls below fiscal year 2026 guidance or if the profitability of advertising and new content does not improve as expected.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 10, 2026, recorded net selling of $48.9 million, with ten sales and no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, but it provides no offsetting support from insider purchases during the stated period.
Has gaming become an important business for Netflix?

Management described the addressable gaming market as approximately $150 billion in consumer spending outside China and Russia and excluding advertising. Through the July 16, 2026 call, the number of monthly cloud gaming players had increased 11-fold during eight months, and FIFA and Unhinged had become Netflix’s most successful cloud launches. The number of daily players in Netflix Playground also tripled, and engagement with children’s games on mobile increased 600% year over year, while investment in gaming remained small compared with total content spending.

How does Netflix use artificial intelligence in content production?

Through July 16, 2026, generative artificial intelligence tools had been used in approximately 300 productions, particularly in post-production, visual planning, and effects. American Experiment included seventeen minutes of footage enhanced with these tools, which was produced twice as fast and at half the cost of previous options. Management explained that the potential savings would likely be reinvested in additional content rather than treated as an announced reduction in the approximately $20 billion cash content budget.

What do analyst consensus and insider activity indicate about NFLX?

The analyst consensus rates the stock a “Buy,” with an average target of $91.82, a highest target of $119, and a lowest target of $75. This distribution lies within the 52-week range of $65.08 to $126.71, with a wide $44 difference between the lowest and highest targets. In contrast, insider net selling over three months reached $48.9 million through ten sales and no purchases as of August 10, 2026, while recognizing that these sales may have been prearranged.