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Stocks
Cloudflare, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall20
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketMomentum TrapF 4/8Better than 20% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
12
—17.6xBottom tier
▸
Growth
84
33.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
43
-7.4%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
28
—2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
50
—2.15%Around median
▸
Momentum
92
42.7%▲2.3%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
45
18▲3Around median
NET

NET Cloudflare, Inc.

Cloudflare, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
351.75
▲ ⁦+8.70%⁩ (+28.15)
Market Cap$115.0B
Beta1.66
52w Low52w High
158.83352.45
Last Week
⁦+14.75%⁩
Last Month
⁦+14.57%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+52.29%⁩
Last Year
⁦+55.63%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$352
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$350
⁦-0%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$160–$390⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$15
⁦-96%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.8⁩% discount · ⁦8⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$15–$350⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$322.95
⁦-8.2%⁩
Current Price $351.75·Median $350.00
Low
$160.00
High
$390.00
Current price
$351.75
Average target
$322.95
Street summary

Relatively Stable with Wide Dispersion in Cloudflare Price Targets

Cloudflare’s consensus price target rose to 322.95 from 320.81 over the last 7 and 30 days, an increase of 2.14 or 0.67%, while the number of analysts remained at 6. Compared with the current price of 323.99, the consensus appears very close to the price, while the range between 160 and 390 and the median at 350 reveal wide dispersion in estimates and relatively high uncertainty regarding the target value.

As of 2026-09-18
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.82
Buy
Analyst coverage
34
Buy conviction
71%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
65%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time34 analysts rating
7
17
8
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.51 → 3.82
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-17
    Bernstein
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Susquehanna
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    258.09x
    5.21x41.67x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    0.4%
    -54.9%10.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    33.5%
    -18.1%67.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -65.7%
    -155.6%189.9%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    72.6%
    13.2%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    -7.4%
    -63.6%26.8%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Cloudflare operates a global network that combines application and network security, performance acceleration, Zero Trust and SASE services, and the Workers developer platform within a unified architecture. The company generates revenue from enterprise contracts, subscriptions, consumption, and funds pool agreements; the Workers platform has become a significant revenue contributor, while customers spending more than $100,000 annually accounted for 73% of Q2 FY2026 revenue, compared with 71% a year earlier.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue increased 36% year over year to $696.1 million, and adjusted operating income reached $96.1 million at a 13.8% margin, while adjusted net income was $107.8 million and adjusted diluted earnings per share were $0.29. Gross margin was 73.1%, up 30 basis points sequentially and down 320 basis points year over year, while free cash flow increased 69% to $56.4 million, equivalent to 8% of revenue.

Geographically, 51% of Q2 FY2026 revenue came from the United States, with growth of 41%, 27% came from Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, with growth of 30%, and 14% came from Asia-Pacific, with growth of 32%. On a GAAP basis, the company remains unprofitable; EDGAR filings reported a net loss of $22.9 million in Q1 FY2026 and a net loss of $86.7 million during the reported twelve-month period for 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The number of customers spending more than $100,000 annually rose to 4,698 in Q2 FY2026, an increase of 27% year over year, with 282 large customers added during the quarter and 986 over the course of a year, while dollar-based net retention improved to 120%.
  • The number of developers on the platform exceeded 7.4 million in Q2 FY2026 after approximately two million developers were added during the quarter, compared with 1.5 million added during the entirety of FY2025; management linked this acceleration to the use of Workers to build and operate AI agents.
  • Large contracts supported demand visibility, including a five-year, $31.8 million contract for application services and Zero Trust, an 18-month, $15.9 million contract for application services and Workers, and a three-year, $11 million contract to replace five legacy tools with Cloudflare's unified platform.
  • Remaining performance obligations reached $2.732 billion in Q2 FY2026, up 38% year over year, and the current portion grew 35%; new-customer bookings also increased at the fastest pace in more than five years, and sales pipeline generation accelerated to its fastest quarterly pace in five years.
  • Management expects Q3 FY2026 revenue of between $736 million and $737 million, representing growth of 31%, and raised its FY2026 revenue range to between $2.864 billion and $2.870 billion, representing growth of approximately 32%. It also expects adjusted operating income of between $443 million and $445 million and adjusted diluted earnings per share of between $1.25 and $1.26 for FY2026.
  • In August 2026, Cloudflare launched components for the agent-based economy, including Monetization Gateway, wallets, and cloudflare.pay, and announced a research experiment with OpenAI. These tools are intended to enable the sale of web pages, APIs, datasets, and MCP tools, and to facilitate autonomous payments for AI agents.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The 36% growth in Q2 FY2026 revenue combines expansion of the customer base with improved growth quality; dollar-based net retention reached 120%, the contribution from large customers increased to 73%, and remaining performance obligations grew 38%.
  • +The Workers platform is showing clear traction among developers and enterprises, with more than 7.4 million developers and platform-related contracts ranging in the disclosed examples from $4 million to $15.9 million. Management also said that Workers is the company's fastest-growing product group and has become a significant revenue contributor.
  • +Operating efficiency has begun improving alongside growth; adjusted operating expenses declined to 59% of revenue, adjusted operating margin increased 240 basis points sequentially to 13.8%, and free cash flow rose 69% year over year.
  • +Cloudflare's offering extends from application security and Zero Trust to computing, storage, agent tools, and payments, allowing it to expand the relationship within the same customer. This was exemplified by an Asia-Pacific customer that added a $4 million contract for the Workers platform after an $8.7 million application services contract in the previous quarter.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $320.81, slightly below the 52-week range high of $332.22, while the divergence between the lowest target of $136 and the highest target of $390 reveals sharp disagreement over the opportunities in Workers and AI and the execution risks. The consensus is “Buy,” but the absence of a usable price-to-earnings ratio is consistent with continuing GAAP losses, so the valuation is tied to the company's ability to achieve its FY2026 revenue growth guidance of 32% and convert adjusted profitability into sustainable accounting profitability.

BuyAnalyst target: $320.81(-8.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Cloudflare's growth in Q2 FY2026?

Revenue increased 36% year over year to $696.1 million, driven by momentum in the Workers platform, growth in large customers, and improved sales execution. The number of customers spending more than $100,000 annually reached 4,698, an increase of 27%, and dollar-based net retention rose to 120%. The company also added more than 80,000 paying customers and approximately two million developers during the quarter, ending it with more than 7.4 million developers.

How does Cloudflare benefit from agentic AI?

Management said that more than 50% of traffic across Cloudflare's network in Q2 FY2026 was no longer generated by humans, increasing the need for computing, security, and control over agent access. Workers provides a lightweight environment for running agents, and a generative AI company selected it under a $7.5 million funds pool contract to avoid data transfer fees and vendor lock-in. In August 2026, Cloudflare also added Monetization Gateway, wallets, and cloudflare.pay to build mechanisms for selling resources, verification, and payments between agents.

Has Cloudflare become profitable?

In Q2 FY2026, Cloudflare generated adjusted operating income of $96.1 million and adjusted net income of $107.8 million, with adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.29. However, EDGAR data shows a GAAP net loss of $22.9 million in Q1 FY2026 and a loss of $86.7 million during the reported twelve-month period for 2026. On August 6, 2026, the CFO said the company was ahead of its goal of reaching GAAP profitability by the end of 2028 at the latest, without specifying an alternative date.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Cloudflare continues to report GAAP losses despite adjusted profitability; its net loss was $86.7 million during the reported twelve-month period for 2026, while its Q1 FY2026 loss was approximately $22.9 million. Expected adjusted severance and restructuring charges for FY2026 also reached $165 million, including up to $130 million in cash.
  • −A large share of revenue depends on the large-customer segment, as customers spending more than $100,000 annually contributed 73% of Q2 FY2026 revenue, while 51% of revenue came from the United States. Therefore, a slowdown in spending by large enterprises or in the U.S. market could have a material impact on growth.
  • −Cloudflare competes with hyperscale cloud providers, Zero Trust vendors, and legacy point solutions; management cited competitive pressure from an incumbent cloud provider in a $31.8 million contract and competition from first-generation providers in a SASE deal. According to the CFO, funds pool, consumption, and committed-volume models also make the timing of quarterly revenue more difficult to predict.
  • −The deceleration in guidance represents a risk compared with the latest quarterly result; after revenue grew 36% in Q2 FY2026, management expects growth of 31% in Q3 FY2026 and approximately 32% for FY2026 as a whole. This means that a continued rerating of the stock requires maintaining strong growth despite the expected deceleration in the reported rate.
  • −Gross margin improved sequentially to 73.1%, but remained 320 basis points below its level a year earlier, while adjusted operating margin declined 30 basis points year over year. The company expects network capital expenditures to equal 14% to 15% of FY2026 revenue, placing a continuing burden on converting growth into cash flow.
  • −On August 11, 2026, Cloudflare issued $2.175 billion of 0% convertible senior notes due in 2031, an instrument that strengthens liquidity but could dilute shareholders upon conversion. In addition, insider activity over three months recorded net sales of $262 million across 366 sales with no purchases through August 21, 2026; this is a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the evidence proves otherwise.
What is Cloudflare's guidance for FY2026?

Management expects FY2026 revenue of between $2.864 billion and $2.870 billion, equivalent to annual growth of approximately 32%. The expected adjusted operating income range is $443 million to $445 million, with adjusted diluted earnings per share of between $1.25 and $1.26 based on approximately 374 million shares. For Q3 FY2026, the company expects revenue of between $736 million and $737 million and adjusted operating income of between $129 million and $130 million.

How important are large enterprise contracts to Cloudflare?

The segment of customers spending more than $100,000 annually represented 73% of Q2 FY2026 revenue, up from 71% a year earlier. Disclosed deals included a five-year, $31.8 million contract for application services and Zero Trust and an 18-month, $15.9 million contract for application services and Workers. A U.S. government customer also signed a five-year, $7.7 million contract for Magic Transit and Network Firewall after Cloudflare reduced the rule-modification time from a one-week service agreement to 30 seconds.

What are the main financial risks to monitor in NET stock?

Gross margin in Q2 FY2026 declined 320 basis points year over year to 73.1% despite improving sequentially, while the company expects network capital expenditures equal to 14% to 15% of FY2026 revenue. Expected severance and restructuring charges reached up to $165 million, with a cash impact of up to $130 million. The $2.175 billion of convertible notes due in 2031 also carry the potential for shareholder dilution, while the wide range of analyst targets from $136 to $390 makes valuation sensitivity high.