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Stocks
Newmont Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall97
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 9/9SafeBetter than 97% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
72
15.6x▲17.6xTop tier
▸
Growth
92
25.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
85
16.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
84
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
37
0.82%▼2.15%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
80
46.8%▲2.3%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
67
10▲3Top tier
NEM

NEM Newmont Corporation

Newmont Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
123.41
▼ ⁦-0.79%⁩ (-0.98)
Market Cap$130.0B
Beta0.50
52w Low52w High
76.05135.29
Last Week
⁦-2.68%⁩
Last Month
⁦+6.41%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+16.79%⁩
Last Year
⁦+56.18%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$123
Analyst target · 13 analysts
$138
⁦+11%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$110–$170⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$236
⁦+91%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦7⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$138–$236⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 13 analysts setting price target
$136.83
⁦+10.9%⁩
Current Price $123.41·Median $137.50
Low
$110.00
High
$170.00
Current price
$123.41
Average target
$136.83
Street summary

Analysis of Newmont (NEM) Price Target Revisions

The consensus price target for Newmont stock has seen a decline of 4.03% over the past thirty days, falling from 141.9 to 136.18, with this figure remaining unchanged over the last seven days. This downward adjustment in targets reflects caution from the 13 analysts, although the current price of 126.06 is still trading below the average target (136.18) and below the median price target (135), indicating expectations of limited upside.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.04
Buy
Analyst coverage
23
Buy conviction
87%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
49%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time23 analysts rating
5
15
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.80 → 4.04
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    Raymond James
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-12
    Scotiabank
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-28
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    15.56x
    4.82x38.52x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.84x
    3.70x29.59x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.59x
    2.59x20.75x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.5%
    -19.9%9.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    25.2%
    -21.2%91.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    42.4%
    -260.1%198.3%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    47.8%
    7.3%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    16.1%
    -52.9%20.1%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.8%
    0.2%5.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    12.9%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.93
    -6.7612.04
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Newmont Corporation is a multi-asset mining company operating 12 sites, generating revenue primarily from the production and sale of gold alongside copper and silver. In Q2 FY 2026, it produced 1.3 million ounces of gold, 17 thousand tonnes of copper, and 7 million ounces of silver, demonstrating that gold is the primary operational driver, with secondary metals contributing to production diversification and reducing gold costs on a by-product basis. Its portfolio includes named assets and projects such as Lihir, Cadia, Ahafo North, Boddington, Peñasquito, Tanami, Red Chris, and Cerro Negro, in addition to its interest in the Nevada Gold Mines joint venture.

In Q2 FY 2026, revenue was $6.1 billion, net income was $2.2 billion, and diluted earnings per share were $2.06, equivalent to a net income margin of approximately 36% calculated from the reported figures. The company also recorded adjusted net income of $2.10 per share and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $3.8 billion. This compares with revenue of $7.3 billion, net income of $3.3 billion, and earnings per share of $3 in Q1 FY 2026, while FY 2025 revenue was approximately $22.7 billion and net income was $7.1 billion.

Operations in Q2 FY 2026 supported operating cash flow after working capital of $2.9 billion and record second-quarter free cash flow of $2.2 billion. The average realized gold price was $4,414 per ounce, while gold all-in sustaining costs were $1,621 per ounce on a by-product basis, below FY 2026 guidance of $1,680. Newmont ended the quarter with net cash of $3.4 billion, while returning approximately $1.8 billion to shareholders during the quarter through dividends and share repurchases.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Gold rising above $4,500 per ounce on August 20, 2026 drove Newmont shares up 7.93%, after surpassing $4,200 on August 5, 2026 had coincided with a rise of approximately 7% in the shares. Q2 FY 2026 results demonstrate earnings sensitivity to this driver, as the average realized gold price increased by approximately $1,100 per ounce, or 33% year over year, while absolute costs applicable to sales increased by only 4%.
  • Q2 FY 2026 generated free cash flow of $2.2 billion, and the company returned more than 80% of it to shareholders for the second consecutive quarter. From the previous earnings call through July 2026, Newmont repurchased $1.7 billion of shares under a $6 billion authorization, leaving approximately $4.3 billion of the authorization, while the share count declined by more than 100 million shares, or approximately 9%, over more than two years.
  • FY 2026 guidance for production, costs, and capital expenditure remained unchanged during the July 23, 2026 call. Yanacocha and Lihir together delivered approximately 50 thousand ounces that had been scheduled for production in the second half of FY 2026, and management expects the first half to represent 49% of annual production and the second half 51%, with Q4 FY 2026 remaining the strongest production quarter.
  • Production in the operating caves at Cadia resumed in mid-June 2026 following the seismic event recorded on April 14, 2026, and management confirmed that no impact on FY 2026 production guidance was expected. At Lihir, asset reliability and productivity improved, while the Nearshore Barrier project is expected to provide access to more than 5 million ounces beginning in 2028.
  • In Q2 FY 2026, the Red Chris Block Cave project received key regulatory approvals from the Province of British Columbia, including an amended environmental assessment certificate through a consent-based process with Tahltan Nation. The company is focused on completing the feasibility study before presenting it to the Board for a final investment decision, and it is also working with Canada’s Major Projects Office on terms for a memorandum related to $500 million in support.
  • On August 18, 2026, StrikePoint announced an agreement to acquire the Northumberland gold project in Nevada from Newmont; the project contains initial estimates of 2.86 million ounces of gold equivalent in the measured category and 1.57 million ounces in the inferred category. The divestment aligns with Newmont’s stated focus on its core asset portfolio, but the available information does not specify the financial consideration the company will receive.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The wide gap between the average realized gold price of $4,414 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs of $1,621 in Q2 FY 2026 gives Newmont strong operating leverage, as reflected in free cash flow of $2.2 billion and net income of $2.2 billion.
  • +The balance sheet provides substantial capacity to fund projects and return capital; net cash reached $3.4 billion at the end of Q2 FY 2026, compared with a target range of $1 billion to $3 billion, with $4.3 billion remaining under the share repurchase authorization.
  • +Opportunities to increase production are distributed across multiple assets rather than depending on a single project; they include Ahafo North reaching a long-term operating capacity of 350 thousand ounces, higher-grade zones at Lihir and Boddington, the Cerro Negro expansion, the second Tanami project, and opportunities near infrastructure at Brucejack and Merian.
  • +Newmont demonstrated an ability to contain operating inflation in Q2 FY 2026; while the realized gold price rose 33% year over year, absolute costs applicable to sales increased by only 4%, and all-in sustaining costs remained below FY 2026 guidance.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on NEM shares is “Buy,” with an average target of $136.18 and a wide range between $110 and $170; the average is only approximately 0.7% above the 52-week range high of $135.29, while the range low is $71.49. Higher gold prices and free cash flow of $2.2 billion in Q2 FY 2026 support a re-rating, but the wide target range and the risks of cost inflation and capital projects justify caution, and the available information does not include a usable price-to-earnings ratio.

BuyAnalyst target: $136.18(+10.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Newmont’s results in Q2 FY 2026?

Newmont generated revenue of $6.1 billion, net income of $2.2 billion, and diluted earnings per share of $2.06 in Q2 FY 2026. Adjusted net income was $2.10 per share, with adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $3.8 billion. The most prominent driver was an average realized gold price of $4,414 per ounce, an annual increase of approximately $1,100, compared with only a 4% increase in absolute costs applicable to sales.

Is Newmont still committed to its FY 2026 guidance?

Management confirmed during the July 23, 2026 call that FY 2026 guidance for production, costs, and capital expenditure was unchanged. The company expects 49% of annual production to have been achieved in the first half and 51% in the second half, with Q3 production close to Q2 and then increasing in Q4. Gold all-in sustaining cost guidance also remained at $1,680 per ounce, compared with $1,621 achieved in Q2.

How does Newmont use cash flow and share repurchases?

The company generated $2.9 billion in operating cash flow after working capital and $2.2 billion in free cash flow in Q2 FY 2026. It returned approximately $1.8 billion to shareholders during the quarter through dividends and share repurchases, with a declared quarterly dividend of $0.26 per share. From the launch of the repurchase program more than two years ago through July 2026, Newmont reduced its share count by more than 100 million shares, or approximately 9%, and $4.3 billion remained under the April 2026 authorization.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Financial performance remains highly sensitive to gold; Q2 FY 2026 production was approximately 1.3 million ounces of gold versus 17 thousand tonnes of copper and 7 million ounces of silver, and management linked the year-over-year increase in margins and cash flow to an approximately $1,100-per-ounce increase in the realized gold price. Therefore, any significant decline in gold could directly affect earnings, cash flow, and the pace of share repurchases.
  • −Energy prices and inflation are pressuring costs despite FY 2026 guidance remaining unchanged; management explained that every $10 change in the price of a barrel of oil has an annual impact of approximately $60 million, and that the effect of diesel may extend to explosives, cyanide, grinding media, freight, and contract labor. Newmont also expected a moderate increase in unit costs in Q3 FY 2026, with sustaining capital expenditure increasing by approximately $150 million compared with the previous quarter.
  • −Cadia continues to carry execution and regulatory risks following the seismic event on April 14, 2026; although the operating caves returned to production in mid-June, development of the PC2-3 and PC1-2 caves remained suspended pending completion of updated models and safety controls and receipt of restart approvals. Management confirmed that no impact on FY 2026 production guidance was expected, but the timing of cave development and deferred spending remains an important execution factor.
  • −Management acknowledged that the capital cost of Red Chris will be higher than Newcrest’s original estimates due to inflation in project development costs and lower productivity rates, while the project remained subject to completion of the feasibility study, technical and financial reviews, and a final investment decision. This means its potential contribution requires additional capital commitments whose final amount had not been announced in the context of July 23, 2026.
  • −The Ghana assets face regulatory exposure related to investment terms and local development; during the July 23, 2026 call, management said it had entered active discussions with the government and established a working group with the Minister of Lands to formulate a future agreement that would provide stability for potential investments. The existence of these negotiations makes the operating and expansion terms for Ahafo a factor requiring monitoring until the final agreements become clear.
  • −The valuation sets a relatively high expectations ceiling; the average analyst target of $136.18 is only slightly above the 52-week range high of $135.29, while the wide target range extends from $110 to $170. This dispersion reflects substantial differences in estimates of the sustainability of gold prices and cash flows, and the available information does not include a published price-to-earnings ratio to provide an additional valuation anchor.
How important are the Red Chris and Cadia projects to Newmont’s future?

In Q2 FY 2026, Red Chris Block Cave received key regulatory approvals from British Columbia, and Newmont is working to complete the feasibility study before a final investment decision. Management acknowledged that project capital will be higher than Newcrest’s original estimates, but said design modifications following the September 2025 rockfall incident reduced risks and improved project economics. At Cadia, the two operating caves returned to production in mid-June 2026, while development of PC2-3 and PC1-2 remained subject to completion of safety requirements and regulatory approvals.

What are the main cost risks facing Newmont?

Gold all-in sustaining costs were $1,621 per ounce in Q2 FY 2026 and remained below annual guidance of $1,680. Nevertheless, management said every $10 increase in the price of a barrel of oil adds an annual impact of approximately $60 million, with pressure potentially flowing through to diesel, freight, explosives, cyanide, and grinding media. The company expected a moderate increase in unit costs in Q3 FY 2026 due to approximately flat production and an increase in sustaining capital expenditure of approximately $150 million compared with Q2.

What do the leadership appointments announced at Newmont during 2026 mean?

The July 23, 2026 call stated that Natascha Viljoen serves as President and Chief Executive Officer, and that Brian Tabolt was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer after holding financial roles at Newmont since 2021. Mark Rodgers was also appointed Chief Operating Officer and Dave Thornton Chief Technical Officer, while David Fry was promoted to Executive Vice President of Project Development. The company linked these appointments to improving financial discipline, operational performance, technical expertise, and the execution of growth projects across its 12 operations.