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Nabors Industries Ltd.
NBR

NBR Nabors Industries Ltd.

Nabors Industries Ltd. · NYSE
Market Closed
90.60
▲ ⁦+0.00%⁩ (0.00)
Market Cap$1.3B
Beta1.01
52w Low52w High
34.41112.90
Last Week
⁦-5.24%⁩
Last Month
⁦+11.04%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.87%⁩
Last Year
⁦+161.62%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall82
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9DistressBetter than 82% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
79
6.3x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
45
6.1%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
54
10.1%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
46
1.6x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
95
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
80
132.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
33
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$91
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$102
⁦+12%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$85–$130⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-66.08
⁦-173%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.8⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-66.08–$102⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$104.50
⁦+15.3%⁩
Current Price $90.60·Median $101.50
Low
$85.00
High
$130.00
Current price
$90.60
Average target
$104.50
Street summary

Price Target Update for Nabors Industries (NBR) Stock

Bullish tilt

Nabors Industries stock has seen a strong upward revision in its average price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus jumping from $83.2 to $102, an overall increase of 22.6%. This adjustment, which included a 10.27% increase in the last day alone, reflects growing optimism from the three analysts covering the stock, placing the current price target above the trading price of $91.35.

As of 2026-08-13
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+13.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.25
Hold
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
25%
Target dispersion
50%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
2
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.89 → 3.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-30
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-08
    Susquehanna
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-04-30
    Susquehanna
    Neutral· $105.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    6.32x
    3.56x28.47x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    65.18x
    3.36x26.89x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    3.39x
    2.12x16.98x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    2.7%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.1%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    202.0%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    19.7%
    7.8%72.1%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    10.1%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.60x
    0.40x3.19x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.91
    -1.814.34
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Nabors Industries Ltd. operates in land drilling services and drilling technologies, combining rig operations in international markets and the United States with NDS technology solutions and Rig Technologies equipment. International Drilling generated revenue of $432 million in Q2 FY2026, compared with $252 million for U.S. Drilling, $111 million for NDS Solutions, and $37 million for Rig Technologies, before intersegment eliminations. The company relies on a “rig as a platform” strategy to increase revenue from each rig through software, automation, and performance services, alongside core drilling contracts.

Consolidated revenue reached $814.8 million in Q2 FY2026, a sequential increase of $31 million, or 4%, while the company recorded a net loss of $22.3 million and a loss per share of $2.04. In contrast, adjusted EBITDA reached $222 million, and its margin rose to 27.2% after expanding by 107 basis points, exceeding management expectations across all four segments. The divergence between the net loss and strong operating profitability highlights the importance of capital expenditure, financing costs, and non-operating items when assessing earnings quality.

International Drilling led operating profitability in Q2 FY2026 with adjusted EBITDA of $131 million and a margin of 30.2%, while U.S. Drilling generated $94 million and a margin of 37.3%. NDS generated adjusted EBITDA of $40 million and a margin of 36.2%, converting approximately 90% of it into free cash flow, while Rig Technologies’ adjusted EBITDA improved to $3.2 million. For FY2025, Nabors recorded revenue of $3.2 billion, net income of $286.6 million, and earnings per share of $17.39.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $920–930 million, based on first-half performance, contracted activity, and planned rig deployments in the second half of FY2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

SANAD supports international growth; it operated 55 rigs in Saudi Arabia with a 28% market share, including 16 rigs delivered under the 50-rig construction program, with 34 rigs remaining to be delivered. Management expected the seventeenth new rig to begin operations during Q3 FY2026 and the average international rig count to rise to 94–96 rigs.
  • Lower 48 activity improved in Q2 FY2026, as the average working rig count rose to 67.8, and the company exited the quarter at 71 rigs before activity reached 73 rigs at the time of the July 29, 2026 call. Average daily revenue increased by $902 to $33.6 thousand, while management expected an average of approximately 73 rigs and an exit rate of 74 rigs in Q3 FY2026.
  • Adoption of NDS technologies increased faster than growth in the rig fleet; NDS revenue on Nabors rigs in the Lower 48 rose by 11%, and increased by 12% on third-party rigs despite only 1% growth in the average number of those rigs. Two PACE-X ultrarigs also entered service for a major oil company, with daily revenue per rig exceeding $40 thousand when including the NDS technology package.
  • Nabors began drilling at Quaise Energy’s Obsidian project in Oregon during Q2 FY2026, which management described as the first commercial application of superhot enhanced geothermal energy systems. The project’s announced first phase targets a 250-megawatt installation, beginning with a well dedicated to a 50-megawatt facility, with millimeter-wave technology and gyrotron equipment integrated into the rig.
  • Technology products provided additional commercial signals in Q2 FY2026; Canrig placed the first fully automated Titan rig floor wrench into commercial service, and NDS’s ROC software displaced an incumbent competitor on several third-party rigs. Management expected NDS adjusted EBITDA to rise by 5% sequentially to approximately $42 million and Rig Technologies’ adjusted EBITDA to improve to $5–6 million in Q3 FY2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +SANAD provides a contracted long-term growth path through the 34 rigs remaining under the construction program, while the concentration of approximately three-quarters of its working fleet in gas provides direct exposure to Saudi Aramco’s investments in expanding gas production.
    • +The company demonstrated an ability to increase operating profitability faster than revenue in Q2 FY2026; revenue grew by 4% sequentially, while adjusted EBITDA rose to $222 million and its margin expanded by 107 basis points to 27.2%.
    • +The “rig as a platform” strategy increases returns from assets by combining high-specification PACE-X rigs with NDS products such as MPD, Rig Cloud, and ROC, as demonstrated by daily revenue exceeding $40 thousand for the two rigs equipped with the NDS package and NDS converting approximately 90% of its adjusted EBITDA into free cash flow during the quarter.
    • +International growth extends beyond Saudi Arabia; Nabors operated 13 rigs in Argentina, with another rig generating revenue under an operations and maintenance contract, and was mobilizing an additional rig to raise the total to 14 rigs. The company’s share of the Argentine market reached 30%, while NDS accounted for approximately 46% of Nabors’ adjusted EBITDA in Argentina during the first half of FY2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The SANAD program entails substantial capital requirements; the company expected consolidated capital expenditure of between $710 and $730 million in FY2026, including $325–335 million for the program. It also expected to consume approximately $40 million of adjusted free cash flow in Q3 FY2026, including SANAD consumption of approximately $65 million.
    • −Despite strong adjusted operating earnings, Nabors recorded a net loss of $22.3 million and a loss per share of $2.04 in Q2 FY2026, following a net loss of $15.2 million in Q1 FY2026. Continued quarterly losses mean that improvements in rig counts and operating margins have not yet translated into positive net income in either of the two reported quarters of FY2026.
    • −A substantial portion of international drilling growth is concentrated in Saudi Arabia and the SANAD program, where 55 rigs are operating and SANAD holds a 28% share of the Saudi land drilling market. Although operations continued without interruption through the July 29, 2026 call, management cited ongoing cost pressures related to the Middle East conflict, leaving the pace of deliveries and margins exposed to operational and regional developments.
    • −Q3 FY2026 guidance includes specific areas of weakness; management expected the adjusted daily margin in the Lower 48 to remain approximately flat at $13.8 thousand due to limited near-term contract renewal opportunities. It also expected combined adjusted EBITDA from Alaska and offshore drilling to decline from $15 million in Q2 to approximately $11 million because of reduced offshore drilling activity.
    • −Pricing upside opportunities in the Lower 48 depend on continued improvement in utilization and a shortage of super-spec rigs, while management said operators remained disciplined in capital allocation. The expected addition of 11 rigs through the end of FY2026 was concentrated among two operators, making actual demand strength sensitive to a limited number of customers executing their plans.
    • −

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus rates NBR as “Neutral,” with an average price target of $104.5 and a wide range between $85 and $130, reflecting a meaningful divergence in assessments of the impact of SANAD and Lower 48 growth versus capital expenditure and quarterly losses. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $112.9, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target falls within the $34.7–112.9 range; therefore, the consensus does not provide a uniform bullish signal despite management raising its FY2026 operating earnings guidance.

    HoldAnalyst target: $104.5(+15.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove NBR’s results in Q2 FY2026?

    Nabors’ revenue reached approximately $814.8 million, a sequential increase of $31 million, or 4%. Adjusted EBITDA reached $222 million, with a margin of 27.2% and an expansion of 107 basis points. Performance was driven by growth across all four segments, particularly International Drilling and the Lower 48, but the company simultaneously recorded a net loss of $22.3 million and a loss per share of $2.04.

    How important is the SANAD project to Nabors’ growth story?

    SANAD operated approximately 55 rigs in Saudi Arabia with a 28% market share, according to the July 29, 2026 call. The fleet included 16 rigs from the 50-rig construction program, with 34 rigs remaining to be delivered and the seventeenth rig expected to begin operations in Q3 FY2026. Approximately three-quarters of the SANAD fleet also operates in gas, compared with approximately two-thirds of the rigs operating in the Saudi market, linking its growth to Saudi Aramco’s priority of expanding gas production.

    How is Nabors’ Lower 48 business developing?

    The company added five rig startups during Q2 FY2026, and the average working count rose to 67.8 rigs, with an exit rate of 71 rigs. Activity reached 73 rigs at the time of the July 29, 2026 call, while management targeted an average of approximately 73 rigs and an exit rate of 74 rigs in Q3 FY2026. Average daily revenue rose to $33.6 thousand, but management expected the adjusted daily margin to remain near $13.8 thousand in Q3 due to limited near-term renewal opportunities.

    Have NDS technologies become an important earnings driver for NBR?

    NDS generated revenue of $111 million, adjusted EBITDA of $40 million, and a margin of 36.2% in Q2 FY2026. Its revenue rose by 11% on Nabors rigs in the Lower 48 and by 12% on third-party rigs, despite only a 1% increase in the average third-party rig count. NDS also converted approximately 90% of its adjusted EBITDA into free cash flow, and management expected its adjusted EBITDA to grow by 5% sequentially to approximately $42 million in Q3 FY2026.

    How do capital expenditure and cash flow affect the assessment of NBR?

    Capital expenditure reached $158 million in Q2 FY2026, including $46 million for the SANAD program, while consolidated adjusted free cash flow reached $12 million. The accelerated construction pace raised expected Q3 FY2026 spending to $245–255 million, including approximately $130 million for new SANAD rigs. For FY2026, the company expected spending of between $710 and $730 million and adjusted free cash flow of between $20 and $30 million, with a stated commitment to reduce total debt by at least $100 million.

    What do analysts’ targets mean for NBR shares?

    The average analyst price target was $104.5, with a high target of $130 and a low target of $85. The consensus rates the stock as “Neutral,” indicating that analysts do not hold a uniformly bullish view despite management expecting adjusted EBITDA of between $920 and $930 million in FY2026. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $112.9, while the wide range of targets reflects differing assessments of SANAD and technology growth versus capital expenditure and quarterly losses.

    Net insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 28, 2026 amounted to the sale of 295,360 units, with one sale and no purchases recorded. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged and do not by themselves establish a deterioration in the company’s outlook.