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Nordic American Tankers Limited
NAT

NAT Nordic American Tankers Limited

Nordic American Tankers Limited · NYSE
Market Closed
7.46
▲ ⁦+3.47%⁩ (+0.25)
Market Cap$1.6B
Beta-0.52
52w Low52w High
2.967.50
Last Week
⁦+5.52%⁩
Last Month
⁦+15.48%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+48.02%⁩
Last Year
⁦+147.02%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall97
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Better than 97% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
64
12.8x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
56
29.1%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
95
13.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
66
1.5x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
86
4.83%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
99
112.6%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
24
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$7.46
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$3.50
⁦-53%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$3.00–$4.00⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$7.77
⁦+4%⁩
Sees it fairly priced
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$3.50–$7.77⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$3.50
⁦-53.1%⁩
Current Price $7.46·Median $3.50
Low
$3.00
High
$4.00
Current price
$7.46
Average target
$3.50
Street summary

Target price unchanged with a bearish bias

Bearish tilt

Target estimates have not changed over the past 30 days; the consensus and median remained at 3.5, with a range between 3 and 4, while the number of analysts remained at one. Comparing the consensus with the current price of 7.25, the available estimates indicate a downside gap, while the dispersion score remains impossible to assess confidently due to limited coverage.

As of 2026-09-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
2
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
13%
Analyst ratings over time2 analysts rating
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    B. Riley
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-04-21
    Evercore ISI Group
    Underperform
  • = Reiterate2025-10-28
    Evercore ISI Group
    —· $3.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.77x
    5.69x45.54x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    18.53x
    4.57x36.58x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.37x
    3.43x27.47x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.4%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    29.1%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    815.4%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    71.3%
    8.6%54.6%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    13.7%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.53x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.8%
    0.1%4.8%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    61.6%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2023-03-07 data

Company Overview

Nordic American Tankers Limited transports crude oil by sea using Suezmax tankers and serves major oil companies such as ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, Total, and Equinor. In the Q4 FY2022 earnings call, management explained that its operations extend to China, Japan, Korea, India, the Middle East, and Guyana, and that revenue depends heavily on tanker charter rates and the volume of transportation activity measured in ton-miles.

As of March 7, 2023, the company’s fleet comprised 19 tankers, including 15 operating in the spot market, giving it direct exposure to rising freight rates while also increasing the sensitivity of its results to tanker market cycles. Two tankers were also tied to a six-year contract with the Sultanate of Oman at a rate that management indicated was approximately in the mid-$20,000 range, providing a degree of contractual stability within a mix dominated by spot-market activity.

In FY2025, revenue totaled $291.7 million and gross profit was $181.8 million, representing a calculated gross margin of approximately 62.3%, while net income was $12.3 million and earnings per share were $0.06. These results compare with revenue of $349.7 million, gross profit of $225.1 million, and net income of $46.6 million in FY2024, implying a revenue decline of approximately 16.6% and a net income decrease of approximately 73.6%. The data did not disclose a financial breakdown of revenue by region or customer, but the operating mix reported on March 7, 2023, was clearly weighted toward the spot market.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The deterioration in FY2025 results is the clearest financial driver for the stock; revenue declined to $291.7 million from $349.7 million in FY2024, while earnings per share fell to $0.06 from $0.22.
  • Earnings sensitivity is tied to spot-market rates, as 15 of the 19 tankers were operating in the spot market as of March 7, 2023; therefore, an improvement in Suezmax tanker rates can quickly flow through to cash flows, while a decline can pressure results just as quickly.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Management said in the Q4 FY2022 earnings call that the low tanker orderbook and the long lead time for building new vessels, which extended into early 2026 for an order placed at that time, supported the supply-demand balance for shipping capacity. Management also linked market strength to increased ton-mile transportation activity and a shortage of available vessels.
  • On March 7, 2023, management presented debt reduction as a priority for the use of cash and said that repayment of the Beal Bank facility was expected within approximately one year and that dividends could have doubled from the levels at that date, all else being equal, following repayment. These statements represent a plan tied to the date of the call and are not updated financial guidance for FY2025.
  • Management indicated on March 7, 2023, that two tankers purchased by the company for approximately $54–55 million each could have been worth more than $80 million each based on market indications it had received at the time. This reflects the potential impact of vessel scarcity on fleet asset values, although these estimates remain tied to market conditions on that date.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The high proportion of spot-market operations gives the company strong operating leverage when Suezmax tanker rates rise; as of March 7, 2023, 15 of the 19 tankers were exposed to the spot market rather than fixed long-term rates.
    • +The business remained profitable in FY2025 despite the cyclical downturn, recording gross profit of $181.8 million and net income of $12.3 million, compared with a net loss of $171.3 million in FY2021.
    • +The reported relationships with ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, Total, and Equinor, together with an operating footprint extending across Asia, the Middle East, and Guyana, provide a broad and defined commercial network for the crude oil tanker fleet.
    • +In the Q4 FY2022 earnings call, management emphasized debt reduction and dividends as priorities and cited a record of more than 100 consecutive quarters of dividend payments through March 7, 2023. Lower financing burdens could make more cash available to shareholders if the plan to repay the Beal Bank facility announced on that date was achieved.

    ▼ Selling Case4 pts

    • −The financial statements reveal a continuing slowdown following the FY2023 peak; revenue declined from $391.7 million in FY2023 to $349.7 million in FY2024 and then to $291.7 million in FY2025, while net income fell from $98.7 million to $46.6 million and then to $12.3 million.
    • −Operating 15 of the 19 tankers in the spot market, according to data as of March 7, 2023, makes earnings highly sensitive to fluctuations in freight rates; the CFO acknowledged in the same call that the business is highly volatile and cyclical and has high operating leverage.
    • −International operations are exposed to geopolitical and regulatory complexities; management stated on March 7, 2023, that Russian and Ukrainian seafarers were aboard its vessels and noted restrictions that prevented Russian seafarers from embarking or disembarking at U.S. ports, highlighting compliance and crew-management risks across different markets.
    • −The neutral analyst consensus and narrow target range of $3 to $4 reflect caution regarding the company’s ability to recover its FY2023 earnings. The average target of $3.5 is also near the $3.04 low of the 52-week range and far from the $7.20 high, providing no analyst support for levels near the upper end of the range.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on NAT is "Neutral," with an average price target of $3.5 and a range of $3 to $4. The average target is near the $3.04 low of the 52-week range and well below its $7.20 high, reflecting a cautious revaluation consistent with the decline in net income from $98.7 million in FY2023 to $12.3 million in FY2025. The absence of a disclosed price-to-earnings multiple limits the ability to compare valuation directly with earnings, so analyst targets and the trajectory of annual earnings remain the clearest valuation anchors in the data.

    HoldAnalyst target: $3.5(-53.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Nordic American Tankers generate its revenue?

    The company generates revenue by transporting crude oil by sea using Suezmax tankers for customers including ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, Total, and Equinor. As of March 7, 2023, 15 tankers in a fleet of 19 were operating in the spot market, so a large proportion of revenue is tied to prevailing freight rates. Two tankers were also operating under a six-year contract with the Sultanate of Oman at a rate approximately in the mid-$20,000 range, according to management’s description.

    Why did NAT’s earnings decline in FY2025?

    Revenue declined to $291.7 million in FY2025 from $349.7 million in FY2024, while gross profit fell to $181.8 million from $225.1 million. Net income declined more sharply to $12.3 million from $46.6 million, while earnings per share fell to $0.06 from $0.22. These figures illustrate the impact of lower revenue on a company with high spot-market exposure, although the data do not provide a quantitative breakdown of the impact by vessel or region.

    How sensitive is NAT to oil tanker rates?

    As of March 7, 2023, 15 of the 19 tankers were operating in the spot market, making results directly sensitive to changes in Suezmax tanker rates. In the Q4 FY2022 earnings call, the CFO described the business as cyclical, volatile, and highly operationally leveraged. This volatility is evident in net income, which rose from $15.1 million in FY2022 to $98.7 million in FY2023, then declined to $12.3 million in FY2025.

    What did management say about NAT’s debt and dividends?

    Management said on March 7, 2023, that its first objective was to repay the Beal Bank facility and expected at that time to complete repayment within approximately one year. The CFO stated that dividends could have doubled from the levels at that date after the facility was repaid, all else being equal, without specifying a fixed payout ratio from earnings. Management also noted that it had paid dividends for more than 100 consecutive quarters through the date of the call, but these statements date from Q4 FY2022 and do not represent updated guidance for FY2025.

    Does NAT’s valuation have analyst support?

    The analyst consensus is "Neutral," not a buy, and the average price target is $3.5. The targets range from $3 to $4, a narrow range compared with the 52-week range of $3.04–$7.20. The average target is near the lower end of the annual range, consistent with the decline in earnings per share from $0.47 in FY2023 to $0.06 in FY2025.