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Stocks
Micron Technology, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall99
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9SafeCongress buyingBetter than 99% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
48
22.1x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
99
167.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
88
59.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
94
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
62
0.05%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
94
550.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
68
20▲3Top tier
MU

MU Micron Technology, Inc.

Micron Technology, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
975.26
▼ ⁦-0.22%⁩ (-2.15)
Market Cap$1.1T
Beta2.21
52w Low52w High
147.611,255.00
Last Week
⁦+1.78%⁩
Last Month
⁦+7.02%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.07%⁩
Last Year
⁦+596.61%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$975
Analyst target · 20 analysts
$1500
⁦+54%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$1100–$2200⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$439
⁦-55%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$439–$1500⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 20 analysts setting price target
$1547.71
⁦+58.7%⁩
Current Price $975.26·Median $1500.00
Low
$1100.00
High
$2200.00
Current price
$975.26
Average target
$1547.71
Street summary

Slight Decline and Divergence in MU Ratings

The target price consensus among 20 analysts stood at 1547.71, with a higher average of 1547.71 and a median of 1500, against a current price of 1000.26. Over the past 7 days, there was no change, while the consensus declined over 30 days by 28.20, or 1.79%, from 1575.91, with no change in the number of analysts. The target range between 1100 and 2200 indicates wide divergence in estimates.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.11
Buy
Analyst coverage
47
Buy conviction
91%
High
Rating activity · 30d
3↑ · 5↓
Target dispersion
113%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time47 analysts rating
9
34
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.93 → 4.11
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-17
    Bank of America Securities
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-14
    Bernstein
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.06x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.04x
    5.19x41.53x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.86x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    2.8%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    167.0%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    693.5%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    72.6%
    12.9%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    59.4%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.1%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    1.1%
    4.4%96.7%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    23.34
    -10.9113.66
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-06-24 data

Company Overview

Micron Technology produces memory and storage chips, and its business includes DRAM, HBM, NAND, and SSDs designed for data centers. The company's typical mix ranges between 75% and 80% DRAM and around 20% NAND, while its DRAM portfolio includes HBM products, high-capacity DIMMs, LPDRAM, and SOCAMM. The company benefits financially from selling memory across the data center, automotive, defense and aerospace, industrial, medical, and edge-device markets, with a technical focus on complex, high-performance products such as HBM4, Gen6 drives, and 245-terabyte QLC drives.

In Q3 of fiscal 2026, revenue reached $41.5 billion, gross profit was $35.1 billion, net income was $28.2 billion, and earnings per share were $24.67. These figures equate to a gross margin of approximately 84.6% and a net margin of approximately 68.0%, compared with revenue of $23.9 billion and net income of $13.8 billion in Q2 of fiscal 2026. The data center business generated $25 billion, or approximately 60.2% of quarterly revenue, and enterprise SSDs accounted for $5 billion of that business.

The future trajectory increasingly depends on non-cancelable strategic customer agreements based on take-or-pay arrangements. As of August 24, 2026, Micron had signed a total of 16 agreements, 14 of which include a minimum of approximately $100 billion in contracted revenue, while the 16 agreements are associated with more than $22 billion in deposits and financial commitments, including approximately $18 billion in cash. The company aims to cover around half of its revenue through these agreements, while pricing for many of them remains within floor-and-ceiling ranges and is renegotiated each quarter based on market conditions.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Long-term contracting is the clearest driver of financial visibility: as of August 24, 2026, 14 of the 16 agreements represented approximately $100 billion in minimum contracted revenue, while deposits and commitments associated with the 16 agreements exceeded $22 billion.
  • Micron said during its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings call that customer demand for HBM3E, HBM4, and newer products during 2027 and 2028 exceeds its supply capacity, and that it expects the memory market to remain tight beyond 2027. It also raised its estimate for the HBM market, which it now expects to exceed $100 billion in 2027 rather than 2028.
  • Data center revenue reached $25 billion in Q3 of fiscal 2026, including $5 billion from enterprise SSDs. The portfolio's strength is built on specific products including QLC, Gen6, and 245-terabyte SSDs, alongside SOCAMM, which is designed to reduce power consumption, improve performance, and shrink the memory footprint in data centers.
  • Micron raised its expected capital expenditure for fiscal 2026 to approximately $27 billion, with spending of around $10 billion in Q4 of fiscal 2026, followed by an additional increase in fiscal 2027. This spending is intended to accelerate construction and equipment installation, but most fiscal 2027 spending is allocated to construction, so the new capacity is not expected to begin making a meaningful contribution to bit production before calendar 2028.
  • The company announced during its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings call that cash flow would continue to grow in Q4 of fiscal 2026 and that share repurchases would be the primary means of returning capital. It also noted a 30% dividend increase and its intention to accelerate capital returns beginning December 9, 2026, with the amount and pace remaining tied to financial and operational factors.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Micron's revenue increased from $13.6 billion in Q1 of fiscal 2026 to $23.9 billion in Q2 and then to $41.5 billion in Q3, alongside an increase in net income from $5.2 billion to $13.8 billion and then $28.2 billion.
  • +The non-cancelable take-or-pay agreements provide rare contractual visibility in the memory industry; 14 agreements cover a minimum of approximately $100 billion in revenue, with annual volume commitments and pricing ranges that include a floor and a ceiling.
  • +Available demand exceeds Micron's capacity to supply HBM during 2027 and 2028, and the company reported that non-HBM DRAM is also facing significant constraints. This supports pricing power and capacity utilization, particularly as the HBM market is expected to exceed $100 billion in 2027.
  • +Micron's portfolio provides diversification within the memory market; its non-data-center AEBU and MCBU businesses account for approximately 40% of revenue, while its data center portfolio includes HBM, DDR5, LPDRAM, SOCAMM, and enterprise SSDs.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates MU shares as a “Buy,” with an average price target of $1547.71, within a wide range of $1100 to $2200. The average target is approximately 23.3% above the upper end of the 52-week range of $1255, but the significant disparity between the lowest and highest targets, together with the stock's annual range of $114.25 to $1255, reflects a high degree of uncertainty about the sustainability of the AI-driven memory cycle.

BuyAnalyst target: $1,547.71(+58.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove MU's results in Q3 of fiscal 2026?

Micron generated revenue of $41.5 billion, gross profit of $35.1 billion, and net income of $28.2 billion in Q3 of fiscal 2026. Earnings per share were $24.67, with a calculated gross margin of approximately 84.6%. Data centers were the largest driver, generating $25 billion in revenue, including $5 billion from enterprise SSDs.

How important are the strategic customer agreements to Micron shares?

Micron announced on August 24, 2026, that it had signed 16 binding agreements, 14 of which represent approximately $100 billion in minimum contracted revenue. The agreements are non-cancelable and operate on a take-or-pay basis, and they generally extend for five years outside the automotive sector, with annual volume commitments. Total deposits and financial commitments exceeded $22 billion, including approximately $18 billion in cash, but the deposits are not prepaid revenue and are returned according to schedules weighted toward the second half of the contract term.

Can Micron meet HBM demand during 2027 and 2028?

The company said during its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings call that customer demand for HBM3E, HBM4, and subsequent products exceeds its supply capacity during 2027 and 2028. It explained that some agreements include lower volumes than customers requested due to limited supply, and that the constraints also include non-HBM DRAM. It also raised its estimate for the HBM market to more than $100 billion in 2027, after previously expecting it to reach that level in 2028.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The data center business accounted for $25 billion, or approximately 60.2%, of Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue of $41.5 billion; therefore, any slowdown in spending on AI infrastructure or data centers could have a significant impact on growth and profits.
  • −Production capacity remains far below demand for DRAM and NAND, and Micron said that the volumes available to some customers represent only a portion of their needs. In addition, most fiscal 2027 spending will go toward construction, and the new greenfield capacity will not begin making a meaningful contribution to bit production before calendar 2028, limiting the company's ability to convert all demand into revenue in the near term.
  • −New fabs and the shift toward HBM, which requires more silicon per bit, are increasing DRAM production costs in the near term. The company expects additional startup costs of between $100 million and $200 million per quarter during fiscal 2027, with a previously estimated margin impact of between 0.5 and 1 percentage point or more, although management believes the larger scale of the business has mitigated this impact.
  • −Micron faces growing competition from CXMT and YMTC within China, and it acknowledged that both companies have increased their capacity and market share over the years. On August 24, 2026, Micron shares fell 7% following reports that Washington might allow Apple to use Chinese memory suppliers, illustrating the company's sensitivity to shifts in trade policy and Chinese competition.
  • −The 52-week range extends from $114.25 to $1255, an extremely wide span that reflects elevated volatility and significant repricing tied to the memory cycle, AI demand, and China risks. The rise in the yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds to its highest level since 2007, according to an August 18, 2026 report, also represents potential pressure on technology-stock valuations.
  • −Net insider sales during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 21, 2026, reached approximately $220 million, with 174 sales and no purchases recorded. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicates otherwise, and it is less significant than the risks related to production capacity, costs, and competition.
  • How is Micron expanding its production capacity, and what is the impact on margins?

    Micron raised its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure forecast to approximately $27 billion, including around $10 billion in Q4 of fiscal 2026. It will significantly increase spending in fiscal 2027, with more than half of the increase going toward construction at Idaho One, Tongluo, and Idaho Two. The company expects additional startup costs of between $100 million and $200 million per quarter during fiscal 2027, while the new capacity is not expected to begin making a meaningful contribution to bit production before calendar 2028.

    What are the main China-related and competitive risks for MU?

    Micron acknowledged during its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings call that CXMT and YMTC have increased their capacity and market share, while the overwhelming majority of their output continues to be sold within China. On August 17, 2026, Micron shares rose 5.9% after the U.S. administration urged domestic companies to avoid Chinese memory chips. However, the stock fell 7% on August 24, 2026, following reports that Apple might be allowed to use Chinese suppliers, highlighting its rapid exposure to changes in trade policy.

    Is Micron returning capital to shareholders?

    Micron said during its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings call that cash flows in the previous two quarters equaled what the company had generated throughout its history, and that it expects further growth in Q4 of fiscal 2026. The company increased its dividend by 30%, but identified share repurchases as the primary tool for returning capital. It intends to increase capital returns beginning December 9, 2026, with the pace determined by liquidity, investment, and operating conditions.