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Home
Stocks
M&T Bank Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall62
Balanced — near the middle of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Better than 62% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
69
12.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
26
1.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
61
——Around median
▸
Safety
20
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
61
2.50%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
87
26.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
62
13▲3Around median
MTB

MTB M&T Bank Corporation

M&T Bank Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
239.83
▲ ⁦+0.34%⁩ (+0.81)
Market Cap$34.8B
Beta0.57
52w Low52w High
174.76255.95
Last Week
⁦+1.85%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.89%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+7.10%⁩
Last Year
⁦+20.04%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$240
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$263
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$224–$304⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$281
⁦+17%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$263–$281⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$265.33
⁦+10.6%⁩
Current Price $239.83·Median $263.00
Low
$224.00
High
$304.00
Current price
$239.83
Average target
$265.33
Street summary

Limited Consensus Increase Amid Greater Dispersion

The consensus price target rose to 265.33 from 261.08 over 7 days, and to 265.33 from 259.17 over 30 days, an increase of 1.63% and 2.38%, respectively. The consensus was unchanged over the last day, while the number of analysts included over 30 days declined from 6 to 4, making the improvement less broad in terms of the participant base. The current range is between 224 and 304, with an average of 265.33 and a median of 263 versus a current price of 239.02, reflecting notable dispersion in the estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.20
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦20 (-2)⁩
Buy conviction
20%
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
33%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
1
3
15
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.59 → 3.20
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-08
    Morgan Stanley
    PositiveOverweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    UBS
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.66x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.19x
    2.76x22.06x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.0%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    22.5%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    2.5%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    29.9%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-15 data

Company Overview

M&T Bank Corporation is a banking institution that generates income primarily from commercial, commercial real estate, residential, and consumer lending, and from the spread between asset yields and funding costs. Average loans in Q2 FY 2026 were approximately $141.4 billion, including $66.0 billion in commercial loans, $23.6 billion in commercial real estate loans, $25.1 billion in residential mortgages, and $26.7 billion in consumer loans. In addition to net interest income, the bank generates fees from wealth services, institutional trust, mortgage banking, trading and derivatives, and loan subservicing.

In Q2 FY 2026, M&T Bank reported revenue of $3.4 billion and net income of $818 million, compared with $664 million in Q1 FY 2026, while diluted earnings per share rose from $4.13 to a quarterly record of $5.32. Taxable-equivalent net interest income was $1.8 billion, up $41 million from the previous quarter, and the net interest margin remained stable at 3.70%. Noninterest income was $740 million, supported by trust income of $197 million, service charges of $144 million, and mortgage banking revenue of $127 million.

Efficiency and credit quality improved alongside revenue growth; noninterest expenses declined to $1.35 billion, and the efficiency ratio improved to 52.8% from 58.3% in Q1 FY 2026. Classified commercial loans declined to $5.9 billion from $6.6 billion, nonaccrual loans fell 3% to $1.2 billion, while net charge-offs were $80 million, or 23 basis points. Return on assets was 1.51% and return on common equity was 12.3%, while the operating return on tangible common equity reached 18.57%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • In Q2 FY 2026, the bank recorded its strongest quarterly loan growth since 2012, excluding acquisitions and the pandemic-era Paycheck Protection Program; average loans increased by $3.0 billion to $141.4 billion, led by a $2.3 billion increase in commercial loans to $66.0 billion.
  • Commercial real estate lending returned to growth, with end-of-quarter balances increasing by $1.1 billion since March 2026 to $24.5 billion, led by multifamily and industrial real estate. Management indicated that strong originations in June 2026 would support average balances in Q3 FY 2026, while maintaining selectivity and avoiding most new office lending.
  • The mortgage subservicing business represents a clear fee catalyst; the bank added 214 thousand new loans to this business, and management expects the addition to generate approximately $35 million in revenue in the second half of FY 2026, with most of the necessary costs already included in the expense base.
  • Noninterest income was $740 million in Q2 FY 2026 versus $689 million in the previous quarter, and management raised its annual fee outlook to a range of $2.8–$2.85 billion. Referrals of commercial banking and business banking clients to wealth management more than doubled compared with the previous year, alongside positive flows into asset management.
  • Credit metrics improved, with classified commercial loans declining by $700 million for the ninth consecutive quarter and net charge-offs falling from 31 to 23 basis points. Based on performance in the first half of FY 2026 and collateral strength, management expects annual net charge-offs of 37 basis points.
  • For FY 2026, management is targeting average loans of between $141 billion and $143 billion and deposits of between $165 billion and $167 billion, but expects net interest income in the lower half of the $7.2–$7.35 billion range and an annual margin in the upper end of the 3.60% range.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +M&T Bank achieved the highest quarterly earnings per share in its history at $5.32 in Q2 FY 2026, with net income rising to $818 million and the efficiency ratio improving by 5.5 percentage points to 52.8%.
  • +Loan growth was broad-based across commercial, commercial real estate, residential, and consumer loans, and 90% of businesses within the commercial and industrial loan portfolio grew quarter over quarter. This supports management's expectation for continued loan and deposit growth in the second half of FY 2026.
  • +Net charge-offs declined to 23 basis points, nonaccrual loans fell to $1.2 billion, and classified commercial loans continued to decline for the ninth consecutive quarter. These indicators give the bank a better ability to convert asset growth into earnings without a corresponding increase in credit costs.
  • +Fee diversification provides support beyond net interest income, with noninterest income of $740 million and an annual outlook of between $2.8 billion and $2.85 billion. The agreement to subservice 214 thousand loans is expected to add approximately $35 million in revenue in the second half of FY 2026, while the associated operating costs were already largely included.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $261.08, with a wide range between $224 and $300 and a neutral consensus, reflecting a balance between improving earnings and credit quality and funding and margin pressures. The average target is slightly above the 52-week range high of $255.95, while the highest target is clearly above that high, and no usable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data despite trailing 12-month earnings per share of $20.67.

HoldAnalyst target: $261.08(+8.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove M&T Bank's earnings in Q2 FY 2026?

Net income rose to $818 million from $664 million in Q1 FY 2026, and diluted earnings per share increased to a record $5.32 from $4.13. Taxable-equivalent net interest income was $1.8 billion, up $41 million, while the net interest margin remained stable at 3.70%. Noninterest income also increased to $740 million from $689 million, while noninterest expenses declined by $89 million to $1.35 billion.

Is M&T Bank's loan growth sustainable after Q2 FY 2026?

Average loans increased by $3.0 billion to $141.4 billion in Q2 FY 2026, the strongest quarterly growth since 2012 after excluding acquisitions and the Paycheck Protection Program. Commercial loans led the increase, growing by $2.3 billion to $66.0 billion, while end-of-period commercial real estate balances reached $24.5 billion after increasing by $1.1 billion since March 2026. Management expects average loans of between $141 billion and $143 billion for FY 2026, but cautioned that the growth pace in the next 2 quarters may be lower than in Q2.

How large is M&T Bank's commercial real estate risk?

Average commercial real estate loans were $23.6 billion in Q2 FY 2026, while the end-of-period balance reached $24.5 billion, led by multifamily and industrial real estate. Classified commercial real estate loans declined by approximately $590 million during the quarter due to improved classifications of multifamily and office properties. Nevertheless, approximately 24% of the office portfolio remained classified, and management expects it to continue improving gradually over 1 or 2 years.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The office real estate portfolio remains a source of credit risk, with approximately 24% of it classified in Q2 FY 2026. Despite improving classifications, management expects the continued resolution of these loans to take 1 or 2 years and also indicated that the nonaccrual loan ratio of 84 basis points may be near its low and may not decline much further from this level.
  • −Loan growth exceeded average deposit growth during Q2 FY 2026; loans increased by $3.0 billion, while average deposits declined by $700 million to $163.5 billion. If core deposits are insufficient to fund expansion, the bank may turn to securitization, debt issuance, or Federal Home Loan Bank advances, which could increase earnings sensitivity to funding costs.
  • −Guidance includes some margin weakness, with management expecting net interest income in the lower half of the $7.2–$7.35 billion range and an annual net interest margin in the upper end of the 3.60% range, compared with 3.70% in Q2 FY 2026. Management explained that new assets carry a lower margin and that interest-bearing deposits are growing faster than noninterest-bearing deposits.
  • −Operating spending may pressure operating leverage, as management expects FY 2026 expenses at the upper end of the $5.5–$5.6 billion range due to investments in technology, cybersecurity, and business platforms. Bayview distribution revenue, which was $47 million in Q2 FY 2026, is also inconsistent in timing and amount, limiting the ability to forecast this portion of fees accurately.
  • −Management expects loan growth to continue in Q3 and Q4 FY 2026, but indicated that the pace may be slower than in Q2 and that commercial and industrial lending activity needs to rebuild deal pipelines after an exceptional quarter. This makes sustaining the record momentum achieved in Q2 more difficult.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus signals that the strength of the results does not eliminate operating and valuation risks, while the target range was between $224 and $300, a spread of $76. Insiders also recorded 10 sales and no purchases during the 3 months ending with the latest transaction on August 21, 2026, for net sales of $7.3 million, but these sales remain a weak signal on their own because they may have been prearranged.
What did M&T Bank's deposits and liquidity look like in Q2 FY 2026?

Average deposits declined by $700 million to $163.5 billion, including $43.9 billion in noninterest-bearing deposits and $119.6 billion in interest-bearing deposits. In contrast, end-of-period deposits rose to $168.9 billion, and management said the June 2026 average exceeded the quarterly average by approximately $3.4 billion. Total investment securities and cash held at the Federal Reserve were $53.9 billion, or 25% of assets, while management estimated the liquidity coverage ratio at 106%.

What is the impact of the mortgage subservicing business on M&T Bank's revenue?

The bank completed the addition of 214 thousand loans to its mortgage subservicing platform in Q2 FY 2026. Management expects these loans to add approximately $35 million to revenue in the second half of FY 2026, with most of the necessary employees and costs already included in the expense base. The business focuses on loans that are more difficult to service, including Federal Housing Administration loans, and earns servicing fees without recognizing an associated loan servicing asset on the balance sheet.

What is M&T Bank's outlook for the remainder of FY 2026?

Management expects net interest income in the lower half of the $7.2–$7.35 billion range and an annual net interest margin in the upper end of the 3.60% range. It is also targeting average loans of between $141 billion and $143 billion, deposits of between $165 billion and $167 billion, and fee income of between $2.8 billion and $2.85 billion. Expenses are expected at the upper end of the $5.5–$5.6 billion range, net charge-offs at 37 basis points, and the common equity tier 1 capital ratio in the lower end of the 10%–10.5% range.