EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
ArcelorMittal S.A.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall48
Balanced — near the middle of the marketTurnaroundF 6/9Better than 48% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
60
31.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
26
3.6%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
19
3.6%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
60
1.3x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
20
0.97%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
96
116.0%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
72
5▲3Top tier
MT

MT ArcelorMittal S.A.

ArcelorMittal S.A. · NYSE
Market Closed
74.51
▼ ⁦-0.73%⁩ (-0.55)
Market Cap$56.7B
Beta1.74
52w Low52w High
34.1578.78
Last Week
⁦-0.83%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.09%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+16.77%⁩
Last Year
⁦+120.64%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$75
Analyst target · 9 analysts
$75
⁦+1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$62–$82⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 9 analysts setting price target
$73.00
⁦-2.0%⁩
Current Price $74.51·Median $75.00
Low
$62.00
High
$82.00
Current price
$74.51
Average target
$73.00
Street summary

Target price average improves while ratings remain stable

Bullish tilt

ArcelorMittal’s consensus target price rose from 68.5 to 73 over the last 30 days, an increase of 4.5 or 6.57%, while the number of analysts remained at 9. There was no change over the last day or seven days, while the current price stands at 74.51, slightly above consensus and below the median of 75; this points to a previous improvement in the outlook without new upward momentum recently.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+6.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.71
Buy
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
57%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
27%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
1
3
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.63 → 3.71
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-04
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    31.31x
    4.94x39.51x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    11.74x
    3.70x29.59x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.43x
    2.62x20.92x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -3.4%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.6%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -26.8%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    8.5%
    7.6%58.9%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    3.6%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.34x
    0.22x3.72x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.0%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    30.3%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

ArcelorMittal S.A. produces steel through a geographic network spanning Europe, North America, Brazil, and India, alongside iron ore mining in Liberia. Its revenue benefits from the sale of steel products, including automotive grades, electrical steel, and heavy plate, as well as from its mining operations, while it is also expanding its sustainable solutions business in renewable energy and construction products such as panels and sections.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $2.1 billion, equivalent to $155 per tonne, while the European segment generated $98 per tonne, its highest level in three years. In the first half of fiscal year 2026, the company recorded revenue of $32.25 billion, but earnings per share of $0.89 fell short of analysts’ estimates of $1.18, reflecting a gap between strong sales and their conversion into profits.

The annual financial statements show an improvement in net income despite lower revenue: in fiscal year 2025, revenue reached $61.4 billion, net income $3.2 billion, and earnings per share $4.11, compared with revenue of $62.4 billion, net income of $1.4 billion, and earnings per share of $1.69 in fiscal year 2024. In contrast, gross profit declined to $4.4 billion in fiscal year 2025 from $5.8 billion in fiscal year 2024, while revenue remained well below the $79.8 billion recorded in fiscal year 2022.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management expects shipments in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026 to be stable or slightly higher than in quarter 2, contrary to the usual seasonal decline ranging from the mid- to high-single digits over the previous two years, supported by an improving order book and the restart of production in Spain, Poland, and France.
  • The European segment’s margin reached $98 per tonne in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, and management says this result did not yet include the benefits of the new tariff-rate quota mechanism; it also expects lower imports and improved fixed-cost absorption to make the restarted tonnes more profitable despite higher carbon costs.
  • Strategic growth projects are targeted to add $1.8 billion to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization starting in fiscal year 2026; $300 million of this was achieved in the first half, with an additional $400 million expected in the second half of fiscal year 2026.
  • The Calvert facility continues to ramp up its first electric arc furnace, targeting full capacity during the second half of fiscal year 2026, while engineering work is progressing on a second furnace that could reduce reliance on imported steel slabs. The non-grain-oriented electrical steel project at Calvert is also advancing according to the announced plan.
  • The company is maintaining its target of shipping 18 million tonnes from Liberia in fiscal year 2026, which requires approximately 10 million tonnes in the second half following delays caused by the heavy rainy season. In India, the joint ventures recorded a shipment run rate of nearly 8 million tonnes annually in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, alongside a plan to double production capacity.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The improvement in operating earnings in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 to $2.1 billion, and European profitability reaching $98 per tonne before the benefits of the new tariff-rate quotas emerged, provide tangible evidence of an improving European operating cycle.
  • +The growth program provides a quantifiable path to higher earnings, as the company targets an additional contribution of $1.8 billion, including $700 million expected during fiscal year 2026, split between $300 million in the first half and $400 million in the second half.
  • +Underlying free cash flow in the first half of fiscal year 2026 reached an annualized rate of $2.5 billion after excluding seasonal working capital investments and strategic capital expenditures, supporting project financing, the dividend policy, and share repurchases.
  • +ArcelorMittal’s portfolio provides direct exposure to growth in India, where the company targets long-term capacity of 40 million tonnes annually, and to demand linked to electricity and renewable energy; management estimates that power generation projects outside China will require approximately 300 million tonnes of steel through 2035.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $73 and a target range of $62 to $82, while Deutsche Bank raised its target to $75 following the first-half fiscal year 2026 results. The average target is below the upper end of the 52-week range of $75.93, while the breadth of the target range reflects differing views on the company’s ability to convert sales growth and the $1.8 billion in incremental earnings projects into sustainable margins and cash flows.

BuyAnalyst target: $73(-2.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were ArcelorMittal’s key figures in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $2.1 billion, equivalent to $155 per tonne. The European segment generated $98 per tonne, its highest level in three years. In the first half of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $32.25 billion, but earnings per share were $0.89 versus estimates of $1.18.

Why does ArcelorMittal expect its European business to improve?

The company expects shipments in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026 to be stable or slightly higher than in quarter 2, instead of the usual seasonal decline. It cited a strong order book, higher customer engagement, and the restart of furnaces in Spain, Poland, and France, with the full blast furnace fleet operating from quarter 3. It also believes the new tariff-rate quota mechanism will reduce imports and enable it to regain market share, although real European demand remains stable.

How much will growth projects contribute to ArcelorMittal’s earnings?

The strategic projects are targeted to add $1.8 billion to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization starting in fiscal year 2026. The company achieved $300 million of this contribution in the first half and expects another $400 million in the second half of fiscal year 2026. The drivers include expansions in Liberia and Serra Azul, the electric arc furnace at Calvert, and projects in India, alongside later opportunities in Brazil and the United States.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Earnings per share in the first half of fiscal year 2026 came in at $0.89, below analysts’ estimates of $1.18, while quarter 2 results also indicated that earnings and revenue were below expectations; this shows that strong revenue of $32.25 billion did not fully translate into expected profitability.
  • −The annual revenue trend remains weak, declining from $79.8 billion in fiscal year 2022 to $68.3 billion in fiscal year 2023, then $62.4 billion in fiscal year 2024 and $61.4 billion in fiscal year 2025. Gross profit also fell from $5.8 billion in fiscal year 2024 to $4.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, despite the increase in net income.
  • −The ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rih plant, Ukraine’s largest steel plant, was struck by a Russian missile on August 17, 2026, killing two people and injuring 13, damaging energy facilities and blast furnace operations, and forcing the facility to partially suspend operations. This creates a direct risk to production continuity, repair costs, and the facility’s operating schedule.
  • −The steel industry continues to face pressure from global overcapacity; management stated that at least half of the Chinese industry is burning cash, without being able to determine the timing of restructuring. In Europe, part of the improvement in ArcelorMittal’s outlook depends on reducing imports through tariff-rate quotas and regaining market share, while real demand remained stable rather than recording clear growth.
  • −Carbon costs will rise as European production increases in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026, even though management expects improved fixed-cost absorption to offset them. The company also explained that gas prices and the availability and cost of hydrogen do not make new direct-reduction projects in Europe economically viable under the conditions described during the July 30, 2026 call.
  • −The average analyst target of $73 is below the 52-week range high of $75.93, while the lowest target is $62 and the highest is $82. This proximity between the average target and the annual high makes the realization of additional value highly dependent on margin improvement and the execution of growth projects, particularly after first-half fiscal year 2026 earnings failed to meet expectations.
How important are India and Liberia to ArcelorMittal’s growth?

ArcelorMittal targets increasing its long-term capacity in India to 40 million tonnes annually and expects Indian steel demand to nearly double during the decade following the July 30, 2026 call. The India business and joint ventures recorded an annual shipment run rate of nearly 8 million tonnes in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, with the capacity-doubling plan progressing. In Liberia, the company targets shipping 18 million tonnes during fiscal year 2026, and reaching that target requires shipping approximately 10 million tonnes in the second half.

What are the biggest operating risks facing MT stock?

The most significant direct risks are weak conversion of revenue into earnings, as earnings per share for the first half of fiscal year 2026 fell below expectations, alongside higher carbon costs as European production increases. On August 17, 2026, a missile attack damaged energy facilities and blast furnaces at the Kryvyi Rih plant and caused a partial suspension of operations. The outlook for European improvement also depends on lower imports due to tariff-rate quotas, while real demand remained stable and Chinese overcapacity continued to pressure the industry.