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Stocks
Motorola Solutions, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall70
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 6/9SafeBetter than 70% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
24
36.6x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
64
10.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
92
21.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
64
2.1x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
40
1.01%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
64
-2.3%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
47
9▲3Around median
MSI

MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc.

Motorola Solutions, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
466.16
▲ ⁦+0.49%⁩ (+2.28)
Market Cap$77.4B
Beta0.87
52w Low52w High
359.36494.85
Last Week
⁦-1.29%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.76%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+13.60%⁩
Last Year
⁦-3.23%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$466
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$530
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$476–$550⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$256
⁦-45%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.2⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$256–$530⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$525.00
⁦+12.6%⁩
Current Price $466.16·Median $529.50
Low
$476.00
High
$550.00
Current price
$466.16
Average target
$525.00
Street summary

Motorola Solutions (MSI) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

Motorola Solutions stock has seen an upward revision in analyst expectations over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 3.75% from $506 to $525. This change reflects growing confidence in the stock's performance, especially with the current price stabilizing at $478.92, which places it near the lower end of the targets ($476) and well below the average ($525), suggesting potential room for growth according to market estimates.

As of 2026-09-02
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.21
Buy
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
86%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
16%
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
5
7
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.93 → 4.21
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    36.59x
    6.87x54.92x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    26.48x
    5.19x41.53x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    23.93x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    3.5%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    10.3%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1.8%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    52.0%
    12.9%79.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    21.4%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.07x
    0.26x3.22x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.0%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    35.9%
    4.4%96.7%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.18
    -10.9113.66
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Motorola Solutions is a company specializing in the safety and security ecosystem, generating revenue from mission-critical communications networks, radios and infrastructure, video solutions, command center software, and multiyear service contracts. It operates through two segments: Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services, while its main technologies include mission-critical communications networks MCN, video, and command centers. This model supports a mix of device and project sales, software subscriptions, and services related to infrastructure and P25 and LMR networks.

In fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, revenue reached $3.1 billion, up 13% year over year, and gross profit was $1.7 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 54.8%. Net income reached $557 million, GAAP earnings per share were $3.33, and GAAP operating margin was 25.8%. On an adjusted basis, earnings per share were $4.41 and operating margin increased to 32.9%, with results benefiting from $60 million in IEEPA tariff refunds; even excluding them, adjusted operating margin expanded by 140 basis points.

The Products and Systems Integration segment grew 15% in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, supported by MCN and video and strong demand for LMR and Silvus, with an operating margin of 31.4%. The Software and Services segment grew 10% across all three technologies, with an operating margin of 35.3%. Geographically, North America generated $2.2 billion in revenue, up 9%, while international revenue reached $923 million, up 25%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Backlog at the end of fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 reached a second-quarter record of $15.6 billion, up $1.5 billion or 11% year over year, driven by record orders across all three technologies; Software and Services backlog increased by $1.2 billion year over year due to multiyear contracts.
  • On August 5, 2026, Motorola Solutions raised its fiscal year 2026 revenue forecast from $12.8 billion to approximately $12.975 billion and increased its adjusted earnings per share range from $16.87–$16.99 to $17.62–$17.72. The $175 million increase in the revenue forecast came from MCN, including approximately $100 million from Silvus and $75 million from public safety LMR demand.
  • The company expects Silvus to generate approximately $850 million in revenue in fiscal year 2026, after recording nearly $210 million in the first quarter and $230 million in the second quarter. Motorola Solutions added production capacity at its Los Angeles site and doubled the size of its sales team, while benefits from the new Salt Lake City manufacturing facility are expected to begin during 2027.
  • Product upgrades support the LMR network growth cycle; APX NEXT is driving device and subscription sales, while D-Series represents the first major infrastructure upgrade in 12 years. The company is targeting 300,000 APX NEXT application subscribers by the end of fiscal year 2026, compared with approximately 200,000 at the end of fiscal year 2025, bringing this business close to $100 million in annual recurring revenue.
  • Video and artificial intelligence solutions demonstrated tangible commercial momentum in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2; the company won a $25 million order from Florida Highway Patrol and another worth $24 million from Kansas City Police Department. In addition, 100% of the VESTA emergency call-handling solutions sold during the quarter were in the Assist category, which includes artificial intelligence capabilities.
  • Motorola Solutions completed its acquisition of D-Fend Solutions for $1.5 billion on August 25, 2026, adding radio-frequency-based cyber takeover technology for countering drones. The transaction expands the company's portfolio from unmanned-systems communications through Silvus to drone detection, tracking, and neutralization in public safety and critical infrastructure applications.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +The $15.6 billion backlog, with 11% year-over-year growth and record orders across all three technologies, provides strong visibility into future revenue, particularly because the year-over-year increase in Software and Services backlog reached $1.2 billion.
  • +Growth in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 was broad-based; revenue increased 13%, both segments and all three technologies grew at double-digit rates, and international revenue rose 25%. This was accompanied by a 140-basis-point expansion in adjusted operating margin even after excluding the impact of IEEPA refunds.
  • +The APX NEXT and D-Series cycle combines device and infrastructure sales with subsequent software and services revenue; customers purchasing new infrastructure sign five- or ten-year service contracts. The targeted increase in APX NEXT application subscribers to 300,000 by the end of fiscal year 2026 also strengthens recurring revenue.
  • +Management raised its fiscal year 2026 forecast for the second time, targeting revenue of approximately $12.975 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $17.62 to $17.72, with expected growth of 11% in both the Products and Systems Integration segment and the Software and Services segment.
  • +D-Fend Solutions expands Motorola Solutions' reach in the counter-drone market, while Silvus outperformed the company's estimates, supported by market-share gains and international defense demand. Combining jam-resistant communications through Silvus with cyber neutralization through D-Fend gives the company a specialized offering for unmanned systems and public safety.

Valuation

The analyst consensus on MSI stock is “Buy,” with an average price target of $525 and a target range of $476 to $550. The average target is above the 52-week high of $493.57, but the low-end target is below it, reflecting differing estimates of the potential growth from LMR, Silvus, and D-Fend and the risks from memory costs and debt. The data do not include a usable earnings multiple, so the valuation assessment is based on the 52-week range of $359.36–$493.57 and the distribution of analyst targets rather than concluding that the stock is cheap or expensive based on an unavailable multiple.

BuyAnalyst target: $525(+12.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove MSI's results in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2?

Motorola Solutions' revenue increased 13% to $3.1 billion, with net income of $557 million and earnings per share of $3.33. The Products and Systems Integration segment grew 15% due to LMR demand and Silvus strength, while the Software and Services segment grew 10%. Adjusted operating margin expanded to 32.9%, or by 140 basis points after excluding the benefit from $60 million in IEEPA refunds. Backlog also reached a second-quarter record of $15.6 billion.

How important are APX NEXT and D-Series to Motorola Solutions' growth?

APX NEXT represents an upgrade to mission-critical communications devices with applications such as SmartConnect, Smart Programming, and Location, and the company is targeting 300,000 subscribers by the end of fiscal year 2026 versus approximately 200,000 at the end of fiscal year 2025. The application subscription business is approaching $100 million in annual recurring revenue, with application pricing of approximately $300 annually. D-Series is the first infrastructure upgrade for P25 networks in 12 years, and shipments of the UHF version began in fiscal year 2026 quarter 4 according to the call. D-Series projects support five- or ten-year software and service contracts, linking infrastructure sales to subsequent recurring revenue.

Why is Silvus an important driver for MSI stock?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Expected direct memory costs in fiscal year 2026 are rising to approximately $150 million, compared with $50 million in fiscal year 2025, with much of the increase occurring during the second half because of inventory timing. Despite component availability, the company must pay higher prices and carry more inventory, and it expects fiscal year 2026 gross margin to remain similar to the prior year rather than expand.
  • −The forecast for approximately 8% sales growth in fiscal year 2026 quarter 3 indicates a slowdown from the second quarter's 13% revenue growth, while the second-half plan depends partly on the timing of D-Series shipments and product acceptances and the conversion of book-and-ship orders. Total backlog also declined by $71 million sequentially, and Products and Systems Integration backlog fell by $99 million sequentially because of strong shipments.
  • −Completing the acquisition of D-Fend Solutions for $1.5 billion increased financing, execution, and integration risks, after the company had planned to raise approximately $1 billion in additional debt to fund the transaction. Management had expected to end fiscal year 2026 with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of approximately two times, alongside higher interest expense that partially constrained earnings-per-share growth in the second quarter.
  • −The company operates in markets with direct competition for video, device, and software contracts; it described the Florida Highway Patrol and Kansas City Police Department contracts as highly competitive, while news reports identified Axon as a competitor in safety and security solutions. The importance of competitive conversions means that continued growth in video and SPX requires maintaining technological and commercial superiority over alternative offerings.
  • −The 52-week range of $359.36–$493.57 reflects meaningful volatility, while the data do not include an earnings multiple that can be used to assess how conservative the valuation is relative to earnings. The average analyst target of $525 is also not far above the upper end of the 52-week range compared with the breadth of the $476–$550 range between analysts' lowest and highest targets.
  • −Insiders recorded eight sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 21, 2026, with net sales of $1.6 million and a signal classified as strong_sell. This remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data provide no evidence to the contrary.

Silvus generated approximately $210 million in revenue in fiscal year 2026 quarter 1 and approximately $230 million in the second quarter, and the company raised its annual revenue forecast to nearly $850 million. Management said the performance reflects market-share gains more than expansion caused by an increase in the size of the addressable market. The company added capacity at its Los Angeles site and doubled the sales team, with a new facility in Salt Lake City expected to begin contributing during 2027. The technology is based on Spectrum Dominance 2.0 and high-bandwidth, jam-resistant MANET communications designed for unmanned systems and battlefield communications.

How does the acquisition of D-Fend Solutions change Motorola Solutions' portfolio?

Motorola Solutions completed the acquisition of D-Fend Solutions for $1.5 billion on August 25, 2026. D-Fend adds capabilities to detect, track, and identify drones, then neutralize them through cyber takeover of the communications link without kinetic means. These capabilities complement Silvus, which focuses on unmanned-systems and defense communications, while D-Fend targets public safety and critical infrastructure. Financing for the transaction was linked to a plan to raise approximately $1 billion in additional debt, with an expected net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of approximately two times at the end of fiscal year 2026.

What are the main risks to Motorola Solutions' margins in fiscal year 2026?

The company expects direct memory spending to increase to approximately $150 million in fiscal year 2026, compared with approximately $50 million in fiscal year 2025. Much of the increase falls in the second half because of inventory timing, and the company carried higher inventory to ensure continuity of supply. Motorola Solutions implemented selective price increases on video products with high memory content, including video servers. Despite an improvement in the impact of tariffs, management expects gross margin to remain similar to the prior year, with full-year operating margin expanding by approximately 170 basis points.

What is Motorola Solutions' outlook for fiscal year 2026?

On August 5, 2026, the company raised its revenue forecast to approximately $12.975 billion, compared with a previous forecast of $12.8 billion. It also raised its adjusted earnings per share range to $17.62–$17.72 from $16.87–$16.99. Management expects 11% growth in both the Products and Systems Integration segment and the Software and Services segment, with MCN growing between 10% and 11%, video by 11%, and command centers by approximately 15%. For fiscal year 2026 quarter 3, the company projected sales growth of approximately 8% and adjusted earnings per share of $4.39 to $4.44.