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Stocks
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
MSGE

MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. · NYSE
Market Closed
79.19
▲ ⁦+4.54%⁩ (+3.44)
Market Cap$3.6B
Beta0.57
52w Low52w High
38.7990.41
Last Week
⁦+2.79%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.79%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.23%⁩
Last Year
⁦+101.35%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall76
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 7/8Grey zoneBetter than 76% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
30
57.8x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
76
12.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
85
8.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
49
3.8x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
45
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
92
107.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
34
4▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$79
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$93
⁦+17%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$80–$103⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$136
⁦+72%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$93–$136⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$92.33
⁦+16.6%⁩
Current Price $79.19·Median $93.00
Low
$80.00
High
$103.00
Current price
$79.19
Average target
$92.33
Street summary

MSGE Target Price Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) stock has seen a notable positive shift in analyst ratings over the past 30 days, with the average target price jumping 19.6% to reach $92.33 compared to $77.2 in late July. Notably, the current stock price (78.15) is trading below the lowest target price set by analysts ($80), indicating a valuation gap in favor of the upside, despite recent divergence in opinions with Piper Sandler initiating coverage with a Neutral rating on August 20.

As of 2026-08-27
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+7.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.40
Hold
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
40%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
29%
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
4
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.67 → 3.40
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-20
    Piper Sandler
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    BTIG
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    Bank of America Securities
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    57.80x
    4.21x33.71x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    31.05x
    3.09x24.70x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    23.70x
    2.57x20.60x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    8.7%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    12.5%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    77.9%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    45.1%
    11.3%77.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    8.4%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.79x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.01
    -8.274.77
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-12 data

Company Overview

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. operates a portfolio of live entertainment venues and productions, led by Madison Square Garden, Radio City Music Hall, Beacon Theatre, and Infosys Theater. The company generates revenue from concerts, special events, family shows, and marquee sports, as well as sponsorships, signage, premium suites, food and beverages, and merchandise. It also benefits from its agreements with MSG Sports, receiving 50% of net food and beverage profits at Knicks and Rangers games, retaining 30% of net merchandise revenue from the two teams, and earning commissions on single-night suite rentals.

In fiscal 2026, the company hosted approximately 6.4 million guests across nearly 960 live events, with annual revenue exceeding $1 billion and adjusted operating income reaching $262 million; management said they increased 13% and 18%, respectively. Christmas Spectacular generated approximately $195 million in revenue from 215 paid performances and more than 1.2 million tickets sold, its highest attendance in 25 years, making it, alongside Madison Square Garden, one of the two primary sources of the company’s economics.

There is a discrepancy between the two available sources for fiscal 2026 Q4 results: EDGAR filings report revenue of $271.1 million and a net loss of $10.0 million, while the earnings call presented revenue of $196.3 million, up 27% year over year, and adjusted operating income of $18.6 million compared with an adjusted operating loss of $1.3 million a year earlier. Based on the revenue figure provided on the call, the adjusted operating income margin was approximately 9.5%, and management attributed the improvement to more Madison Square Garden concerts and higher food and beverage, merchandise, sponsorship, and suite revenue, partially offset by fewer theater concerts.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management expects revenue and adjusted operating income growth in fiscal 2027, driven primarily by more concerts, followed by special events and marquee sports, along with improved profitability per event. Madison Square Garden bookings have reached approximately 90% of the fiscal 2027 target, compared with approximately 60% for the company’s theaters.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The fiscal 2027 calendar includes a 30-night Harry Styles residency from August through October 2026, and management said fiscal 2027 Q1 is on track to surpass the record for the number of concerts in any quarter at Madison Square Garden. The portfolio also includes residencies by Bon Jovi, Phish, Joe Hisaishi, Seth Meyers, John Oliver, and Jerry Seinfeld.
  • Christmas Spectacular is presenting approximately 230 performances for the 2026 holiday season, compared with 215 performances in fiscal 2026, representing a mid-single-digit increase in the number of shows. Management expects ticket revenue growth from the combination of more performances and a higher average yield per ticket, with a new Rockettes scene and new immersive technologies added for the production’s 93rd season.
  • MSG Sports agreements added approximately $7.4 million to fiscal 2026 Q4 revenue compared with the prior period, with nine Knicks playoff games hosted during the NBA championship run. Management believes strong in-arena attendance could support food and beverage, merchandise, and suite revenue in fiscal 2027.
  • Partnerships and premium hospitality supported performance through a multiyear agreement with Kalshi and multiyear renewals with Lexus, Anheuser-Busch, and Infosys. The company plans to renovate more Lexus Level suites during fiscal 2027 following strong sales and renewal activity.
  • The reported fiscal 2026 Q4 loss per share was $0.13, better than the $0.42 loss in the Zacks Consensus estimate and the $0.50 loss in the comparable period, indicating operating improvement that exceeded market expectations despite the quarter’s net result remaining a loss.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The operating model demonstrated strong leverage in fiscal 2026 Q4; the 27% revenue increase reported on the call turned an adjusted operating loss of $1.3 million into adjusted operating income of $18.6 million.
    • +Demand for Madison Square Garden provides relatively high operating visibility, with bookings reaching approximately 90% of the fiscal 2027 target, a 30-night Harry Styles residency, and expectations for a new quarterly record for the number of concerts.
    • +Christmas Spectacular generated approximately $195 million in revenue and sold more than 1.2 million tickets in fiscal 2026, after which the company increased the number of performances for the 2026 holiday season to 230 and added new content and technologies to support ticket yield.
    • +The company repurchased approximately 623,000 Class A shares for $25 million during fiscal 2026, bringing total repurchases since the separation in 2023 to approximately 6.1 million shares for $205 million.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −A significant portion of the company’s economics depends on Madison Square Garden and Christmas Spectacular; management explained that these two sources exceed the theaters combined in terms of economic contribution, and Christmas Spectacular alone generated approximately $195 million in fiscal 2026. Therefore, any booking gap or weakness in demand for either asset could have a disproportionate effect on results.
    • −Theater bookings were only approximately 60% of the fiscal 2027 target, and booking pace was lagging in the September and December quarters, despite Madison Square Garden reaching approximately 90% of its target. Family shows also face a difficult year-over-year comparison because of the absence of the Cirque du Soleil season held at Infosys Theater and Chicago Theatre in the previous year.
    • −Results show volatility and uneven quarterly profitability; EDGAR data reports net income of $92.7 million in fiscal 2026 Q2, followed by $5.1 million in Q3, and then a net loss of $10.0 million in Q4. Direct operating expenses and selling, general, and administrative expenses also increased in the latest quarter, offsetting part of the revenue growth.
    • −The transfer of Infosys Theater carries execution and financial risks because the memorandum of understanding announced in June 2026 is nonbinding and remains subject to negotiation and definitive documentation. Management has not decided how to use the proceeds and acknowledged the possibility of tax leakage, while redirecting events, sponsorships, and signage to other venues remains under evaluation.
    • −Debt was approximately $579 million compared with $294 million of unrestricted cash as of June 30, 2026, and the cash balance includes significant amounts payable to promoters. Net interest payments totaled $32 million in fiscal 2026, while fiscal 2027 cash flows will be affected by cash taxes, capital expenditures for technology and suite renovations, and the reversal of a portion of amounts payable to promoters.
    • −The analyst consensus is Neutral, with price targets ranging from $80 to $103, a spread that reflects no clear agreement on the company’s value, while the average target of $92.33 is only slightly above the 52-week range high of $90.41. Insider activity also recorded one sale with net proceeds of $737,873.36 during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 11, 2026; this is a weak standalone signal because such sales may be prearranged unless the context proves otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $92.33, compared with a wide target range of $80 to $103 and a Neutral consensus, and the average is only approximately 2.1% above the 52-week range high of $90.41. No reported price-to-earnings ratio is available, despite earnings per share of $1.38 in fiscal 2026 and approximately $1.02 for the trailing twelve months, so the valuation assessment depends more heavily on the sustainability of adjusted operating income growth, bookings, and volatility in quarterly net income.

    HoldAnalyst target: $92.33(+16.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does MSGE generate its revenue?

    MSGE generates revenue from concerts, special events, family shows, and marquee sports at Madison Square Garden and its theaters, as well as sponsorships, signage, suites, food and beverages, and merchandise. In fiscal 2026, it hosted approximately 960 events that attracted nearly 6.4 million guests. Through MSG Sports, it also receives 50% of net food and beverage profits and 30% of net merchandise revenue from the Knicks and Rangers, in addition to commissions on single-night suite rentals.

    How important is Christmas Spectacular to MSGE’s results?

    Christmas Spectacular generated approximately $195 million in revenue in fiscal 2026 after selling more than 1.2 million tickets across 215 paid performances. This was the production’s highest attendance in 25 years and another record year, according to management. For the 2026 holiday season, the company is presenting 230 performances and adding a new Rockettes scene and new immersive technologies, with ticket revenue expected to grow through more performances and a higher average yield per ticket.

    What supports MSGE’s growth in fiscal 2027?

    Management expects revenue and adjusted operating income growth in fiscal 2027, with more events and improved economics per event. Madison Square Garden bookings have reached approximately 90% of the annual target and include a 30-night Harry Styles residency between August and October 2026. The NCAA Men's Basketball East Regionals also return to Madison Square Garden in March during fiscal 2027 Q3, while the company expects growth in concerts, special events, and marquee sports.

    What was the impact of the Knicks championship on MSGE?

    MSGE hosted nine Knicks playoff games during the NBA championship run in fiscal 2026. Agreements with MSG Sports added approximately $7.4 million to fiscal 2026 Q4 revenue compared with the prior period, including the impact of higher merchandise and food and beverage sales. The company participates in these economics through 50% of net food and beverage profits, 30% of net merchandise revenue, and commissions on single-night suites.

    What is the status of the Infosys Theater transfer as part of the Penn Station redevelopment?

    In June 2026, MSGE signed a nonbinding memorandum of understanding to transfer Infosys Theater to the lead development team for the Penn Station project. As of the August 12, 2026 earnings call, the company was working on definitive documentation while confirming that Madison Square Garden would remain fully operational during the redevelopment. Management has not decided how to use the potential proceeds, but said reinvestment in another venue is the primary means of reducing tax leakage and that redirecting events and sponsorships to other theaters remains under consideration.

    Does fiscal 2026 Q4 reflect improved profitability?

    The company reported a loss of $0.13 per share in fiscal 2026 Q4, compared with an expected loss of $0.42 and a loss of $0.50 in the comparable period. According to the earnings call, adjusted operating income was $18.6 million compared with an adjusted operating loss of $1.3 million a year earlier, with revenue reported on the call increasing 27% to $196.3 million. By contrast, EDGAR data reports revenue of $271.1 million and a net loss of $10.0 million for the same quarter, so the net result should be distinguished from the adjusted operating income measure.