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Stocks
Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares
MRX

MRX Marex Group Limited

Marex Group Limited · NASDAQ
Market Open
70.82
▼ ⁦-2.99%⁩ (-2.18)
Market Cap$5.1B
Beta-0.10
52w Low52w High
27.9178.38
Last Week
⁦-6.38%⁩
Last Month
⁦+16.96%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+36.72%⁩
Last Year
⁦+95.10%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall75
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 4/9Better than 75% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
71
18.3x17.9xTop tier
▸
Growth
79
26.9%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
94
——Top tier
▸
Safety
8
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
13
0.82%▼2.11%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
97
67.2%▲2.7%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
39
7▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$71
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$80
⁦+13%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$75–$90⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$81.83
⁦+15.5%⁩
Current Price $70.82·Median $80.00
Low
$75.00
High
$90.00
Current price
$70.82
Average target
$81.83
Street summary

Consensus Target Rises as Coverage Declines

The consensus price target rose over the last 30 days from 77.75 to 81.83, an increase of 4.08 or 5.25%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days. Although the consensus remains above the current price of 74.09, the number of analysts decreased from 5 to 2, making the consensus reading less broad and more susceptible to variation. The current range is between 75 and 90, with a median of 80, reflecting notable dispersion among the estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.25
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦8 (-3)⁩
Buy conviction
88%
High
Target dispersion
21%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
3
4
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.25 → 4.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    18.35x
    3.14x25.12x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    13.11x
    2.79x22.31x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.84x
    3.07x24.55x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    12.2%
    -17.7%19.0%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    26.9%
    -36.5%104.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    41.9%
    -99.7%193.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    54.7%
    23.3%98.3%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.40x
    0.25x7.26x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.8%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    15.0%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-12 data

Company Overview

Marex Group Limited operates as a global financial markets infrastructure platform, generating revenue from clearing, agency and execution services, market making, hedging solutions, and financial products. Its operations include prime brokerage, foreign exchange, equities, derivatives, and commodities, alongside commission and interest income associated with clearing client balances. Its expansion depends on deepening client relationships, adding products and geographic regions, and acquiring companies that can be integrated into the Marex platform.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue rose 39% year over year to $696 million, adjusted profit before tax increased 56% to $166 million, and its margin expanded to 23.8%, while reported net profit after tax was $155 million and reported basic earnings per share were $2.09. The reported results included a $35 million gain from the sale of Winterflood’s custody business; excluding non-operating items, adjusted earnings per share were $1.72, up 59%. For H1 FY2026, the company recorded revenue of $1.39 billion, adjusted profit before tax of $319 million, and adjusted earnings per share of $3.29.

Agency and Execution led the Q2 FY2026 mix with revenue of $351 million and growth of 35%, including $283 million from securities and $120 million from prime brokerage services, and achieved an adjusted profit before tax margin of 33%. Clearing revenue was $161 million with a 49% margin, while Market Making revenue jumped 106% to $118 million with a 38% margin, and Solutions revenue rose 74% as its margin reached 35%. These results align with the increase in annual revenue from $711.1 million in FY2022 to $2.0 billion in FY2025, and the rise in net income over the same period from $98.2 million to $307.7 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The expansion of client relationships supports structural growth beyond the impact of trading volumes; the number of clients each generating more than $5 million in annualized run-rate revenue rose to 77 clients in FY2026, compared with 49 in FY2025 and 36 in FY2024, while revenue from this category increased 59% and average revenue per client rose 34%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Prime brokerage services recorded all-time-high revenue of $120 million in Q2 FY2026, and management said the business had grown to nearly twice its size a year earlier. In Clearing, average client balances increased to $19.1 billion from $16 billion in Q1 FY2026, and new clients added approximately $1 billion in net balances through early August 2026.
  • The shift toward higher-margin businesses accelerated; adjusted profit before tax for Agency and Execution grew 69% to $117 million, and reached $45 million in Market Making and $25 million in Solutions during Q2 FY2026. As a result, the group’s adjusted profit before tax margin reached approximately 24%, with management expecting any further improvement to be slow and gradual.
  • Marex completed the acquisition of Webb Traders on August 3, 2026 to strengthen equity derivatives market making and bring some hedging operations in-house, which management expects to support margin expansion. It also said that Arna, Hamilton Court, and Winterflood collectively achieved an annualized net profit run rate of approximately $60 million in Q2 FY2026, compared with approximately $16 million in annualized net profit before they were acquired.
  • The company is expanding its digital market infrastructure capabilities; it provides cross-margin clearing between U.S. Treasury futures at CME and cash Treasuries through FICC and DTC for three clients, with more than ten clients in the pipeline. In Q2 FY2026, it enabled the use of USDC as initial margin under a CFTC pilot program and executed a repo transaction on the Canton Network using tokenized U.S. Treasury bonds.
  • Management is targeting growth at the upper end of its 10% to 20% range, supported by year-over-year adjusted profit growth in 19 of the past 20 quarters. It also reported on the August 12, 2026 call that activity levels during July and the elapsed portion of August 2026 continued at the level recorded in H1 FY2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Marex demonstrates a strong ability to convert revenue growth into profits; in FY2025, revenue rose to $2.0 billion from $1.6 billion in FY2024, while net income grew to $307.7 million from $218.0 million, and the adjusted profit before tax margin then expanded to 23.8% in Q2 FY2026.
    • +The platform’s diversification has demonstrated its ability to offset weakness in some market indicators; despite a 17% decline in major exchange volumes in Q2 FY2026 compared with Q1, adjusted profit before tax rose 9% sequentially to a record $166 million.
    • +Growth in prime brokerage and clearing enhances revenue quality, with clearing client balances averaging $19.1 billion and clearing net interest income increasing 31% in Q2 FY2026. Prime brokerage also contributed record revenue of $120 million through outsourced trading services, broker-to-broker intermediation, and balance-sheet-funded activity.
    • +The group maintains funding capacity that supports growth; funding sources totaled $8.1 billion and excess liquidity was $1.8 billion as of June 30, 2026, while the risk-adjusted capital ratio was approximately 12% versus the 10% level that S&P describes as strong. On August 24, 2026, Marex confirmed a quarterly distribution of $0.16 per share.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Earnings remain sensitive to trading conditions, prices, volatility, and margin requirements; major exchange volumes fell 17% in Q2 FY2026 compared with Q1, and management acknowledged that some unusual client activity in H1 FY2026 could subside as the environment normalizes. Energy activity also declined from its elevated Q1 levels, while the group’s net interest income fell to $30 million from $35 million a year earlier.
    • −Balance-sheet-driven growth increases funding and liquidity risks; assets totaled $42.1 billion as of June 30, 2026, and the company issued $500 million of hybrid capital and $500 million of unsecured bonds during the quarter. Interest expenses associated with two previous issuances of $500 million each, together with structured notes, reduced net interest income, while excess liquidity imposes a short-term drag on this income.
    • −The acquisition strategy carries execution and integration risks; not all Winterflood integration benefits had been realized by the August 12, 2026 call, while Webb Traders requires integrating its equity derivatives capabilities and bringing hedging in-house to achieve the expected margin expansion. The BrightPoint transaction, announced in July 2026, was also expected to close in late 2026 or early 2027, so the benefits associated with clearing in Asia and expansion in China had not yet been realized.
    • −Market Making and prime brokerage activities entail increasing market and credit risks as the platform expands; average daily value at risk rose to $5.8 million in H1 FY2026. The company recorded 11 loss days, representing 4% of trading days during the twelve months ended Q2 FY2026, while the Clearing segment also noted the impact of a single client default that occurred in January 2026.
    • −Slower margin expansion could limit the pace of earnings growth after the adjusted profit before tax margin reached approximately 24% in Q2 FY2026. Despite management’s confidence in the current level, it explained that any subsequent increase would likely be slow and gradual, while expenses rose 35% due to performance-related compensation, investment, and acquisitions.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $81.83, within a range of $75 to $90, and the stock carries a consensus “Buy” rating; the average is above the 52-week range high of $75.4, while the lowest target is approximately equal to that high. No reported price-to-earnings multiple is available in the data, but margin expansion and rapid growth are offset by reliance on market conditions and funding and acquisition risks that may limit the achievement of analyst targets, and the data contain no recent rating or price-target downgrade.

    BuyAnalyst target: $81.83(+15.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Marex’s earnings growth in FY2026?

    In Q2 FY2026, revenue rose 39% to $696 million and adjusted profit before tax increased 56% to $166 million. Growth came from all segments, with revenue of $351 million from Agency and Execution, $161 million from Clearing, and $118 million from Market Making. The number of clients each generating more than $5 million in annualized run-rate revenue also rose to 77 clients, and average revenue per client increased 34%. Management stated that approximately 80% of year-over-year profit growth in that quarter was organic.

    Is Marex highly dependent on market volatility and trading volumes?

    Market conditions affect Marex’s businesses, but Q2 FY2026 results showed some resilience in the face of lower activity. Major exchange volumes fell 17% compared with Q1, while adjusted profit before tax rose 9% sequentially to $166 million. Prime brokerage, Clearing, and Solutions supported this offset, and prime brokerage revenue reached a record $120 million. Nevertheless, management said that some unusual client activity in H1 FY2026 could subside as conditions return to normal.

    How important is the Webb Traders acquisition to MRX stock?

    Marex completed the acquisition of Webb Traders on August 3, 2026 to add market-making capabilities in single-stock options in Europe and the United States. The company expects the integration to allow it to bring part of the structured-products business’s hedging in-house, supporting margin expansion. The acquisition adds a team of market makers and developers, as well as offices in Amsterdam and Paris, to the Marex platform. The actual financial benefit remains dependent on successful integration and realization of the expected hedging and pricing benefits.

    How strong was Marex’s balance sheet at the end of Q2 FY2026?

    Marex’s total assets were approximately $42.1 billion as of June 30, 2026, and the company said that nearly 80% were directly related to client activities and were highly liquid and largely self-funded. Funding sources totaled $8.1 billion, excess liquidity was $1.8 billion, and the risk-adjusted capital ratio reached approximately 12%. During the quarter, the company issued $500 million of hybrid capital and $500 million of unsecured bonds to support expansion. Conversely, higher interest expenses contributed to a decline in net interest income to $30 million from $35 million in the comparable quarter.

    What opportunities does Marex have in digital assets and new market infrastructure?

    In Q2 FY2026, Marex was providing cross-margin clearing between U.S. Treasury futures at CME and cash Treasuries through FICC and DTC for three clients, with more than ten clients in the pipeline. It also enabled USDC as initial margin under a CFTC pilot program and executed a repo transaction on the Canton Network using tokenized U.S. Treasury bonds. The company is also building a digital-asset prime brokerage offering and believes these services could open relationships with sophisticated hedge funds. Management confirmed that revenue from cross-margin clearing would not be substantial on its own, but considers it a profitable business that strengthens the platform’s credibility.

    How does the analyst target compare with Marex’s price history and earnings?

    The average analyst target is $81.83, with a low target of $75 and a high target of $90, and the consensus rates the stock a “Buy.” The average target is above the 52-week range high of $75.4, while the lowest target is close to that high. Operationally, annual earnings per share rose from $1.36 in FY2022 to $3.86 in FY2025, and reported trailing-twelve-month earnings per share were $5.72 through Q2 FY2026. This growth should be weighed against earnings sensitivity to trading conditions, higher funding costs, and acquisition integration risks.

  • −Insiders recorded net sales of $8.2 million during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 14, 2026, across 18 sales and no purchases. This is a weak trading signal relative to the operational and financial risks, because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicate otherwise.