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Home
Stocks
Marvell Technology, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall81
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 8/9SafeBetter than 81% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
9
77.7x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
94
30.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
61
5.4%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
84
0.5x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
23
0.10%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
90
245.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
72
26▲3Top tier
MRVL

MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc.

Marvell Technology, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
236.10
▲ ⁦+4.03%⁩ (+9.14)
Market Cap$206.8B
Beta2.25
52w Low52w High
65.19329.88
Last Week
⁦+12.22%⁩
Last Month
⁦+13.20%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-11.53%⁩
Last Year
⁦+257.73%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$236
Analyst target · 11 analysts
$273
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$155–$400⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$29
⁦-88%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$29–$273⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 11 analysts setting price target
$271.11
⁦+14.8%⁩
Current Price $236.10·Median $272.50
Low
$155.00
High
$400.00
Current price
$236.10
Average target
$271.11
Street summary

Marvell Consensus Rises with Clear Divergence

The consensus price target rose over the last 30 days from 251.21 to 271.11, an increase of 19.90, while remaining approximately stable over the last 7 days, with the number of analysts holding steady at 11. The current price of 226.96 is below the consensus and median of 272.5, but the target range is wide, between 155 and 400, reflecting significant divergence in estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+7.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.07
Buy
Analyst coverage
44
Buy conviction
89%
High
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
104%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time44 analysts rating
8
31
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.88 → 4.07
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    Wolfe Research
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    77.66x
    6.87x54.92x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    44.75x
    5.19x41.53x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    77.88x
    4.52x36.15x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    0.8%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    30.6%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    2438.5%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    52.2%
    12.9%79.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    5.4%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.51x
    0.26x3.22x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.1%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    7.9%
    4.4%96.7%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    14.61
    -10.9113.66
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-27 data

Company Overview

Marvell Technology develops semiconductor solutions aimed primarily at data center infrastructure and generates revenue from optical interconnect products, network switches, custom silicon, and storage, memory, and compute solutions. Its technologies include 800G and 1.6T optical DSPs, 51.2T switches, TIA components, and CXL products, as well as XPU chips and companion products such as storage controllers, networking and memory interfaces, and near-memory computing. In fiscal Q2 2027, data centers became the company’s largest end market, accounting for 79% of revenue, while the remaining revenue came from communications and other markets.

Marvell recorded fiscal Q2 2027 revenue of $2.739 billion, up 37% year over year and 13% from the previous quarter. Data center revenue reached $2.17 billion, growing 46% year over year and 18% sequentially, while communications and other markets generated $568 million, down 3% sequentially and up 10% year over year. According to EDGAR filings, gross profit was approximately $1.5 billion, net income was $308 million, and GAAP diluted earnings per share were $0.33.

The GAAP gross margin was 53.1%, and the adjusted gross margin was 58.9%, while the GAAP operating margin reached 16.8% and the adjusted operating margin reached 36.6%. The adjusted operating margin increased 180 basis points year over year and 160 basis points sequentially, and adjusted earnings per share were $0.94 versus market estimates of $0.93. On a trailing-twelve-month basis within fiscal 2027 data, revenue was $9.5 billion, gross profit was $4.9 billion, and net income was $2.6 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 27, 2026, management raised its fiscal 2027 revenue forecast from approximately $11.5 billion to nearly $12 billion, representing year-over-year growth of approximately 45%, and raised its data center growth forecast from approximately 50% to approximately 60%. For fiscal Q3 2027, the company is targeting revenue of $3.15 billion at the midpoint, up 15% sequentially and more than 50% year over year.
  • Marvell expects fiscal 2028 revenue to exceed approximately $18 billion, an increase of $1.5 billion from the previous forecast of $16.5 billion, with data centers growing by more than 60% and custom silicon more than doubling. Management explained that most of the increase in the fiscal 2028 forecast came from interconnect, including scale-up optics, scale-out products, and switches.
  • Data centers generated $2.17 billion in fiscal Q2 2027, and management expects growth of more than 20% sequentially and approximately 75% year over year in fiscal Q3 2027. This is supported by continued demand for 800G, rapid expansion in 1.6T, and a trajectory targeting more than doubling the 51.2T switch business during fiscal 2027.
  • Marvell expanded its commercial agreement with Google to develop custom silicon programs related to the TPU ecosystem, including inference accelerators, storage controllers, networking and memory interfaces, and near-memory computing. The agreement is linked to a warrant granting Google the option to purchase 58.97 million shares at an exercise price of $206.58 per share, while management confirmed that revenue from the covered programs through fiscal 2028 is already included in its forecasts.
  • At FMS 2026, Marvell unveiled Bravera SC6, a controller designed for cloud and enterprise workloads that doubles performance, with samples expected to begin shipping in Q4 2026. Management also raised its scale-up optics forecast compared with its previous estimates, which included approximately $150 million from Celestial AI and approximately $300 million for the entire category in the fiscal year following the call.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The growth thesis is supported by accelerating actual results: data center revenue rose 46% year over year to $2.17 billion in fiscal Q2 2027, after which management guided to approximately 75% year-over-year growth for this business in fiscal Q3 2027.
  • +The announced expansion does not depend on a single product; demand includes 800G DSPs, expansion in 1.6T, 51.2T switches, TIA components, CXL solutions, NPO and CPO optics, and XPU programs and their companion products. Management said the three interconnect businesses it highlighted are tracking at or above the path toward an annual revenue run rate of $1 billion each.
  • +The operating model provides clear financial leverage, as the adjusted operating margin rose to 36.6% in fiscal Q2 2027, expanding by 180 basis points year over year. Management expects to enter its long-term adjusted operating margin range of 38% to 40% in fiscal Q4 2027 and reach the upper end during fiscal 2028.
  • +The company generated $606 million in operating cash flow in fiscal Q2 2027 and returned $200 million through share repurchases and $54 million through cash dividends. The net debt-to-EBITDA ratio was approximately 0.27 times, despite total debt reaching $4.96 billion.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates MRVL a “Buy,” with an average price target of $271.15 and a wide range between $155 and $400; the average is below the 52-week range high of $329.88, while the stock’s full range extends from $61.44 to $329.88. In contrast, an August 28, 2026 analysis cited a price-to-earnings ratio of 71 times and EV/EBITDA of 72.6 times, reflecting a valuation that requires continued strong growth and achievement of revenue and margin forecasts. The approximately $245 spread in analyst targets, together with the stock’s decline of approximately 10% following record results, reveals significant disagreement over the value of the Google agreement and the company’s ability to deliver the fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028 acceleration.

BuyAnalyst target: $271.15(+14.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Marvell’s growth in fiscal Q2 2027?

The primary driver was data centers, which recorded revenue of $2.17 billion and grew 46% year over year and 18% sequentially. This business represented 79% of Marvell’s total revenue of $2.739 billion. Demand included optical interconnect products, network switches, and custom silicon, with strength in 800G, acceleration in 1.6T, and expansion in 51.2T switches.

What is the impact of Marvell’s agreement with Google on its financial forecasts?

The expanded agreement includes programs related to the TPU ecosystem, such as inference accelerators, storage controllers, networking and memory interfaces, and near-memory computing. It is linked to a warrant granting Google the option to purchase 58.97 million shares at an exercise price of $206.58 per share. Management confirmed on the August 27, 2026 call that revenue from the covered programs through fiscal 2028 is already included in its forecasts, while the largest potential incremental impact is concentrated in fiscal 2029 and beyond.

What are Marvell’s forecasts for fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028?

Management expects revenue of approximately $12 billion in fiscal 2027, representing year-over-year growth of approximately 45%, after raising its previous estimate of approximately $11.5 billion. It also expects data center revenue to grow by approximately 60% during fiscal 2027, compared with a previous estimate of approximately 50%. For fiscal 2028, the company expects revenue of approximately $18 billion and data center growth of more than 60%, with the custom silicon business more than doubling.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Data centers accounted for 79% of fiscal Q2 2027 revenue, increasing Marvell’s dependence on sustained spending by AI and data center customers. The expanded agreement with Google also covers a broad set of custom silicon programs, making execution quality and sustained demand from a hyperscale customer important factors in the announced growth trajectory.
  • −Reaching approximately $12 billion in fiscal 2027 revenue requires further acceleration after revenue of $2.739 billion in Q2, and news reports on August 28, 2026 indicated that achieving the target would require a record result in fiscal Q4 2027. The stock’s decline of approximately 10% following record results shows that the modest beat was insufficient given the market’s high expectations.
  • −Rapid expansion in custom silicon is placing clear pressure on the profitability mix; the company guided to an adjusted gross margin of between 57.5% and 58.5% in fiscal Q3 2027, compared with 58.9% in Q2. Management expects the gross margin to remain within the same range in fiscal Q4 2027 and throughout fiscal 2028, so business volume may grow faster than the gross margin.
  • −The growth plan faces industry-wide supply constraints, which is why Marvell intends to prepay approximately $1 billion to suppliers during fiscal 2027 to secure production capacity. The increase in these payments contributed to a slight sequential decline in operating cash flow to $606 million, linking execution of the forecast to supply availability and the conversion of prepayments into actual purchases and revenue.
  • −Scale-up networking technologies remain at an early stage, and customers are evaluating copper, optics, NPO and CPO options, and three different packaging technologies, with the solutions expected to coexist for several years. This diversity creates technology-selection and competitive-execution risks, particularly because the announced opportunities with tier-one customers remain in the form of discussions and designs and have not all become realized revenue.
  • −An analysis published on August 28, 2026 cited a price-to-earnings ratio of 71 times, EV/EBITDA of 72.6 times, and a price-to-sales ratio of 21.12 times, multiples that leave a limited margin of safety if growth slows or guidance falls short of expectations. The insider-trading signal was also strong_sell, with net sales of $15.4 million over three months, comprising nine sales and no purchases through August 17, 2026, although insider sales may be prearranged and are not sufficient on their own to assess the fundamentals.
Is custom silicon growth pressuring Marvell’s margins?

The adjusted gross margin was 58.9% in fiscal Q2 2027, but the company guided to a range of between 57.5% and 58.5% in Q3 due to the accelerating custom silicon mix. Management expects the gross margin to remain within a similar range during fiscal Q4 2027 and fiscal 2028. In contrast, it expects operating leverage to raise the adjusted operating margin from 36.6% in Q2 to a range of 38%–40% in fiscal Q4 2027.

What are the main execution risks to Marvell’s growth plan?

The plan depends heavily on data centers, which accounted for 79% of fiscal Q2 2027 revenue, and on executing multiple programs for hyperscale computing customers. The company faces industry-wide supply constraints, so it plans approximately $1 billion in prepayments to suppliers during fiscal 2027. Customers are also still evaluating copper, NPO, and CPO technologies in scale-up networks, making the timing of product adoption and the technology mix influential factors in revenue and margins.

What does insider trading in MRVL stock look like?

Net insider transactions during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 17, 2026 amounted to sales of $15.4 million. The data recorded nine sales and no purchases, so the signal was classified as strong_sell. Nevertheless, insider sales may be prearranged and do not, on their own, provide conclusive evidence relative to fiscal Q2 2027 results or the announced revenue forecasts.