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Stocks
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall58
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 6/9Better than 58% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
44
21.6x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
39
8.3%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
96
——Top tier
▸
Safety
31
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
63
2.03%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
49
-5.9%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
43
15▲3Around median
MRSH

MRSH Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
176.91
▼ ⁦-0.21%⁩ (-0.38)
Market Cap$84.4B
Beta0.58
52w Low52w High
156.60207.83
Last Week
⁦-5.69%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.28%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+6.88%⁩
Last Year
⁦-13.05%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$177
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$201
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$182–$234⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$134
⁦-24%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$134–$201⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$203.43
⁦+15.0%⁩
Current Price $176.91·Median $201.00
Low
$182.00
High
$234.00
Current price
$176.91
Average target
$203.43
Street summary

Stable Targets with Diverging Outlook

The consensus price target has not changed over the last 7 days, while it declined marginally over the last 30 days from 203.71 to 203.43, a decrease of 0.14%. The consensus remaining above the current price of 176.91 indicates upside potential according to the available estimates, but the target range is wide, between 182 and 234, reflecting clear divergence among analysts; the lowest target is relatively close to the current price, while the highest target is more optimistic. The number of analysts also decreased from 8 to 7 in the latest daily comparison, with no change in the consensus.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.30
Hold
Analyst coverage
23
Buy conviction
30%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
29%
Analyst ratings over time23 analysts rating
2
5
15
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.22 → 3.30
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-25
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Wells Fargo
    Negative
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-21
    Citigroup
    BuyNeutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.60x
    3.16x25.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    16.17x
    2.76x22.06x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.3%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -1.9%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    2.0%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    44.4%
    9.8%97.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-21 data

Company Overview

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., which uses the Marsh brand, operates as a professional services company combining risk management, insurance, reinsurance, and consulting. In Q2 FY2026, the Risk and Insurance Services segment generated revenue of $4.8 billion, including $4.1 billion from Marsh Risk and $664 million from Guy Carpenter, while the Consulting segment generated $2.6 billion, including $1.6 billion from Mercer and $1 billion from Marsh Management Consulting. Income comes from insurance and reinsurance brokerage, health, investment, and organizational consulting, asset management, and specialized capital and risk solutions.

In Q2 FY2026, consolidated revenue increased 6% to $7.4 billion, and underlying growth reached 5% versus 4% in the previous quarter. Net income according to EDGAR was approximately $1.3 billion, and diluted GAAP earnings per share were $2.63, while adjusted earnings per share were $2.96, up 9% year over year. The company reported operating income of $1.9 billion and adjusted operating income of $2.2 billion, up 5%, with an adjusted operating margin of 29.3%.

The business mix showed a clear divergence in Q2 FY2026: Consulting grew 8% on an underlying basis and recorded an adjusted operating margin of 20.5%, while Risk and Insurance Services grew 3% on an underlying basis and recorded a margin of 35.3%. Within the units, Marsh Management Consulting grew 13% on an underlying basis, Mercer 5%, and Marsh Risk 4%, while Guy Carpenter's underlying revenue contracted 2%. On a last-twelve-month basis in FY2026, revenue reached $27.9 billion, net income $4.0 billion, and earnings per share $8.2573.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Consolidated underlying growth accelerated to 5% in Q2 FY2026 from 4% in the previous quarter, supported by underlying growth of 8% in Consulting and 13% in Marsh Management Consulting, the unit's fastest quarterly growth in more than two years.
  • Mercer achieved underlying growth of 5% in Q2 FY2026, while assets under management rose to $846 billion, up 16% quarter over quarter and 26% year over year, driven by new business and the impact of capital markets. Assets under advisement also reached $16 trillion.
  • The company is strengthening its AI-related capabilities through Marsh Risk Companion for risk analytics, Atlas for reinsurance strategies, Claims IQ used by 3,000 claims professionals, and LenWork for tasks such as product development, sales strategies, and responses to requests for proposals. BCS and Oliver Wyman also began collaborating with Amazon Web Services to redesign claims services and the issuance of reinsurance agreements.
  • Expanding demand for digital infrastructure represents a specific commercial driver; Marsh is working on multibillion-dollar insurance solutions for counterparty credit risks, combining traditional insurance with sidecar reinsurance structures backed by third-party capital. Management reported that digital infrastructure and transaction risks were important growth drivers during the first half and Q2 FY2026, with a pipeline it described as strong.
  • The company raised its estimate for capital deployment during FY2026 from $5.0 billion to approximately $5.5 billion through dividends, acquisitions, and share repurchases. During the first half of FY2026, it repurchased $1.5 billion of shares and paid $878 million in dividends, while also raising the quarterly dividend by 10% for the seventeenth consecutive year.
  • Management maintained its FY2026 outlook for underlying revenue growth similar to the FY2025 level, with additional margin expansion and strong adjusted earnings-per-share growth. The Thrive program also targets gross savings of $400 million, compared with expected costs of approximately $500 million, with a portion of the savings reinvested in growth.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Portfolio diversification provides a degree of balance among the units; in Q2 FY2026, underlying growth of 8% in Consulting offset part of the weakness in reinsurance, while consolidated revenue rose 6% and adjusted earnings per share increased 9%.
  • +The company has tangible momentum in new business; Guy Carpenter achieved double-digit new business growth and client retention in the high nineties during the first half of FY2026, while Marsh Risk recorded strong new business and double-digit growth in specialties including transaction-related risks, construction, marine, energy, and aviation.
  • +The company's proprietary data and platforms such as Marsh Risk Companion, Atlas, Claims IQ, and LenWork provide two potential paths to returns: increasing sales through new analytics and products, and improving productivity through process automation. Some of this demand was already evident in Quotient, the AI strategy consulting unit, which recorded the strongest growth among Marsh Management Consulting's offerings in Q2 FY2026.
  • +Earnings generation supports a clear capital-return policy; net income reached $4.0 billion during the last twelve months in FY2026, and the company raised its FY2026 capital deployment plan to $5.5 billion, alongside a 10% increase in the quarterly dividend and $1.5 billion of share repurchases in the first half.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is "Neutral," with an average price target of $203.43 within a wide range of $182 to $234; the average is close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $207.83, while the lower end was $156.60. The data do not provide a published price-to-earnings ratio that can be relied upon, so the analyst target should be weighed against pressure on reinsurance pricing and slowing in some growth units, despite continued margin expansion and share repurchases.

HoldAnalyst target: $203.43(+15.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did Marsh perform in Q2 FY2026?

Consolidated revenue reached $7.4 billion in Q2 FY2026, up 6% with underlying growth of 5%. Net income according to EDGAR was approximately $1.3 billion, GAAP earnings per share were $2.63, and adjusted earnings per share were $2.96, up 9% year over year. Adjusted operating income also reached $2.2 billion, and the adjusted operating margin reached 29.3%.

Which units led MRSH's growth in Q2 FY2026?

The Consulting segment led growth with revenue of $2.6 billion and underlying growth of 8% in Q2 FY2026. Marsh Management Consulting recorded revenue of $1 billion and underlying growth of 13%, while Mercer generated revenue of $1.6 billion and underlying growth of 5%. By comparison, Marsh Risk grew 4% on an underlying basis, while Guy Carpenter contracted 2% on an underlying basis to revenue of $664 million.

Why did Guy Carpenter's results decline in Q2 FY2026?

Guy Carpenter's revenue declined 2% on both a reported and underlying basis in Q2 FY2026, while its underlying growth was flat during the first half. The unit's property catastrophe rate index fell 16% at midyear renewals, the largest annual decline since the index was created 25 years ago, and pricing pressure negatively affected underlying growth by approximately six percentage points. Nevertheless, the unit recorded double-digit new business growth, client retention in the high nineties, and led 20 catastrophe bond issuances providing total coverage of $5 billion during the first half.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Declining insurance and reinsurance pricing represents direct pressure on revenue; global primary commercial insurance rates fell 6% in Q2 FY2026, property rates declined 12%, and Guy Carpenter's property catastrophe rate index fell 16%. Pricing pressure had an approximately six-percentage-point negative impact on Guy Carpenter's underlying growth, causing the unit's underlying revenue to decline 2% in the quarter and remain flat during the first half.
  • −There are signs of slowing within some growth drivers; Mercer's health business grew 3% in Q2 FY2026 after growth exceeding 5% in the periods discussed by management, while the company expects Marsh Management Consulting's growth to decline from 13% in Q2 to the mid-to-high single-digit range in Q3 FY2026.
  • −Thrive savings remain accompanied by high implementation costs; the company targets gross savings of $400 million but expects to incur approximately $500 million in charges to achieve them. Notable items in Q2 FY2026 totaled $130 million, including $52 million related to the program, and a portion of the savings will be reinvested rather than flowing entirely to earnings.
  • −The financing structure increases earnings sensitivity to interest rates and refinancing; total debt reached $20.6 billion and cash stood at $1.7 billion at the end of Q2 FY2026, while interest expense was $250 million. Euro-denominated senior notes worth $550 million mature in Q3 FY2026, and the company expects to refinance them with similar euro notes.
  • −Fiduciary interest income declined to $88 million in Q2 FY2026, down $11 million year over year due to lower interest rates. Despite expectations that it will reach approximately $95 million in Q3, this item remains a drag on growth compared with its level in the corresponding period.
  • −Net insider transactions during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 6, 2026, were sales worth $4.8 million, with four sales and no purchases recorded. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicate otherwise.
How important is AI to Marsh's growth?

Marsh launched the Marsh Risk Companion platform to analyze client risks and develop solutions, and the Atlas platform to aggregate hazard, litigation, pricing, and economic indicator data for reinsurance strategies. It deployed Claims IQ to 3,000 claims professionals, while LenWork helps employees with product development, sales strategies, and responses to requests for proposals. BCS and Oliver Wyman also began collaborating with Amazon Web Services in Q2 FY2026 to redesign claims services and the issuance of reinsurance agreements, while Quotient recorded the strongest growth among Marsh Management Consulting's offerings.

What is management's outlook for the remainder of FY2026?

Management expects underlying revenue growth in FY2026 to be similar to the level achieved in FY2025, alongside additional margin expansion and strong adjusted earnings-per-share growth. It expects margin expansion in Q4 FY2026 to be greater than in Q3 and Marsh Management Consulting's growth in Q3 to be in the mid-to-high single-digit range. It also expects an adjusted effective tax rate between 24.5% and 25.5%, fiduciary interest income of approximately $95 million, and adjusted corporate expenses of approximately $75 million in Q3.

How is Marsh allocating capital in FY2026?

Marsh raised its estimated capital deployment in FY2026 from $5.0 billion to approximately $5.5 billion through dividends, acquisitions, and share repurchases. During the first half of FY2026, it spent $2.7 billion, including $878 million on dividends, $319 million on acquisitions, and $1.5 billion on share repurchases. In July 2026, it announced a 10% increase in the quarterly dividend, marking the seventeenth consecutive year of dividend increases.