| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 32 | 30.2x | 17.3x | Bottom tier | |
Growth | 79 | 15.6% | 7.1% | Top tier | |
Quality | 68 | 16.5% | 4.5% | Top tier | |
Safety | 76 | 1.3x | 2.6x | Top tier | |
Capital Return | 82 | 0.33% | 0.06% | Top tier | |
Momentum | 69 | 72.4% | -1.6% | Top tier | |
Sentiment | 2 | 1 | 3 | Bottom tier |
The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today
59% of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.
10-year US Treasury yield 4.96% as of 2026-10-22. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
Moog Inc. manufactures precision control and motion systems and components serving four segments: Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial. In Q3 FY2026, the company generated segment sales of $336 million in Space and Defense, $245 million in Military Aircraft, $254 million in Commercial Aircraft, and $282 million in Industrial; demand comes from applications including missile and spacecraft control systems, aircraft spares and maintenance, repair, and overhaul, commercial aircraft production programs, and cooling pumps for AI data centers, medical devices, and energy.
Q3 FY2026 revenue was approximately $1.1 billion, up 15% year over year, with sales increasing across all four segments, led by Industrial growth of 18%, Space and Defense and Commercial Aircraft at 17% each, and Military Aircraft at 9%. According to EDGAR filings, gross profit was $347.2 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 31.6%, while net income was $152.0 million and earnings per share were $4.74; adjusted earnings per share reported by management were $3.72, up 60% year over year.
Adjusted operating margin was 16.4% in Q3 FY2026, up 280 basis points, but a $30 million tariff refund alone added 270 basis points and approximately $0.70 to adjusted earnings per share. Excluding the impact of the refund and the sale of a non-core product line in the comparison period, underlying operating margin improved by 80 basis points; the company also generated $133 million in free cash flow and ended the quarter with leverage of 1.5 times.
The analyst consensus is classified as “Buy,” with an average target of $110 and a target range of $89 to $131, but even the highest target is below the 52-week range low of $196.38, while the range high is $450. This wide divergence between the targets and the historical trading range, combined with the absence of a price-to-earnings ratio in the provided data, makes a valuation judgment based on these inputs alone inconclusive and warrants caution in interpreting the positive consensus signal.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
Sales increased 15% year over year to approximately $1.1 billion, with all four segments growing. Space and Defense sales increased 17% to $336 million, Military Aircraft 9% to $245 million, Commercial Aircraft 17% to $254 million, and Industrial 18% to $282 million. Growth came from demand for missile and spacecraft systems, strong aircraft aftermarket services, higher production volumes and pricing in commercial aviation, and data center cooling pumps.
Business revenue increased from approximately $25 million in FY2025 to nearly $100 million in FY2026. RM44 serves in-rack liquid cooling for a major hyperscaler customer through two cooling distribution unit manufacturers, and production capacity reached approximately 1,300 pumps per week across three lines. An in-row cooling product is undergoing OCP V3 testing, and management expects it to enter production alongside RM44 during FY2027, but it did not provide a numerical estimate of market size or future revenue.
Management expects approximately $275 million in revenue from missile programs in FY2026, representing an increase of more than 20% year over year. It cited customer plans to increase PAC-3 production by approximately three times and THAAD by approximately four times under seven-year programs. These increases had not yet entered Moog's backlog as of the July 31, 2026 call, so they represent a potential growth opportunity rather than contracted revenue within the reported backlog.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
Adjusted operating margin was 16.4%, up 280 basis points from Q3 FY2025. A $30 million tariff refund added approximately 270 basis points to margin and approximately $0.70 to adjusted earnings per share. After neutralizing that refund and the impact of the sale of a non-core product line in the comparison period, underlying operating margin improvement was 80 basis points, demonstrating that a significant portion of the reported increase was non-recurring.
The company raised revenue guidance by $50 million, including $30 million for Industrial, $10 million for Space and Defense, and $10 million for Military Aircraft. It raised adjusted operating margin guidance to 14.1% and adjusted earnings per share guidance to $11.65, with a range of $0.10 above or below. It also raised expected free cash flow conversion to approximately 70%, while noting that lower capital expenditures reflect the timing of investments rather than the elimination of expansion needs.
The most prominent is the concentration of the data center cooling business with a single hyperscaler customer, despite initial engagement with additional customers and manufacturers. The company also needs to expand facilities, workforce, and supply-chain capacity to convert missile and pump demand into deliveries, while the increases from missile agreements had not yet entered the backlog as of July 31, 2026. Additional risks include the reliance of a significant portion of the Q3 FY2026 margin improvement on a non-recurring tariff refund, funding risks for the MV-75 program at Textron, and the substantial disconnect between analyst targets and the 52-week range.