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3M Company
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall68
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 5/9SafeBetter than 68% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
41
29.2x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
15
2.3%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
89
21.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
67
1.6x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
49
1.83%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
67
18.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
67
10▲3Top tier
MMM

MMM 3M Company

3M Company · NYSE
Market Closed
164.95
▲ ⁦+1.29%⁩ (+2.09)
Market Cap$85.1B
Beta1.08
52w Low52w High
139.34184.90
Last Week
⁦-2.25%⁩
Last Month
⁦-9.93%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.17%⁩
Last Year
⁦+7.76%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$165
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$190
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$145–$218⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$79
⁦-52%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.2⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$79–$190⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$185.00
⁦+12.2%⁩
Current Price $164.95·Median $190.00
Low
$145.00
High
$218.00
Current price
$164.95
Average target
$185.00
Street summary

Analysis of 3M (MMM) stock price targets

The target price for 3M stock has seen a notable positive revision over the past thirty days, with the average rising by 10.94% to reach $185, despite a slight decline of 0.67% in the last week. The current price of $177.97 reflects the stock's proximity to the average forecast, with a wide gap in analyst estimates (dispersion) ranging between $145 and $218, indicating a divergence in views regarding the stock's fair value.

As of 2026-07-29
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.22
Hold
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Target dispersion
44%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
1
8
6
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.44 → 3.22
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Bernstein
    Underperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    29.25x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    18.37x
    4.57x36.58x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.85x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    4.7%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.3%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -21.7%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    39.4%
    8.6%54.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    21.4%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.55x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.8%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    53.0%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.40
    -5.667.97
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-21 data

Company Overview

3M Company operates in materials science, converting its technologies into products serving the industrial, safety, transportation, electronics, and consumer markets. The Safety and Industrial and Transportation and Electronics segments together represented approximately 80% of the company’s business in Q2 FY2026, while the Consumer segment accounted for the remaining 20%. Growth opportunities come from materials such as adhesives, abrasives, and electrical accessories, as well as newer applications including Expanded Beam Optical connectors for data centers, Nextel fibers, and light-reflective threads for satellites.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue according to EDGAR filings was approximately $6.5 billion, gross profit was $2.7 billion, net income was $933 million, and GAAP earnings per share were $1.78. These figures equate to a gross margin of approximately 41.5% and a net income margin of approximately 14.4%, while on an adjusted basis the company recorded organic growth of 5.4%, an operating margin of 24.9%, up 40 basis points, and adjusted earnings per share of $2.40, up 11%. Free cash flow reached $1.3 billion, with cash conversion of 107%.

The performance mix was varied in Q2 FY2026; the Safety and Industrial segment grew organically by 8.2% and Transportation and Electronics by 5.9%, while Consumer declined by 2.1%. Within Transportation and Electronics, semiconductors, aerospace, and data centers, which represent approximately 20% of sales, achieved double-digit growth, while automotive was flat and consumer electronics declined by a low-single-digit percentage. On a trailing-twelve-month basis through the latest 2026 data, revenue reached $25.2 billion and net income was $3.0 billion, compared with revenue of $24.9 billion and net income of $3.3 billion in FY2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • 3M raised its FY2026 guidance following first-half results; the organic growth target is now above 3.5% instead of 3%, the adjusted earnings-per-share range increased to $8.80–$8.95 from $8.50–$8.70, and the free-cash-flow range rose by $100 million to $4.7–$4.9 billion, with conversion exceeding 100%.
  • The innovation cycle accelerated with the launch of 92 products in Q2 FY2026, up 44% year over year, bringing the first-half total to 176 products, while the company is targeting more than 350 launches during the year and more than 1,000 products by 2027. Management expects sales from products introduced during the past five years to reach approximately $4 billion in 2026 and the new-product vitality index to rise to the mid-teens in 2026 and then to 20% in 2027.
  • Microsoft selected Expanded Beam Optical technology for use in Azure data centers after several years of testing; 3M says the technology reduces the time required to install data-center circuits and begin generating revenue by approximately 85%. The company expects revenue of between $40 million and $50 million from the technology in FY2026, with the potential to increase fourfold or fivefold over several years, in a market it estimates at approximately $1 billion in 2026 and that could reach $2 billion in 2028.
  • Commercial execution initiatives supported growth through $110 million in booked cross-selling opportunities and an additional $120 million opportunity pipeline, which increased by more than 40% quarter over quarter. Customer attrition also improved by approximately 200 basis points, orders rose nearly 10% in Q2 FY2026, and the order backlog increased nearly 20% year over year.
  • Operational improvements converted demand into tangible results; the company reduced the cost of poor quality by 60 basis points and increased equipment effectiveness by 140 basis points year over year. At the New Ulm facility, it removed production bottlenecks for cable accessories and recorded $13 million in additional revenue in June 2026, equivalent to approximately 50 basis points of Safety and Industrial segment growth.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The bullish case is based on organic growth of 5.4% in Q2 FY2026, ahead of management’s previous expectation of above 3%, with the adjusted operating margin rising to a company record of 24.9%. This came despite a $110 million impact from tariffs and stranded costs, highlighting the contribution of volume and productivity to improved profitability.
  • +The innovation pipeline has measurable commercial indicators, including 176 launches in the first half of FY2026, expected sales of approximately $4 billion from products introduced during the past five years, and the Microsoft partnership in EBO technology, protected by approximately 100 patents with 50 applications pending. This gives 3M a path to growth in data centers alongside its traditional industrial businesses.
  • +Demand strength is evident in orders rising nearly 10% and the order backlog increasing nearly 20% year over year during Q2 FY2026, in addition to double-digit growth in China and double-digit growth led by India for the seventh consecutive quarter. The Safety and Industrial and Transportation and Electronics segments, which represent 80% of the business, also grew by approximately 7% during the quarter.
  • +Liquidity supports the execution of the capital strategy; the company generated $1.9 billion in free cash flow during the first half of FY2026 and returned $3.8 billion to shareholders, including $3 billion in share repurchases. Since 2025, it has returned $8.6 billion of a commitment exceeding $10 billion through 2027.

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates MMM stock as a Buy, with an average target of $185 and a wide range of $145 to $218; the average is at a level that nearly matches the 52-week high of $184.90, while the low end of the range is $139.34. The highest target reflects optimism about accelerating innovation and improving margins, but the wide gap between the lowest and highest targets highlights uncertainty related to PFAS litigation, weakness in consumer and electronics markets, and the risks of scaling EBO.

BuyAnalyst target: $185(+12.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did 3M perform in Q2 FY2026?

Revenue according to EDGAR was approximately $6.5 billion, gross profit was $2.7 billion, and net income was $933 million in Q2 FY2026. GAAP earnings per share were $1.78, up 33% year over year according to the July 21, 2026 call. On an adjusted basis, the company recorded organic growth of 5.4%, an operating margin of 24.9%, and earnings per share of $2.40. It also generated free cash flow of $1.3 billion and cash conversion of 107%.

What is 3M’s guidance for FY2026?

3M raised its organic growth forecast from 3% to more than 3.5% for FY2026. It raised the adjusted earnings-per-share range from $8.50–$8.70 to $8.80–$8.95, representing year-over-year growth of between 9% and 11%. It also increased free-cash-flow guidance by $100 million to a range of $4.7–$4.9 billion, with conversion exceeding 100%. Management attributes the increase to sales strength, improved productivity, and its capital-allocation strategy.

What is the significance of 3M’s partnership with Microsoft in EBO technology?

Microsoft became the first hyperscale computing operator to adopt 3M’s Expanded Beam Optical technology in Azure data centers during July 2026. The company says the connectors reduce the time required to install data-center circuits and begin generating revenue by approximately 85%, while also being more resistant to dust, vibration, and mishandling. 3M expects the technology to generate revenue of between $40 million and $50 million in FY2026, with the potential to grow fourfold or fivefold over several years. The company estimates the scalable market at approximately $1 billion in 2026 and $2 billion in 2028, with protection including approximately 100 patents and 50 applications pending.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case7 pts

  • −PFAS litigation represents the largest visible risk in the data; on August 17, 2026, the Australian government sought more than $2 billion from 3M over contamination linked to firefighting foam used at 28 defense bases, with a court allegation that the company had known about the materials’ toxicity since 1973. The size of the claim and the allegations concerning the concealment of risks could add a legal and financial burden whose ultimate outcome is not reflected in the Q2 FY2026 operating figures.
  • −3M faces other environmental liabilities in the United States, as New Jersey obtained court approval on August 12, 2026, for a $2.5 billion settlement with 3M and DuPont to address PFAS water contamination. The settlement’s annual financial obligations extend for 25 years, with at least $150 million allocated to the state’s water bank, making the cash impact long-term rather than a one-time event.
  • −Important parts of the portfolio are exposed to weak end markets; the Consumer segment declined by 2.1% in Q2 FY2026, consumer electronics declined by a low-single-digit percentage, automotive was flat, and the automotive aftermarket remained weak. Management expects production of computers, tablets, and other devices to decline by a high-teens percentage in the second half of FY2026 due to memory shortages and higher costs.
  • −Despite the guidance increase, the second half of FY2026 includes margin pressure from petroleum-based input inflation estimated at between $150 million and $175 million, up from $125 million, with a negative impact of 20 basis points on the margin rate even if pricing offsets it in dollar terms. The company also expects $150 million in stranded costs during the year, with a greater concentration in the second half, alongside investments of $115 million during the same period.
  • −The expansion of EBO technology involves execution and adoption risks; its estimated revenue of between $40 million and $50 million in FY2026 remains a small share of a market the company estimates at $1 billion. Management acknowledged that the announced production capacity does not approach the level of potential demand and that success requires increasing capacity internally and externally, ensuring quality and delivery, licensing the technology to other suppliers, and adapting it to the different infrastructure of each data-center operator.
  • −The valuation leaves limited room for error if guidance falters; the average analyst target of $185 is nearly equal to the top of the 52-week range of $184.90, while the target range spans $145 to $218. This divergence reveals a meaningful difference in estimates of the impact of operational improvements versus legal liabilities and weakness in some end markets, particularly given the absence of a benchmark earnings multiple in the data.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 5, 2026, recorded two sales and no purchases, with net sales of approximately $820,000. This remains a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data establishes otherwise, and its significance therefore does not outweigh PFAS risks or operational pressures.
What are the main legal risks facing MMM stock?

On August 17, 2026, the Australian federal government filed a lawsuit seeking more than $2 billion from 3M over PFAS contamination linked to firefighting foam used at 28 defense bases. Court documents allege that the company had known about the materials’ toxicity since 1973, but the data does not provide a final outcome for the lawsuit. On August 12, 2026, New Jersey obtained court approval for a $2.5 billion settlement with 3M and DuPont to address water contamination. Payments under that settlement extend for 25 years, with at least $150 million allocated to the state’s water bank.

Which segments are driving 3M’s growth, and which are under pressure?

The Safety and Industrial segment grew organically by 8.2% in Q2 FY2026, supported by double-digit growth in electrical accessories, industrial adhesives, abrasives, and industrial specialties. The Transportation and Electronics segment grew by 5.9%, with double-digit growth in semiconductors, aerospace, and data centers, businesses that represent approximately 20% of sales. In contrast, the Consumer segment declined by 2.1%, automotive was flat, and consumer electronics declined by a low-single-digit percentage. The Safety and Industrial and Transportation and Electronics segments together represented 80% of the company’s business and achieved growth of approximately 7% during the quarter.

Does 3M’s innovation translate into measurable commercial growth?

3M launched 92 products in Q2 FY2026, up 44% year over year, bringing the first-half total to 176 products. The company is targeting more than 350 launches in FY2026 and more than 1,000 products by 2027, while reducing the development cycle by approximately 20%. It expects sales from products introduced during the past five years to reach approximately $4 billion in 2026 and the new-product vitality index to reach 20% in 2027. However, 75% of current launches fall within incremental category-three products, compared with only 25% for categories four and five, which target adjacent or new markets.