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Home
Stocks
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall43
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 8/9Grey zoneCongress sellingBetter than 43% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
42
12.5x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
72
23.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
51
6.7%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
61
3.4x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
28
0.65%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
21
-12.4%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
86
15▲3Top tier
MLM

MLM Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
509.96
▲ ⁦+1.49%⁩ (+7.49)
Market Cap$30.6B
Beta1.10
52w Low52w High
491.62710.97
Last Week
⁦-1.38%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.89%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.76%⁩
Last Year
⁦-16.97%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$510
Analyst target · 9 analysts
$644
⁦+26%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$556–$730⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$114
⁦-78%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.3⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$114–$644⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 9 analysts setting price target
$648.20
⁦+27.1%⁩
Current Price $509.96·Median $643.50
Low
$556.00
High
$730.00
Current price
$509.96
Average target
$648.20
Street summary

Divergence in Martin Marietta’s Price Targets

The average price target held steady at 648.2 among nine analysts, unchanged during the day, but declined by 0.7 over seven days and 22 over 30 days, representing a decrease of 3.28%. The target range remains wide, between 556 and 730, compared with the current price of 509.96, reflecting a notable disparity in analysts’ estimates despite consensus remaining above the current price.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.63
Buy
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
58%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 1↓
Mixed
Target dispersion
34%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
3
11
9
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.77 → 3.63
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-09
    Wells Fargo
    CautiousOverweight
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-02
    Bernstein
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.53x
    4.94x39.51x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    24.47x
    3.70x29.59x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    18.25x
    2.62x20.92x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    2.6%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    23.4%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    125.5%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    28.2%
    7.6%58.9%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    6.7%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.42x
    0.22x3.72x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    0.7%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    8.1%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.97
    -11.4212.56
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Martin Marietta Materials produces essential raw materials for construction and industry, with its aggregates business leading its business model through the sale of stone and related materials for infrastructure projects and heavy nonresidential construction. The Specialty Products platform also includes lime and magnesia used in applications such as steel production, water treatment, soil stabilization, and flue-gas treatment, products that management described as having limited substitutes and representing only 1% to 4% of customers' production costs. Revenue and earnings depend on shipment volumes, pricing, and geographic sales mix, alongside improved asset utilization, network management, and acquisition integration.

In fiscal Q2 2026, the company recorded revenue of $1.9 billion and gross profit of $495 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 26.1%. Net income was $251 million, or approximately 13.2% of revenue, and earnings per share were $4.17. The aggregates business generated record revenue of $1.5 billion and gross profit of $418 million, while the Specialty Products business recorded record revenue of $152 million and gross profit of $50 million.

Aggregates revenue rose 16% in fiscal Q2 2026, with organic shipments growing 2.3% and total shipments reaching 61.6 million tons, up 17%, supported by contributions from Quikrete assets and a partial period from New Frontier Materials. Reported average selling price declined 2% due to acquisition and geographic mix, but increased 3.7% after adjusting for the geographic mix impact. Reported aggregates gross profit absorbed a $52 million noncash inventory revaluation charge and $42 million of higher depreciation, depletion, and amortization expense, while adjusted cash gross profit reached $636 million, up 15%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Martin Marietta completed the $13.5 billion acquisition of Lhoist North America on August 25, 2026, expanding its lime and limestone platform and adding a network of 20 quarries and production facilities and 45 distribution terminals, along with high-quality limestone reserves spanning more than 200 years.
  • On July 30, 2026, management raised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $7.2 billion to $7.4 billion, while maintaining adjusted EBITDA guidance from continuing operations at $2.36 billion to $2.5 billion. That guidance did not include a contribution from Lhoist North America, and the company stated on August 25, 2026 that it expected to update it following completion of the transaction.
  • Demand indicators in fiscal Q2 2026 showed growth of 90% in data center activity, 23% in energy, and 53% in warehouses, while more than 70% of planned or under-construction data center and manufacturing space was within 55 miles of a Martin Marietta facility.
  • The SOAR 2030 initiative identified opportunities to improve annual pre-tax cash flow by approximately $350 million by the end of 2027 through improved asset and network utilization, working capital, and reduced sustaining capital expenditure requirements. Inventory management and lower capital expenditure alone generated more than $200 million of cash-flow benefits during the first half of fiscal 2026 compared with the corresponding period.
  • In June 2026, the company completed the enterprise-wide rollout of the Precise IQ mobile pricing application and pricing algorithm. The tool is intended to improve customer response speed and quote accuracy, while management said new business bids were being priced at higher rates that account for inflation.
  • The Specialty Products business generated record revenue of $152 million and gross profit of $50 million in fiscal Q2 2026. At the Woodville plant, prices increased 4%, or 5% after adjusting for mix, and shipments rose 1%, lifting gross profit 7% to a new record despite energy cost inflation.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The core aggregates business has clear organic momentum, as fiscal Q2 2026 marked the fourth consecutive quarter of solid organic volume growth, with organic shipments up 2.3%, mix-adjusted pricing up 3.7%, and organic gross profit up approximately 4.3%.
  • +The $13.5 billion acquisition of Lhoist North America enhances earnings diversification toward high-calcium and dolomitic lime used in essential industrial and infrastructure applications, and adds more than 200 years of limestone reserves along with a network of 20 production sites and quarries and 45 distribution terminals.
  • +Demand from infrastructure and heavy nonresidential construction provides a tangible growth base; in fiscal Q2 2026, the company's portfolio was linked to growth of 90% in data centers, 23% in energy, and 53% in warehouses, with more than $150 billion of federal infrastructure funds yet to be deployed.
  • +Operating efficiency supports cash generation, after benefits from inventory management and lower capital expenditure exceeded $200 million in the first half of fiscal 2026, as part of a target of approximately $350 million in pre-tax cash-flow improvement opportunities by the end of 2027.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

Analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $647.9 and a wide range between $556 and $730. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $710.97, while the highest target is slightly above that high, but the absence of a usable price-to-earnings ratio and the $174 spread in targets require balancing the Lhoist expansion against new debt, integration risks, and energy pressures.

BuyAnalyst target: $647.9(+27.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What business primarily determines MLM stock's performance?

Aggregates lead Martin Marietta's business model, and this business generated record revenue of $1.5 billion in fiscal Q2 2026. Shipments reached 61.6 million tons, up 17%, while organic shipments grew 2.3%. This is complemented by the Specialty Products business, which recorded revenue of $152 million from products including lime and magnesia used in steel, water treatment, soil stabilization, and other industrial applications.

How did MLM perform in fiscal Q2 2026?

Revenue was $1.9 billion and gross profit was $495 million in fiscal Q2 2026, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 26.1%. Net income was $251 million, and earnings per share were $4.17. Adjusted EBITDA in the first half also exceeded $1 billion for the first time, according to the July 30, 2026 call.

What does the Lhoist North America acquisition add to Martin Marietta?

Martin Marietta completed the acquisition of Lhoist North America on August 25, 2026 for $13.5 billion. The transaction adds a network of 20 quarries and production facilities and 45 distribution terminals, along with more than 200 years of high-quality limestone reserves. It expands exposure to high-calcium and dolomitic lime used in steel, water treatment, and soil stabilization, but it also involved the issuance of $5.5 billion of bonds to finance it.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The $13.5 billion acquisition of Lhoist North America raises financial and execution risks, as Martin Marietta issued $5.5 billion of bonds on August 15, 2026 to finance the transaction. Management is targeting a return of leverage to its target range within 24 months of closing, making the pace of debt reduction and realization of integration benefits material factors in the thesis.
  • −Profitability guidance did not keep pace with the increase in revenue guidance on July 30, 2026; the fiscal 2026 revenue range increased to $7.2–$7.4 billion, while the adjusted EBITDA range from continuing operations remained at $2.36–$2.5 billion due to higher energy costs. Management said New Frontier Materials' earnings contribution would largely offset persistently higher diesel costs, limiting the immediate conversion of revenue growth into comparable earnings expansion.
  • −Reported pricing metrics face pressure from acquisition and geographic mix, as reported average aggregates selling price declined 2% in fiscal Q2 2026, with acquisition mix responsible for a negative impact of 400 basis points. Management expects this impact to become more pronounced in the second half of fiscal 2026 as New Frontier Materials is included for a full period, despite a 3.7% increase in organic mix-adjusted pricing.
  • −Residential construction, particularly single-family housing, remains a weak point in demand and pricing, and management explained on the July 30, 2026 call that ready-mixed concrete price increases tied to this market were weaker than in other priced business. This makes the company's performance more dependent on continued strength in infrastructure, data centers, energy, and heavy nonresidential construction.
  • −Fiscal Q2 2026 results were affected by acquisition-related accounting costs, including $52 million of inventory revaluation and $42 million of higher depreciation, depletion, and amortization in the aggregates business. Although management said most inventory charges were behind the company, it indicated that limited New Frontier Materials impacts would remain during July and possibly August 2026.
  • −No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, while analysts' target range extends from $556 to $730, a $174 spread that reflects substantial room for differences in valuation estimates. The average target of $647.9 is also below the 52-week range high of $710.97, so consensus alone does not provide evidence of a return to the stock's highest valuation during that period.
What is Martin Marietta's guidance for fiscal 2026?

On July 30, 2026, management raised revenue guidance to a range of $7.2 billion to $7.4 billion for fiscal 2026. It maintained adjusted EBITDA guidance from continuing operations at $2.36 billion to $2.5 billion due to continued energy cost pressures. That guidance did not include a contribution from Lhoist North America, and the company announced on August 25, 2026 that it expected to update it following completion of the acquisition.

What are MLM's sources of demand growth?

Infrastructure and heavy nonresidential construction demand remained key supports in fiscal Q2 2026. Management said data center activity increased 90%, energy 23%, and warehouses 53%, with more than 70% of planned or under-construction data center and manufacturing space located within 55 miles of the company's facilities. It also noted that more than $150 billion of federal infrastructure funds remained undeployed, while residential construction remained weak.

What are the main risks to monitor for MLM stock?

The largest risk is financing and integrating the $13.5 billion acquisition of Lhoist North America, following the issuance of $5.5 billion of bonds on August 15, 2026. Management is targeting a return of leverage to its target range within 24 months of completing the transaction. Higher energy costs also pressured profitability guidance, and reported average aggregates selling price declined 2% in fiscal Q2 2026 due to acquisition and geographic mix, while the single-family housing market remained weak.