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Stocks
MillerKnoll, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall76
Strong — clearly above market medianTurnaroundF 8/9Grey zoneBetter than 76% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
85
16.1x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
72
4.7%▼7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
47
5.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
41
4.4x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
60
3.54%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
66
14.6%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
64
33Around median
MLKN

MLKN MillerKnoll, Inc.

MillerKnoll, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
21.19
▲ ⁦+1.88%⁩ (+0.39)
Market Cap$1.4B
Beta1.36
52w Low52w High
13.7724.71
Last Week
⁦-5.23%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.97%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+42.79%⁩
Last Year
⁦+3.42%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$21
Analyst target
No data
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-0.67
⁦-103%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.4⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target
—
Current Price $21.19
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
2
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Analyst ratings over time2 analysts rating
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-02-10
    William Blair
    Outperform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2022-11-30
    Benchmark
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.05x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.08x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.90x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.4%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.7%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    344.4%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    38.8%
    12.0%66.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    5.3%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.43x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    3.5%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    57.3%
    8.9%99.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.83
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-06-24 data

Company Overview

MillerKnoll operates through three interconnected segments: North America Contract, International Contract, and Global Retail for residential and professional furniture. Its portfolio includes brands and channels such as Herman Miller, Design Within Reach, HAY, Muuto, and Holly Hunt, while it generates revenue from customer and dealer projects and direct sales through stores. In Q4 fiscal 2026, North America Contract was the largest contributor, with revenue of $530 million, compared with $295 million for Global Retail and $179 million for International Contract.

In Q4 fiscal 2026, revenue exceeded $1 billion and increased 4.4% year over year, or 3.7% organically, supported by North America Contract and Global Retail. Gross profit was $395.6 million, with a reported gross margin of 39.4%, up 20 basis points, and net income reached $23.6 million. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.55, at the high end of the company's guidance range, but declined from $0.60 in the comparable period.

In fiscal 2026, MillerKnoll recorded revenue of $3.8 billion, gross profit of $1.5 billion, and net income of $91.5 million, with reported earnings per share of $1.32 and adjusted earnings per share of $1.86. The company generated operating cash flow of $200 million, spent $122 million on capital expenditures, reduced debt by $41 million, and returned $67 million to shareholders through $51 million in dividends and $16 million in share repurchases.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Fiscal 2027 guidance targets revenue between $3.93 billion and $4.13 billion, equivalent to growth of 5% at the midpoint, and adjusted earnings per share between $1.85 and $2.15, up 7.5% at the midpoint; management also expects approximately 40% of full-year earnings in the first half and 60% in the second half.
  • Global Retail is driving growth by expanding its store network: after opening 8 Herman Miller stores and 7 Design Within Reach stores in fiscal 2026, the company plans to open 9 to 11 stores of the former and 5 to 7 of the latter in fiscal 2027. The plan focuses on the smaller Herman Miller format, at approximately 1,800 square feet, which management said requires less upfront capital and achieves payback in less than three years.
  • North America Contract showed operating momentum in Q4 fiscal 2026; its revenue increased 6.9% to $530 million, and its adjusted operating margin rose 40 basis points to 10.4%. Despite a 10% decline in orders, management said the comparison included a $55 million to $60 million order pull-forward in the prior year and that orders were approximately flat after adjusting for this effect.
  • The North America retail business raised prices by approximately 8% net in the middle of Q4 fiscal 2026, while reducing the discount rate by 50 basis points and keeping the number of promotional days unchanged. During the same period, reported Global Retail sales increased 5.5% to $295 million, North America retail orders grew 8.7%, and marketing spending as a percentage of orders declined 40 basis points.
  • Operating efficiency and deleveraging remain influential factors in the earnings trajectory; the company announced the consolidation of the Muskegon plant into other facilities and reduced debt by $15 million in Q4 fiscal 2026. Liquidity totaled $572 million, while management's medium-term target was to reduce the net debt-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ratio from 2.8 times to a range between 2 times and 2.5 times.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The combination of growth and pricing provides potential earnings leverage in fiscal 2027; the company is targeting revenue growth of 5% and adjusted earnings-per-share growth of 7.5% at the respective guidance midpoints, while expecting Global Retail operating margin to expand year over year in every quarter.
  • +North America Contract demonstrated an ability to convert sales growth into improved profitability, with revenue growth of 6.9% and an increase in adjusted operating margin to 10.4% in Q4 fiscal 2026. Management also said leading demand indicators, including the value of project wins and additions to the sales pipeline, improved year over year and sequentially.
  • +Cash generation supports debt reduction and capital returns; MillerKnoll generated operating cash flow of $200 million in fiscal 2026, reduced debt by $41 million, paid $51 million in cash dividends, and repurchased $16 million of shares.
  • +The smaller Herman Miller store format could improve returns on retail expansion because the targeted footprint is approximately 1,800 square feet and the stated payback period is less than three years. The company intends to increase openings of these stores to 9–11 in fiscal 2027 after opening 8 stores in fiscal 2026.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

Analyst consensus on MLKN stock is Neutral, and the displayed price-to-earnings ratio does not provide a comparable valuation anchor, despite earnings per share of $1.32 in fiscal 2026. The stock's 52-week range is between $13.77 and $24.71, while the recovery in revenue and cash flow should be weighed against declining orders and backlog, pressure on International Contract and retail margins, and a net debt-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ratio of 2.8 times.

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove MLKN's results in Q4 fiscal 2026?

MillerKnoll's revenue exceeded $1 billion in Q4 fiscal 2026, up 4.4% year over year and 3.7% organically. Growth came primarily from North America Contract, where sales increased 6.9% to $530 million, and Global Retail, which grew 5.5% to $295 million. Gross profit was $395.6 million, with a reported margin of 39.4%, while net income was $23.6 million and adjusted earnings per share were $0.55.

What is MillerKnoll's guidance for fiscal 2027?

The company expects revenue between $3.93 billion and $4.13 billion in fiscal 2027, with growth of 5% at the midpoint. Adjusted earnings-per-share guidance ranges between $1.85 and $2.15, representing an increase of 7.5% at the midpoint. For Q1 fiscal 2027, management set revenue between $928 million and $968 million, gross margin between 38.7% and 39.7%, and adjusted earnings per share between $0.33 and $0.39.

Is MillerKnoll expanding aggressively in Herman Miller and Design Within Reach stores?

The company opened 8 Herman Miller stores and 7 Design Within Reach stores in fiscal 2026. In fiscal 2027, it plans to open 9 to 11 Herman Miller stores and 5 to 7 Design Within Reach stores. The strategy focuses on the smaller Herman Miller store format, with an area of approximately 1,800 square feet, which management said reaches productivity quickly and achieves payback in less than three years.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −More than half of Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue depends on North America Contract, which generated $530 million of a total exceeding $1 billion; therefore, overall performance remains sensitive to corporate spending cycles for offices and real estate projects. Segment orders declined 10% to $511 million, even though they were approximately flat after adjusting for the prior-year pull-forward effect.
  • −Consolidated orders declined 6.3% to $972 million in Q4 fiscal 2026 and fell approximately 1% after adjusting for the pull-forward effect, while backlog decreased 10.8% to $679 million. This indicates that revenue growth of 4.4% was not accompanied by comparable growth in future orders, and sales also benefited from shipping some orders earlier than expected.
  • −International Contract faced clear weakness in Q4 fiscal 2026; sales declined 3.8% to $179 million, orders fell 8.7%, and adjusted operating margin decreased 470 basis points to 8.2%. Management attributed the pressure to weak demand in parts of Europe, the United Kingdom, Asia, and Latin America, in addition to sales mix, currencies, spending timing, and the economic effects of the Middle East conflict.
  • −Global Retail profitability remains under pressure from expansion costs and weakness at Holly Hunt; the segment's adjusted operating margin declined 110 basis points to 5.4% in Q4 fiscal 2026. Management said Holly Hunt suffered from weak demand, insufficient product development, poor customer response to new products, and cost and operational execution issues.
  • −Fiscal 2027 includes tangible cost pressures, including approximately $6 million of additional new-store expenses in each quarter compared with the prior year and approximately $25 million of additional incentive costs during the year. The company is also dealing with tariffs, traditional inflation, and diesel cost pressures, and relies partly on price increases and surcharges to offset them.
  • −Guidance reflects uneven earnings timing and limited growth at the low end; the company expects adjusted earnings per share between $1.85 and $2.15 in fiscal 2027, compared with $1.86 in fiscal 2026, with 60% of earnings generated in the second half. This back-end weighting increases the sensitivity of the full-year result to successful store maturation, the realization of price increases, and margin improvement later in the year.
Why did MLKN's orders decline despite revenue growth?

Consolidated orders totaled $972 million in Q4 fiscal 2026, down 6.3% as reported and 6.9% organically. The comparable period included a $55 million to $60 million pull-forward ahead of price increases and surcharges, so the adjusted decline was only approximately 1%. Nevertheless, backlog declined 10.8% to $679 million, and quarterly sales also benefited from shipping some orders that had been expected to carry over into Q1 fiscal 2027.

What is the most significant operating issue in MillerKnoll's international business?

International Contract sales declined to $179 million in Q4 fiscal 2026, down 3.8% as reported and 5.8% organically. Orders declined 8.7% as reported and 10.6% organically, with weakness in parts of Europe, the United Kingdom, Asia, and Latin America, offset by improvement in China and India. Adjusted operating margin declined 470 basis points to 8.2% due to lower sales, geographic mix, currencies, spending timing, and the environment related to the Middle East conflict.

How is MillerKnoll managing debt and returning capital to shareholders?

The company generated $200 million in operating cash flow in fiscal 2026, compared with capital expenditures of $122 million. It reduced outstanding debt by $41 million and returned $67 million to shareholders through $51 million in dividends and $16 million in share repurchases. At the end of Q4 fiscal 2026, liquidity totaled $572 million and the net debt-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ratio was 2.8 times, while management targets a medium-term range between 2 times and 2.5 times.