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Stocks
McCormick & Company, Incorporated
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall69
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 5/8Grey zoneBetter than 69% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
74
8.5x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
71
9.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
61
8.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
61
2.6x2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
52
3.61%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
18
-24.3%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
92
8▲3Top tier
MKC

MKC McCormick & Company, Incorporated

McCormick & Company, Incorporated · NYSE
Market Closed
51.32
▲ ⁦+0.43%⁩ (+0.22)
Market Cap$13.7B
Beta0.63
52w Low52w High
44.8272.41
Last Week
⁦-4.61%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.97%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+3.28%⁩
Last Year
⁦-26.30%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$51
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$58
⁦+12%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$52–$68⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$73
⁦+42%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦6⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$58–$73⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$58.75
⁦+14.5%⁩
Current Price $51.32·Median $57.50
Low
$52.00
High
$68.00
Current price
$51.32
Average target
$58.75
Street summary

McCormick (MKC) targets decline amid valuation pressures

Bearish tilt

McCormick stock saw a notable 14.55% decline in its average price target over the last 30 days, falling from 68.75 to 58.75, with this downward trend continuing over the past week. This adjustment reflects a more conservative outlook from the four analysts, as the lowest price target (52) is below the previous average, indicating a comprehensive reassessment of the stock's fair value despite the stable number of analysts.

As of 2026-07-23
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.73
Buy
Analyst coverage
15
Buy conviction
53%
Mixed
Target dispersion
31%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
3
5
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.53 → 3.73
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-06-26
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-06-26
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-26
    UBS
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    8.54x
    4.61x36.85x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.86x
    3.86x30.86x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.16x
    2.86x22.90x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    7.2%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    9.5%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    108.7%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    38.6%
    9.2%67.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    8.3%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.58x
    0.61x4.86x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    3.6%
    0.9%8.3%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    30.9%
    15.9%176.6%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.95
    -4.825.90
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-06-25 data

Company Overview

McCormick & Company operates through a flavor-focused portfolio divided between the Consumer segment and the Flavor Solutions segment. The Consumer segment sells spices, mixes, sauces, and mustard under brands including McCormick, Cholula, French's, Frank's, Ducros, and Kamis, while Flavor Solutions supplies flavors and product development solutions to packaged consumer goods companies, private-label brands, restaurants, and foodservice operators. This model gives the company diversified sources of demand across home cooking, beverages, sports nutrition, snacks, and branded foodservice.

In Q2 of fiscal 2026, revenue was $1.9 billion, gross profit was $778.2 million, net income was $150.1 million, and reported earnings per share were $0.56. These figures equate to an approximate gross margin of 41% based on rounded revenue, while management stated that gross margin increased by 270 basis points, including 140 basis points related to a tariff refund, and that the underlying improvement was 130 basis points. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.80, up 16% year over year, including approximately $0.07 from the tariff refund.

Sales in Q2 of fiscal 2026 increased by 14% in constant currency, supported by a 12% contribution from the McCormick Mexico transaction and organic growth of 2% led by pricing. Consumer segment sales increased by 20% in constant currency, but its organic growth was limited to 1%, while Flavor Solutions sales increased by 6% in constant currency, including 3% organic growth split evenly between volume and price. Adjusted operating income increased by 30%, with Consumer segment income growing by 33% and Flavor Solutions income by 26%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Flavor Solutions represented the clearest operating growth driver in Q2 of fiscal 2026; it grew organically by 3% and achieved organic growth of 4% in the Americas, including a 2% increase in volume, supported by packaged consumer goods companies, fast-growing innovators, and branded foodservice.
  • Customer innovation and reformulation projects began converting into commercial products faster than management expected, and the majority of development requests in Q2 of fiscal 2026 were related to health and wellness. Demand focused on energy, hydration, and protein beverages, protein- and fiber-rich snacks, and sugar-free beverages, within McCormick's capabilities in savory, spicy, naturally sweet, citrus, and fruit flavors.
  • Management is targeting an improvement in Consumer segment volumes after they declined in the Americas, where pricing of 3% fully offset the volume decline. On the June 25, 2026 call, it expected sequential volume improvement in Q3 of fiscal 2026 and a return to volume growth in Q4 of fiscal 2026 through more suitable package and price architecture, broader distribution, precision marketing, and consumer-focused innovation.
  • Innovation and distribution support brand momentum; Cholula gained dollar and unit share for the third consecutive quarter in U.S. hot sauces, while the company expanded Ducros blends in France, launched Kamis blends in Poland, and relaunched its seasoning blends line. The finishing sugars and finishing salts platforms also expanded through promotional partnerships with Bridgerton, Harry Potter, and Paris Hilton.
  • Management raised its forecast for gross margin expansion in fiscal 2026 to a range of 100 to 120 basis points compared with fiscal 2025. Operating cash flow in the first half of fiscal 2026 was approximately $431 million, compared with $161 million in the comparable period, alongside improvements in inventory and payables and a decline in the leverage ratio to approximately 2.9 times.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 of fiscal 2026 demonstrated McCormick's ability to convert sales growth and productivity improvements into earnings, as adjusted operating income increased by 30% and adjusted earnings per share rose by 16%, even after higher general and administrative, marketing, and technology expenses.
  • +The broad acceleration in Flavor Solutions gives the company direct exposure to customer innovation in health and wellness, beverages, and protein, with organic growth of 4% in the Americas and gains across large companies, private-label brands, and fast-growing innovators.
  • +The underlying margin improvement of 130 basis points provides room to reinvest in marketing and innovation while maintaining profitability, while operating cash flow of $431 million in the first half of fiscal 2026 supports investment, dividends, and debt reduction.
  • +The Unilever Foods transaction could add growth and profitability if management's targets are achieved; it expects mid-to-high single-digit adjusted accretion to earnings per share during the first 12 months after closing, followed by mid-to-high teens accretion in the third year, with a targeted operating margin of 21% at closing before synergies.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on MKC is Neutral, with an average price target of $58.75 and a range between $52 and $68, compared with a 52-week range between $44.82 and $72.41. The average target is approximately 19% below the annual range high, while the highest target is approximately 6% below it, reflecting a conservative valuation despite improving margins and cash flow. The wide target range remains appropriate for the risks of weak Consumer volumes, integration costs, and inflation versus Flavor Solutions momentum and the expected synergies from the Unilever Foods transaction.

HoldAnalyst target: $58.75(+14.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove MKC stock results in Q2 of fiscal 2026?

McCormick sales increased by 14% in constant currency, including 12% from the McCormick Mexico transaction and 2% organic growth led by pricing. Adjusted operating income grew by 30%, and adjusted earnings per share increased by 16% to $0.80. The tariff refund contributed approximately 140 basis points to gross margin expansion and approximately $0.07 to adjusted earnings per share.

Why did McCormick's Consumer segment volumes weaken in the United States?

In Q2 of fiscal 2026, price sensitivity, a wider gap versus alternatives, and increased competition from private-label and branded products led to a volume decline in the Americas. Pricing contributed 3%, but it only offset the volume decline, leaving organic growth in the region flat. The company responded with new price and package architecture, targeted promotions and assortments, precision marketing, and expanded distribution and innovation in brands such as Cholula and McCormick.

How important is Flavor Solutions to MKC's growth?

Flavor Solutions grew by 6% in constant currency in Q2 of fiscal 2026, including 3% organic growth split evenly between volume and price. In the Americas, organic growth was 4%, supported by packaged consumer goods companies, fast-growing innovators, and branded foodservice. The majority of development requests were related to health and wellness, including energy, hydration, and protein beverages, protein- and fiber-rich snacks, and sugar-free beverages.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The core Consumer business faces clear weakness in the United States, as wider price gaps, greater consumer sensitivity, and increased competition from private-label and branded products led to lower volume and kept organic growth in the Americas flat despite a 3% pricing contribution in Q2 of fiscal 2026.
  • −Part of Flavor Solutions remains exposed to weak customer traffic among quick-service restaurant clients; organic sales for the segment were flat in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa due to lower volume, while weakness among customers in Australia offset strong performance in China, leaving organic growth in Asia-Pacific at zero.
  • −The Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings trajectory indicates near-term pressure despite strong gross margin performance, as management expected adjusted operating income growth in the high-single-digit to low-teens range due to the timing of enterprise resource planning system investments, incentive compensation, and a significant increase in marketing. The normalization of the tax rate from approximately 16% in the comparable period to a level consistent with an annual forecast of approximately 24% also represents a headwind of approximately 700 to 800 basis points to earnings per share growth.
  • −Cost pressures are rising, as management said input inflation is trending toward the high end of its mid-single-digit range, or approximately 6%, affected by the Middle East conflict and higher commodity, fuel, and logistics costs. Changes in U.S. federal regulations also reduced freight capacity, while offsetting most of these pressures in fiscal 2026 depends on an expected total tariff refund of $31 million.
  • −The Unilever Foods transaction carries material execution and financing risks; more than 200 people are involved in the integration workstreams, and transition service agreements may extend for up to two years after closing. Despite the decline in leverage to 2.9 times, the company expects to rely on between $1.5 billion and $2 billion to repay debt during the first two years after closing and reach a leverage ratio of between two and three times.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus reflects divided views on returns and risks, with an average target of $58.75 and a wide range between $52 and $68. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $72.41, while even the highest target remains below that high, limiting the positive signal that can be drawn from analyst targets alone.
How could the Unilever Foods transaction affect McCormick?

On the June 25, 2026 call, management said approximately 80% of Unilever Foods operates as a standalone organization and that ten markets represent approximately 75% of combined sales. The company is targeting an operating margin of 21% at closing before synergies, followed by a range of 23% to 25% after adding synergies. It expects mid-to-high single-digit adjusted accretion to earnings per share during the first 12 months after closing and mid-to-high teens accretion in the third year, but transition service agreements may extend for up to two years.

Can McCormick fund investment and reduce debt at the same time?

Operating cash flow was $431 million in the first half of fiscal 2026, compared with $161 million in the comparable period, supported by profitability and improved working capital. The company returned $258 million to shareholders through dividends and spent $75 million on capital expenditures, while the leverage ratio was approximately 2.9 times at the end of Q2 of fiscal 2026. After the Unilever Foods transaction closes, management expects to generate between $1.5 billion and $2 billion to repay debt during the first two years, with a long-term leverage target of between two and three times.

How do analysts view MKC's valuation?

The analyst consensus is Neutral, and the average price target is $58.75, with a low target of $52 and a high target of $68. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $72.41, and the highest target also remains below that high. This valuation balances Flavor Solutions growth and margin expansion against weak Consumer volumes, inflationary pressures, and Unilever Foods integration risks.