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Home
Stocks
The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall80
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 4/8Better than 80% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
46
54.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
41
0.2%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
84
10.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
40
3.6x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
42
0.79%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
89
—2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
90
8▲3Top tier
MICC

MICC The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.

The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V. · NYSE
Market Closed
19.65
▲ ⁦+0.77%⁩ (+0.15)
Market Cap$12.0B
Beta0.42
52w Low52w High
12.9420.69
Last Week
⁦-0.46%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.13%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+17.52%⁩
Last Year
—
Fair Value
Current price$20
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$16
⁦-19%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$16–$16⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$17
⁦-15%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$16–$17⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$16.00
⁦-18.6%⁩
Current Price $19.65·Median $16.00
Low
$16.00
High
$16.00
Street summary

Targets Hold Steady While the Price Remains Above Them

Bearish tilt

Price targets did not change over 1, 7, or 30 days; consensus, the high target, the low target, and the median all remained at 16, while the number of analysts stayed at 6. Compared with the current price of 19.13, the price remains approximately 3.13 above the consensus target, reflecting an unsupportive price outlook according to these data, with no widening or narrowing in the dispersion of estimates.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.25
Hold
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
25%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 3.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-06-29
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    54.31x
    4.61x36.85x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.15x
    2.86x22.90x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.5%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.2%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -59.5%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    36.2%
    9.2%67.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    10.0%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.55x
    0.61x4.86x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.8%
    0.9%8.3%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    45.2%
    15.9%176.6%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V. is a specialized ice cream company with a portfolio led by Magnum, Ben & Jerry's, Cornetto, and Heartbrand, alongside Yasso, Popsicle, and local brands. It generates revenue through in-home, out-of-home, and digital commerce channels, benefiting from the expansion of formats, sizes, and price points, as well as a fleet of approximately 3 million freezers; the in-home and out-of-home channels delivered mid-single-digit growth during the first half of FY 2026, while digital commerce maintained double-digit growth.

In FY 2025, revenue was $7.9 billion, unchanged from FY 2024, while gross profit was $2.7 billion versus $2.8 billion, implying that the gross profit margin declined from approximately 35.4% to 34.2%. Net income fell to $307 million from $595 million, or by approximately 48.4%, and earnings per share were $0.48; these figures show that stable annual sales did not prevent clear pressure on profitability.

On the Q2 FY 2026 call, the company presented its first-half FY 2026 results: revenue increased to €4.7 billion from €4.5 billion, and organic growth was 4.7%, comprising 2.5% volume growth and 2.2% pricing growth. Adjusted operating profit increased to €716 million from €666 million, and its margin improved by 50 basis points to 15.3%. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization also increased to €880 million from €853 million, but its margin declined to 18.7% from 19.0%. Regionally, organic growth was 4.1% in Europe, Australia, and New Zealand, 3.2% in the Americas, and 7.6% in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa, while the U.S. market, the company's largest, generated revenue of $1.1 billion during the period.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The productivity program generated €90 million in savings in the first half of FY 2026, including €70 million in the supply chain and €20 million in overhead expenses, and the company is targeting €500 million in medium-term savings; the program contributed the equivalent of 190 basis points to operating margin movement.
  • Management estimated that innovation generates approximately 40% of business growth; Magnum delivered mid-single-digit growth supported by Magnum Signature La Pistache, while Ben & Jerry's growth accelerated to 9.2% in Q2 FY 2026 due to stick and sandwich formats, and Ben & Jerry's sticks accounted for four of the top ten super-premium innovations in the United States.
  • Yasso delivered double-digit growth for six consecutive quarters, and Popsicle continued to grow at a double-digit rate. New Yasso packages and Ben & Jerry's launches also represented six of the top ten ice cream innovations in the United States during the first half of FY 2026, according to Nielsen data.
  • Rebuilding distribution supported growth opportunities in India and the United States; in India, the company placed 50,000 freezers in the previous year and is targeting an additional 50,000 in FY 2026, compared with a current base of approximately 250,000 freezers, and the Indian business recorded double-digit growth in Q2 FY 2026. In the United States, the company is working to restore its presence in value and club channels after some accounts returned to historical distribution levels.
  • Management reaffirmed its FY 2026 guidance for organic growth of between 3% and 5%, and improvement in the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin of between 40 and 60 basis points on a comparable perimeter basis and between zero and 20 basis points on a reported basis. It also reduced its estimate of net finance costs to approximately €160 million from the previously announced €180 million.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The company combines 4.7% organic growth in the first half of FY 2026 with actual volume growth of 2.5%, and it gained market share across all regions and recorded share growth in nine of the ten quarters since management began measuring this trend.
  • +The innovation portfolio demonstrates an ability to extend brands into new consumption occasions; Ben & Jerry's sandwiches led new single-serve ice cream products in the United Kingdom, four of the brand's sticks ranked among the top ten super-premium products in the United States, and Magnum Signature La Pistache was ranked the top ice cream innovation in Europe.
  • +Adjusted operating profit improved by approximately 7.5% to €716 million, and its margin increased by 50 basis points to 15.3%. Free cash flow also nearly doubled to €273 million from €138 million in the first half of FY 2025, despite separation costs and the costs of financing as a standalone entity.
  • +Emerging markets offer room for expansion; Asia, the Middle East, and Africa grew by 7.6%, and Turkiye, Pakistan, and India recorded double-digit growth, while management sees the potential to expand India's network from approximately 250,000 freezers to 1 million freezers over the long term.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst target is $16, which is also both the highest and lowest target, so the consensus provides no dispersion with which to assess the diversity of views. The target is approximately 23.6% above the 52-week range low of $12.94, but approximately 21.9% below its high of $20.49. This target should be weighed against the 48.4% decline in FY 2025 net income, the 30-basis-point decline in the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin in the first half of FY 2026, and the absence of a benchmark price-to-earnings multiple in the provided data.

Analyst target: $16(-18.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove MICC's growth in the first half of FY 2026?

MICC delivered organic growth of 4.7%, comprising 2.5% volume growth and 2.2% pricing growth, bringing revenue to €4.7 billion. All three regions contributed to growth, led by Asia, the Middle East, and Africa at 7.6%, followed by Europe, Australia, and New Zealand at 4.1%, and the Americas at 3.2%. Innovation was a key driver through Magnum Signature La Pistache and Ben & Jerry's stick and sandwich formats, alongside double-digit growth for Yasso and Popsicle in the United States.

Did MICC's margins improve in Q2 FY 2026?

The Q2 FY 2026 call covered first-half results, in which the adjusted operating profit margin increased by 50 basis points to 15.3%. In contrast, the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin declined to 18.7% from 19.0% due to the 70-basis-point impact of transitional service agreements and the 30-basis-point impact of the acquisition in India. Productivity had a positive impact equivalent to 190 basis points, and selective pricing contributed the equivalent of 160 basis points, but commodity inflation and supply-chain costs consumed the equivalent of 200 basis points.

How important is innovation to the growth of the Magnum and Ben & Jerry's brands?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −FY 2025 profitability declined sharply despite revenue remaining flat at $7.9 billion; gross profit fell to $2.7 billion from $2.8 billion, and net income dropped 48.4% to $307 million from $595 million, revealing earnings sensitivity to costs even when sales do not decline.
  • −The adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin declined to 18.7% from 19.0% in the first half of FY 2026, with a negative impact of 70 basis points from transitional service agreements and 30 basis points from the acquisition in India. The company also needs to deliver improvement in the second half to achieve its full-year guidance after ending the first half 30 basis points behind on a reported margin basis.
  • −Organic growth slowed to 4.7% in the first half of FY 2026 from 5.8% in the comparable period of FY 2025. Cornetto also slowed to low-single-digit growth after high-single-digit growth in the previous year, while Brazil remained approximately flat with a slight downward bias.
  • −Asia, the Middle East, and Africa faced clear operating pressure; the adjusted operating profit margin declined by 190 basis points, and the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin declined by 270 basis points due to input cost inflation, measures imposed by the Turkish Competition Authority, and the acquisition in India. India remains loss-making during the investment phase, while the turnaround in Brazil is progressing more slowly than management had hoped.
  • −The Turkish Competition Authority requires 30% of the company's freezers in small retail outlets to be allocated to competing products or left empty when no other freezer is directly available to the consumer, which could pressure asset utilization and distribution in a market management described as high-margin. These risks are compounded by cocoa and energy inflation and supply-chain risks, after commodity inflation and supply costs had a negative impact equivalent to 200 basis points in the first half of FY 2026.
  • −Valuation represents a risk given the absence of a usable price-to-earnings multiple and the decline in FY 2025 net income, while the sole analyst target is $16 with no effective range between high and low estimates. This target is approximately 21.9% below the 52-week range high of $20.49, limiting reliance on a return to the historical high as a base-case scenario.

Management estimates that innovation is responsible for approximately 40% of business growth, making it a central part of MICC's model. Magnum delivered mid-single-digit growth supported by Magnum Signature La Pistache, La Peche, and Bonbons, while Ben & Jerry's growth accelerated to 9.2% in Q2 FY 2026. In the United States, Ben & Jerry's sticks accounted for four of the top ten super-premium innovations, while its sandwiches were the leading new product in the single-serve ice cream category in the United Kingdom.

What opportunities does MICC have in India and the United States?

The Indian business recorded double-digit growth in Q2 FY 2026 after price adjustments, the shift from vegetable fats to dairy, and an increased focus on Cornetto and Magnum. The company has approximately 250,000 freezers in India, placed 50,000 in the previous year, and is targeting another 50,000 in FY 2026, with a long-term vision of reaching 1 million freezers. In the United States, MICC is rebuilding distribution in value and club channels, has restored historical levels in some accounts, and has established a strong presence in Sam's, while it continues seeking to expand its portfolio in Costco.

What are the main operating risks facing MICC in FY 2026?

Margins in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa declined significantly, with the adjusted operating profit margin falling by 190 basis points and the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin falling by 270 basis points. The Turkish Competition Authority requires 30% of certain freezers to be allocated to competing products or left empty, while high cocoa costs also had an impact in the first half of FY 2026. In addition, India remains loss-making during the investment phase, and the decline in Brazil continues despite structural changes to the portfolio, sizes, pricing, and channels.

What is MICC's outlook for the full FY 2026?

Management reaffirmed its organic growth guidance of between 3% and 5% for the full FY 2026. It expects the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin to improve by between 40 and 60 basis points on a comparable perimeter basis and by between zero and 20 basis points on a reported basis due to the impact of the acquisition in India. It also expects an adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 27% and net finance costs of approximately €160 million, compared with a previous estimate of €180 million.