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Home
Stocks
M/I Homes, Inc.
MHO

MHO M/I Homes, Inc.

M/I Homes, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
139.89
▲ ⁦+0.57%⁩ (+0.79)
Market Cap$3.5B
Beta1.61
52w Low52w High
116.78163.66
Last Week
⁦-4.20%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.73%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.68%⁩
Last Year
⁦-4.24%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall65
Balanced — near the middle of the marketTurnaroundF 4/9SafeBetter than 65% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
86
11.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
11
-5.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
40
7.2%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
81
0.6x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
79
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
55
2.5%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
22
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$140
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$172
⁦+23%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$172–$172⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$67
⁦-52%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.6⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$67–$172⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$172.00
⁦+23.0%⁩
Current Price $139.89·Median $172.00
Low
$172.00
High
$172.00
Street summary

Stable Price Target with Broader Coverage

The consensus price target remained steady at $172 over the last day, 7 days, and 30 days, with no price adjustment. The number of analysts increased from one to two over the last day, while the estimate range remained very narrow, with the high, low, and median all matching at $172. Compared with the current price of $142.17, the target reflects an upside of approximately 21%. The outlook appears more stable than optimistic: there has been no change in targets, but the increase in the number of analysts has not added any apparent variation. In the ratings, the latest change was Zelman’s downgrade from Outperform to Neutral on 2026-07-07, representing a more cautious factor. As for the annual estimates, they indicate an increase in average revenue from $4.14335 billion in 2026 to $4.44010 billion in 2027, and an increase in average earnings per share from 13.1533 to 15.46, while the number of analysts remains limited.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
75%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-07
    Zelman
    OutperformNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-01-30
    Oppenheimer
    —· $165.00
  • = Reiterate2026-01-30
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.73x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.21x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.19x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.5%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -5.0%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -35.0%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    21.5%
    12.0%66.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    7.2%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.65x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.61
    -2.656.14
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

M/I Homes, Inc. builds and sells homes across 17 markets, benefiting from a portfolio that combines Smart Series, primarily aimed at first-time homebuyers, with higher-priced homes for move-up buyers. The company relies on residential communities in selected locations and uses mortgage rate buydowns as a key sales incentive, while also generating supplementary income from mortgage and title operations; its mortgage subsidiary captured 96% of financing business in Q2 FY2026.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue reached $1.1 billion, down 9% year over year, with 2.21 thousand homes delivered, down 6%, due to a decline in both the number of homes delivered and the average selling price. Net income was $79.1 million and diluted earnings per share were $3.02, while pre-tax income was $105 million, down 35%, and equaled 10% of revenue. Gross profit according to EDGAR data was approximately $235.5 million, while the company reported a gross margin of 22.1%, including $4 million in inventory charges, or 22.5% excluding them.

In Q2 FY2026, 60% of deliveries came from the Southern region and 40% from the Northern region, while Smart Series represented 43% of sales versus 52% a year ago, reflecting a limited shift toward higher-priced homes. Mortgage and title operations generated revenue of $32.3 million, up 3%, and pre-tax income of $14.4 million, nearly unchanged from $14.5 million in Q2 FY2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • M/I Homes recorded a second-quarter record of 2.39 thousand new home contracts in Q2 FY2026, up 15% year over year, while the average monthly sales pace increased to 3.4 homes per community from 3 homes, with a cancellation rate of 8%.
  • The company expects its average community count to increase by approximately 5% in FY2026, after opening 49 communities during the first half. The average selling price in those new communities was approximately $575 thousand versus approximately $540 thousand in the backlog, supporting the limited shift toward higher-priced products.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • New contracts in Q2 FY2026 increased by 16% in the Northern region and 14% in the Southern region, led by the Carolinas, followed by the Midwest and Texas, while Nashville and Fort Myers-Naples began gaining momentum as their operations expanded.
  • The financial position provides substantial flexibility; the company ended Q2 FY2026 with $736 million in cash, no borrowings under its $900 million unsecured credit facility, a debt-to-capital ratio of 18%, and a net debt-to-capital ratio of negative 1%, while S&P upgraded its credit rating to BB+.
  • The company repurchased $50 million of shares during Q2 FY2026, with $120 million remaining under the existing authorization, and has repurchased 19% of its outstanding shares since 2022, supporting earnings per share and book value of $128 per share.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The bullish case is based on order growth despite a weak market; new contracts increased by 15% in Q2 FY2026, while monthly sales rose by 13% in April, 23% in May, and 9% in June.
    • +The land portfolio gives the company clear capacity to expand, as it owned approximately 23.5 thousand lots and controlled approximately 25.7 thousand additional lots through option contracts at the end of Q2 FY2026, for a total of slightly more than 49 thousand lots, or approximately five years of supply.
    • +The company maintained a reported gross margin of 22.1% in Q2 FY2026, or 22.5% excluding inventory charges, with slight improvements in construction costs and the build cycle compared with the previous quarter despite an 8% year-over-year increase in the cost of finished lots.
    • +M/I Homes combines a low-leverage balance sheet with high buyer credit quality; customers had an average credit score of 748 and an average down payment of approximately 15%, while shareholders’ equity reached a record $3.2 billion.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Q2 FY2026 revenue declined by 9%, deliveries fell by 6%, and pre-tax income dropped by 35% to $105 million, while diluted earnings per share declined to $3.02 from $4.42 in Q2 FY2025; this shows that contract growth has not yet translated into earnings growth.
    • −The sales environment depends heavily on mortgage rate buydowns; management confirmed that industry demand would have been weak without them and that the cost of these buydowns increased in Q2 FY2026 as the unsubsidized 30-year fixed mortgage rate approached 7%.
    • −Spec homes accounted for 78% of sales in Q2 FY2026, and 42% of deliveries were homes sold and delivered within the same quarter; management explained that margins on built-to-order homes are typically approximately 100 to 200 basis points higher in some markets, making the higher spec-home mix a potential source of margin pressure.
    • −Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased to 12.6% of revenue in Q2 FY2026 from 11.3% a year ago, with absolute expenses rising by 3% due to the opening of new communities, a 3% increase in headcount, and higher spending on marketing and lead generation.
    • −Some Southern markets face varying degrees of weakness; management described Tampa and Sarasota as affected by the local economic environment and noted that Austin is still recovering slowly, while Nashville and Fort Myers-Naples currently weigh on earnings until they achieve greater scale.
    • −Net insider transactions during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 5, 2026, were negative $3 million, with four sales and no purchases; this remains a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data states otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $172, a single target with no dispersion between the high and low estimates, and approximately 5.1% above the 52-week range high of $163.66, while the low end of the range is $116.78. However, the analyst consensus is “Neutral,” and the absence of target variation limits the strength of conclusions drawn from the consensus, while results show a 9% decline in revenue and a 35% decline in pre-tax income in Q2 FY2026 despite contract growth.

    HoldAnalyst target: $172(+23.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove M/I Homes’ contract growth in Q2 FY2026?

    New contracts reached 2.39 thousand, up 15% year over year, and the sales pace increased to 3.4 homes per month per community from 3 homes. Management attributed the performance to community locations and product quality, alongside the continued use of mortgage rate buydowns. Contracts increased by 16% in the Northern region and 14% in the Southern region, with the Carolinas leading geographic growth.

    Did M/I Homes’ profitability improve in Q2 FY2026?

    The reported gross margin was 22.1%, or 22.5% excluding $4 million in inventory charges, and improved slightly compared with the previous quarter. However, pre-tax income declined by 35% to $105 million, and diluted earnings per share fell to $3.02 from $4.42 a year ago. Selling, general, and administrative expenses also increased to 12.6% of revenue from 11.3% in Q2 FY2025.

    How important is Smart Series to M/I Homes’ sales mix?

    Smart Series is the company’s most affordable product line and primarily targets first-time homebuyers. It represented 43% of Q2 FY2026 sales, down from 52% a year ago, while first-time buyers accounted for 50% of total sales. This reflects a limited shift toward move-up homes, and the average selling price in the 49 communities opened during the first half was approximately $575 thousand.

    How does the mortgage subsidiary support M/I Homes’ sales?

    The mortgage subsidiary captured a record 96% of the company’s business in Q2 FY2026, up from 92% a year ago. Mortgage and title operations generated revenue of $32.3 million and pre-tax income of $14.4 million. The average mortgage amount was $405 thousand, while the average loan-to-value ratio was 85%, and 65% of loans were conventional and 35% were under FHA or VA programs.

    How strong was M/I Homes’ balance sheet at the end of Q2 FY2026?

    Cash totaled $736 million, and there were no borrowings under the $900 million unsecured credit facility. Shareholders’ equity reached a record $3.2 billion, and book value was $128 per share, up $11 year over year. The debt-to-capital ratio was also 18%, the net debt-to-capital ratio was negative 1%, and S&P upgraded the credit rating to BB+.

    What are the main risks to demand for M/I Homes’ homes during FY2026?

    Management described demand as volatile and constrained by high interest rates, economic uncertainty, and weak affordability. Sales depend on mortgage rate buydowns, and the company spent more on them in Q2 FY2026 than in the previous quarter. Tampa and Sarasota also face local economic pressures, while Austin is still recovering slowly despite positive sales growth in Texas and Florida.