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Stocks
Mohawk Industries, Inc.
MHK

MHK Mohawk Industries, Inc.

Mohawk Industries, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
126.79
▲ ⁦+2.05%⁩ (+2.55)
Market Cap$7.7B
Beta1.18
52w Low52w High
92.99143.13
Last Week
⁦-1.88%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.81%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+18.03%⁩
Last Year
⁦-4.11%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall80
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 80% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
82
16.8x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
34
4.6%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
51
4.4%4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
80
1.2x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
69
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
61
1.0%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
43
11▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$127
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$126
⁦-1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$110–$135⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$149
⁦+18%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦9.6⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$126–$149⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$123.83
⁦-2.3%⁩
Current Price $126.79·Median $125.50
Low
$110.00
High
$135.00
Current price
$126.79
Average target
$123.83
Street summary

Review of Mohawk Industries (MHK) Price Targets

Bearish tilt

The average price target for Mohawk Industries saw a slight increase of 1.96% over the past thirty days, reaching 126.14; however, the current stock price (136.68) is already trading above this average and above the median price (130). This discrepancy, along with the variance between the high target (140) and the low target (110), reflects a state of caution and skepticism regarding the stock's ability to achieve further gains beyond current levels.

As of 2026-08-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.27
Hold
Analyst coverage
15
Buy conviction
27%
Target dispersion
20%
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
4
11
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.44 → 3.27
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-05-05
    Truist Securities
    —· $135.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.79x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    14.20x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.03x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.4%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.6%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    0.4%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    24.3%
    12.0%66.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    4.4%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.20x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.96
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

Mohawk Industries is a global flooring products manufacturer operating in 19 countries, with a portfolio spanning tile and ceramic, countertops, carpet, laminate, LVT, WPC, and hybrid products, along with panels and insulation materials. It generates revenue through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World, with exposure to residential and commercial channels, retail, and new home construction; commercial activity remained stronger than residential activity in Q2 fiscal 2026.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $3.0 billion, up 6.8% as reported and 5% on a constant-currency basis, while gross profit was $795.1 million, with a reported margin of 26.6%. Net income was $196.1 million and reported earnings per share were $3.22, while adjusted earnings per share were $3.67, including a benefit of approximately $0.63 from tariff refunds.

Q2 fiscal 2026 sales were distributed across Global Ceramic at $1.2 billion, Flooring North America at $976 million, and Flooring Rest of the World at $806 million. Reported operating income was $254 million, while adjusted operating income reached $290 million, or 9.7% of sales, up approximately 170 basis points from the comparable period; price and mix also supported results by $54 million, restructuring and productivity by $43 million, and higher volumes by $13 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • All three segments grew in Q2 fiscal 2026: Global Ceramic sales increased 7.9% as reported and 4.6% on a constant-currency basis, Flooring North America increased 3.1% and 4.7%, respectively, and Flooring Rest of the World increased 9.7% and 6.2%, reflecting broad-based growth across regions rather than reliance on a single segment.
  • New products and increased customer display placements supported volume growth and market share gains; examples included premium LVT and laminate collections, allergen-resistant carpet, and the Hero rubber product made from recycled Nike materials, which won three Best of NeoCon awards.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Operational simplification, organizational realignment, warehouse consolidation, and capacity optimization projects target annual cost reductions of approximately $60 million, with most expected to be completed by the end of 2027, against cash restructuring costs of approximately $50 million.
  • Liquidity supported investment and capital returns; free cash flow reached $236 million from the beginning of fiscal 2026 through the end of Q2, with net debt slightly below $1.1 billion and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.8 times. The company also repurchased more than 600 thousand shares for approximately $60 million during the quarter.
  • Management expects adjusted earnings per share of between $2.50 and $2.60 for Q3 fiscal 2026, including approximately $0.12 from tariff refunds received; the underlying range is $2.38 to $2.48 after excluding these refunds, restructuring items, and nonrecurring items.
  • The company announced during the July 31, 2026 call that Jeff Lorberbaum will retire as Chief Executive Officer and that Paul De Cock will assume the role. De Cock affirmed a continued focus on operational excellence, product innovation, disciplined growth investment, and returning capital to shareholders.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q2 fiscal 2026 results exceeded management's expectations, with reported sales growth of 6.8% and an improvement of approximately 170 basis points in adjusted operating margin, despite continued weakness in residential flooring markets.
    • +Every segment achieved growth, and volumes in Global Ceramic increased by approximately 3%, while management reported gaining share in hard and soft surfaces in North America and across most regions, driven by new display placements and specific innovations.
    • +The targeted permanent structural improvements of $60 million annually could expand earnings power when demand improves, after productivity and restructuring initiatives added $43 million to operating performance in Q2 fiscal 2026.
    • +The net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.8 times and free cash flow of $236 million since the beginning of fiscal 2026 give the company the capacity to fund planned capital expenditures of approximately $460 million while continuing share repurchases.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Housing channels remain under clear pressure; management described existing home sales as being near multi-decade lows, with continued weakness in new home construction and affordability challenges, and its outlook for the second half of fiscal 2026 does not assume a near-term demand recovery.
    • −Material, energy, and transportation costs are rising, and underlying inflation reached $77 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with a net inflation impact of $28 million after tariff refunds. Management expects a sequential increase of approximately $35 million in cost pressure from Q2 to Q3 and costs to remain elevated in Q4, potentially requiring additional price increases in a weak market.
    • −The Q3 fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook of $2.50 to $2.60 indicates a clear decline from $3.67 in Q2; moreover, $0.12 of the outlook comes from tariff refunds, while the underlying range excluding this benefit is $2.38 to $2.48.
    • −Management expects sales to decline seasonally from Q2 to Q3 fiscal 2026 by an amount that could be greater than usual because Q2 benefited from initial stocking for new product placements and limited purchases ahead of price increases. Management emphasized that reorders could support subsequent periods, but the strength of initial stocking does not fully recur every quarter.
    • −Price competition remains a risk as producers pursue volumes in slow end markets, while the discussion also highlighted excess capacity and pricing pressure in the laminate and vinyl categories. Management also explained that LVT demand growth has become closer to overall flooring industry growth as the category has reached a more mature stage.
    • −Insiders recorded net sales of $14.3 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 14, 2026, with 33 sales and no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the available data does not provide details proving otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on MHK is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $123.83 within a wide range of $110 to $135; the average target is approximately 13.5% below the 52-week range high of $143.13, while the highest target is close to that high. The dispersion of targets relative to the 52-week range of $92.99 to $143.13 reflects the market's balancing of improving market share and productivity on one hand against housing weakness, rising input costs, and the lower Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings outlook on the other.

    HoldAnalyst target: $123.83(-2.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Mohawk Industries' growth in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Sales increased to $3.0 billion, representing growth of 6.8% as reported and 5% on a constant-currency basis, driven by higher volumes, price increases, and an improved product mix. The company benefited from initial stocking for new customer display placements and limited purchases ahead of price increases, but management said the pull-forward effect was limited. Supporting products included premium LVT and laminate collections and allergen-resistant carpet, with growth across all three segments.

    How did MHK's three segments perform in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Global Ceramic sales were approximately $1.2 billion, up 7.9% as reported, with an adjusted operating margin of 8.2%. Flooring North America recorded sales of $976 million and an adjusted operating margin of 11.4%. Flooring Rest of the World generated $806 million in sales and an adjusted operating margin of 12%, as the $41 million price and mix impact exceeded the $23 million increase in input costs.

    What is Mohawk's outlook for Q3 fiscal 2026?

    Management expects adjusted earnings per share of between $2.50 and $2.60, including approximately $0.12 from tariff refunds received. After excluding the refunds, restructuring items, and nonrecurring items, the underlying range is $2.38 to $2.48. The company also expects a seasonal decline in sales from Q2 that may be greater than usual, amid continued weak demand and higher input costs.

    Can Mohawk offset cost inflation during fiscal 2026?

    Underlying inflation reached $77 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, while the net impact declined to $28 million after tariff refunds. Management expects a sequential increase of approximately $35 million in costs from Q2 to Q3, with elevated levels continuing in Q4. The company believes price, mix, and productivity can offset inflation in Q3 and across fiscal 2026, but it may need additional price increases if costs rise further.

    What are the key products supporting MHK's market share gains?

    Mohawk launched new premium LVT and laminate collections and expanded its presence in retail and new home construction channels. Allergen-resistant carpet had a strong start, while the Hero rubber product made from recycled Nike materials won three Best of NeoCon awards. The company also expanded a second line for manufacturing countertops domestically in the United States and said during the July 31, 2026 call that it expects its ramp-up to accelerate.

    What is Mohawk's balance sheet and capital return position in fiscal 2026?

    The company generated free cash flow of $236 million from the beginning of fiscal 2026 through the end of Q2. Net debt was slightly below $1.1 billion, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.8 times. Mohawk plans to spend approximately $460 million on capital expenditures during fiscal 2026 and repurchased more than 600 thousand shares for approximately $60 million in Q2.