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McGraw Hill, Inc.
MH

MH McGraw Hill, Inc.

McGraw Hill, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
12.32
▲ ⁦+1.73%⁩ (+0.21)
Market Cap$2.3B
Beta-0.99
52w Low52w High
8.9618.00
Last Week
⁦-4.12%⁩
Last Month
⁦+6.02%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.92%⁩
Last Year
⁦-18.73%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall84
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 7/8Better than 84% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
83
25.1x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
44
0.7%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
87
8.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
29
4.3x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
94
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
30
-24.9%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
93
9▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$12
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$16
⁦+30%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$14–$17⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$6.91
⁦-44%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$6.91–$16⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$16.14
⁦+31.0%⁩
Current Price $12.32·Median $16.00
Low
$14.00
High
$17.00
Current price
$12.32
Average target
$16.14
Street summary

McGraw Hill (MH) Price Target Revision Analysis

The average price target for McGraw Hill stock has seen a decline of 2.6% over the past thirty days, falling from 16.57 to 16.14, with this valuation remaining unchanged over the last week. Despite this reduction, the current price target still significantly exceeds the market price (13.3), reflecting expectations for potential price growth, with a narrow analyst dispersion range between $14 and $17.

As of 2026-08-21
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.15
Buy
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
92%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
24%
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
3
9
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.15 → 4.15
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    BTIG
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-06
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.14x
    4.61x36.85x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    6.61x
    3.86x30.86x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.40x
    2.86x22.90x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.1%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.7%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    244.1%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    82.6%
    9.2%67.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    8.1%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.29x
    0.61x4.86x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-13 data

Company Overview

McGraw Hill provides educational content, curricula, assessment tools, and digital learning solutions for higher education, pre-K–12, medical and professional education, and international markets. Its revenue model relies on curriculum licenses, multi-year contracts, and services such as Inclusive Access, Evergreen, and Connect, along with AI-powered tools that can be sold on top of existing curriculum licenses; the company has more than 100 million active curriculum licenses and more than 7.5 million users of its AI-powered solutions. In fiscal 2027 Q1, recurring revenue represented 77% of the total, while digital revenue represented 64%, enhancing revenue predictability compared with full reliance on seasonal book sales.

Fiscal 2027 Q1 revenue was approximately $550 million, up 2.6% year over year, while recurring revenue rose approximately 9.8% to $426 million and digital revenue grew approximately 9%. The company recorded net income of $58 million and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $207 million, with a margin of 37.7%, up 192 basis points; excluding the benefit from an intellectual property sale, the margin improvement was 60 basis points. For comparison with the reported financial statements, fiscal 2026 trailing-twelve-month revenue was approximately $2.1 billion, gross profit was $1.7 billion, and net income was $49.9 million.

The Higher Education segment led fiscal 2027 Q1 results with revenue of $200 million and growth of 10%, while the pre-K–12 segment remained the largest, with revenue of $274 million and growth of 1.3%. Global Professional generated revenue of $35 million, 80% of which was related to medical education, and the International segment recorded $45 million despite shipment delays related to the Middle East conflict. This mix shows that the fastest growth came from higher education, while the pre-K–12 segment remained central to results and a significant source of seasonality.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Higher Education revenue rose 10% in fiscal 2027 Q1, supported by enrollment growth of approximately 4%, pricing improvement of approximately 2%, and market share gains; the company’s share for the twelve months ended June 2026 remained above 30% after increasing 140 basis points year over year.
  • Early capture rates for the Emerge, Summit, and Soar reading programs exceeded the targeted range of 25% to 30%, while the pipeline for supplemental and intervention solutions increased by double digits in fiscal 2027. A review committee in California also recommended approval of the English language programs, and the mathematics programs received Florida approval ahead of the adoption cycle beginning in fiscal 2028.
  • ROAR, integrated exclusively with Stanford University, expands the company’s market through dyslexia screening across all pre-K–12 grades; 40 U.S. states require such screening, covering approximately 86% of students. Management confirmed that ROAR is a paid offering that can be sold in addition to Emerge, Summit, and Soar or independently, opening two direct revenue paths.
  • The company operates 8 live AI-powered learning tools for more than 7.5 million active users, with 3 additional launches planned during fiscal 2027. AI Reader alone recorded 63 million interactions across 2.6 million users, while the agentic tools pilot expanded to more than 14 companies, with the potential to charge additional fees for the tools or MCP access on top of curriculum licenses.
  • Medical education supports an additional expansion opportunity; AI Reader was extended to 4 new titles in pharmacotherapy and pharmacology, while the clinical reasoning tool added 18 cases and secured its first commercial deals. McGraw Hill also serves approximately 98% of U.S. medical schools, giving Harrison’s Medicine and AccessMedicine tools an established institutional base for expansion.
  • The company reduced total debt by $646 million during fiscal 2026, lowering annual cash interest expense by approximately $45 million, and ended fiscal 2027 Q1 with $194 million in cash and total liquidity of $644 million. In July 2026, Moody’s upgraded the company’s credit ratings, while the net leverage target remained at 2 to 2.5 times.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +Revenue quality is improving, with recurring revenue reaching $426 million and growing nearly 10% in fiscal 2027 Q1, alongside nearly 9% growth in digital revenue and an increase in the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin to 37.7%.
    • +The company combines more than 100 million existing curriculum licenses with paid AI tools, enabling additional revenue from Sharpen, AI Reader, and MCP access without needing to build a user base from scratch.
    • +The Science of Reading cycle supports multi-year demand, as 44 states representing 86% of pre-K–5 enrollment have adopted related methodologies, while early capture rates for Emerge, Summit, and Soar exceeded the 25% to 30% target.
    • +Higher Education sales growth of 10%, market share exceeding 30%, and recurring revenue growth of 14% in the segment provide numerical evidence of the effectiveness of Inclusive Access, Evergreen, and Connect in pricing, customer retention, and share gains.
    • +The $646 million debt reduction and approximately $45 million in annual cash interest savings provide greater capacity for organic investment, while the credit facility remains undrawn and a $50 million share repurchase authorization remains in place.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The full fiscal 2027 outlook depends on the back-to-school season, pre-K–12 district decisions, and the return of higher education students to campus; therefore, management kept guidance unchanged and assumed enrollment growth of only 1%, despite fiscal 2027 Q1 exceeding expectations.
    • −Results are highly seasonal and timing-sensitive; part of the pre-K–12 segment’s outperformance resulted from materials being delivered in June 2026 instead of July 2026, and management confirmed that performance was consistent with its expectations for the first half rather than representing a net increase in full-year expectations.
    • −Aggregate capture rates remain under relative pressure from California and Texas, as management said performance outside those two states is at the upper end of the 25% to 30% range, while aggregate rates at the lower end indicate unrealized opportunities for improvement in major markets.
    • −There were signs of delays in some supplemental and intervention solution decisions, while the remaining performance obligation of $1.5 billion and implied billings were weaker than the expectations of one analyst participating in the call; management attributed this to timing, but pipeline conversion remains an influential factor in both the first and second halves.
    • −The Middle East conflict delayed International segment shipments from fiscal 2027 Q1 to Q2 or Q3, alongside continued pressure on higher education enrollment in Canada. Although management expects the delay to have no impact on the full-year result, logistics execution and international growth remain exposed to regional developments and the ability of the Middle East and Latin America markets to offset Canadian pressure.
    • −The fiscal 2027 Q1 margin improvement included a nonrecurring benefit of $7.5 million from an intellectual property sale; excluding it, margin expansion falls from 192 basis points to 60 basis points. A price-to-earnings ratio is also unavailable in the provided data, and the average analyst target of $16.14 is close to the 52-week range high of $18, leaving limited room for error if growth slows or the adoption cycle falters.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $16.14 and a range between $14 and $17; the average is only $1.86 below the 52-week range high of $18, while the highest target is $1 below it. A price-to-earnings ratio is unavailable in the provided data, limiting traditional earnings-based comparison, and analyst targets should be weighed against fiscal 2026 trailing-twelve-month net income of $49.9 million and the fact that fiscal 2027 guidance remained unchanged after the strong first quarter.

    BuyAnalyst target: $16.14(+31.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove McGraw Hill’s growth in fiscal 2027 Q1?

    Revenue reached $550 million in fiscal 2027 Q1, up 2.6% year over year, while net income reached $58 million. Recurring revenue rose 9.8% to $426 million, and digital revenue grew nearly 9%, increasing their contributions to 77% and 64% of revenue, respectively. Higher Education led growth with a 10% increase to $200 million, while pre-K–12 segment revenue rose 1.3% to $274 million. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $207 million, with a margin of 37.7%.

    How does McGraw Hill generate revenue from artificial intelligence?

    McGraw Hill sells AI-powered learning tools on top of a base exceeding 100 million curriculum licenses, rather than relying only on free users. As of August 13, 2026, it had 8 live tools serving more than 7.5 million active users, with 3 additional launches planned during fiscal 2027. AI Reader recorded approximately 63 million interactions among 2.6 million users, and management explained that some customers pay additional fees for tools such as Sharpen or for AI and MCP access. The agentic solutions pilot also included more than 14 companies using chatbots and various open-source tools.

    How important are Emerge, Summit, Soar, and ROAR to MH’s growth?

    Early capture rates for Emerge, Summit, and Soar exceeded the company’s target of 25% to 30%, within an adoption cycle related to the Science of Reading methodology. As of August 13, 2026, 44 states representing 86% of pre-K–5 enrollment had mandated methodologies based on this approach, while the California cycle begins in fiscal 2028. ROAR adds multilingual dyslexia screening across all pre-K–12 grades in a market where 40 states require screening. Management confirmed that ROAR is a paid product that can be added to the reading programs or sold independently.

    Has McGraw Hill’s financial position improved?

    The company reduced total debt by $646 million during fiscal 2026, lowering annual cash interest expense by approximately $45 million. At the end of fiscal 2027 Q1, it had $194 million in cash and $644 million in total liquidity, while the revolving credit facility remained undrawn. Moody’s upgraded the company’s credit ratings in July 2026, and management maintained its net leverage target of 2 to 2.5 times. The $50 million share repurchase authorization also remained in place, with priority given to organic investment followed by debt reduction.

    What are the main risks that could prevent McGraw Hill from meeting its fiscal 2027 expectations?

    Results depend heavily on the back-to-school season, school district decisions, and higher education student enrollment data, so management kept its guidance unchanged after fiscal 2027 Q1. Guidance assumed 1% growth in higher education enrollment, while part of the pre-K–12 segment’s outperformance was merely a shift in shipments from July to June 2026. Some supplemental and intervention solution decisions were also delayed, and aggregate capture rates remained affected by performance in California and Texas. In the International segment, the Middle East conflict delayed shipments to fiscal 2027 Q2 or Q3, alongside enrollment pressure in Canada.

    How does MH stock’s valuation look according to analyst consensus?

    Analyst consensus rates MH stock as “Buy,” with an average target of $16.14, a low target of $14, and a high target of $17. The average is close to the 52-week range high of $18, and a price-to-earnings ratio is unavailable in the provided data for directly assessing the stock based on earnings. The company generated net income of $49.9 million during the fiscal 2026 trailing twelve months, but management did not raise fiscal 2027 guidance after the first quarter. The targets therefore reflect optimism about recurring and digital growth and the curriculum cycle, with clear sensitivity to shipment seasonality, adoption decisions, and enrollment.