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Stocks
Magnite, Inc.
MGNI

MGNI Magnite, Inc.

Magnite, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
23.77
▲ ⁦+0.93%⁩ (+0.22)
Market Cap$3.4B
Beta2.27
52w Low52w High
10.8226.19
Last Week
⁦-4.46%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.84%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+60.07%⁩
Last Year
⁦-8.40%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall92
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9Better than 92% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
39
21.4x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
69
8.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
89
13.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
74
0.6x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
88
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
79
-8.3%▼2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
38
7▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$24
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$27
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$25–$30⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$13
⁦-44%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$13–$27⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$27.20
⁦+14.4%⁩
Current Price $23.77·Median $27.00
Low
$25.00
High
$30.00
Current price
$23.77
Average target
$27.20
Street summary

Limited Target Increase with Valuations Holding Steady

The consensus price target rose over the last 30 days from 26.5 to 27.2, an increase of 0.7 or 2.64%. However, it remained unchanged over the last 7 days and the last day, with the number of analysts staying at one analyst; therefore, the outlook has improved, but only modestly, and does not reflect a broader coverage base. Current targets range between 25 and 30, indicating an existing estimation range, but there is insufficient coverage to assess wide dispersion among analysts.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.07
Buy
Analyst coverage
15
Buy conviction
87%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
21%
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
3
10
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.21 → 4.07
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Needham
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Benchmark
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.41x
    4.21x33.71x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    20.82x
    3.09x24.70x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    22.68x
    2.57x20.60x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    6.8%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.3%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    258.1%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    64.8%
    11.3%77.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    13.4%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.56x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-06 data

Company Overview

Magnite operates as an advertising technology infrastructure platform connecting content publishers with buyers, with an increasing focus on connected TV advertising CTV. The SpringServe platform combines ad serving, mediation, and yield optimization, while ClearLine gives buyers direct access to premium CTV inventory; the company generates revenue by facilitating advertising transactions and providing monetization and demand management tools to publishers across CTV and the DV+ segment.

In Q2 FY2026, sales reached $192.823 million and adjusted earnings per share were $0.26, with the results exceeding market expectations according to an August 6, 2026 news report. CTV activity grew 36% year over year, and DV+ returned to growth, causing the stock to rise 11.2% following the results announcement and research firms to raise their price targets.

The latest EDGAR filings available for Q1 FY2026 show revenue of $164.4 million, gross profit of $104.0 million, net income of $4.4 million, and earnings per share of $0.03; this equates to a gross profit margin of approximately 63.3% and a net margin of approximately 2.7%. Contribution ex-TAC reached $161 million, including $82 million from CTV and $79 million from DV+, while the mix was distributed as 51% CTV, 34% mobile, and 15% desktop, and the adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 27% from 25% in Q1 FY2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The Q2 FY2026 results exceeding expectations were the most immediate driver of the stock: sales reached $192.823 million and adjusted earnings per share were $0.26, and the stock rose 11.2% after the August 6, 2026 announcement.
  • CTV continued to gain weight within the business; its contribution ex-TAC grew 30% to $82 million in Q1 FY2026 and then recorded growth of 36% in Q2 FY2026, supported by publishers such as Netflix, Paramount, Roku, and Warner Bros. Discovery.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Live sports opportunities within SpringServe are expanding, as March Madness revenue increased by more than 80% year over year in Q1 FY2026, with management emphasizing that the programmatically sold portion of live sports inventory remains small compared with the size of the opportunity.
  • Commerce media has become an additional source of demand and data; the number of partners reached 21, including 13 that entered the operating and expansion stage, with announced partnerships including Expedia Group, Walmart Connect, and Roku Curate.
  • Operating efficiency improved due to lower cloud spending and early productivity gains associated with artificial intelligence; therefore, on May 6, 2026, management raised its FY2026 adjusted EBITDA margin outlook to at least 35.5% and raised its free cash flow growth outlook to the mid-thirties percentage range.
  • Share repurchases support capital returns; Magnite repurchased or reserved more than 2.2 million shares for approximately $29 million in Q1 FY2026, with $186 million remaining under the authorization extending through February 2028, while targeting the return of approximately 50% of free cash flow to shareholders through repurchases.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The bullish case is based on CTV growth outpacing the market; Magnite achieved growth of 30% in Q1 FY2026 and 36% in Q2 FY2026, while management estimated CTV market growth in the low-teens percentage range.
    • +SpringServe gives the company a central position in CTV monetization by combining ad serving, mediation, and yield optimization, and growth in Q1 FY2026 included major publishers such as Netflix, Roku, Paramount, LG Ads, and Vizio Walmart.
    • +Improving margins provide financial leverage to growth; adjusted EBITDA rose 16% to $43 million in Q1 FY2026, and its margin increased to 27%, after which management raised its FY2026 margin outlook to at least 35.5%.
    • +Commerce media, live sports, and SpringServe Streamr open additional growth paths; there are 21 commerce media partners, March Madness revenue grew by more than 80%, and management said that the benefits of Streamr had begun to appear in CTV growth rates.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −DV+ remains the structural weakness; its contribution ex-TAC declined 5% to $79 million in Q1 FY2026, and Q2 FY2026 guidance indicated a decline of between 2% and 4%, with management acknowledging that open-web display advertising will remain a negative-growth business.
    • −Important advertising categories face macroeconomic pressure; the automotive sector was notably lower and technology was among the weakest categories in Q1 FY2026, with management linking this to tariffs, supply-chain challenges, and uncertainty in the Middle East.
    • −AI-powered programmatic agents pose a potential risk to the role of intermediaries and take rates in the open-web ecosystem; the call discussed the possibility of bypassing some of the technology layers that collectively capture 40% to 50% of the value. Management believes Magnite will remain a necessary execution, verification, and payments layer, but direct revenue from artificial intelligence initiatives was described as modest in FY2026, with a clearer revenue impact expected in FY2027.
    • −The company faces a time-bound executive financial transition; CFO David L. Day announced his retirement after more than 13 years, while remaining in his role through September 30, 2026, as the company evaluated internal and external candidates according to the May 6, 2026 call.
    • −The target valuation offers a limited margin of safety relative to the recent historical high; the average analyst target of $26.5 is only slightly above the 52-week range high of $26.19, and the consensus target range is narrow at between $25 and $27.
    • −Insider transactions provide a weak negative trading signal; net selling over three months reached $7.3 million across 26 sales without any purchases, with the latest transaction on August 28, 2026. However, insider sales may be prearranged, so they are not sufficient on their own to assess the business outlook.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $26.5 and a narrow range of $25 to $27, while the average is only approximately 1.2% above the 52-week range high of $26.19; this limits the margin of safety if CTV results or margins fall short of expectations. On August 6, 2026, BTIG raised its target from $20 to $27 with a Buy rating, while Rosenblatt raised its target to $40, reflecting a positive revaluation following Q2 FY2026 sales of $192.823 million and adjusted earnings per share of $0.26, but the wide 52-week range of $10.82 to $26.19 illustrates the stock's sensitivity to changes in growth expectations.

    BuyAnalyst target: $26.5(+11.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the main driver of Magnite's growth in FY2026?

    The main driver is CTV, which represented 51% of contribution ex-TAC in Q1 FY2026. Its contribution rose 30% to $82 million in that quarter, and the segment then recorded growth of 36% in Q2 FY2026. Management links this performance to the SpringServe platform and expanded work with Netflix, Paramount, Roku, Warner Bros. Discovery, and others.

    Has Magnite's DV+ segment returned to growth?

    DV+ contribution ex-TAC declined 5% to $79 million in Q1 FY2026. Q2 FY2026 guidance expected a decline of between 2% and 4%, but the results news published on August 6, 2026 reported that the segment had returned to growth. Supporting elements come from mobile applications, which grew 8% in Q1 FY2026, in addition to audio, commerce media, and online video.

    How does Magnite use artificial intelligence in its platform?

    Magnite uses artificial intelligence for dynamic pricing, demand optimization, inventory evaluation, and campaign execution, and also employs it within ClearLine to simplify activation, organization, and optimization. Management said on May 6, 2026 that early productivity gains helped reduce expenses, alongside optimized cloud spending. However, it expected only modest revenue from these initiatives in FY2026 and anticipated that the revenue impact would become clearer in FY2027.

    How important are SpringServe and SpringServe Streamr to Magnite's business?

    Management describes SpringServe as a unified operating layer for CTV advertising that combines ad serving, mediation, yield optimization, and ad experience management. SpringServe Streamr enables small and medium-sized businesses to create, measure, and purchase television advertisements through the Magnite platform and reach premium streaming publishers. During the May 6, 2026 call, management said that Streamr was expanding rapidly and that its benefits had begun to be reflected in CTV growth.

    What is the status of Magnite's liquidity, debt, and share repurchases?

    The cash balance was $185 million at the end of Q1 FY2026 after repaying $250 million of convertible debt. The company recorded operating cash flow, according to its definition based on adjusted EBITDA less capital expenditures, of $23 million, with capital expenditures of $20 million and net leverage of 0.7 times. It also spent approximately $29 million to repurchase or reserve more than 2.2 million shares, with $186 million remaining available under the authorization through February 2028.

    What are the main risks to monitor for MGNI stock?

    The main operating risks are the continued contraction of open-web display advertising, as DV+ declined by 5% in Q1 FY2026. Pressure also emerged in automotive and technology related to tariffs, supply chains, and economic uncertainty, alongside the possibility that AI-powered agents could reshape the roles of advertising intermediaries. In addition, CFO David L. Day will retire on September 30, 2026, and the consensus analyst target range is narrow at between $25 and $27 compared with the 52-week high of $26.19.