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Stocks
Meta Platforms, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall70
Strong — clearly above market medianFalling StarF 4/8SafeBetter than 70% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
38
23.0x▼18.0xBottom tier
▸
Growth
81
27.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
88
21.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
87
0.2x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
16
0.34%▼2.11%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
37
-21.3%▼3.0%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
70
41▲3Top tier
META

META Meta Platforms, Inc.

Meta Platforms, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
613.48
▼ ⁦-0.53%⁩ (-3.29)
Market Cap$1.6T
Beta1.24
52w Low52w High
520.26790.80
Last Week
⁦+7.19%⁩
Last Month
⁦+3.61%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.80%⁩
Last Year
⁦-18.47%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$613
Analyst target · 20 analysts
$735
⁦+20%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$595–$886⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$289
⁦-53%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.9⁩% discount · ⁦7⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$289–$735⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 20 analysts setting price target
$729.93
⁦+19.0%⁩
Current Price $613.48·Median $735.00
Low
$595.00
High
$886.00
Current price
$613.48
Average target
$729.93
Street summary

Slight improvement in consensus amid a decline in the number of analysts

The consensus price target rose over the last 30 days from 723.69 to 729.93, an increase of 6.24 or 0.86%, while remaining unchanged over the last day and seven days. The current price is 613.48, compared with a target range of 595 to 886 and a median average of 735; this reflects a clear divergence among estimates, while the consensus remains above the current price. However, the number of analysts decreased from 27 to 20 in the latest snapshots, narrowing the breadth of the consensus base and making the confidence assessment more conservative.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.02
Buy
Analyst coverage
62
Buy conviction
89%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
47%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time62 analysts rating
8
47
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.94 → 4.02
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.98x
    4.17x33.36x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    19.05x
    3.11x24.88x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.24x
    2.54x20.30x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    2.6%
    -35.2%21.5%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    27.7%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -3.1%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    81.7%
    11.3%77.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    21.8%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.20x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.3%
    0.0%8.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    7.9%
    5.9%105.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    6.82
    -8.294.75
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Meta Platforms operates an ecosystem of apps that includes Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger, and Threads, and generates most of its income from selling digital advertising through Family of Apps. In Q2 FY2026, Family of Apps revenue was approximately $60.4 billion, including $59.4 billion from advertising and $1.0 billion from other revenue, while Reality Labs recorded revenue of $431 million. The company is working to expand its revenue sources through paid WhatsApp messaging, Meta One subscriptions, business agents, the Muse Spark API, and AI glasses.

In Q2 FY2026, total revenue rose 28% year over year to $60.8 billion, and gross profit reached $49.5 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 81.4%. Operating income was $18.8 billion at an operating margin of 31%, but declined 8% year over year, while net income reached $15.8 billion and earnings per share were $6.18. Quarterly expenses of $42 billion included $2.4 billion in legal charges and $1.2 billion in severance expenses; the company said operating income would have grown 9% excluding these two items.

The revenue mix remains highly dependent on advertising, with Family of Apps advertising revenue representing approximately 97.7% of total Q2 FY2026 revenue. By contrast, other Family of Apps revenue rose 73% to $1 billion, supported by paid WhatsApp messaging and subscriptions, while Reality Labs revenue increased 16% due to growth in AI glasses despite lower Quest device sales. On a trailing twelve-month basis in FY2026, revenue reached $215.0 billion, net income was $70.6 billion, and earnings per share were $27.53.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Family of Apps advertising revenue rose 27% in Q2 FY2026 to $59.4 billion, with ad impressions increasing 14% and the average global price per ad rising 12%, confirming the continued strength of Meta's primary revenue engine.
  • AI investments have begun generating measurable advertising gains; user-understanding and ad-ranking models increased Facebook clicks by 8.3% and conversions by 15.7%, while language-model experiments on Instagram delivered a 1% increase in app-event conversions. The annual revenue run rate for Advantage+ solutions also exceeded $75 billion, and more than 9 million small businesses used at least one AI-powered creative tool.
  • Usage metrics support additional room for recommendations and advertising; the number of daily users across Meta's apps reached 3.6 billion people, Instagram reached 2 billion daily active users, and Threads surpassed 500 million monthly active users. In Q2 FY2026, time spent on Instagram grew by double digits, while global video watch time on Facebook rose 9%.
  • The company is expanding beyond traditional advertising; the number of businesses using Meta's business agents on WhatsApp and Messenger exceeded 1 million weekly, and Family of Apps generated its first $1 billion in quarterly other revenue. In the Movida example, daily bookings through WhatsApp rose 44% within one month, and 85% of conversations were resolved entirely by the AI agent.
  • Meta guided for Q3 FY2026 revenue of between $61 billion and $64 billion, with an expected foreign-exchange headwind of approximately one percentage point to annual growth. At the same time, it raised the lower end of its annual expense outlook to a range of $165–169 billion and set FY2026 capital expenditures at between $130 billion and $145 billion.
  • Daily engagement with Meta AI rose 60% after the assistant was rebuilt and Muse Spark was integrated, and the company launched Muse Spark 1.1, Muse Image, and a public model API. It also said early sales of Meta glasses developed in collaboration with EssilorLuxottica exceeded its expectations and set September 23, 2026, to present further details about the glasses lineup at the Connect conference.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The core business delivered strong growth in Q2 FY2026, with revenue rising 28% to $60.8 billion and gross margin remaining near 81.4%, while growth in ad pricing and impressions showed that the increase did not depend on a single factor.
  • +Meta is providing operational evidence of returns from AI within its existing advertising business, from a 15.7% increase in Facebook conversions to Advantage+ reaching an annual revenue run rate exceeding $75 billion, reducing the investment thesis's dependence solely on unproven future products.
  • +The daily user base of 3.6 billion people provides a distribution channel that is difficult to replicate for products such as Meta AI, business agents, Meta One, and AI glasses, while Threads has already surpassed 500 million monthly active users.
  • +The company ended Q2 FY2026 with $90.3 billion in cash and marketable securities versus $83.7 billion in debt, and reaffirmed its expectation that FY2026 operating income will exceed the FY2025 level despite heavy spending and legal charges.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The stock carries a consensus Buy rating with an average price target of $723.69, within a wide range of $595 to $883; the average is below the 52-week range high of $790.8, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target remains above the range low of $520.26. Based on trailing twelve-month FY2026 earnings per share of $27.53, analysts' targets imply price-to-earnings multiples of approximately 21.6 times at the low end, 26.3 times at the average, and 32.1 times at the high end. The wide range reflects a clear disagreement over the ability of advertising growth and AI agents to offset capital expenditures of $130–145 billion and the legal risks that emerged in August 2026.

BuyAnalyst target: $723.69(+18.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What was the largest driver of Meta's revenue in Q2 FY2026?

Advertising was by far the largest driver, with Family of Apps advertising revenue of approximately $59.4 billion out of total revenue of $60.8 billion. Ad impressions rose 14%, and the average global price per ad increased 12% year over year. AI improvements contributed to an 8.3% increase in Facebook ad clicks and a 15.7% increase in conversions, linking revenue growth to improved platform performance for advertisers.

Have Meta's AI investments begun generating tangible returns?

Q2 FY2026 showed tangible results in advertising and recommendations, including a 15.7% increase in Facebook conversions and a 1% improvement in Instagram app-event conversions in early experiments. The annual revenue run rate for Advantage+ solutions reached more than $75 billion, and more than 9 million small businesses used AI-powered ad-creation tools. However, expected annual capital expenditures of between $130 billion and $145 billion make proving the return on the new infrastructure a critical factor.

How important are WhatsApp and Threads to the META growth thesis?

Threads surpassed 500 million monthly active users, and Meta completed the global rollout of its ads during Q2 FY2026. On WhatsApp, the number of businesses using Meta's business agents exceeded 1 million weekly, while paid messaging and subscriptions supported 73% growth in other Family of Apps revenue to $1 billion. Movida recorded a 44% increase in daily bookings through WhatsApp, with 85% of conversations resolved by the agent without human assistance.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The revenue model is highly dependent on advertising; Family of Apps advertising revenue of $59.4 billion accounted for approximately 97.7% of total Q2 FY2026 revenue, so any weakness in advertising demand or targeting performance could directly affect the group's results.
  • −Child-safety lawsuits represent a major financial and operational risk; on August 26, 2026, the reported value of the proposed settlement ranged between $17.1 billion and $18 billion, subject to court approval and linked to new safeguards for underage users. Required changes to features such as infinite scrolling or engagement mechanisms could pressure time spent and advertising, after the company warned on July 29, 2026, that youth-related lawsuits could result in a material loss.
  • −Q2 FY2026 expenses rose 55% to $42 billion, operating income declined 8%, and operating margin fell to 31%, alongside capital expenditures of $31.1 billion and free cash flow of only $784 million. The annual capital expenditure range of $130–145 billion places a heavy burden on demonstrating that AI returns will keep pace with the cost of servers, data centers, cloud computing, and technical talent.
  • −Competition and execution in AI remain key risks, as Mark Zuckerberg acknowledged on the July 29, 2026 call that open-source models are not as powerful as frontier models, while Meta is still scaling its largest models and has not yet launched the personal agents on which it is betting. This means that part of the expected return on infrastructure depends on products and models that have not yet reached proven commercial scale.
  • −A report on August 11, 2026, said Chinese authorities forced Meta to withdraw from a $2 billion acquisition deal in the AI sector, illustrating the ability of regulatory intervention to disrupt expansion and acquisition plans in a strategic area for the company.
  • −Insider transactions provide a negative trading signal, but one weaker than the operational risks; net sales over three months totaled $23.8 million, with zero purchases and 63 sales through the latest transaction on August 18, 2026. Insider sales may be prearranged, so they alone are insufficient to infer a deterioration in the company's fundamentals.
  • Why did Meta's operating profitability decline despite revenue growth?

    Revenue rose 28% in Q2 FY2026, but expenses increased 55% to $42 billion. Expenses included $2.4 billion in legal charges and $1.2 billion in severance expenses, alongside higher infrastructure, compensation, cloud computing, and third-party AI token costs. As a result, operating income declined 8% to $18.8 billion, while the company said it would have grown 9% excluding the legal charges and severance expenses.

    How significant is the legal risk related to child safety for Meta?

    Reports on August 26, 2026, indicated a proposed settlement with a reported value ranging between $17.1 billion and $18 billion, subject to court approval and Meta's commitment to new safeguards for underage users. The company had warned on its July 29, 2026 call of multiple youth-related trials during FY2026 and the possibility of incurring a material loss. The risk is not limited to the financial amount, because any restrictions on infinite scrolling, recommendations, or Instagram features could affect engagement and advertising volume.

    What does Meta's guidance indicate about Q3 FY2026?

    Meta expects revenue of between $61 billion and $64 billion in Q3 FY2026, with an estimated one-percentage-point foreign-exchange headwind to annual growth. The company set FY2026 expenses at between $165 billion and $169 billion and capital expenditures at between $130 billion and $145 billion. It also reaffirmed its expectation that FY2026 operating income will exceed the FY2025 level, without providing specific guidance for FY2027 capital expenditures.