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Stocks
Medtronic plc
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall70
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 7/9Grey zoneBetter than 70% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
52
22.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
51
9.8%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
72
6.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
69
2.1x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
52
3.13%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
56
-3.8%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
62
17▲3Around median
MDT

MDT Medtronic plc

Medtronic plc · NYSE
Market Closed
90.96
▼ ⁦-0.72%⁩ (-0.66)
Market Cap$117.3B
Beta0.57
52w Low52w High
73.31106.33
Last Week
⁦-1.32%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.31%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+13.35%⁩
Last Year
⁦-3.31%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$91
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$98
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$83–$115⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$69
⁦-24%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$69–$98⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$98.00
⁦+7.7%⁩
Current Price $90.96·Median $98.00
Low
$83.00
High
$115.00
Current price
$90.96
Average target
$98.00
Street summary

Short-Term Decline While the Target Remains Above the Price

The average price target fell to 98 from 99.4 over the past day and week, a decline of 1.4 or 1.41%, while the number of analysts remained at two. Over 30 days, the average remains higher, rising from 95.57 to 98, an increase of 2.43 or 2.54%. The current range is between 83 and 115, reflecting clear divergence in estimates, while the average matches the median at 98.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.79
Buy
Analyst coverage
29
Buy conviction
69%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
35%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time29 analysts rating
3
17
9
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.59 → 3.79
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.29x
    3.94x44.30x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    14.88x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.87x
    3.77x30.13x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.3%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    9.8%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    12.4%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    65.0%
    12.8%90.7%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    6.9%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.11x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    3.1%
    0.0%3.9%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    69.8%
    7.4%76.0%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.95
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-01 data

Company Overview

Medtronic plc operates in medical technology through a broad portfolio spanning cardiovascular therapies, neuroscience technologies, surgical instruments, monitoring and acute care, and diabetes. Among its largest sources of operating revenue are the Surgical business, with more than $6 billion annually, and Cardiac Rhythm Management, with more than $5.5 billion, while Cardiac Ablation Solutions revenue exceeded $2 billion during the twelve months ended in the first quarter of fiscal 2027. The company generates revenue from the sale of devices and capital systems, such as Affera, Hugo, and Stealth AXiS, and from products used in medical procedures, such as catheters, implants, and LigaSure and V-Loc instruments, enabling recurring revenue growth as the installed base expands.

In the first quarter of fiscal 2027 ended July 31, 2026, revenue was $9.8 billion, representing both organic and reported growth of 13.7%, while net income according to EDGAR filings was approximately $1.5 billion and earnings per share were $1.14. The company recorded gross profit of $6.3 billion, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 64.3%, while reported adjusted gross margin was 65.2%, up 10 basis points, and adjusted operating profit was $2.3 billion at a margin of 23.7%. It also reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.45, exceeding the midpoint of management guidance and market expectations by $0.06.

Growth was broad-based across the portfolio in the first quarter of fiscal 2027: Cardiovascular revenue increased 19%, Neuroscience 9%, Medical Surgical 10%, and Diabetes 15%. Within these segments, Cardiac Ablation Solutions grew 88% globally, Cardiac Rhythm Management 15%, Cranial & Spinal Technologies 13%, and Surgical 9%. For annual comparison, Medtronic generated fiscal 2026 revenue of $36.4 billion, gross profit of $23.6 billion, and net income of $4.8 billion, compared with revenue of $37.5 billion and net income of $5.2 billion during the twelve-month period ended within fiscal 2027.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On September 1, 2026, Medtronic raised its fiscal 2027 organic revenue growth guidance to a range of 7.25%–7.75%, 50 basis points above its previous guidance, and raised its adjusted earnings per share guidance range to $5.94–$6.00; it also expects organic growth of approximately 6% and adjusted earnings per share of between $1.32 and $1.34 in the second quarter of fiscal 2027.
  • Cardiac Ablation Solutions is driving the acceleration after growing 88% globally and 139% in the United States in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, with Sphere-9's U.S. share rising by 9 points and the U.S. installed base of the Affera system growing by more than 35% sequentially after growing 40% in the previous quarter. Management expects the business to grow at more than 2.5 times the electrophysiology market growth rate during fiscal 2027 and at more than three times that rate in the second quarter.
  • The core businesses supported results outside Cardiac Ablation Solutions; Cardiac Rhythm Management grew 15%, with conduction system pacing contributing more than 200 basis points to its growth, while Cranial & Spinal Technologies grew 13%, supported by Core Spine at 14%, Neurosurgery at 15%, and the launch of Stealth AXiS. Surgical also grew 9%, with contributions from Hugo and strength in LigaSure and V-Loc.
  • Medtronic is expanding its opportunities in robotic surgery through Hugo, Touch Surgery Aide, and an agreement to distribute Cornerstone's Sentire Surgical System outside the United States. The company aims to surpass 50,000 procedures and 250 installed Hugo units by the end of fiscal 2027, while Touch Surgery operates in more than 1,500 operating rooms, and the Aide version provides 300 times greater computing power.
  • New products and approvals add defined growth pathways: Sphere-9 received CE marking in August 2026 for treating ventricular arrhythmias, Altaviva procedures doubled sequentially as Pelvic Health grew 15%, and Onyx 12 received FDA approval in August 2026 for treating subdural hematomas through middle meningeal artery embolization. The company also expects recent acquisitions, including SPR Therapeutics and Scientia, to contribute more than $150 million in inorganic growth in fiscal 2027.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The buying case rests on the breadth of growth drivers, as three large businesses delivered strong growth rates in the first quarter of fiscal 2027: Cardiac Rhythm Management at 15%, Cranial & Spinal Technologies at 13%, and Surgical at 9%, alongside 88% growth in Cardiac Ablation Solutions. This breadth reduces the dependence of operating momentum on a single product despite the significant importance of Affera and Sphere-9.
  • +The expansion of the Affera installed base provides an opportunity for recurring revenue from higher-margin catheters; the U.S. base increased by more than 35% sequentially, with 75% of it located in high-volume centers, while large centers with one or two systems requested additional systems. The business also exceeded $2 billion in twelve-month revenue, with Sphere-9's U.S. share increasing by 9 points during the quarter.
  • +Efficiency programs have begun to benefit profitability, with adjusted operating profit rising 15% to $2.3 billion and adjusted operating margin increasing 10 basis points to 23.7% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027. For fiscal 2027, management expects operating profit growth of approximately 10% and operating margin expansion of about 50 basis points, supported by pricing, reductions in cost of goods, and the rationalization of more than 9,000 stock-keeping units.
  • +The planned separation of MiniMed before the end of fiscal 2027 could improve the mix of the remaining Medtronic business; management estimated that removing Diabetes from the consolidated financial statements would increase gross margin by approximately 50 basis points and operating margin by approximately 100 basis points, compared with an estimated negative growth impact of about 20 basis points. This follows the return of $4.2 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2026 and an improvement in cash conversion to 70% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, with management targeting an increase to 80%.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $99.4 within a wide range of $83 to $119, compared with the stock's 52-week range of $73.31 to $106.33; accordingly, the average target is below the top of the 52-week range, while the highest target exceeds that peak. The analyst consensus is “Buy,” and based on the reference price used in the September 1, 2026 news report, the forward price-to-earnings ratio at the midpoint of adjusted earnings per share guidance of $5.97 was approximately 15.2 times, compared with a historical forward multiple of 24.2 times provided by the source; this decline reflects a combination of stock revaluation despite improving growth, while risks remain from slowing growth after the impact of the additional week and from mix and investment pressures on margins.

BuyAnalyst target: $99.4(+9.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-04; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove MDT's results in the first quarter of fiscal 2027?

Medtronic's revenue in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 ended July 31, 2026 was approximately $9.8 billion, with organic and reported growth of 13.7%, while adjusted earnings per share reached $1.45. Cardiovascular led growth with a 19% increase, including 88% growth in Cardiac Ablation Solutions and 15% growth in Cardiac Rhythm Management. Neuroscience also grew 9%, Medical Surgical 10%, and Diabetes 15%. However, the additional fiscal week contributed approximately $570 million, or 670 basis points, to reported organic growth, so underlying growth was calculated to be closer to 7%.

Why are Affera and Sphere-9 important drivers of Medtronic's growth?

Cardiac Ablation Solutions grew 88% globally and 139% in the United States in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, and its revenue exceeded $2 billion over the twelve-month period. Sphere-9's share in the United States increased by 9 points, while the U.S. Affera installed base expanded by more than 35% sequentially after increasing 40% in the previous quarter. 75% of the installed base was in high-volume centers, and management says some centers with one or two systems are requesting additional systems. In August 2026, CE marking expanded Sphere-9's use in Europe to include the treatment of ventricular arrhythmias, while enrollment began in the pivotal U.S. trial for this use.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The first quarter of fiscal 2027 growth of 13.7% includes an exceptional impact from an additional selling week of approximately $570 million, or 670 basis points; excluding it, underlying growth is calculated to be closer to 7% rather than the headline figure. Second-quarter guidance for organic growth of approximately 6% confirms that the reported growth rate will slow, while management also expects Cardiac Ablation Solutions growth to moderate as it faces tougher comparisons during the remainder of fiscal 2027.
  • −Margins face pressure from the Diabetes and Cardiac Ablation Solutions mix and from higher sales of capital systems before recurring catheter revenue is realized; mix reduced gross margin by 50 basis points in the first quarter of fiscal 2027. Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased 14% to 32.4% of revenue because of commercial investment and acquisition integration, while management explained that reinvesting part of the revenue upside and investing in Cornerstone contributed to keeping operating margin expansion guidance unchanged at approximately 50 basis points.
  • −Medtronic operates in competitive markets that require continuous spending to maintain momentum; in robotic surgery, the company aims to become the second-largest competitor and catch up with the market leader, while robotic surgery penetration in the United States remains in the single digits. In Cardiac Ablation Solutions, the company is relying on Sphere-360 to compete with its largest rival in pulsed field ablation technologies, making continued market share gains dependent on clinical and commercial execution against established platforms.
  • −The separation of MiniMed before the end of fiscal 2027 entails execution risks and the risk of losing the contribution of a fast-growing business, as Diabetes grew 15% in the first quarter. Although management estimates that the impact on Medtronic's growth after the separation will be only about 20 basis points and that margins will increase, the timing of the separation remains contingent on achieving economic conditions the company considers favorable for shareholders and stakeholders.
  • −Investments and acquisitions increase capital-allocation and integration risks; Medtronic invested approximately $700 million in Cornerstone and, over roughly 12 months, moved from approximately $0.5 billion to $2 billion in acquisitions or investments. The company expects more than $150 million in inorganic growth in fiscal 2027 from SPR Therapeutics and Scientia, but achieving the return requires integrating the businesses and accelerating commercialization in markets growing at more than 20% annually.
  • −Foreign exchange and tariffs remain headwinds to earnings; management expects foreign exchange headwinds of between $50 million and $150 million during fiscal 2027 and between $25 million and $75 million in the second quarter. Tariffs were a slight net headwind in the first quarter after refunds largely offset them, but guidance for the remainder of the year does not assume additional refunds.
What is the expected impact of the MiniMed separation on Medtronic?

Medtronic intends to complete the separation of MiniMed before the end of fiscal 2027, with Diabetes remaining included in full-year fiscal guidance until then. The Diabetes business grew 15% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, but management describes it as lower-margin and more consumer-oriented than the rest of the portfolio. Management estimates that removing it from the consolidated financial statements will reduce Medtronic's growth by approximately 20 basis points but increase gross margin by approximately 50 basis points and operating margin by approximately 100 basis points. The transaction aims to give Medtronic and MiniMed independent capital-allocation strategies suited to their different financial profiles.

How is Medtronic progressing in robotic surgery?

The company expects the Hugo system to surpass 50,000 procedures and reach 250 installed units by the end of fiscal 2027, with its procedure volumes growing at more than twice the market rate. Touch Surgery is used in more than 1,500 operating rooms worldwide, while Touch Surgery Aide provides 300 times greater computing power to support artificial intelligence applications in the operating room. Medtronic invested approximately $700 million in Cornerstone and entered into an agreement to distribute the Sentire Surgical System in selected markets outside the United States, with the financial impact of the distribution agreement expected to begin in fiscal 2028. Management describes Sentire as a complement to Hugo that gives international customers broader options, not a replacement for it.

What is Medtronic's fiscal 2027 guidance following the first-quarter results?

On September 1, 2026, the company raised its fiscal 2027 organic revenue growth guidance to 7.25%–7.75%, an increase of 50 basis points from the previous range. It also raised adjusted earnings per share guidance to $5.94–$6.00 and expects operating profit growth of approximately 10% and operating margin expansion of about 50 basis points. For the second quarter of fiscal 2027, it expects organic growth of approximately 6% and adjusted earnings per share of between $1.32 and $1.34. The guidance includes foreign exchange headwinds of between $50 million and $150 million for the full fiscal year and does not assume additional tariff refunds during the remainder of the year.

What do recent insider transactions mean for an MDT investor?

Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on July 8, 2026 included three sales and no purchases, with a net sale value of approximately $594,897. These data represent a weak trading signal on their own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the provided context does not explain the reasons for the transactions or whether they were part of scheduled plans. Therefore, these transactions alone are insufficient to assess the business outlook, particularly because the company raised its fiscal 2027 revenue growth and earnings per share guidance on September 1, 2026. The more direct operating indicators remain organic revenue growth adjusted for the impact of the additional week, Affera's expansion, the margin trajectory, and execution of the MiniMed separation. Satisfaction