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Stocks
Mondelez International, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall63
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 5/9Better than 63% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
48
22.9x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
35
6.9%7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
54
7.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
55
3.5x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
62
3.11%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
71
-0.7%▼2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
72
13▲3Top tier
MDLZ

MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc.

Mondelez International, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
62.44
▼ ⁦-0.05%⁩ (-0.03)
Market Cap$79.7B
Beta0.40
52w Low52w High
51.2066.65
Last Week
⁦-0.02%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.07%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.71%⁩
Last Year
⁦-0.21%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$62
Analyst target · 13 analysts
$71
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$65–$73⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$34
⁦-45%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$34–$71⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 13 analysts setting price target
$70.29
⁦+12.6%⁩
Current Price $62.44·Median $71.00
Low
$65.00
High
$73.00
Current price
$62.44
Average target
$70.29
Street summary

Analysis of Price Target Revisions for Mondelez (MDLZ) Stock

Bullish tilt

Analyst data for Mondelez (MDLZ) stock has shown a notable bullish trend over the past 30 days, with the average price target rising by 4.31% to reach $69.89. It is noteworthy that the current stock price ($62.75) is trading below the lowest price target set by analysts ($64), indicating a collective conviction of a positive price gap. This consensus stabilized in the last seven days following a series of upward revisions that raised expectations from the $67 level.

As of 2026-08-06
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.83
Buy
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
63%
Mixed
Target dispersion
13%
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
5
10
9
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.96 → 3.83
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-30
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Jefferies
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.87x
    4.61x36.85x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    19.04x
    3.86x30.86x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    17.06x
    2.86x22.90x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    4.7%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.9%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -0.4%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    31.1%
    9.2%67.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    7.3%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.45x
    0.61x4.86x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    3.1%
    0.9%8.3%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    71.1%
    15.9%176.6%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Mondelez International operates in packaged snacks, with sales anchored in biscuits, chocolate, crackers, snack bars, cakes, and pastries. Its portfolio drivers include names such as Oreo, Ritz, Cadbury, Milka, Toblerone, Clif, Perfect Snacks, Give & Go, Hu, and Sour Patch Kids, and the company generates revenue by selling these products through food, value, convenience, and away-from-home channels, while expanding distribution in emerging markets.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, net revenues rose 4.1%, organic growth reached 2.2%, and volume/mix increased 0.7%. Diluted earnings per share were $1.20, up 144.9%, while adjusted earnings per share were $0.73 versus expectations of $0.68, but declined 2.7% on a constant-currency basis. Gross margin was 34%, and gross profit in dollar terms grew 3%, showing that sales growth did not fully translate into comparable growth in adjusted profitability.

Geographically, emerging markets led performance, with management indicating on July 28, 2026, that revenue grew 4.4% with strong volumes, supported by India, Mexico, and Brazil, while China remained weaker. Volume/mix in North America improved to 1.2%, with share gains across all categories, high-single-digit growth in value channels, and mid-single-digit growth in away-from-home consumption. Europe was affected by the heat wave and chocolate consumption, but management said volume and share trends had begun to improve with Milka and Biscoff expansions.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Mondelez raised its organic revenue growth guidance to at least 2% in fiscal 2026, following organic growth of 2.2% and net revenue growth of 4.1% in Q2 fiscal 2026; management also expected roughly balanced growth across the two remaining quarters and positive volume/mix with a limited pricing contribution.
  • Distribution expansion represents a tangible driver, as the company added 100 thousand stores in India and reached distribution in one million stores in Brazil, and said that roughly half of revenue growth in markets such as India and China typically comes from adding new stores and the other half from sales growth at existing stores.
  • Value channels in North America recorded high-single-digit growth in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the away-from-home channel grew at a mid-single-digit rate; this was supported by single-serve, multipack, variety, and club packs, along with Ritz Drizzled, Sour Patch Kids Chews, and improvement in Oreo.
  • The Biscoff partnership is expanding across chocolate, biscuits, and ice cream; the new range captured a 7% share in the Nordic countries during its first month of launch, added 3% to year-over-year chocolate category growth in Australia, and the first production line in India reached full capacity in its first month. Management estimated on July 28, 2026, that the collaboration's value could reach a range of $500 million to $1 billion over the following years, with plans to launch biscuits in Brazil in early 2027.
  • New products account for slightly more than 10% of net revenues according to the July 28, 2026 call, and management is targeting an increase toward 15%. Areas of momentum include protein bars, gluten-free and sugar-free products, Toblerone Pralines, the Cadbury and More range, Give & Go, and Hu.
  • The company raised its quarterly dividend 4% after returning $1.5 billion to shareholders during the first half of fiscal 2026, adding support for capital returns alongside sales growth.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The company combines organic growth of 2.2% with positive volume/mix of 0.7% in Q2 fiscal 2026, then raised its organic growth guidance to at least 2%, an improvement based on sales and volumes rather than pricing alone.
  • +Emerging markets provide a long-term expansion path through increased points of sale, with 100 thousand stores added in India and distribution reaching one million stores in Brazil, alongside strong demand in India, Mexico, and Brazil and continued low penetration of the biscuit and chocolate categories, according to management.
  • +The Biscoff partnership shows measurable early commercial acceptance, from a 7% share during the first month in the Nordic countries to the first production line in India reaching full capacity, while management estimates the collaboration opportunity at between $500 million and $1 billion over the years following the July 28, 2026 call.
  • +Improvement in North America enhances the diversity of growth sources; the company achieved positive volume/mix of 1.2%, gained share across all its categories, and recorded high-single-digit growth in value channels and mid-single-digit growth in away-from-home consumption during Q2 fiscal 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $70.29 and a range between $65 and $73. The average target and the highest target are above the 52-week range high of $66.65, reflecting expectations that the higher organic growth guidance and improving volumes will translate into stronger performance. Conversely, the 2.7% decline in adjusted earnings per share in Q2 fiscal 2026, cocoa pressures, and additional brand spending remain factors that could limit the justification for this valuation.

BuyAnalyst target: $70.29(+12.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove MDLZ's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Net revenues rose 4.1%, organic growth reached 2.2%, and volume/mix improved 0.7% in Q2 fiscal 2026. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.73 versus expectations of $0.68, while diluted earnings per share reached $1.20, up 144.9%. Emerging markets led growth, with strength in India, Mexico, and Brazil, while North America also improved through Ritz, Oreo, Perfect Snacks, and value channels.

What is Mondelez's guidance for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

The company raised its organic revenue growth guidance to at least 2% in fiscal 2026, while leaving its earnings per share guidance unchanged. Management said on July 28, 2026, that revenue growth would be roughly balanced across the two remaining quarters and that volume/mix would be positive with a modest contribution from pricing. It also explained that it would reinvest any outperformance in emerging markets, innovation, and brand spending, and that second-half earnings would be more weighted toward Q4 due to the timing of cocoa, interest, and tax items.

How large is the Biscoff opportunity for Mondelez?

The partnership covers chocolate filled with Biscoff products, representation of Biscoff biscuits in selected markets, and a range of ice cream products. The range achieved a 7% share in the Nordic countries during its first month of launch, added 3% to year-over-year chocolate category growth in Australia, while the first Indian production line reached full capacity in its first month. Management estimated on July 28, 2026, that the collaboration's value could reach between $500 million and $1 billion over the following years, with a planned biscuit launch in Brazil in early 2027.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The conversion of sales growth into adjusted earnings remains the most significant financial risk; despite net revenues rising 4.1% in Q2 fiscal 2026, adjusted earnings per share declined 2.7% on a constant-currency basis, and management maintained its existing earnings per share guidance rather than raising it after increasing revenue guidance.
  • −Cocoa costs and crop volatility remain sources of pressure on margins and the quarterly timing of earnings; management indicated on July 28, 2026, that the cocoa impact would pressure Q3 fiscal 2026 before part of it reverses in Q4, while pod counts and El Niño remain sources of uncertainty for 2027 despite an estimated supply surplus of approximately 500 thousand metric tons.
  • −The Middle East crisis caused additional costs and some lost revenue during the first half of fiscal 2026, and management said its impact was also included in second-half guidance and that the pressure falls more heavily on profit than revenue.
  • −Europe faced weak chocolate consumption due to an unprecedented heat wave, and the company kept trade inventory under control, making Q2 fiscal 2026 performance lower than its expectations in the region. Management also warned that the heat wave's impact would continue in Q3 fiscal 2026, making the expected recovery in volumes and profitability vulnerable to delay.
  • −Purchasing power remains geographically uneven; management described consumer confidence in North America as extremely weak, with concerns related to affordability, energy, and jobs, and also said that China was weaker than India, Mexico, and Brazil. Consumer migration to value channels may require the company to continue adjusting packaging and margin structure to preserve volumes.
  • −The range of analyst targets between $65 and $73 reflects limited dispersion, but the average target of $70.29 exceeds the 52-week range high of $66.65. Therefore, achieving the consensus valuation depends on continued volume growth and margin improvement, while a continued decline in adjusted profitability or cocoa pressures could lead to a reassessment of these targets.
Has Mondelez's North American business improved?

North America recorded strong net revenue growth and positive volume/mix of 1.2% in Q2 fiscal 2026, with sequential acceleration compared with Q1 fiscal 2026. Management said it gained share across all its categories, with strong performance from Ritz, growth in Zbar, and improvement in Oreo and Give & Go. Value channels grew at a high-single-digit rate and away-from-home consumption grew at a mid-single-digit rate, but consumer confidence remained extremely weak due to concerns about affordability, energy, and jobs.

How do cocoa prices affect MDLZ's earnings?

Management said on July 28, 2026, that the timing impact of cocoa would pressure Q3 fiscal 2026 profitability before part of it reverses in Q4. Conversely, it estimated a global supply surplus in 2026 of at least 500 thousand metric tons, or approximately 10% of demand, with the industry carrying ten months of coverage versus seven months during the 2024 crisis. The company relies on locking in chocolate prices, increasing productivity, reducing cocoa intensity in the portfolio, and using AI-supported efficiency to limit earnings volatility in 2027.

What are the key available annual financial figures for Mondelez?

Mondelez recorded fiscal 2025 revenue of $38.5 billion, gross profit of $10.9 billion, net income of $2.5 billion, and earnings per share of $1.89. On a trailing-twelve-month basis in 2026, revenue was $39.3 billion, gross profit was $11.3 billion, net income was $2.6 billion, and earnings per share were approximately $2.03. In Q1 fiscal 2026 alone, the company generated revenue of $10.1 billion, net income of $560 million, and earnings per share of $0.44.