EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc.
MD

MD Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc.

Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
26.77
▲ ⁦+0.15%⁩ (+0.04)
Market Cap$2.2B
Beta0.65
52w Low52w High
15.7027.56
Last Week
⁦-0.34%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.98%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+24.28%⁩
Last Year
⁦+55.82%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall95
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Grey zoneBetter than 95% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
84
12.8x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
41
0.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
71
11.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
71
0.9x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
83
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
94
52.6%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
61
5▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$27
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$28
⁦+5%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$24–$28⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$43
⁦+62%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$28–$43⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$26.60
⁦-0.6%⁩
Current Price $26.77·Median $28.00
Low
$24.00
High
$28.00
Current price
$26.77
Average target
$26.60
Street summary

Pediatrix Medical (MD) Price Target Analysis

Pediatrix Medical stock saw an 8.13% increase in its average price target over the past 30 days, reaching $26.6, though the current market price ($26.95) has already exceeded this target. This coincides with Jefferies downgrading the stock from "Neutral" to "Hold" on August 19, suggesting that recent price optimism has reached saturation levels among analysts.

As of 2026-08-26
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.25
Hold
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
25%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
15%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
2
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.29 → 3.25
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-19
    Jefferies
    NeutralHold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.81x
    3.94x44.30x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.83x
    4.64x37.16x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.51x
    3.77x30.13x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    10.5%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.5%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    60.8%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    25.1%
    12.8%90.7%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    11.0%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.90x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.37
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Pediatrix Medical Group provides specialized medical services for women and children through an extensive network that includes more than 360 neonatal intensive care units in 32 states, along with more than 170 maternal-fetal medicine specialists and relationships with more than 400 hospitals. Revenue generation depends on hospital-based patient services, particularly neonatology and maternal-fetal medicine, and returns are affected by patient volumes, case complexity, payer mix, contract terms, and the efficiency of revenue cycle management and cash collections. The company is also expanding its hybrid care model, which combines in-person services and telemedicine in areas including maternal-fetal medicine, neonatology, neurology, infectious diseases, and retinopathy.

In fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, revenue was $487.8 million, gross profit was $132.5 million, net income was $39.8 million, and earnings per share were $0.49; this equates to a calculated gross margin of approximately 27.2% and a net income margin of approximately 8.2%. Consolidated revenue increased 4%, supported by non-same-unit activity, particularly completed acquisitions, and same-unit growth of 2%, while same-unit pricing increased 4% despite a 2% decline in same-unit patient service volumes. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $76 million, with strong cash collections, improved payer mix, and greater neonatal case complexity offsetting the volume decline.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management reaffirmed on August 4, 2026 its fiscal year 2026 outlook for adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $280 million and $300 million, and expects second-half results to be distributed approximately evenly between the third and fourth quarters.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Payer mix improved in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 by 135 basis points year over year and by 120 basis points compared with fiscal year 2026 quarter 1, while revenue cycle management collections, payer mix, and greater case complexity together accounted for approximately 95% of quarterly pricing growth.
  • Average days sales outstanding declined to 42.5 days on June 30, 2026, down slightly less than four days year over year, supporting the August 6, 2026 news that cash collection efficiency was a key factor in earnings exceeding expectations.
  • The company repurchased slightly less than 2 million shares during fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, bringing total purchases since August 2025 to 7 million shares and reducing shares outstanding to 81 million from 87 million at the end of fiscal year 2025 quarter 2.
  • The development of hybrid remote care represents a defined growth focus; Pediatrix is seeking to connect its digital services with its network of more than 170 maternal-fetal medicine specialists and more than 360 neonatal intensive care units, while expanding use into neurology, infectious diseases, retinopathy, and neonatology.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 results demonstrated Pediatrix's ability to convert improved collections, payer mix, and case complexity into 4% revenue growth and $76 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, despite a 2% decline in same-unit volumes.
    • +Liquidity of $289 million, net debt of slightly more than $295 million, and leverage slightly above one times, based on the midpoint of the fiscal year 2026 adjusted earnings outlook range, provide flexibility to fund practices, research, growth, and share repurchases.
    • +Pediatrix's network of more than 400 hospitals, more than 360 neonatal intensive care units in 32 states, and more than 170 maternal-fetal medicine specialists may provide a practical foundation for expanding hybrid care and services for women and children.
    • +Net income increased from $29.6 million in fiscal year 2026 quarter 1 to $39.8 million in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, while gross profit increased from $113.0 million to $132.5 million over the same period.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Same-unit patient service volumes declined 2% during fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, and neonatal intensive care unit days fell 3%; management expects fiscal year 2026 volumes to be flat or slightly lower, without confirming that the weakness will not develop into a prolonged trend.
    • −Management expects the impact of strong revenue cycle management collections to begin fading during the second half of fiscal year 2026, posing a direct risk to pricing growth because collections were its largest contributor, while contract revenue was not a significant contributor in quarter 2.
    • −Practice-level salaries and benefits expenses and malpractice expenses increased year over year, with salary increases continuing in the 3% to 3.5% range; sustained cost pressure could limit the margin benefit from improved mix and case complexity.
    • −Operating cash flow declined to $126 million in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 from $138 million in the corresponding period, due to changes in cash flows related to accounts payable, accrued expenses, and accounts receivable.
    • −Despite the improvement in payer mix through fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, management said it does not know how sustainable it is and that the company is not insulated from changes in insurance coverage; therefore, pricing could weaken if the share of commercial and non-government payers declines.
    • −The valuation carries limited expectations risk, as the analyst consensus is Neutral and the target range is only $24 to $28, while the average target of $26.6 is below the 52-week range high of $27.94.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $26.6, within a relatively narrow range of $24 to $28, and the average is below the 52-week range high of $27.94 and above its low of $15.70. The Neutral consensus reflects a balance between improved profitability, collections, and share repurchases on the one hand, and the risks of declining volumes and the fading impact of strong collections during the second half of fiscal year 2026 on the other; the data do not include a usable earnings multiple.

    HoldAnalyst target: $26.6(-0.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Pediatrix's growth in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2?

    Consolidated revenue increased 4% in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, supported by non-same-unit activity, particularly completed acquisitions, and same-unit growth of 2%. Same-unit pricing increased 4% due to cash collections, payer mix, and greater case complexity, which together accounted for approximately 95% of pricing growth. These factors offset a 2% decline in same-unit patient service volumes and a 3% decrease in neonatal intensive care unit days.

    Did Pediatrix reaffirm its fiscal year 2026 outlook?

    Management reaffirmed during the August 4, 2026 call the fiscal year 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization range of $280 million to $300 million. This measure was $76 million in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2. Management expects second-half adjusted earnings to be distributed approximately evenly between the third and fourth quarters, with general and administrative expenses trending toward the upper end of the $230 million to $240 million range for fiscal year 2026.

    Why are patient volumes an important risk for MD stock?

    Same-unit patient service volumes declined 2% during fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, with the weakness concentrated in hospital-based services, particularly neonatology. Neonatal intensive care unit days also fell 3%, despite greater case complexity. Management expects to end fiscal year 2026 with volumes that are flat or slightly lower and acknowledged that it does not know whether the decline will become a sustained trend.

    What do Pediatrix's liquidity and debt look like?

    Cash was $289 million in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, compared with total debt of $584 million and net debt of slightly more than $295 million. Leverage was slightly above one times based on the midpoint of the fiscal year 2026 adjusted earnings outlook range. The company also generated $126 million in operating cash flow during the quarter, down from $138 million in the corresponding period.

    How important is hybrid remote care to Pediatrix's strategy?

    Pediatrix is building a national remote care function that complements in-person visits rather than replacing them. The initiative is based on more than 170 maternal-fetal medicine specialists and more than 360 neonatal intensive care units in 32 states. The areas of expansion mentioned during the August 4, 2026 call include maternal-fetal medicine, neonatology, neurology, infectious diseases, and retinopathy, but the data do not provide a separate financial target for this initiative.

    What does the analyst consensus say about MD stock's valuation?

    The analyst consensus on MD stock is Neutral, with an average price target of $26.6. The lowest target is $24 and the highest target is $28, compared with a 52-week range of $15.70 to $27.94. The average target is below the 52-week range high, which is consistent with a balanced view of improved fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 results and the risks related to volumes and the later fading of the collections benefit.