EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Moelis & Company
MC

MC Moelis & Company

Moelis & Company · NYSE
Market Closed
64.03
▼ ⁦-0.34%⁩ (-0.22)
Market Cap$4.7B
Beta1.84
52w Low52w High
51.0678.22
Last Week
⁦-5.17%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.86%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.15%⁩
Last Year
⁦-11.30%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall81
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/8Better than 81% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
49
21.1x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
83
13.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
99
——Top tier
▸
Safety
59
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
37
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
52
-12.1%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
41
8▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$64
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$75
⁦+17%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$60–$85⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$66
⁦+3%⁩
Sees it fairly priced
⁦12.6⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$66–$75⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$73.33
⁦+14.5%⁩
Current Price $64.03·Median $75.00
Low
$60.00
High
$85.00
Current price
$64.03
Average target
$73.33
Street summary

Slight Rise in Consensus Amid Declining Coverage

The consensus price target rose over the last 30 days from 72.50 to 73.33, an increase of 0.83 or 1.14%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days and 1 day. The consensus is above the current price of 64.03, but the target range between 60 and 85 reflects clear divergence among analysts, with a median of 75 and a consensus currently based on only two analysts.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.18
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦11 (-4)⁩
Buy conviction
27%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
39%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
1
2
6
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 3.18
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-20
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-30
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-07
    UBS
    NeutralSell
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.13x
    3.16x25.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    18.37x
    2.76x22.06x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    17.37x
    3.07x24.55x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.5%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    13.7%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    12.2%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    27.2%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.18x
    0.25x7.31x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Moelis & Company operates as an independent financial advisory firm and generates revenue by providing advice on mergers and acquisitions, capital markets, capital structure, and private capital. During the first half of fiscal year 2026, mergers and acquisitions accounted for approximately two-thirds of the business mix, while the remaining third came from non-M&A activities; these activities generated record revenue, led by capital markets and the growing contribution of private capital advisory.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, Moelis & Company reported record period revenue of $409.4 million, up 12% year over year, net income of $55.1 million, and earnings per share of $0.64. The adjusted pre-tax profit margin reached 18.6% versus 17.6% in the comparable period, while the adjusted compensation ratio declined to 65.8% from 69%, and the non-compensation expense ratio was 16.2%.

Revenue for the first half of fiscal year 2026 reached approximately $729 million, up 9% year over year, and the adjusted pre-tax profit margin was 17% versus 16% in the comparable period. On a trailing twelve-month basis through 2026, revenue was $1.6 billion, net income was $256.5 million, and earnings per share were $3.03, compared with revenue of $1.5 billion, net income of $259.6 million, and earnings per share of $3.11 in fiscal year 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The announced deal pipeline increased by more than 80% year over year by the end of quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, and the company entered the second half of fiscal year 2026 with a record total business pipeline after new business formation accelerated during the quarter.
  • Larger deals support average fees; the company advised on the $8.5 billion sale of Taylor Morrison to Berkshire Hathaway, Magnolia Oil and Gas's $4.1 billion acquisition of Wildfire Energy, and the $3.8 billion sale of Iqvia to Eli Lilly.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Capital markets activity generated record revenue in quarter 2 and the first half of fiscal year 2026, driven by growth financings in the stages preceding initial public offerings and underwriting activity, including the company's role as active bookrunner and lead placement agent for a $1.1 billion initial public offering and concurrent private financing.
  • Private capital advisory became an important contributor to growth in the first half of fiscal year 2026, with the expansion of GP-led secondary capabilities to seven specialized managing directors, one of whom was scheduled to join after the July 29, 2026 call, alongside hires to build LP-led secondary and co-investment capabilities.
  • The company invested in 12 external managing director hires since the beginning of fiscal year 2026, in addition to 13 internal promotions, distributed across sectors and products including mergers and acquisitions, capital markets, and private capital advisory.
  • The company ended quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 with $481 million in liquidity and no debt, and approved a quarterly dividend of $0.65 per share; it also repurchased approximately 2.3 million shares during the first half at a cost of approximately $141 million, and capital returned to shareholders totaled approximately $246 million, including declared dividends.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Revenue growth of 12% in quarter 2 and 9% in the first half of fiscal year 2026, together with an announced deal pipeline that was more than 80% higher year over year, provides a tangible operating foundation for continued fee activity.
    • +The adjusted pre-tax profit margin improved to 18.6% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, and the adjusted compensation ratio declined to 65.8% from 69%, demonstrating that revenue growth has begun to translate into better operating leverage.
    • +Business diversification reduces complete dependence on the completion of mergers and acquisitions; non-M&A activities generated record revenue in the first half of fiscal year 2026, led by capital markets and private capital advisory.
    • +Liquidity of $481 million and the absence of debt at the end of quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 provide flexibility to fund hiring and technology, protect dividends, and repurchase shares without immediate financing pressure.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Advisory revenue remains tied to the timing of deal announcements and completions and to financing conditions; management noted on July 29, 2026 that there was volatility related to the war in the Middle East and concerns about private credit redemptions, and it declined to provide a specific numerical revenue forecast for the second half of fiscal year 2026 despite the record pipeline.
    • −Sponsor M&A activity remained modest across the sector during the first half of fiscal year 2026, and some portfolio companies acquired in different interest-rate and growth environments still cannot be exited at valuations that achieve sponsors' targeted returns.
    • −Artificial intelligence could cause material disruption to some highly leveraged software companies, making their transactions more difficult, and management acknowledged that artificial intelligence tools could become widely available to competitors and that efficiency gains could be competitively commoditized.
    • −Non-compensation expenses increased to $66.5 million in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 and $134 million in the first half, driven by client activity and travel, conference, underwriting syndicate, technology, data, and occupancy costs; management expects quarterly expenses to remain in the mid-to-high $60 million range for the remainder of fiscal year 2026.
    • −Competition to recruit and retain senior bankers is intense, and management explained that the extent of further improvement in the compensation ratio depends on annual revenue, senior hiring, and the talent market, which could limit margin expansion despite business growth.
    • −Insider activity recorded net sales of 336,105 shares during the three months ending with the August 4, 2026 transaction, through one sale transaction and no purchases; this is a weak standalone signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data state otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus rates MC shares as "Neutral," with an average target of $73.33 and a wide range between $60 and $85, reflecting clear divergence in estimates of the sustainability of the deal cycle and margins. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $78.216, while the highest target exceeds that high; no usable price-to-earnings multiple is available in the data despite earnings per share of $3.03 on a trailing twelve-month basis through 2026, so a reliable judgment on whether the multiple is cheap or elevated cannot be established.

    HoldAnalyst target: $73.33(+14.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove MC's results in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

    Revenue reached $409.4 million, up 12% year over year, and the company reported record quarterly revenue. Growth came primarily from capital markets and private capital advisory, offset by a decline in capital structure advisory. Net income was $55.1 million and earnings per share were $0.64, while the adjusted pre-tax profit margin improved to 18.6%.

    How strong is Moelis & Company's deal pipeline after quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

    The total business pipeline was at a record level at the end of quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026. The announced portion of the pipeline increased by more than 80% compared with the same period of the previous year, alongside accelerating new business formation during the quarter. Notable transactions included the $8.5 billion sale of Taylor Morrison to Berkshire Hathaway, Magnolia Oil and Gas's $4.1 billion acquisition of Wildfire Energy, and the $3.8 billion sale of Iqvia to Eli Lilly.

    How is MC's revenue mix shifting away from mergers and acquisitions?

    Mergers and acquisitions represented approximately two-thirds of the business mix in the first half of fiscal year 2026, while non-M&A activities accounted for approximately one-third. Non-M&A activities generated record revenue, led by capital markets and private capital advisory. The company also acted as active bookrunner and lead placement agent for a $1.1 billion initial public offering and concurrent private financing, and expanded its GP-led secondary team to seven specialized managing directors.

    Are Moelis & Company's margins improving in fiscal year 2026?

    The adjusted pre-tax profit margin reached 18.6% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 versus 17.6% in the comparable period. The adjusted compensation ratio declined to 65.8% from 69%, while the first-half pre-tax margin reached 17% versus 16% a year earlier. In contrast, non-compensation expenses were $66.5 million in the quarter, and management expects them to remain in the mid-to-high $60 million range per quarter during the remainder of fiscal year 2026.

    What is the impact of artificial intelligence on MC's business?

    Management said on the July 29, 2026 call that artificial intelligence tools had become more integrated into bankers' workflows, but were still in the testing, adoption, and deployment stages. The company sees an opportunity to improve idea generation, advice, and the number of transactions per banker, while many tool contracts remain fixed-cost during fiscal year 2026 and part of the following year. Conversely, artificial intelligence could materially disrupt some software companies, particularly those with high leverage, while the spread of the same tools among competitors could limit operational differentiation.

    How does Moelis & Company return capital to shareholders?

    The company approved a regular quarterly dividend of $0.65 per share for quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026. It repurchased approximately 337 thousand shares during the quarter at an average of $64.43 per share, and total repurchases during the first half reached approximately 2.3 million shares at a cost of approximately $141 million. Including declared dividends, capital returned to shareholders for the first half totaled approximately $246 million, while the company ended the quarter with $481 million in liquidity and no debt.