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Stocks
Mobileye Global Inc.
MBLY

MBLY Mobileye Global Inc.

Mobileye Global Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
8.25
▲ ⁦+0.49%⁩ (+0.04)
Market Cap$6.7B
Beta1.20
52w Low52w High
6.4715.81
Last Week
⁦-0.84%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.50%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-20.75%⁩
Last Year
⁦-40.82%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall16
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketValue TrapF 5/8DistressBetter than 16% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
70
—17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
20
5.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
24
-40.4%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
66
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
54
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
24
-39.0%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
91
15▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$8.25
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$11
⁦+33%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$7.00–$18⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$7.54
⁦-9%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦9.7⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$7.54–$11⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$11.38
⁦+37.9%⁩
Current Price $8.25·Median $11.00
Low
$7.00
High
$18.00
Current price
$8.25
Average target
$11.38
Street summary

Review of Mobileye (MBLY) Price Targets

The average price target for Mobileye stock has seen a decline of 4.29% over the past thirty days, with the consensus falling from $11.88 to $11.37. This downward adjustment reflects caution in analyst estimates, despite mixed signals such as the upgrade of the stock rating to "Overweight" by Piper Sandler in late July 2026, while other institutions like UBS and RBC Capital maintained neutral stances.

As of 2026-08-06
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.71
Buy
Analyst coverage
28
Buy conviction
54%
Mixed
Target dispersion
133%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time28 analysts rating
6
9
12
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.65 → 3.71
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-30
    Tigress Financial
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-27
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    UBS
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    33.98x
    3.79x30.29x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    18.6%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.0%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -36.5%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    47.4%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    -40.4%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Weak
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    -0.27
    -2.656.14
    Below average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Mobileye Global Inc. develops driver-assistance and autonomous-driving systems for automakers, and its core business is based on selling EyeQ chips and related software within ADAS applications. The company expands the value generated from each vehicle through higher-priced and more profitable products, including Cloud-Enhanced ADAS, Surround ADAS, SuperVision, Chauffeur, and Drive, while Moovit provides trip-planning and supply-and-demand management capabilities for the integrated robotaxi service that Mobileye aims to launch in at least one U.S. city during 2027.

In Q2 of fiscal 2026, revenue reached $508 million and gross profit was $235 million, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 46.3%, while the company recorded a net loss of $21 million and a loss per share of $0.03. EyeQ volume was approximately 10 million units, up 3% year over year, while SuperVision deliveries reached approximately 20 thousand units; therefore, the volume mix remained clearly concentrated in EyeQ, with a smaller contribution from the higher-priced SuperVision.

On a non-GAAP basis, adjusted operating income reached $155 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026, up 46% year over year, and the adjusted operating margin expanded by approximately 10 percentage points to 31%. However, this jump included a $93 million reduction in research and development expenses under the new Israeli incentive, and approximately half of the amount was related to the Q1 fiscal 2026 impact that was recorded in Q2; for the first half of fiscal 2026, revenue grew 13%, the adjusted operating margin reached 23%, and operating cash flow was $210 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Mobileye raised the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to $1.995 billion, with a year-over-year growth range of between 4% and 7%, based on slightly more than 39 million EyeQ units, approximately one million units above the previous forecast, despite an expected decline of approximately 4.5% in production by its ten largest customers.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Exports by Chinese automakers support growth; Mobileye benefited from higher exports by Geely and Chery, and the vast majority of these exported vehicles were equipped with Mobileye systems and EyeQ chips, helping Q2 fiscal 2026 EyeQ volume exceed the change in production by its ten largest customers by more than 8 percentage points.
  • Mobileye won a high-volume Stellantis program for 2027 using Cloud-Enhanced ADAS, with plans to gradually introduce REM across Stellantis vehicles. The company says that gross profit per unit for Cloud-Enhanced ADAS is close to that of Surround ADAS and more than double that of the base ADAS program, making it a potential driver of improvement in average selling price per unit.
  • Advanced-driving programs progressed, as the company delivered slightly more than 40 thousand SuperVision units in the first half of fiscal 2026, and MOIA began public passenger testing with safety drivers in Hamburg using Mobileye's system. Management also expects the Porsche program, which includes Audi models, to begin ramping during 2027, but according to the call, it will not achieve significant volume in that year.
  • The Israeli research and development incentive raised the midpoint of the fiscal 2026 adjusted operating income outlook to $395 million, from $210 million previously, including an annual benefit of $180 to $200 million. Management considers the benefit sustainable, but cash collection is delayed, as it expects to begin gradually collecting the 2026 benefit from the beginning of 2028.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The core business demonstrated an ability to outperform its customers' market: first-half fiscal 2026 revenue rose 13% despite a 3% decline in production by the ten largest customers, and the business generated $210 million in operating cash flow during the same period.
    • +Mobileye has a clear path to increasing value per vehicle; the 2027 Stellantis program uses Cloud-Enhanced ADAS, which generates gross profit per unit of more than twice that of the base ADAS program, while the company expects Surround ADAS to begin supporting average selling price per unit growth in 2028.
    • +The Porsche, Audi, Volkswagen, and MOIA programs, along with the integrated robotaxi service targeted for 2027, provide growth channels beyond the base EyeQ chips. Management estimates robotaxi revenue at approximately $125 thousand per vehicle annually and the cost of an equipped vehicle at less than $100 thousand, but it has not yet proven this feasibility on a broad commercial scale.
    • +Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 6, 2026, recorded two purchases and no sales, with net purchases of approximately $198.8 thousand, a positive alignment signal, although limited in size relative to the $7 billion market capitalization.

    ▼ Selling Case8 pts

    • −Results depend significantly on the production volumes of major automotive customers and their architectural decisions; Mobileye expects production by its ten largest customers to decline by approximately 4.5% in fiscal 2026. The Stellantis award also showed that the high-volume program went to Mobileye's Cloud-Enhanced ADAS, but a lower-volume, higher-risk program was awarded to other suppliers, demonstrating continued competition for the most advanced systems.
    • −Mobileye faces competition from multi-supplier architectures and Chinese solution providers such as Horizon, while the expansion of SuperVision, Chauffeur, and Drive remains partly dependent on proving actual on-road performance. Through Q2 of fiscal 2026, management had not observed broad adoption of competing Chinese solutions outside China, but their nomination by some automakers remains a risk to future market share.
    • −The company expects Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue to decline by 5% to 6% year over year, with gross margin slightly below the Q2 level and a modest increase in operating expenses before the impact of the research and development incentive. This reflects short-term weakness in revenue and mix despite the increase in the full-year fiscal 2026 outlook.
    • −SuperVision deliveries in the first half of fiscal 2026, at slightly more than 40 thousand units, exceeded end-market vehicle demand of approximately 30 thousand due to precautionary inventory building. Management expects this inventory to be consumed in the second half and shipments to decline compared with the first half, while maintaining a full-year outlook of slightly less than 60 thousand units, creating a risk of a tangible slowdown in this product.
    • −The jump in adjusted profitability partly depends on a government incentive; the $93 million reduction in research and development expense represented more than the entire year-over-year increase in Q2 fiscal 2026 profit. Quarterly recognition of the incentive may fluctuate, and the estimated annual benefit could decline from approximately $200 million to around $100 million if Intel is no longer a controlling shareholder, while the effective and cash tax rate could rise to 15% beginning in 2027.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $11.38, with a “Buy” consensus, but the wide range between $7 and $18 reveals substantial divergence in estimates of the value of the autonomous-driving and robotaxi programs; the average is also approximately 28% below the 52-week range high of $15.81, while the lowest target is close to the range low of $6.47. No meaningful price-to-earnings ratio is available because of accounting losses, including a trailing-twelve-month net loss of $4.1 billion, and therefore any valuation improvement is tied to demonstrating growth in the 2027 and 2028 programs and the sustainability of adjusted profitability, weighed against the risks of weakness in Q3 of fiscal 2026 and the dependence of a large portion of earnings improvement on the Israeli incentive.

    BuyAnalyst target: $11.38(+37.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Mobileye's growth in fiscal 2026?

    The company raised the midpoint of its revenue outlook to $1.995 billion, implying year-over-year growth of between 4% and 7% across the guidance range. The forecast is based on slightly more than 39 million EyeQ units, an increase of approximately one million units from the previous estimate. Key drivers include Geely and Chery exports to overseas markets, rising ADAS adoption in emerging markets, and Mobileye's increased share at some automakers. This result is notable because the company expects production by its ten largest customers to decline by approximately 4.5% during fiscal 2026.

    Why did the adjusted operating margin rise in Q2 of fiscal 2026?

    Adjusted operating income reached $155 million and the adjusted operating margin reached 31%, up 46% year over year and approximately 10 percentage points, respectively. However, the results included a $93 million reduction in research and development expenses under the Israeli incentive, and approximately half of the amount was a retroactive Q1 fiscal 2026 impact. For the first half of fiscal 2026, the adjusted operating margin reached 23%, up 6 percentage points year over year. The company expects a benefit of $180 to $200 million in fiscal 2026, with gradual cash collection of that year's benefit beginning in 2028.

    How important are SuperVision and Cloud-Enhanced ADAS to MBLY's growth?

    Mobileye delivered approximately 20 thousand SuperVision units in Q2 of fiscal 2026 and slightly more than 40 thousand units in the first half, but maintained its full-year forecast at slightly less than 60 thousand units because of inventory building by customers. Cloud-Enhanced ADAS, meanwhile, won the high-volume Stellantis program that begins in 2027, with REM gradually introduced across the group's vehicles. The company says gross profit per unit for Cloud-Enhanced ADAS is approximately equal to that of Surround ADAS and more than double that of the base ADAS program. It also expects Surround ADAS to begin contributing to average selling price per unit growth during 2028.

    What is Mobileye's plan for the robotaxi market?

    The company intends to launch a vertically integrated robotaxi offering in at least one U.S. city during 2027, alongside its work with Volkswagen and MOIA. The initial company-owned launch targets a fleet of 100 to 200 vehicles in one city during 2027, while the MOIA program began public passenger testing with safety drivers in Hamburg during 2026. Management estimates annual revenue of approximately $125 thousand per vehicle, with an equipped vehicle cost of less than $100 thousand and annual operating expenses in the tens of thousands of dollars. Moovit can be used for fleet management, trip planning, and passenger interaction, but these economics still need to be proven at commercial scale.

    What are Mobileye's most immediate financial risks?

    Management expects Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue to decline by 5% to 6% year over year, with gross margin slightly below the previous quarter and a modest increase in operating expenses before the incentive. It also expects SuperVision shipments to decline in the second half after first-half shipments exceeded end-market vehicle demand by approximately 10 thousand units. The research and development incentive may fluctuate based on eligible spending, exchange rates, and the control structure, and its annual estimate could decline from approximately $200 million to around $100 million if Intel is no longer a controlling shareholder. In addition, the company expects the effective and cash tax rate could rise to 15% beginning in 2027.

    What is Mobileye's outlook for humanoid robots?

    Through Mentee, the company is working on the V3.2 robot, targeting a V3.5 version after it and then a production-ready V4 model in Q1 of fiscal 2027. Software development focuses on imitation learning and reinforcement learning through simulation, with a platform that handles approximately 4 thousand objects across household use cases. Mobileye aims to build approximately 500 units in 2028 to begin consumer-oriented use. The company plans to begin insurance and pilot-site discussions in 2027, demonstrating that the project remains ahead of broad commercialization.

  • −The shift to a vertically integrated robotaxi business adds new execution and financing risks, as the company aims to launch a fleet of 100 to 200 vehicles in one city during 2027 and may fund the first 10 thousand to 20 thousand vehicles from cash and cash flows before seeking external financing. The viability of the estimated annual revenue economics of approximately $125 thousand per vehicle also remains dependent on proving demand, operations, and actual commercial scaling.
  • −The leadership transition adds execution risk, as Amnon Shashua said on July 23, 2026, that he would step down as CEO after a successor is appointed, and the board formed a search committee. This coincides with Mobileye's expansion into robotaxis and humanoid robots, two businesses that require new operating and go-to-market models.
  • −No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available because of accounting losses, as the net loss reached $4.1 billion and negative earnings per share were approximately $4.97 on a trailing-twelve-month basis, following a large loss that included a goodwill impairment in Q1 of fiscal 2026. Therefore, valuation must rely on analyst targets and adjusted profitability forecasts, which are more sensitive to assumptions regarding the government incentive and the 2027 and 2028 programs.