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Stocks
Manhattan Associates, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall86
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/9SafeBetter than 86% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
14
60.4x▼17.6xBottom tier
▸
Growth
58
6.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
96
67.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
78
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
53
—2.15%Around median
▸
Momentum
80
-8.7%▼2.3%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
62
8▲3Around median
MANH

MANH Manhattan Associates, Inc.

Manhattan Associates, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
211.46
▲ ⁦+0.30%⁩ (+0.64)
Market Cap$12.3B
Beta0.93
52w Low52w High
119.06227.03
Last Week
⁦+3.14%⁩
Last Month
⁦+7.13%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+46.96%⁩
Last Year
⁦-2.15%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$211
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$215
⁦+2%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$145–$260⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$113
⁦-46%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.5⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$113–$215⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$210.57
⁦-0.4%⁩
Current Price $211.46·Median $215.00
Low
$145.00
High
$260.00
Current price
$211.46
Average target
$210.57
Street summary

Limited Increase in Consensus with High Dispersion

The consensus price target rose over the last 30 days from 202.33 to 210.57, an increase of 8.24 or 4.07%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days and 1 day. The consensus is approaching the current price of 209.62, while the median stands at 215; the gap between the highest target at 260 and the lowest target at 145 reveals wide dispersion among two analysts, making the confidence level limited despite the monthly improvement.

As of 2026-09-15
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+4.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.69
Buy
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
69%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
54%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
2
7
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 3.69
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-29
    Loop Capital Markets
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-21
    Citigroup
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    60.42x
    7.02x56.18x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    37.23x
    5.21x41.67x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    43.67x
    4.43x35.48x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    3.2%
    -57.1%10.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.5%
    -18.1%67.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -2.8%
    -155.6%189.9%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    55.8%
    13.2%79.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    67.2%
    -63.6%26.8%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    16.95
    -9.8713.97
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Manhattan Associates develops cloud software for supply chain and commerce management, with applications spanning warehouse, transportation, order, store, and supply chain planning management. Its model relies on subscriptions to the Manhattan Active platform, alongside implementation services, while legacy license and maintenance revenue declines as customers migrate from on-premises systems to the cloud. The company serves diverse sectors including retail, grocery, food distribution, life sciences, manufacturing, technology, aviation, and third-party logistics.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue increased 9% to $298 million, or 13% excluding the decline in license and maintenance revenue associated with the cloud transition. Cloud revenue reached $127 million, up 26%, and services revenue reached $133 million, up 3%, meaning these two businesses together accounted for approximately 87% of quarterly revenue. EDGAR data shows revenue of $297.8 million and gross profit of $168.3 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 56.5%, as well as net income of $50.4 million and earnings per share of $0.85.

Adjusted operating profit reached $104 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, with a margin of 34.9%, while adjusted earnings per share increased 6% to $1.39. In contrast, GAAP earnings per share declined 9% to $0.85 due to a restructuring expense of approximately $8 million, or $0.11 per share. Operating cash flow increased 22% to $91 million, with a free cash flow margin of 30.1%, and the company ended the quarter with $186 million in liquidity and no debt.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Remaining performance obligations RPO increased 23% year over year and 5% sequentially to $2.47 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026, marking the third consecutive quarter of record bookings. The company expects to recognize approximately 39% of this balance as revenue within 24 months, up from 38% at the end of Q1 fiscal 2026, supported by larger deal sizes and faster implementation.
  • Customer migrations from on-premises systems to Manhattan Active represented more than 40% of new cloud bookings in Q2 fiscal 2026, even though less than 25% of the migration base had begun transitioning. New logos also accounted for more than 25% of new cloud bookings during the quarter, and the win rate remained above 70%, combining an opportunity to convert the existing base with the acquisition of new customers.
  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 outlook to revenue of between $1.160 and $1.166 billion, adjusted earnings per share of between $5.44 and $5.50, and an adjusted operating margin of approximately 35.1%. It also raised the midpoint estimate for cloud revenue to $505.5 million, representing growth of 24%, and expects RPO to be near the upper end of the $2.62 to $2.68 billion range.
  • Since their launch in Q1 fiscal 2026, Active Agents have progressed from an early program to trials or subscriptions covering more than 10% of the Manhattan Active base, and completed trials as of the July 28, 2026 call achieved a 100% conversion rate to subscriptions. The company offers more than 50 foundational agents, which can be activated on day one without an implementation period, but management explained that their expected contribution to revenue for the remainder of fiscal 2026 remains small.
  • The Editions system expands the addressable market through three tiers of the same platform: Essentials, Enterprise, and Enterprise Premier, with different capability packages and pricing without rebuilding the platform when upgrading. Essentials gives the company an entry point into smaller companies and sites, while Enterprise directs less complex demand to Active Warehouse instead of the legacy Scale product, opening additional opportunities for cross-selling and subscription upgrades.
  • Partners support the expansion of Editions, as the number of partner-sourced deals in the first half of fiscal 2026 increased to four times its level in the comparable period, and the number of certified partner consultants doubled. This is accompanied by tangible operational demand; Active Agents customers reported an 87% reduction in picking shortages, while a regional grocery retailer achieved a 49% reduction in late shipments and a 21% reduction in the order cycle.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The $2.47 billion RPO balance and its 23% annual growth provide strong contractual visibility, particularly with 39% expected to convert into revenue within 24 months. Three consecutive quarters of record bookings without deals being pulled forward into Q2 fiscal 2026 also support interpreting the growth as an increase in deal size rather than merely a timing difference.
  • +The company has two parallel paths for cloud growth: converting the on-premises systems base, of which less than 25% has begun transitioning, and expanding within the Manhattan Active base through transportation, warehouse, order, and artificial intelligence solutions. Migrations represented more than 40% of new cloud bookings in Q2 fiscal 2026, while a substantial conversion opportunity remains based on the figures provided by management.
  • +The Active Agents model combines deterministic workflows with probabilistic artificial intelligence within the platform, without requiring customers to use external data lakes, and agents can be activated on day one. Trials or subscriptions reaching more than 10% of the base and the conversion of 100% of completed trials into subscriptions provide early evidence of monetization potential, although the fiscal 2026 contribution remains limited.
  • +The balance sheet supports the company’s ability to fund growth and return capital, as it ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with $186 million in liquidity and no debt. It repurchased $125 million of shares during the quarter and $275 million since the beginning of the fiscal year, with $225 million remaining under the authorization announced in March 2026.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $210.57 within a wide range of $145 to $260; the average is below the 52-week range high of $227.03, while the highest target exceeds that high. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available, so the risk assessment is based on the breadth of the target range and the 52-week range of $119.06 to $227.03, compared with cloud growth of 26%, total revenue growth of 9%, and restructuring pressure on accounting profit.

BuyAnalyst target: $210.57(-0.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove MANH’s Q2 fiscal 2026 results?

Revenue reached $298 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 9%, while increasing 13% excluding the decline in licenses and maintenance associated with the cloud transition. Cloud revenue grew 26% to $127 million, and services increased 3% to $133 million, driven by implementation and upselling. Adjusted operating profit reached $104 million with a margin of 34.9%, while the company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.39 and GAAP earnings per share of $0.85.

How large is MANH’s opportunity to migrate customers from on-premises systems to Manhattan Active?

Migrations from on-premises systems represented more than 40% of new cloud bookings in Q2 fiscal 2026. However, management said on July 28, 2026 that less than 25% of the migration base had begun transitioning and that the substantial increase in quarterly bookings came from less than 2% of the base. The Enterprise and Essentials systems add lower-cost, less complex migration paths, allowing customers to begin with a suitable package and then increase their subscription without rebuilding the platform.

Have Active Agents become a significant source of revenue for MANH?

As of the July 28, 2026 call, Active Agents had reached more than 10% of the Manhattan Active base through a trial or subscription, and completed trials achieved a 100% conversion rate to subscriptions. The company offers more than 50 foundational agents, which can be activated on day one, and customers linked their use to an 87% reduction in picking shortages and a 49% reduction in late shipments in cases presented by management. However, their contribution to revenue for the remainder of fiscal 2026 remains small, and the company did not separately disclose their value within revenue or RPO.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Performance remains exposed to global economic volatility, and management retained this factor among its cautions despite observing no slowdown in customer interest as of the July 28, 2026 call. Given that contract terms are approximately 5.5 to 6 years and bookings may be affected by the number and value of large deals, the RPO trajectory may be nonlinear between quarters even if annual demand remains strong.
  • −GAAP earnings per share declined 9% to $0.85 in Q2 fiscal 2026 due to a restructuring expense of approximately $8 million. The company does not expect a margin benefit from headcount reductions during fiscal 2026 because it will continue investing in sales and marketing and increase bonus accruals, while details regarding the reinvestment of savings in fiscal 2027 remain under review.
  • −The company reduced its fiscal 2026 services revenue forecast by $4.5 million to $513.5 million due to currency effects and the timing of European implementations in roughly equal proportions. It expects EMEA services to reach a trough in Q3 fiscal 2026 and also expects services revenue to decline from approximately $133 million in that quarter to $122 million in Q4 due to retail peak-seasonality.
  • −Despite cloud revenue growth of 26%, total revenue grew only 9% in Q2 fiscal 2026 because of continued pressure from the transition away from legacy licenses and maintenance. The company expects maintenance revenue to decline 12% to approximately $114 million in fiscal 2026, so subscription and services growth must remain sufficient to offset the structural contraction in legacy businesses.
  • −Active Agents revenue remains at an early stage; its contribution to revenue and RPO during Q2 fiscal 2026 was small, and the company did not disclose it separately. Management also declined to provide a clear estimate of its materiality in the second half or guidance for fiscal 2027, despite the 100% conversion rate among completed trials, making the scale of the artificial intelligence opportunity less clear than the initial adoption indicators.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 11, 2026 indicates net selling of $2 million, with four sales and no purchases, and the signal was classified as a strong sell. However, this remains a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may have been prearranged, and the available information provided no evidence to the contrary.
What is the impact of Editions on Manhattan Associates’ addressable market?

In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company introduced three tiers of the same platform: Essentials, Enterprise, and Enterprise Premier. Essentials targets smaller companies and sites at a lower cost than Premier, while Enterprise enables Active Warehouse to be offered to less complex customers who were previously directed to Scale. The partner network supports this expansion, as partner-sourced deals increased fourfold in the first half of fiscal 2026, and the number of newly certified platform consultants doubled.

What is MANH’s outlook for fiscal 2026?

The company expects revenue of between $1.160 and $1.166 billion in fiscal 2026, equivalent to total growth of 8% and growth of 11% excluding the decline in licenses and maintenance. It expects an adjusted operating margin of approximately 35.1% and adjusted earnings per share of between $5.44 and $5.50, along with cloud revenue of $505.5 million, up 24%. It also expects RPO to be near the upper end of the $2.62 to $2.68 billion range, but reduced its services revenue forecast by $4.5 million to $513.5 million due to currency and the timing of European implementations.

What are the main financial risks to monitor in MANH stock?

The decline in legacy businesses continues, as the company expects maintenance revenue to fall 12% to approximately $114 million in fiscal 2026, requiring cloud revenue to offset this contraction. It also reduced its services outlook by $4.5 million and expects EMEA services to reach a trough in Q3 fiscal 2026 before growth improves in Q4. In addition, a restructuring expense of approximately $8 million reduced GAAP earnings per share in Q2, while savings from headcount reductions will not appear as incremental margin during fiscal 2026 because of reinvestment and higher bonus accruals.