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ManpowerGroup Inc.
MAN

MAN ManpowerGroup Inc.

ManpowerGroup Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
56.46
▼ ⁦-0.98%⁩ (-0.56)
Market Cap$2.7B
Beta0.66
52w Low52w High
25.1563.88
Last Week
⁦-6.32%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.11%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+78.56%⁩
Last Year
⁦+33.16%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall64
Balanced — near the middle of the marketTurnaroundF 1/9Better than 64% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
72
25.3x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
37
6.7%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
29
4.5%4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
38
3.2x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
53
2.55%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
92
37.0%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
76
7▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$56
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$55
⁦-3%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$37–$72⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-5.09
⁦-109%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-5.09–$55⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$54.43
⁦-3.6%⁩
Current Price $56.46·Median $55.00
Low
$37.00
High
$72.00
Current price
$56.46
Average target
$54.43
Street summary

Consensus Stability Amid a Wider Target Range

The consensus price target has not changed over the last 30 days, remaining at 54.43, despite the number of analysts increasing from 4 to 5 in the latest snapshot. The median price target stands at 55, compared with a current price of 56.46, while the range is between 37 and 72; this reflects clear divergence in analysts’ estimates without a collective shift toward greater optimism or pessimism.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.42
Hold
Analyst coverage
12
Buy conviction
33%
Target dispersion
62%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time12 analysts rating
1
3
8
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.42 → 3.42
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-17
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-17
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-14
    UBS
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.32x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    13.64x
    4.57x36.58x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.84x
    3.43x27.47x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    2.2%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.7%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    702.7%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    16.2%
    8.6%54.6%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    4.5%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.18x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    2.6%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    64.6%
    6.6%80.8%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-16 data

Company Overview

ManpowerGroup operates in workforce and human resources solutions through three main brands: Manpower for flexible and permanent staffing, Experis for talent and technology services, and Talent Solutions, which includes RPO, MSP, and Right Management solutions. In fiscal Q2 2026, Manpower accounted for approximately 65% of gross profit, compared with 19% for Experis and 16% for Talent Solutions; making the core staffing business the largest driver of profitability, while technology services and talent management solutions contribute to revenue diversification.

In fiscal Q2 2026, reported revenue reached $4.9 billion, and systemwide revenue including franchises was $5.3 billion, with revenue growth of 6% in constant currency. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $103 million, up 15% in constant currency, and the margin increased 10 basis points to 2.1%, while the gross profit margin was 16.1%, reported earnings per share were $1.13, and adjusted earnings per share were $0.99.

The revenue mix in fiscal Q2 2026 was distributed across Southern Europe at 47%, the Americas at 25%, Northern Europe at 17%, and Asia Pacific and the Middle East at 11%. Manpower achieved organic growth of 8% in constant currency, while Experis revenue declined 2% and Talent Solutions remained stable; therefore, the operational improvement came primarily from the Manpower business, particularly in the United States, with signs of gradual improvement in the other businesses.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Manpower accelerated its organic growth in constant currency from 6% in Q1 to 8% in fiscal Q2 2026, achieving a fifth consecutive quarter of growth, supported by demand in manufacturing, automotive, aerospace, logistics, and retail.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Revenue growth in the Americas segment reached 14% organically in constant currency in fiscal Q2 2026, and Manpower revenue in the United States grew 16% after growth of 5% in the previous quarter, marking eight consecutive quarters of growth for the brand in the U.S. market.
  • Experis revenue improved from a decline of 9% in Q1 to a decline of 2% in fiscal Q2 2026, and management expects the Experis business in the United States to shift from stability to slight growth in Q3, with demand for cloud migration, application development, data, and artificial intelligence.
  • Artificial intelligence-related partnerships, including SoundHound AI and IBM watsonx Orchestrate, are targeting revenue of between $50 million and $100 million during 2026, and the opportunity pipeline includes approximately 100 qualified prospective clients. AI-powered interview tools also reduced time to fill positions by 67%, and the company aims to expand their use to businesses representing 70% of revenue by the end of 2026.
  • For fiscal Q3 2026, the company expects workday-adjusted organic growth of 6% in constant currency at the midpoint of the range, earnings per share of between $0.96 and $1.06, and a year-over-year improvement of 10 basis points in the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Workday- and constant-currency-adjusted organic revenue growth of 6% in fiscal Q2 2026 exceeded the midpoint of management's guidance of 3%, while adjusted earnings per share of $0.99 exceeded the guidance midpoint of $0.96.
    • +Manpower's 16% growth in the United States, together with Northern Europe's improvement to an operating profit of $2 million following restructuring measures, reflects the broadening of the recovery geographically and the company's ability to win business in sectors with higher demand.
    • +The transformation program provides a stated path to achieving permanent savings of $200 million in 2028, following targeted savings of $20 million in 2026 and $80 million as the front-office program begins contributing in 2027.
    • +Artificial intelligence solutions could increase the value of the mix in the future, as Accelerate Workflow combines IBM watsonx Orchestrate technology with implementation, talent, and managed services, while the SoundHound AI partnership has begun converting opportunities into actual client engagements, including clients in healthcare.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The company is highly dependent on Southern Europe, which represented 47% of revenue in fiscal Q2 2026, while France alone accounted for 51% of that segment's revenue, with revenue of $1.2 billion and flat growth at zero; making weakness in the French market influential on consolidated growth.
    • −The gross profit margin remains under pressure; it was 16.1% in fiscal Q2 2026, down 60 basis points year over year, and management expects only approximately 16.0% in Q3 due to the business mix and the full impact of the sale of the higher-margin U.S. Jefferson Wells business.
    • −The improvement across all brands has not yet translated into actual growth; Experis revenue declined 2% and its gross profit fell 6% in fiscal Q2 2026, while Talent Solutions revenue remained stable and its gross profit declined 4%, with Right Management continuing to contract due to lower career transition services activity.
    • −The transformation program carries execution and cost risks before its full benefits are realized; the company expects restructuring and strategic transformation expenses of between $10 million and $15 million in each quarter through the end of 2026, while it does not target achieving the full permanent savings of $200 million until 2028.
    • −Despite improved cash flow, free cash flow recorded an outflow of $9 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and total debt was $1.04 billion versus $181 million in cash and net debt of $863 million, with the ratio of total debt to adjusted earnings before interest and taxes for the trailing twelve months at 2.5 times.
    • −The stock's valuation remains inconclusive due to a net loss of $16.4 million and negative earnings per share of approximately $0.35 in the 2026 trailing twelve-month data, and therefore no positive price-to-earnings ratio is available. The wide analyst target range of between $37 and $72, together with a consensus neutral rating, reinforces the risk of differing market estimates regarding the recovery and margin trajectory.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $54.43, which is below the upper end of the 52-week range of $63.88, while the target range extends from $37 to $72 and is accompanied by a consensus neutral rating. No positive price-to-earnings ratio is available due to the loss recorded in the 2026 trailing twelve-month data, while the wide 52-week range of between $25.15 and $63.88 reflects valuation sensitivity to weak margins versus evidence of a revenue recovery and the cost-reduction program.

    HoldAnalyst target: $54.43(-3.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove ManpowerGroup's growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Reported revenue reached $4.9 billion and grew 6% in constant currency in fiscal Q2 2026. Manpower led the performance with organic growth of 8%, supported by manufacturing, automotive, aerospace, logistics, and retail. In the United States, Manpower revenue increased 16%, and the brand recorded its eighth consecutive quarter of growth there.

    Has Experis started returning to growth?

    Experis revenue declined 2% in fiscal Q2 2026, after declining 9% in Q1, representing a clear improvement but still falling short of positive growth. Experis revenue in the United States was stable compared with a decline of 15% in the previous quarter, and management expects slight growth in fiscal Q3 2026. The opportunity pipeline is linked to demand for cloud migration, application development, data, and artificial intelligence, in addition to skills training through Experis Academy.

    How does ManpowerGroup use artificial intelligence in its business?

    The company uses artificial intelligence internally to target sales opportunities and improve screening and interviews, and interview tools helped reduce time to fill positions by 67%. Management aims to expand targeting and interview tools to businesses representing 70% of revenue by the end of 2026, while 30% of automation-supported interviews take place outside normal working hours. Commercially, Accelerate Workflow, built with IBM watsonx Orchestrate, combines technology implementation, workforce transformation, specialized talent, and managed services, while the partnerships are targeting revenue of between $50 million and $100 million during 2026.

    What is the impact of ManpowerGroup's $200 million transformation program?

    The company is targeting permanent savings of $200 million in 2028 by redesigning sales and recruitment processes and reducing the complexity of its operating structure. Management expects a benefit of $20 million from back-office work in 2026, followed by an increase in the total impact to $80 million as the front-office program begins contributing in 2027. In contrast, it expects restructuring and transformation expenses of between $10 million and $15 million in each quarter through the end of 2026, after approximately $13 million in fiscal Q2 2026.

    What is ManpowerGroup's guidance for fiscal Q3 2026?

    Management expects earnings per share of between $0.96 and $1.06 in fiscal Q3 2026, and the range includes a negative currency impact of $0.02 per share. The midpoint of workday- and constant-currency-adjusted organic growth guidance is 6%, while the midpoint of constant-currency revenue growth after the impact of the business sale is 5%. The company expects a gross profit margin of approximately 16.0% and a year-over-year improvement of 10 basis points in the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin.

    What is ManpowerGroup's liquidity and debt position?

    The company ended fiscal Q2 2026 with cash of $181 million and total debt of $1.04 billion, resulting in net debt of $863 million. The ratio of total debt to adjusted earnings before interest and taxes for the trailing twelve months was 2.5 times, and the ratio of debt to total capitalization was 33%. Free cash flow recorded an outflow of $9 million, compared with an outflow of $207 million in the comparable period, and the company used the proceeds from business disposals to reduce the balance of its credit facility.