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Stocks
The Macerich Company
MAC

MAC The Macerich Company

The Macerich Company · NYSE
Market Closed
22.61
▲ ⁦+0.00%⁩ (0.00)
Market Cap$6.7B
Beta2.07
52w Low52w High
16.0326.68
Last Week
⁦-3.87%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.75%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.35%⁩
Last Year
⁦+25.33%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall14
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketMomentum TrapF 3/9DistressBetter than 14% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
28
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
40
1.3%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
26
1.3%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
28
11.5x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
65
2.80%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
77
40.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
62
6▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$23
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$26
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$21–$30⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-10.33
⁦-146%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-10.33–$26⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$25.91
⁦+14.6%⁩
Current Price $22.61·Median $26.00
Low
$21.00
High
$30.00
Current price
$22.61
Average target
$25.91
Street summary

Slight Increase in Consensus with Clear Divergence Among Analysts

The consensus price target rose to 25.91, increasing by 0.18 or 0.7% over the last 7 days, and by 0.41 or 1.61% over the last 30 days, while the number of analysts remained at 3. Targets range from 21 to 30, with a median of 26, reflecting notable divergence in valuation despite the limited improvement in consensus.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.69
Buy
Analyst coverage
16
Buy conviction
63%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
40%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
2
8
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.47 → 3.69
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Goldman Sachs
    Sell
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-27
    Piper Sandler
    NeutralOverweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Citigroup
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    27.76x
    3.68x29.40x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    2.9%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.3%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    63.5%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    24.5%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    1.3%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    11.54x
    1.55x12.39x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    2.8%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.14
    -0.883.10
    Below average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

The Macerich Company is a real estate company listed under the ticker MAC on the NYSE, owning and operating regional shopping centers focused on Class A assets. Its economic model relies on leasing space to retailers, restaurants, and entertainment concepts, then converting store openings and the commencement of rent payments into net operating income, alongside income from management, development, and asset dispositions. In fiscal Q2 2026, Future Portfolio centers represented $185 million of total shopping center net operating income of $211 million, or approximately 88% of the total.

Fiscal Q2 2026 indicators reflect strong demand for the company’s best centers; leased occupancy reached 94% for the full portfolio and 95.5% for the Future Portfolio, compared with physical occupancy of 91% in the latter. Tenant sales reached a company record of $919 per square foot and $954 in the Future Portfolio. Future Portfolio net operating income, excluding lease termination income, also increased by 3.8% year over year, while rising by 2.5% during the six months ended June 30, 2026.

The company recorded revenue of $249.7 million in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with $241.5 million in fiscal Q1 2026, representing a sequential increase of approximately 3.4%. Net loss was $27.1 million, or a loss of $0.10 per share, compared with a loss of $36.4 million and $0.14 per share in the previous quarter. On the REIT metric, adjusted FFO was approximately $100 million, or $0.35 per diluted share, and revenue and FFO exceeded analyst estimates according to the earnings report published on August 5, 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The five-year leasing plans reached 88% completion in fiscal Q2 2026, ahead of the midyear target of 85%, with only 170 of the original 1,000 new deals remaining, two-thirds of which are at the letter-of-intent stage.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Signed leases for tenants that have not yet opened their stores reached $124 million out of a total opportunity estimated by management at approximately $140 million. The company expects an annual contribution of $30 million in fiscal 2026, followed by $40 to $45 million in fiscal 2027 and $45 to $50 million in fiscal 2028.
  • Management expects at least 3% growth in Future Portfolio net operating income during fiscal 2026, with growth of at least 3.5% in the second half. The targeted compound annual growth rate of 6.5% between fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2028 implies growth exceeding 8% in each of fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028, according to management’s calculations.
  • The company opened approximately 350 thousand square feet of new stores during fiscal Q2 2026 and signed new and renewal leases covering 1.3 million square feet, including 645 thousand square feet for new deals. The momentum included the 45 thousand-square-foot flagship Zara store at Tysons Corner Center, which ranked first in sales in the United States during its opening weekend, according to management data.
  • Traffic at Tysons Corner increased by 10% during the first six months of fiscal 2026, while four centers in the late stage of transformation achieved low-double-digit traffic growth and net operating income growth of approximately 9%. The openings of Eataly, Din Tai Fung, and Cider in the west wing of Tysons Corner support the company’s ability to increase traffic and pricing power.
  • Proceeds from unsettled forward equity of approximately $372 million provide funding for acquisition opportunities for which the company targets stabilized returns of between 9% and 11%. Management estimated that investing the full amount as equity could add between $0.02 and $0.04 to FFO and reduce the net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio by approximately 25 to slightly more than 30 basis points.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The buying case is based on tangible operating improvement in the core assets, as Future Portfolio occupancy increased by 270 basis points year over year to 95.5%, while its net operating income increased by 3.8% in fiscal Q2 2026.
    • +Leases for tenants that have not yet opened provide clear visibility into growth; the company has contracted $124 million of an opportunity estimated at approximately $140 million, and the contributions are expected to convert gradually into rent during fiscal 2026, fiscal 2027, and fiscal 2028.
    • +The Elevate and Transform strategy is showing specific results at centers in advanced stages of execution; Kierland Commons, Broadway Plaza, Scottsdale Fashion Square, and Tysons Corner recorded net operating income growth of approximately 9% during the first six months of fiscal 2026, compared with 2.5% for the Future Portfolio as a whole.
    • +The financing structure has improved compared with the start of Path Forward, as net debt to adjusted EBITDA declined by more than 1.5 turns to 7.3 times at the end of fiscal Q2 2026 and falls below 7 times when proceeds from unsettled forward equity are included.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −GAAP profitability remains negative; Macerich recorded a net loss of $27.1 million in fiscal Q2 2026, while the twelve-month loss reached $179.1 million, following an annual loss of $197.1 million in fiscal 2025.
    • −Leverage remains high despite the improvement, as net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 7.3 times at the end of fiscal Q2 2026. The 29th Street property loan, amounting to $76 million at the company’s share, also remained in default after maturing in February 2026, while options for addressing the remaining maturities included refinancing, loan modifications, asset sales, or property handovers.
    • −A significant portion of expected growth depends on converting leases into open stores that pay rent; opening completion was 57% on August 4, 2026, despite Future Portfolio leased occupancy reaching 95.5% compared with physical occupancy of 91%. Delays in permits, build-outs, or openings could defer contributions from the $124 million lease pipeline.
    • −The acquisition strategy requires selecting transformable assets and executing intensive leasing and development, while management described competition for certain deals, including Crabtree, as strong. Therefore, achieving the targeted stabilized return of between 9% and 11% depends on discipline in purchase price, financing, and post-acquisition execution.
    • −The company raised substantial capital during fiscal 2026, including net proceeds of approximately $450 million from the May offering at an issuance price of $21 per share, in addition to estimated unsettled forward equity proceeds of approximately $372 million from the June offering. This supports debt reduction and acquisitions, but it increases the share count and makes achieving FFO growth per share important to offset the dilution impact.
    • −The neutral analyst consensus and the divergence of price targets between $19 and $30 reflect wide variation in assessments of the company’s trajectory. The absence of a positive P/E ratio, with a loss of approximately $0.694 per share over the twelve months, increases valuation sensitivity to Macerich’s ability to convert net operating income growth into sustainable accounting profits.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $25.73, with a neutral consensus and a wide range between $19 and $30; the average is approximately 3.6% below the 52-week range high of $26.68, while the highest target exceeds that high. A positive P/E ratio is unavailable because of the twelve-month loss of $179.1 million, making the valuation dependent on improving FFO, net operating income growth, and leverage reduction, weighed against the risks of accounting losses and the default of the 29th Street loan.

    HoldAnalyst target: $25.73(+13.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What did Macerich achieve in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Revenue was $249.7 million, and net loss was $27.1 million, or $0.10 per share. Adjusted FFO was approximately $100 million, or $0.35 per diluted share, while Future Portfolio net operating income increased by 3.8% year over year. Revenue and FFO also exceeded analyst estimates according to the earnings report published on August 5, 2026.

    How important is the pipeline of signed tenants that have not yet opened their stores for MAC stock?

    The pipeline was valued at $124 million out of a total opportunity estimated by management at approximately $140 million on August 4, 2026. The company expects a contribution of $30 million in fiscal 2026, $40 to $45 million in fiscal 2027, and $45 to $50 million in fiscal 2028. However, realizing these contributions requires the stores to obtain permits, complete build-outs, open, and begin paying rent.

    How is Macerich’s Path Forward 3.0 plan progressing?

    The completion rate for new leasing deals reached 88% in fiscal Q2 2026, exceeding the midyear target of 85%. Only 170 deals remained from a program comprising 1,000 new deals, and two-thirds of the remainder were at the letter-of-intent stage. At the same time, net debt to adjusted EBITDA declined by more than 1.5 turns since the start of the plan to reach 7.3 times.

    What is the state of Macerich’s balance sheet and debt?

    Liquidity was approximately $1.2 billion at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, including $900 million of available capacity under the revolving credit facility. This does not include approximately $372 million in net unsettled forward equity proceeds. Conversely, the 29th Street loan, amounting to $76 million at the company’s share, remained in default after maturing in February 2026, and management is targeting a reduction in net debt to adjusted EBITDA to approximately 6 times.

    What supports growth at Macerich’s major centers?

    Future Portfolio leased occupancy was 95.5% in fiscal Q2 2026, an increase of 270 basis points year over year, while tenant sales reached $954 per square foot. At Tysons Corner, traffic increased by 10% during the first six months of fiscal 2026 as the tenant mix was upgraded. Specific additions include Zara, Eataly, Din Tai Fung, and Cider, alongside Dick's House of Sport and Level 99 at other assets.

    How do analysts view the valuation of MAC stock?

    The analyst consensus is neutral, and the average price target is $25.73. Targets range between $19 and $30, compared with a 52-week range of $16.03 to $26.68, revealing significant divergence in expectations. A positive P/E ratio is unavailable with a loss of approximately $0.694 per share over the twelve months, so the valuation is tied to the realization of net operating income growth and debt reduction.