EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall36
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 5/9Better than 36% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
27
36.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
17
0.8%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
62
5.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
48
4.3x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
63
4.87%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
36
-6.3%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
79
8▲3Top tier
MAA

MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
124.79
▲ ⁦+0.25%⁩ (+0.31)
Market Cap$14.5B
Beta0.72
52w Low52w High
120.30146.41
Last Week
⁦-2.97%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.54%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-3.32%⁩
Last Year
⁦-13.59%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$125
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$140
⁦+12%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$130–$147⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$34
⁦-72%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$34–$140⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$139.50
⁦+11.8%⁩
Current Price $124.79·Median $140.00
Low
$130.00
High
$147.00
Current price
$124.79
Average target
$139.50
Street summary

Slight Decline in Targets with Valuations Holding Steady

The consensus price target is 139.73 versus a current price of 127.48, with a range between 130 and 147 and a median average of 140 among three analysts. The consensus declined by 1.09 over the last 7 days and by 3.19 over the last 30 days, or 0.77% and 2.23%, respectively, with no change in the number of analysts; this indicates a more conservative bias, while a notable divergence remains among the targets.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.23
Hold
Analyst coverage
26
Buy conviction
35%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
14%
Analyst ratings over time26 analysts rating
2
7
14
1
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.36 → 3.23
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    36.49x
    5.03x40.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    38.77x
    5.89x47.13x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.49x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.9%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.8%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -29.6%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    47.3%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    5.3%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.30x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.9%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    177.6%
    31.2%370.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) owns, operates, and develops rental apartment communities, with its portfolio concentrated in U.S. markets experiencing strong population and employment growth, including Atlanta, Dallas, Austin, Charlotte, Phoenix, and Raleigh. Its income is derived primarily from apartment rents and lease renewals, with growing contributions from community development and lease-up, apartment and amenity renovations, and community-wide Wi‑Fi service, while it recycles capital by selling older, capital-intensive properties.

In fiscal 2026 Q2, MAA reported core funds from operations of $2.08 per diluted share, exceeding its guidance by $0.02, while same-store net operating income also came in above expectations due to expense control. Same-store property expenses increased 0.8% year over year, lease renewal rates rose 5.2%, resident turnover declined to 39.6%, and blended lease pricing improved by 100 basis points from fiscal 2026 Q1.

The latest available EDGAR filings for fiscal 2026 Q1 show revenue of $553.7 million, net income of $124.4 million, and earnings per share of $1.06. For fiscal 2025, revenue was $2.2 billion, net income was $446.9 million, and earnings per share were $3.78, while trailing-twelve-month revenue ending in 2026 was approximately $2.2 billion and net income was $389.6 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The supply-demand balance is gradually improving; unit absorption in MAA's markets during fiscal 2026 Q2 was approximately 1.8 times the volume of new deliveries, nearly 80% of markets recorded positive blended pricing growth, and inbound migration to the company's properties increased from approximately 10% in Q1 to 13% in Q2.
  • Interior renovations support high-return growth; the company completed 2,012 upgrades during fiscal 2026 Q2 and 3,500 upgrades in the first half, up 30% from the first half of fiscal 2025. Renovated units achieved a $110 rent premium over non-renovated units against average spending of $5,130 per unit, with a cash return of approximately 25% compared with a target return of 19%.
  • Community-wide Wi‑Fi service is expanding from 28 operating properties to 38 additional properties during fiscal 2026, and its revenue increased from $500 thousand in Q1 to $850 thousand in Q2. Accelerating resident adoption gives MAA an additional revenue source that does not depend entirely on increases in base rent.
  • The company maintained the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 core funds from operations guidance at $8.53 per share, despite lowering its effective rent growth and average occupancy forecasts. This guidance is supported by expectations of generating more than $25 million in additional year-over-year net operating income from the non-same-store portfolio, along with an expected decline of more than 6% in insurance costs during the year.
  • The development pipeline totaled $598 million as of June 30, 2026, with remaining funding commitments of $237 million over three years, and is expected to reach approximately $804 million after adding two projects that started in fiscal 2026 Q3. Management targets development yields between 6.25% and 6.5% for new projects and is working toward building a sustainable pipeline of approximately $1 billion.
  • MAA repurchased 383 thousand shares during fiscal 2026 Q2 for $50 million at an average of $130.66 per share. Insider trading activity was also positive through May 21, 2026, with three-month net purchases of 141,400 shares across two purchases and no sales.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +MAA combines resilient housing demand with a gradual easing of supply; absorption exceeded new deliveries by 1.8 times in fiscal 2026 Q2, prospect volumes increased by between 7% and 15%, and visits rose approximately 10% compared with the corresponding period of fiscal 2025.
  • +Resident quality provides relative protection for cash flows, as the rent-to-income ratio improved to 18%, net delinquency remained at only 0.3% of billed rent, lease renewals grew by 5.2%, and resident turnover declined to 39.6%.
  • +Renovation, repositioning, and Wi‑Fi programs provide measurable internal growth drivers; interior renovations generated a cash return of approximately 25%, while the first group of amenity repositioning projects generated an average cash return of 13%.
  • +The balance sheet supports growth plans; as of June 30, 2026, the company had more than $880 million in cash and available credit facility capacity, with net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization at 4.5 times, an average debt maturity of six years, and an effective rate of 3.9%.
  • +The company maintained the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 core funds from operations guidance at $8.53 per share, as expense control and non-same-store portfolio performance offset a slower recovery in new lease rates, highlighting the resilience of its operating model during a period of elevated supply absorption.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $141, within a wide range of $130 to $152, compared with a 52-week share-price range of $120.30 to $146.41; the average target is therefore below the top of the 52-week range, while the highest target exceeds that peak. The "Buy" consensus supports the positive outlook, but the wide target range reflects uncertainty associated with the slow recovery in new lease rates, supply pressure in key markets, and the dependence of improving development yields on fading concessions.

BuyAnalyst target: $141(+13.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving MAA's growth in fiscal 2026?

MAA is relying on a recovery in rental pricing, apartment renovations, community development, and expansion of its Wi‑Fi service. In fiscal 2026 Q2, absorption of new units exceeded deliveries by 1.8 times, and nearly 80% of markets recorded positive blended pricing growth. The company also completed 3,500 interior upgrades in the first half with a cash return of approximately 25%, and expanded Wi‑Fi from 28 operating properties to 38 additional properties.

Did MAA's rental rates improve in fiscal 2026 Q2?

New lease rates improved by 170 basis points from fiscal 2026 Q1, and blended pricing increased by 100 basis points. Renewal increases reached 5.2%, while resident turnover declined to 39.6%. Nevertheless, the recovery in new lease rates was slower than management had assumed, so the company lowered its fiscal 2026 forecasts for effective rent growth and average occupancy.

What are the strongest and weakest markets in MAA's portfolio?

Norfolk, Richmond, Charleston, Greenville, and the D.C. area outperformed the portfolio in pricing during fiscal 2026 Q2. Austin improved by 300 basis points in blended pricing and 40 basis points in occupancy compared with fiscal 2025 Q2, while Orlando improved by 130 basis points. By contrast, Phoenix, Charlotte, Raleigh, and Savannah remained under supply pressure, and concessions for some units at the two Charlotte projects reached eight or ten weeks.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Excess supply continues to pressure highly concentrated markets such as Phoenix, Charlotte, Raleigh, and Savannah, with leasing concessions on some unit floor plans at the two Charlotte projects reaching eight or ten weeks. Charlotte and Austin also remained among the portfolio markets making the greatest use of concessions, while concessions generally ranged around four to five weeks in most markets.
  • −MAA lowered its fiscal 2026 forecasts for effective rent growth and average occupancy because the recovery in new lease rates was slower than previously assumed. Same-store property revenue in Q2 came in slightly below the company's expectations, even as it maintained the midpoint of core funds from operations guidance at $8.53 per share due to lower expenses and contributions from non-same-store properties.
  • −Pricing growth remains limited compared with the strength of renewals; blended pricing growth was only 0.3% during the first half of fiscal 2026, and the company expects approximately 0.5% for the full year and approximately 0.6% for the second half. The expected improvement depends partly on sustained demand, lower supply, and avoiding a repeat of the seasonal decline that occurred in fiscal 2025.
  • −New lease-up projects are generating an actual cash yield of approximately 5% under current concessions, compared with a target yield of approximately 6% after stabilization. Achieving the target yield therefore depends on concessions fading and continued renewal increases, which reached between 9% and 10% at new lease-up properties.
  • −Expanding the development pipeline from $598 million to approximately $804 million, while targeting a pipeline of approximately $1 billion, increases the amount of capital exposed to construction costs, lease-up velocity, and future rents. Despite having more than $880 million in liquidity and credit capacity, the company also had to address a $300 million debt maturity in September 2026.
  • −Regulatory risks vary geographically; on July 30, 2026, management cited regulatory changes in Nevada, a more difficult regulatory environment in Denver, and discussions in Virginia. MAA's ownership of only two properties in Nevada and its plan to sell its sole property in the District of Columbia limit the direct impact, but geographic diversification does not eliminate the possibility of higher compliance costs in some markets.
How strong is MAA's financial position?

Cash liquidity and available credit facility capacity exceeded $880 million as of June 30, 2026. Net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization was 4.5 times, with an average debt maturity of six years and an effective rate of 3.9%. In June 2026, the company entered into an unsecured term loan with a committed amount of $350 million, of which $100 million was drawn at quarter-end.

Are MAA's renovation and development projects generating attractive returns?

MAA spent an average of $5,130 on each renovated unit during the first half of fiscal 2026, generating a $110 rent premium over non-renovated units and a cash return of approximately 25%. The first group of common-area repositioning projects generated an average cash return of 13%. New development projects target yields between 6.25% and 6.5%, but current lease-up projects are generating approximately 5% under current concessions compared with a target yield of approximately 6% after stabilization.

What do analyst consensus and insider trading activity indicate for MAA stock?

The analyst consensus is "Buy," with an average target of $141 and a target range of $130 to $152. The average target is below the top of the 52-week range of $146.41, while the highest target exceeds that peak. Insiders also recorded three-month net purchases of 141,400 shares through May 21, 2026, across two purchases and no sales, a supportive signal that does not eliminate the risks from supply and the slower recovery in rents.