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Stocks
LXP Industrial Trust
LXP

LXP LXP Industrial Trust

LXP Industrial Trust · NYSE
Market Closed
60.84
▲ ⁦+0.03%⁩ (+0.02)
Market Cap$3.6B
Beta1.05
52w Low52w High
44.0061.61
Last Week
⁦+0.18%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.46%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+21.17%⁩
Last Year
⁦+34.01%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall69
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 8/9Better than 69% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
21
44.4x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
24
-4.2%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
69
1.5%▼4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
47
4.9x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
89
4.44%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
96
33.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
37
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$61
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$61
⁦+0%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$54–$61⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$17
⁦-72%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.0⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$17–$61⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$58.73
⁦-3.5%⁩
Current Price $60.84·Median $61.00
Low
$54.00
High
$61.20
Current price
$60.84
Average target
$58.73
Street summary

LXP Industrial Trust Stock Review Analysis

Bearish tilt

LXP stock is witnessing a shift toward a cautious outlook, as the current price (60.75) is trading above the analysts' average price target of 58.73, indicating a full valuation from their perspective. The recent period has seen a series of downgrades by major institutions such as Jefferies, Citigroup, and Empire Asset Management, with ratings moving from "Buy" to "Hold" or "Market Perform," reflecting a decline in short-term optimism.

As of 2026-08-13
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
38%
Target dispersion
12%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
1
2
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.86 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-06
    Jefferies
    BuyHold
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-21
    Empire Asset Management
    Market Perform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-21
    Citigroup
    OutperformPerform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    44.41x
    5.03x40.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    796.34x
    5.89x47.13x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    17.80x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    4.9%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -4.2%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    31.7%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    67.7%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    1.5%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.93x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.4%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    197.1%
    31.2%370.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-04-29 data

Company Overview

LXP Industrial Trust is an industrial real estate investment trust that generates its income primarily from leasing distribution facilities and industrial properties, while seeking to increase rents upon renewal and add value through development and redevelopment. The stabilized portfolio was 96.6% leased at the end of Q1 FY2026, rising to 97.1% on a pro forma basis after leases signed in April 2026. The disclosed growth opportunities are concentrated in leasing vacancies and expirations and developing the land bank in Phoenix and Columbus, with potential future projects funded through selective asset sales in non-target markets.

In Q1 FY2026, LXP reported revenue of $85.9 million and gross profit of $69.2 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 80.6%, while net loss was $239 thousand and earnings per share were negative $0.03. On a REIT metric basis, adjusted funds from operations were approximately $47 million, or $0.80 per diluted share, up 2.6% from Q1 FY2025, while same-store net operating income increased 2%.

The business mix reflects LXP's reliance on large industrial facilities in target markets experiencing demand from distribution, advanced manufacturing suppliers, and data center-related activities. The company executed 1.8 million square feet of leases during Q1 FY2026, bringing the year-to-date total to 3.2 million square feet of new leases and renewals, and it was engaged in active discussions concerning 7.4 million square feet of development, redevelopment, vacancies, and expirations through 2027.

What's Driving the Stock

  • LXP addressed approximately 3.7 million square feet, or 57%, of total 2026 lease expirations, with an average cash rent increase of approximately 25% after excluding two flat-rate renewals; this includes the renewal of 352 thousand square feet in Charlotte with a 42% cash increase and 3.5% annual escalation.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The company extended the lease on the 1.1 million-square-foot Greenville-Spartanburg facility by an additional four years through 2031, with a 5% cash rent increase and 3% annual escalation. On the other 700 thousand square feet leased during Q1 FY2026, it achieved increases of 34% in base rent and 24% on a cash basis.
  • The company added 330 thousand square feet of vacancy leases since the beginning of 2026, including 85 thousand square feet in Indianapolis for a tenant engaged in data center development at a 34% cash increase, and a 250 thousand-square-foot facility in Houston under a seven-year lease with a 25% cash increase and 3.75% annual escalation.
  • Construction began on the 1.2 million-square-foot Phoenix project, while the last two million square feet of competing supply in West Valley had been leased, and according to management, there were no longer any available one million-square-foot buildings in the market. LXP is in discussions with a potential tenant, but confirmed on April 29, 2026, that it did not have an announced lease for the project.
  • The land bank supports an additional growth path; at the Aetna site in Columbus, LXP owns approximately 69 acres that can accommodate three facilities totaling approximately 1.25 million square feet. Net absorption in the Columbus market reached ten million square feet during the twelve months preceding the April 29, 2026 call, with vacancy declining by more than 300 basis points.
  • Management maintained FY2026 adjusted funds from operations guidance at $3.22 to $3.37 per share and same-store net operating income growth guidance at 1.5% to 2.5%. It also ended Q1 FY2026 with net debt equal to 5.1 times annualized adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, cash liquidity of $1.3 billion, and an undrawn $600 million revolving credit facility.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Renewing leases at higher rents provides a direct income driver; the average cash increase was approximately 25% on the space addressed from 2026 expirations, reaching 42% on the Charlotte lease and 34% on the Indianapolis lease.
    • +The portfolio combines high stabilized occupancy of 96.6% at the end of Q1 FY2026 with a discussion pipeline exceeding seven million square feet, giving LXP opportunities to convert demand for large facilities into long-term leases and annual escalations.
    • +Demand related to data centers and advanced manufacturing enhances opportunities in Phoenix, Columbus, and Richmond; management cited data center-related activity in several markets, alongside limited supply of one million-square-foot buildings in West Valley.
    • +Cash liquidity of $1.3 billion and $600 million of available facilities provide flexibility to fund the Phoenix project, while management plans to align future developments with selective asset sales rather than relying entirely on additional financing.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The midpoint of FY2026 guidance depends on re-leasing approximately 550 thousand square feet of expected move-out activity during the second half, with an assumed average occupancy of 96.5%. This includes known move-outs and vacant space, so delays in signing leases or rent commencements could pressure occupancy and net operating income.
    • −The 1.2 million-square-foot Phoenix project remains under construction without an announced lease as of the April 29, 2026 call, despite discussions with a potential tenant. Management prefers pre-leasing to reduce investment risk, illustrating that realizing the expected value depends on converting those discussions into an actual lease.
    • −Management expects same-store net operating income growth in Q2 FY2026 to be lower than the 2% recorded in Q1, due to tenant move-outs and the timing of new lease commencements. FY2026 guidance also remains limited to growth of 1.5% to 2.5% despite strong rent increases on certain leases.
    • −Lease expirations remain a source of uncertain execution; after addressing 57% of 2026 expirations, the company was still handling spaces including 288 thousand square feet in Charlotte and expirations and move-outs in Columbus, Tampa, and Greenville-Spartanburg. Management also maintained its tenant retention assumption at 70% to 80% to account for unforeseen conditions in the second half of 2026.
    • −The $160 million of senior notes due in 2028 carry interest of 6.75% and can be called early only at a premium under the specified call structure. This could reduce the economic benefit of refinancing them before maturity even if better financing terms become available.
    • −Analyst consensus on LXP is Neutral, with a relatively wide target range of $54 to $61.2, rather than a Buy consensus. The average target of $58.73 is near the upper end of the 52-week range of $44 to $61.61, making leasing and development execution necessary to justify approaching those reference levels.

    Valuation

    Analyst consensus on LXP stock is Neutral, with an average price target of $58.73 within a range of $54 to $61.2. The average target is less than 5% below the 52-week high of $61.61, while the highest target nearly matches that high; therefore, the targets reflect substantial leasing and development success, while the lowest target and Neutral consensus underscore ongoing execution risks.

    HoldAnalyst target: $58.73(-3.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving LXP's growth in FY2026?

    Growth depends primarily on raising rents upon renewal, leasing vacant space, and developing the land bank. LXP addressed approximately 3.7 million square feet, or 57% of 2026 expirations, with an average cash rent increase of approximately 25% after excluding two flat-rate renewals. The active discussion pipeline also reached 7.4 million square feet across development, redevelopment, vacancies, and expirations through 2027. Management maintained FY2026 adjusted funds from operations guidance at $3.22 to $3.37 per share.

    How important is the Phoenix project to LXP stock?

    LXP is developing a 1.2 million-square-foot facility in Phoenix, and construction was underway on April 29, 2026. According to management, the last two million square feet of competing supply in West Valley had been leased, leaving no available one million-square-foot building in the market. The company was negotiating with a potential tenant but had not announced a lease, so the project's outcome remains tied to completing the leasing process. Management stated that it prefers pre-leasing to reduce risk and secure the profit before moving on to other opportunities in the land bank.

    Have LXP's lease terms improved?

    Q1 FY2026 leases showed clear pricing improvement, with a 34% base increase and a 24% cash increase on 700 thousand square feet excluding the large Greenville-Spartanburg lease. The company extended the lease on the 1.1 million-square-foot Greenville-Spartanburg facility through 2031, with a 5% cash increase and 3% annual escalation. The renewal of 352 thousand square feet in Charlotte also achieved a 42% cash increase and 3.5% annual escalation. After quarter-end, the lease for 850 thousand square feet in San Antonio included a 25% cash increase, a ten-year term, and 2.75% annual escalation.

    What are LXP's main occupancy risks during FY2026?

    The guidance midpoint assumes average occupancy of 96.5%, close to the 96.6% recorded at the end of Q1 FY2026. However, this scenario assumes new leasing activity offsets approximately 550 thousand square feet of known move-outs in the second half. Spaces requiring attention include 288 thousand square feet in Charlotte, along with move-outs or vacancies in Columbus, Tampa, and Greenville-Spartanburg. Management set a tenant retention assumption of between 70% and 80%, with a cushion for unforeseen conditions.

    How do LXP's liquidity and leverage look?

    LXP ended Q1 FY2026 with cash liquidity of $1.3 billion and a fully available, undrawn $600 million revolving credit facility. Net debt was 5.1 times annualized adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. In January 2026, the company also recast its $600 million revolving facility and $250 million term loan, extending maturities and reducing interest costs according to management. Conversely, $160 million of notes due in 2028 carry interest of 6.75% and require payment of a premium for early redemption.

    What does the Neutral analyst consensus mean for LXP stock?

    The average analyst price target is $58.73, with a low target of $54 and a high target of $61.2. The average is near the 52-week high of $61.61, while the highest target nearly matches that high. The Neutral consensus reflects a balance between strong rent increases and liquidity on one hand, and the risks of leasing Phoenix and offsetting 2026 move-outs on the other. Therefore, the potential to reach the upper end of the target range depends on converting the 7.4 million-square-foot leasing pipeline into income-producing leases.