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Stocks
Las Vegas Sands Corp.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall78
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 8/9Grey zoneBetter than 78% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
77
16.6x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
85
18.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
93
15.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
49
2.8x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
63
2.57%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
16
-14.8%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
67
10▲3Top tier
LVS

LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp.

Las Vegas Sands Corp. · NYSE
Market Closed
42.83
▲ ⁦+0.54%⁩ (+0.23)
Market Cap$27.7B
Beta0.83
52w Low52w High
42.1170.45
Last Week
⁦-2.30%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.79%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-17.08%⁩
Last Year
⁦-20.32%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$43
Analyst target · 8 analysts
$61
⁦+42%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$52–$65⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$57
⁦+33%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.1⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$57–$61⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 8 analysts setting price target
$59.78
⁦+39.6%⁩
Current Price $42.83·Median $61.00
Low
$52.00
High
$65.00
Current price
$42.83
Average target
$59.78
Street summary

Consensus Stability Amid a Wider Range of Estimates

The consensus price target of 59.78 has not changed over the past 30 days, despite the number of analysts counted increasing from 4 to 8 in the 2026-09-09 snapshot. The current range is between 52 and 65, with a median of 61, compared with a current price of 42.6; this reflects a positive trend in estimates, alongside clear divergence between the highest and lowest targets.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.85
Buy
Analyst coverage
20
Buy conviction
70%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
30%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
3
11
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.80 → 3.85
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Wolfe Research
    Peer Perform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-30
    H.C. Wainwright
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-23
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.60x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.41x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.15x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.7%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    18.1%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    30.3%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    50.9%
    12.0%66.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    15.0%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.75x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.6%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    54.4%
    8.9%99.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.40
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-22 data

Company Overview

Las Vegas Sands Corp. operates integrated resorts focused on gaming, hospitality, entertainment, retail, and food and beverage services, with the portfolio cited in the data centered on Marina Bay Sands in Singapore and Sands China resorts in Macau. Its ability to generate revenue and profits depends on attracting high-spending tourists, particularly premium gaming customers and the VIP segment, while also benefiting from luxury suites, events, entertainment, retail, and meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions tourism. As of June 30, 2026, the company’s ownership stake in Sands China was 74.8%.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Las Vegas Sands recorded revenue of $3.2 billion, net income of $346 million, and earnings per share of $0.53, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 10.8%. This compares with revenue of $3.6 billion, net income of $567 million, and earnings per share of $0.85 in fiscal Q1 2026, while fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $13.0 billion, net income was $1.6 billion, and earnings per share were $2.35. On a trailing-twelve-month basis ending in 2026, the latest EDGAR data showed revenue of $13.7 billion, net income of $1.7 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $2.63.

At the asset level, Marina Bay Sands generated earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $689 million in fiscal Q2 2026, or $652 million after adjusting for exceptional luck in VIP gaming, with a reported operating margin of approximately 50%. The Macau operations generated $430 million in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, and the figure would have been $517 million when normalizing the VIP gaming hold percentage. This mix shows that Singapore was the clearest source of earnings strength during the period, while Macau combined strong growth in gaming volumes with notable pressure from volatile gaming results and higher operating spending.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Mass gaming revenue at Marina Bay Sands increased 5% year over year in fiscal Q2 2026, despite tourism seasonality and lower attendance by high-value customers during the World Cup, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $689 million versus $652 million based on a normalized hold percentage.
  • Sands China outperformed the Macau market in fiscal Q2 2026; VIP gaming volume increased 73%, non-rolling gaming drop rose 15%, and slot machine and electronic gaming volume grew 30%, while total mass gaming revenue increased 8% compared with market growth of 4%. The company’s share of VIP gaming volume reached 26%, rising from fourth place a year earlier to first place during the period discussed in the call.
  • The company aims to return all 2,900 rooms and suites at The Venetian Macao to inventory after renovation by Chinese New Year 2028, with the impact of the new suites beginning to emerge gradually during 2027. The average out-of-service inventory was approximately 400 rooms in fiscal Q2 2026, and management expects it to fluctuate between 400 and 500 rooms each quarter through 2027.
  • The company intends to open the Marina Bay Sands expansion in early 2031, subject to the required government approvals, adding greater luxury suite capacity, new services and entertainment, and an advanced events arena. The project builds on an earlier expansion that increased the property’s suite count from 135 to 770 and, according to management, contributed to increasing its structural earnings capacity.
  • Las Vegas Sands repurchased $787 million of shares during fiscal Q2 2026 and paid a recurring quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share. After repurchasing 16.3% of outstanding shares over 11 quarters, the board raised the repurchase authorization to $6 billion, making the reduction in share count a potential direct driver of earnings per share.
  • On August 16, 2026, Sands China announced an increase in the interim dividend to HK$0.50 per share, alongside 11.1% net revenue growth in the first half of 2026. However, its profit declined 3.6% to $398 million due to higher casino and payroll costs and The Venetian Macao renovation work, so the news simultaneously provides support for cash returns and a warning signal for margins.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The Macau operations demonstrated broad market share gains in fiscal Q2 2026, including 73% growth in VIP gaming volume, 15% growth in non-rolling gaming drop, and 30% growth in slot machine and electronic gaming volume, despite the overall gaming market remaining nearly flat. Reaching a 26% share of VIP gaming volume provides quantitative evidence of improved product and service appeal to the highest-value customers.
  • +Marina Bay Sands maintained strong profitability in fiscal Q2 2026, with $689 million in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization and a reported margin of approximately 50%, while mass gaming revenue grew 5%. The increase in the number of suites from 135 to 770, together with the expansion targeted for early 2031, supports the opportunity to deepen spending by high-value tourists in Singapore.
  • +The share repurchase program provides structural support for earnings per share; the company repurchased $787 million of shares in fiscal Q2 2026 and reduced the number of outstanding shares by 16.3% over 11 quarters. The $6 billion authorization increases the available capacity to continue returning capital, alongside the quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share.
  • +The Venetian Macao renovations could support growth after all 2,900 rooms and suites are returned to inventory by Chinese New Year 2028, with a meaningful block of new suites expected to begin coming online during 2027. Management indicated that The Londoner and Grand Suites at Four Seasons exceeded their normalized 2019 levels in fiscal Q2 2026, providing internal evidence that upgrading the luxury product can increase revenue and market share.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $59.78, within a range of $52 to $65, against a consensus Buy rating; the average target is approximately 15% below the 52-week range high of $70.45, while even the highest target remains below that peak. The wide 52-week range between $43.915 and $70.45 reveals the valuation’s sensitivity to volatility in gaming profits and cost pressure at Sands China, balanced against market share gains and the $6 billion authorized repurchase program.

BuyAnalyst target: $59.78(+39.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving LVS earnings in fiscal Q2 2026?

Marina Bay Sands was the strongest earnings driver, generating $689 million in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization and a reported margin of approximately 50% in fiscal Q2 2026. Macau earnings on the same measure were $430 million, or $517 million after normalizing the VIP gaming hold percentage. At the group level, revenue was $3.2 billion, net income was $346 million, and earnings per share were $0.53. These results came despite seasonality and lower attendance by some high-value customers during the World Cup in June 2026.

Is Sands China regaining its share of the Macau market?

Fiscal Q2 2026 figures indicate clear market share gains; VIP gaming volume increased 73% year over year, and the company’s share of this volume reached 26%. Non-rolling gaming drop also increased 15%, while slot machine and electronic gaming volume grew 30%. Total mass gaming revenue at Sands China increased 8%, double the Macau market’s 4% growth. However, the volume gains did not fully translate into profits due to the 1.35% VIP hold percentage and higher costs.

How important is The Venetian Macao renovation for LVS?

The renovation of rooms and suites at The Venetian Macao began in March 2026, and the company aims to return all 2,900 units to inventory by Chinese New Year 2028. The average number of rooms out of inventory was approximately 400 in fiscal Q2 2026, and the number is expected to range between 400 and 500 rooms per quarter through 2027. Management expects to begin benefiting from a growing block of new suites during 2027, along with the addition of gaming areas and facilities aimed at the premium segment. The strategy is based on the performance of The Londoner and Grand Suites at Four Seasons, which exceeded their normalized 2019 levels during the quarter discussed.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Results depend heavily on a limited number of high-value customers and their gaming volume; management explained that the activity of these customers is concentrated and that the absence of some of them during the World Cup affected Singapore and Macau in June 2026. This concentration makes individual visits and betting volumes factors capable of causing significant fluctuations in revenue and margins from one quarter to another.
  • −Sands China faces intense competition in Macau’s premium segment, where maintaining market share requires investment in luxury suites, service, incentives, sales, and table operating hours. Management also described competition for entertainment content within Macau and across Asian cities as intense, which could increase the cost of attracting customers and performers and limit the conversion of revenue growth into comparable profit growth.
  • −Macau profitability came under clear pressure in fiscal Q2 2026; earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $430 million versus $517 million based on a normalized hold percentage, and the adjusted figure remained below management’s target of $700 million per quarter. In the first half of 2026, Sands China’s profit declined 3.6% to $398 million despite 11.1% net revenue growth, due to higher casino, payroll, and renovation costs.
  • −Las Vegas Sands revenue declined from $3.6 billion in fiscal Q1 2026 to $3.2 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, while net income fell from $567 million to $346 million and earnings per share declined from $0.85 to $0.53. Although management attributed part of the weakness to seasonality, the World Cup, and volatility in the hold percentage, this decline highlights the sensitivity of growth and profits to the timing of visits and gaming outcomes.
  • −Gaming results remain exposed to volatility in the hold percentage even when volumes are growing; the VIP gaming hold percentage in Macau was 1.35% in fiscal Q2 2026, and management described the $87 million earnings adjustment as the largest in the history of its Macau operations. This means customer and market share gains do not guarantee a simultaneous improvement in quarterly profits.
  • −The growth strategy requires long-term capital and execution commitments, including approximately $600 million of capital spending above maintenance levels in Macau during each of the two annual periods presented in the fiscal Q2 2026 call, and taking 400 to 500 rooms out of service each quarter through 2027. The targeted opening of the Marina Bay Sands expansion in early 2031 is also conditional on government approvals, adding delay and execution risks before the targeted returns are realized.
How does Las Vegas Sands return capital to shareholders?

The company repurchased $787 million of LVS shares in fiscal Q2 2026, following elevated repurchase activity in the previous quarter as well. Over 11 quarters through June 30, 2026, it repurchased the equivalent of 16.3% of outstanding shares. The board also raised the repurchase authorization to $6 billion, and the company paid a recurring quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share. On August 16, 2026, Sands China also announced an interim dividend of HK$0.50 per share despite a 3.6% decline in first-half profit.

What are the biggest risks to monitor in LVS results?

The most prominent risk is the concentration of premium gaming activity among high-value customers, as changes in the attendance of a limited number of them or in their betting outcomes can significantly affect profits. In fiscal Q2 2026, the 1.35% hold percentage reduced Macau earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization by $87 million compared with the normalized result. Casino, payroll, and renovation costs also caused Sands China’s profit to decline 3.6% in the first half of 2026 despite 11.1% net revenue growth. Intense competition in the premium segment, ongoing capital spending, and taking 400 to 500 rooms out of service each quarter through 2027 add execution and margin pressures.

What could the Marina Bay Sands expansion add to LVS?

The company aims to open the expansion in early 2031, subject to obtaining the required government approvals. The project includes increasing luxury suite capacity, enhancing services and entertainment, and adding an advanced events arena. This follows the transformation of the existing product from 135 suites to 770 suites, which management described as a driver of the structural increase in the property’s earnings capacity. In fiscal Q2 2026, the property generated $689 million in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, providing a strong earnings base before the expansion is implemented.