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Stocks
LATAM Airlines Group S.A.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall81
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 6/9Better than 81% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
91
9.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
68
20.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
86
23.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
49
2.9x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
38
0.00%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
45
18.5%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
47
2▼3Around median
LTM

LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A.

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. · NYSE
Market Closed
51.29
▲ ⁦+1.20%⁩ (+0.61)
Market Cap$14.7B
Beta0.89
52w Low52w High
41.4170.42
Last Week
⁦+4.06%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.72%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-1.46%⁩
Last Year
⁦+1.60%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$51
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$71
⁦+39%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$70–$73⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$142
⁦+176%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.3⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$71–$142⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$71.30
⁦+39.0%⁩
Current Price $51.29·Median $71.30
Low
$70.00
High
$72.60
Current price
$51.29
Average target
$71.30
Street summary

LATAM Airlines Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

The stock saw a slight adjustment in its average price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus declining by 1.8% to fall from $71.15 to $69.87. Despite this slight decline, there is a notable consensus among the five analysts, as the lowest price target ($67) remains significantly higher than the current price of $52.26, reflecting a positive gap and expectations for future price growth.

As of 2026-08-16
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.40
Buy
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
5%
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
4
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.44 → 4.40
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-06-18
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-12
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy· $72.60
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-03-26
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    9.41x
    5.69x45.54x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    8.96x
    4.57x36.58x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.55x
    3.43x27.47x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    16.1%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    20.4%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -44.2%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    27.0%
    8.6%54.6%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    23.4%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.89x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    0.2%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

LATAM Airlines Group operates an airline network combining passenger transportation, air cargo, the LATAM Pass loyalty ecosystem, and other ancillary revenues. The model is built on a network connecting South American markets with four continents, with a key presence in Brazil through Guarulhos, Brasilia, Fortaleza, and Congonhas. In Q2 FY2026, premium cabins accounted for 29% of passenger revenue, while LATAM Pass members generated more than 67% of passenger revenue, highlighting the role of loyal, less price-sensitive customers in the quality of the revenue mix.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue increased by approximately 28% year over year to nearly $4.2 billion, supported by 28% growth in passenger revenue and approximately 22% growth in cargo revenue. Consolidated capacity increased 8.9%, and the load factor reached 81.8% versus 83.5% in the comparable period, while passenger revenue per available seat kilometer increased 17.5%. Despite an increase of more than 80% in the average hedged fuel price and a 93% rise in total fuel costs, the group achieved an adjusted operating margin of 5.4% and net income of $125 million.

FY2025 results show a broader earnings base before the fuel shock in Q2 FY2026; revenue reached $14.3 billion, gross profit $4.2 billion, and net income $1.5 billion. This compares with revenue of $12.8 billion, gross profit of $3.3 billion, and net income of $977.4 million in FY2024, and revenue of $11.6 billion and net income of $581.5 million in FY2023. These figures reflect consecutive growth in revenue, gross profit, and net income during FY2023–2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • LATAM raised its FY2026 guidance to revenue of between $17.3 billion and $17.7 billion and adjusted EBITDA of between $4.1 billion and $4.4 billion, improving the midpoint of its previous EBITDA guidance by $250 million. The guidance assumes capacity growth of between 9% and 10% and liquidity of at least $4.7 billion by the end of FY2026.
  • Pricing and revenue management measures successfully increased passenger revenue per available seat kilometer by 17.5% in Q2 FY2026. In dollar terms, this metric increased by approximately 20% in the domestic markets of Spanish-speaking countries, by approximately 24% in the Brazilian domestic market, and by approximately 13% on international flights despite a 12% increase in their capacity.
  • Premium cabins and LATAM Pass continue to improve the revenue mix; premium cabins reached 29% of passenger revenue and grew faster than the main cabin. The number of Elite members also increased 26% year over year, and third-party sales generated by this segment increased 48% compared with Q2 FY2025.
  • LATAM Airlines Brazil expects to receive its first 12 Embraer E2 aircraft between October and December 2026, with commercial operations beginning on November 3, 2026. The initial deployment includes 42 domestic routes, including eight new routes, and expands its domestic destination network in Brazil to 67 destinations versus 44 destinations in 2019.
  • The business generated $476 million in adjusted operating cash flow in Q2 FY2026 and ended the period with more than $4.2 billion in liquidity, equivalent to 26.2% of last 12 months' revenue, with adjusted net leverage at 1.5 times. In August 2026, shareholders also approved a program allowing the repurchase of up to 5% of the shares over a period not exceeding five years, with the timing and terms of execution remaining at the discretion of the board of directors.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +LATAM demonstrated its ability to protect profitability during a severe operating shock; despite a 93% increase in total fuel costs in Q2 FY2026, the adjusted operating margin remained positive at 5.4%, and net income reached $125 million.
  • +Revenue diversification across passengers, cargo, LATAM Pass, and premium cabins provides multiple tools to counter cost volatility; cargo revenue grew by approximately 22%, premium cabins accounted for 29% of passenger revenue, and LATAM Pass members generated more than 67% of it in Q2 FY2026.
  • +The balance sheet supports expansion and capital flexibility, with more than $4.2 billion in liquidity and adjusted net leverage of 1.5 times at the end of Q2 FY2026. The financial policy targets liquidity of between 21% and 25% of revenue and net leverage below 2 times, while the company expects liquidity of at least $4.7 billion and leverage not exceeding 1.6 times by the end of FY2026.
  • +The Embraer E2 fleet can expand the network and improve the alignment of aircraft size with demand; LATAM Airlines Brazil plans to operate it on 42 domestic routes beginning November 3, 2026, including eight new routes. Management explained that the aircraft allows additional frequencies during lower-demand periods and service to airports that are unsuitable for A320 or A319 aircraft.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The analyst consensus on LTM stock is neutral, with an average target of $71.3 and a narrow range of between $70 and $72.6. The average target and highest target are slightly above the 52-week range high of $70.42, while the annual range extends to a low of $41.41; this valuation balances the increase in FY2026 EBITDA guidance against ongoing fuel and currency risks and the decline in the load factor.

HoldAnalyst target: $71.3(+39.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did LATAM perform in Q2 FY2026?

Revenue reached nearly $4.2 billion, an increase of approximately 28% year over year, with passenger revenue growing 28% and cargo revenue growing approximately 22%. Consolidated capacity increased 8.9%, while the load factor reached 81.8% versus 83.5% in the comparable period. Despite a 93% increase in total fuel costs, the company achieved an adjusted operating margin of 5.4% and net income of $125 million.

What is LATAM's outlook for FY2026?

On the August 5, 2026 call, LATAM forecast revenue of between $17.3 billion and $17.7 billion and adjusted EBITDA of between $4.1 billion and $4.4 billion. The company raised the midpoint of its previous EBITDA guidance by $250 million and expects capacity growth of between 9% and 10%. It also targets liquidity of at least $4.7 billion and adjusted net leverage not exceeding 1.6 times by the end of FY2026.

How does fuel affect LATAM's earnings?

In Q2 FY2026, the average hedged fuel price increased by more than 80% year over year, and its total cost jumped 93%. Management estimated the additional impact of higher fuel at more than $700 million in that quarter, but pricing measures helped increase passenger revenue per available seat kilometer by 17.5%. The company's guidance assumes an average fuel price of $147 per barrel in Q3 FY2026 and $130 in Q4 FY2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −Fuel remains the largest direct financial risk; its average hedged price increased by more than 80% year over year in Q2 FY2026, and its total cost jumped 93%, with management estimating the impact of the increase at more than $700 million in that quarter alone. Despite raising guidance, FY2026 estimates assume an average of $147 per barrel in Q3 and $130 in Q4, while management warned of continued price volatility.
  • −The consolidated load factor declined from 83.5% to 81.8% in Q2 FY2026, with a temporary slowdown in demand in June 2026 due to the FIFA World Cup. Management also described Argentina as slower than at the beginning of FY2026 and pointed to a weak domestic environment in Chile after six or seven months without economic growth, which could limit demand strength in some markets.
  • −Competition and capacity growth in Brazil pose a risk to the sustainability of price increases; market capacity was growing at a high-single-digit rate in Q2 FY2026. Management explained that the persistence of higher prices in FY2027 will ultimately depend on industry capacity and did not provide a final figure for LATAM's capacity growth in FY2027.
  • −The dollar-denominated cost base is exposed to currency risks, particularly the Brazilian real; its reference exchange rate changed from 5.66 reais per dollar in Q2 FY2025 to 5.05 in Q2 FY2026. Management said that nearly all of the increase in the passenger cost per available seat kilometer excluding fuel outlook compared with the December 2025 guidance was attributable to appreciation of the real.
  • −The introduction of the Embraer E2 carries execution risks because the aircraft had not yet entered LATAM service at the August 5, 2026 call, and cabin certification was still in progress. The plan depends on receiving 12 aircraft between October and December 2026 and beginning commercial operations on November 3, 2026, so any disruption to delivery, certification, or operations could affect the planned addition of routes and capacity.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus reflects valuation caution despite the improved operating outlook; the average target of $71.3 exceeds the 52-week range high of $70.42 by only a limited margin, and the target range is narrow at between $70 and $72.6. This convergence limits the evidence of a significant revaluation based on available analyst estimates.
How important is the Embraer E2 to LATAM's growth plan in Brazil?

LATAM Airlines Brazil expects to receive its first 12 Embraer E2 aircraft between October and December 2026 and begin commercial operations on November 3, 2026. The initial deployment will cover 42 domestic routes, including eight new routes, expanding the network to 67 domestic destinations versus 44 in 2019. The company intends to use the aircraft to align capacity with demand, add frequencies, and serve airports that are unsuitable for A320 or A319 aircraft, while it was evaluating up to 18 additional potential bases for expansion as further aircraft are delivered beginning in early 2027.

Why are LATAM Pass and premium cabins important to LTM's revenue?

In Q2 FY2026, premium cabins represented 29% of passenger revenue and grew faster than main-cabin revenue. LATAM Pass members generated more than 67% of passenger revenue, up from 60% previously. The number of Elite members also increased 26% year over year, and third-party sales generated by this segment increased 48% compared with Q2 FY2025.

What is LATAM's liquidity and share repurchase position?

LATAM ended Q2 FY2026 with more than $4.2 billion in liquidity, equivalent to 26.2% of last 12 months' revenue, and adjusted net leverage of 1.5 times. It generated $476 million in adjusted operating cash flow during the quarter, with a positive cash change of $110 million after dividend distributions. In August 2026, shareholders approved a program allowing the repurchase of up to 5% of the shares over a period not exceeding five years, but the approval does not mean the full amount will be executed because the board of directors determines the timing, mechanisms, and terms.